Fantasy Experts: Round 8

 

 

Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5 Round 6 Round 7 Round 8 Round 9 Round 10

 

Round 8 Pick 1

Justin Mertes-Mistretta- The Sports Bank

Pick: RB Jerome Harrison CLE

Jerome Harrison ran for 561 yards and 5 TDs in the last three games of last season. Plus, the injury to Montario Hardesty allowed Harrison to move into the starting RB spot this off-season. I think the Browns will move the ball better than people think and Harrison will break out this year.

Round 8 Pick 2

Walter Cherepinsky- Walter Football

Pick: WR Robert Meachem NO

Robert Meachem is my top receiver available. Meachem came on at the end of the year and became a big red-zone target for Drew Brees.

Round 8 Pick 3

Paul Greco- Fantasy Pros 911

Pick: TE Chris Cooley WAS

Redskins QB, Donovan McNabb, has a good history with TE. Chris Cooley is one of the best, despite coming off injury. I’m looking for a big season from Cooley and he adds depth to my TE position.

Round 8 Pick 4

Steve Adler- Fantasy Daddy

Pick: RB Clinton Portis WAS

The Redskins running back situation is quite unsettled, but I will gladly take Portis with 180 carries behind a Mike Shannahan OL. I’m not expecting great things from Clinton but I think he does have something left in the tank.

Round 8 Pick 5

Scott Carasik- Scardraft

Pick: DEF Atlanta

Going to be a complete and utter homer here. I think Atlanta’s defense will be much improved with Weatherspoon and Robinson in the fold and think they could very well be a top 5 scoring defense this year.

Round 8 Pick 6

Eric Stashin- Rotoprofessor

Pick: WR Steve Breaston ARI

He steps in as the #2 WR in Arizona with the departure of Anquan Boldin. In need of depth at the position with some risk involved in having Terrell Owens as my WR3, I’m going with the top WR left on my draft board here.

 

Round 8 Pick 7

Sam Arker- Rothstein Sports

Pick: WR Jeremy Maclin PHI

BPA here after a great showing in week one of the pre season. Maclin has the skill set to explode in Phili’s offense.

Round 8 Pick 8

Hunter Ansley- Draft Zoo

Pick: RB Reggie Bush NO

I need running back depth, and although he’s not your traditional runner, Reggie Bush is good enough value for me near the end of the eighth round. He’s going to touch the ball a lot. Especially now that Kim Kardashian won’t be touching it for him.

Round 8 Pick 9

Steven Lourie- Football Fan Spot

Pick: QB Donovan McNabb WAS

Need a quarterback. I wanted to get one earlier (Romo, Rivers, Favre) but kept missing my chance. Waiting for a relatively safe bet like McNabb here in the 8th ended up working out pretty well. Too much is being made about his lack of offensive supporting cast. He’s got a revamped offensive line and solid talent in the receiving corps. Remember, this is the same guy who made NFC Championship after NFC Championship with horrible receivers before TO showed up and a head coach who never ran the ball. Expect similar stats to the last 3 years, 3300-4000 yards passing, 19-23 touchdowns, 7-11 interceptions and he’s still above average rushing the football.

Round 8 Pick 10

Jeff Malloy- Beast or Bust

Pick: WR Kenny Britt TEN

With Santonio Holmes out for the first four games of the year and Percy Harvin’s health about to give us a migraine, we thought it would be smart to grab another high upside WR in the 8th round. Kenny Britt, who was the younger player in the NFL last year, was a guy we have had our eye on for a few rounds. He has been compared to Brandon Marshall and it fits, both on and off the field. The QB situation is going to hold him back a bit, but he is easily the most physically gifted WR on the Titans roster. A true breakout may be another year away, but 1,000 yards and 5-8 TD’s are within reach this year.

Round 8 Pick 11

Vin Sadicario- FF Toolbox

Pick: RB Ahmad Bradshaw NYG

I feel comfortable drafting Ahmad Bradshaw as my #3 running back, and expect him to start the season with at least a 50/50 split of the Giants carries out of the backfield. Bradshaw outplayed Brandon Jacobs last season, and while Jacobs should get the goal-line carries, Bradshaw is a superior pass catcher. I expect Bradshaw to outproduce Jacobs this season.

Round 8 Pick 12

Ryan Lester- Lester’s Legends

Pick: RB Ricky Williams MIA

Ronnie Brown can’t stay healthy. Ricky Williams just keeps on producing. I can’t think of a better 4th RB.

 

 

3-4 Defensive Ends 2011

 

Updated 4/26/11

QB RB FB WR TE OT G C DE RLB DT 3-4 DE NT MLB OLB CB S K P

Scoring System 

100 Once in a decade prospect 
95-99 Elite talent 
90-95 Solid top 10 pick 
85-90 Solid first round pick 
80-85 Late 1st-early 2nd 
75-80 Solid 2nd round pick 
70-75 Solid 3rd round pick 
65-70 3rd-4th round pick 
60-65 4th-5th round pick 
55-60 5th round pick 
50-55 6th round pick 
45-50 7th round pick 
40-45 Undrafted, invite to training camp 
30-40 Career practice squader 
20-30 No NFL future 
0-20 No football future 

 

1. Nick Fairley 96 (Auburn)

2. Marcell Dareus 95 (Alabama)

3. Cameron Jordan 90 (California)

4. JJ Watt 87 (Wisconsin)

5. Cameron Heyward 80 (Ohio State)

6. Marvin Austin 79 (North Carolina)

7. Adrian Clayborn 78 (Iowa)

8. Muhammed Wilkerson 78 (Temple)

9. Allen Bailey 76 (Miami)

10. Corey Liuget 76 (Illinois)

11. Sione Fua 74 (Stanford)

12. Lawrence Guy 73 (Arizona State)

13. Christian Ballard 72 (Iowa)

14. Jarvis Jenkins 69 (Clemson)

15. Mike Blanc 55 (Auburn)

16. Cedric Thornton 51 (Southern Arkansas)

17. Karl Klug 51 (Iowa)

18. Brandon Bair 50 (Oregon)

19. David Carter 48 (UCLA)

20. Zane Parr 46 (Virginia)

 

Defensive Tackles 2011

Updated 4/26/11

QB RB FB WR TE OT G C DE RLB DT 3-4 DE NT MLB OLB CB S K P

Scoring System

100 Once in a decade prospect
95-99 Elite talent
90-95 Solid top 10 pick
85-90 Solid first round pick
80-85 Late 1st-early 2nd
75-80 Solid 2nd round pick
70-75 Solid 3rd round pick
65-70 3rd-4th round pick
60-65 4th-5th round pick
55-60 5th round pick
50-55 6th round pick
45-50 7th round pick
40-45 Undrafted, invite to training camp
30-40 Career practice squader
20-30 No NFL future
0-20 No football future

1. Nick Fairley 96 (Auburn)

2. Marcell Dareus 95 (Alabama)

3. Cameron Jordan 90 (California)

4. JJ Watt 87 (Wisconsin)

5. Stephen Paea 81 (Oregon State)

6. Phil Taylor 81 (Baylor)

7. Drake Nevis 80 (LSU)

8. Cameron Heyward 80 (Ohio State)

9. Marvin Austin 79 (North Carolina)

10. Muhammed Wilkerson 78 (Temple)

11. Corey Liuget 76 (Illinois)

12. Jurell Casey 75 (USC)

13. Sione Fua 74 (Stanford)

14. Lawrence Guy 73 (Arizona State)

15. Christian Ballard 72 (Iowa)

16. Jarvis Jenkins 69 (Clemson)

17. Terrell McClain 61 (South Florida)

18. Ian Williams 58 (Notre Dame)

19. Mike Blanc 55 (Auburn)

20. Cedric Thornton 51 (Southern Arkansas)

21. Martin Parker 49 (Richmond)

22. David Carter 48 (UCLA)

23. Sealver Siliga 46 (Utah)

24. Ted Laurent 44 (Mississippi)

25. Ladi Ajiboye 42 (South Carolina)

Fantasy Experts: Round 9

 

Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5 Round 6 Round 7 Round 8 Round 9 Round 10

 

Round 9 Pick 1

Ryan Lester- Lester’s Legends

Pick: WR Lee Evans BUF

He is far better than his numbers suggest thanks to a horrible offense. Regardless, he’s too good to pass up in the 9th round.

Round 9 Pick 2

Vin Sadicario- FF Toolbox

Pick: WR Donald Driver GB

I’m not in love with Driver this season, but in the 9th round, he represents good value. Driver has eclipsed 1000 receiving yards in six consecutive seasons, and if he can stay healthy, he has the opportunity to make it seven.

Round 9 Pick 3

Jeff Malloy- Beast or Bust

Pick: QB Eli Manning NYG

Eli is a borderline QB1 and will serve as a solid backup to his brother Peyton for the 2010 season. With a running game in NY that will likely prove unreliable for a second straight season, look for Eli to take it to the air often in 2010 and repeat with 4,000+ passing yards with around 25 TD’s.

Round 9 Pick 4

Steven Lourie- Football Fan Spot

Pick: TE Kellen Winslow TB

Wish I could see Winslow (5th right knee surgery in 6 years) in a live game to see if he’s as healthy as he says he is, before drafting him. However, if healthy, Winslow should see an increase in production across the board (77/884/5). Freeman is no longer a rookie at quarterback and put in a ton of work this offseason to improve off his disappointing rookie year. Winslow is the only Buccaneer receiver who isn’t either a rookie or mediocre so he’s my pick to lead them in receiving should he stay healthy. And if he doesn’t stay healthy, I can drop him and pick up a tight end from the waiver wire that is close to the same caliber of any other tight end left on the board at this current point. Tight end is always a very, very deep position so if you can’t get a guy you feel is or could be a stud like Winslow, you’re better off waiting until the late rounds and playing the matchups and/or waiting to see if someone gets hot or breaks out.

Round 9 Pick 5

Hunter Ansley- Draft Zoo

Pick: TE Visanthe Shiancoe MIN

Shiancoe grabbed 11 TDs a season ago, and with Favre back, I think he’s got a shot to duplicate those numbers. The Vikings’ passing game weapons are dropping like trees in the rain forest, and he’ll be a great red zone target once again.

Round 9 Pick 6

Sam Arker- Rothstein Sports

Pick: RB Donald Brown IND

You would think Donald Brown would emerge as the better back in Indy sooner or later. Even if he splits carries with Addai he’s still a viable back up in Indy’s offense.

Round 9 Pick 7

Eric Stashin- Rotoprofessor

Pick: QB Matt Ryan ATL

While I am a big believer in Joe Flacco this season, he is a risk, so I wanted a viable backup who could step in if need be. For me, Ryan is a borderline fantasy starter (with White & Gonzalez making plays), so pairing him with Flacco is a great match. You would expect one of the two to enjoy a breakout campaign.

Round 9 Pick 8

Scott Carasik- Scardraft

Pick: RB Anthony Dixon SF

No analysis given

Round 9 Pick 9

Steve Adler- Fantasy Daddy

Pick: QB Ben Roethlisberger PIT

I know Ben will not be playing a game until week six, but he is a great back up. Even though Schaub was able to stay healthy in 2009 I think having a solid back up is a necessity.

Round 9 Pick 10

Paul Greco- Fantasy Pros 911

Pick: RB Cadillac Williams TB

Was looking to have a really nice group of running backs and adding Carnell Williams now gives me four No. 1 backs. Pretty happy about that.

Round 9 Pick 11

Walter Cherepinsky- Walter Football

Pick: WR Mike Williams TB

Love Mike Williams this year. He’s a stud. He’s looked great in OTAs and training camp, and is now dominating the preseason. Josh Freeman also looks like he’s a million miles ahead of where he was last year, so I think Williams could approach 1,000 yards.

Round 9 Pick 12

Justin Mertes-Mistretta- The Sports Bank

Pick: TE Owen Daniels HOU

I have to grab a TE here. I’m very concerned about Daniels’ knee, but reports say that he is 100 percent. If he’s healthy he’ll be a great value pick here.

 

3-4 Defensive Ends 2012

Updated 4/4/12

QB RB FB WR TE OT G C DE RLB DT NT 3-4 DE OLB MLB CB S K P 

Scoring System

100 Once in a decade prospect 
95-99 Elite talent 
90-95 Solid top 10 pick 
85-90 Solid first round pick 
80-85 Late 1st-early 2nd 
75-80 Solid 2nd round pick 
70-75 Solid 3rd round pick 
65-70 3rd-4th round pick 
60-65 4th-5th round pick 
55-60 5th round pick 
50-55 6th round pick 
45-50 7th round pick 
40-45 Undrafted, invite to training camp 
<40 No NFL Future

  

1. Billy Winn (Boise State) 75

2. Derek Wolfe (Cincinnati) 71

3. Jared Crick (Nebraska) 69

4. Brett Roy (Nevada) 65

5. Trevor Guyton (California) 62

6. Tyrone Crawford (Boise State) 59

7. Ryan Van Bergen (Michigan) 57

8. Logan Harrell (Fresno State) 49

 

Defensive Tackles 2012

Updated 4/4/12

QB RB FB WR TE OT G C DE RLB DT NT 3-4 DE OLB MLB CB S K P 

Scoring System

100 Once in a decade prospect 
95-99 Elite talent 
90-95 Solid top 10 pick 
85-90 Solid first round pick 
80-85 Late 1st-early 2nd 
75-80 Solid 2nd round pick 
70-75 Solid 3rd round pick 
65-70 3rd-4th round pick 
60-65 4th-5th round pick 
55-60 5th round pick 
50-55 6th round pick 
45-50 7th round pick 
40-45 Undrafted, invite to training camp 
<40 No NFL Future

 

1. Fletcher Cox (Mississippi State) 88

2. Devon Still (Penn State) 84

3. Michael Brockers (LSU) 82

4. Jerel Worthy (Michigan State) 79

5. Mike Martin (Michigan) 77

6. Kendall Reyes (Connecticut) 76

7. Brandon Thompson (Clemson) 74

8. Kheeston Randall (Texas) 63

9. DaJohn Harris (USC) 61

10. Marcus Forston (Miami) 60

11. Jaye Howard (Florida) 58

12. JR Sweezy (NC State) 51 

 

Arian Foster Texans

 

Normally I hate giving running backs large amounts of money, but Arian Foster is worth every penny of the 43.5 million over 5 years (20.75 million guaranteed). He’s my #2 rated free agent with 4067 total yards in the last 2 seasons, despite missing 3 games with a hamstring problem. He’s only 26 this offseason and his career usage (659 carries) is still very low. He’s also never had a major injury. He’s comparable (at worst) to Chris Johnson, who got 6 years, 55.3 million, and 30 million guaranteed last offseason at a similar age. The Texans got a much better deal than the Titans did.

When you compare Foster to what Adrian Peterson got last offseason (7 years, 96 million, 36 million guaranteed), the Texans got a great value. In fact, the Texans got Foster for basically what the Panthers got DeAngelo Williams for last offseason (5 years 43 million with 21 million guaranteed). Williams had previous injury problems and was 3 years older. Meanwhile, Foster barely got more than Marshawn Lynch did this offseason. Anyway you look at it, the Texans got a good deal. They will continue to be one of the premier teams in the AFC for years.

Grade: A

 

 

 

 

Fantasy Experts: Round 1

 

Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5 Round 6 Round 7 Round 8 Round 9 Round 10

 

Round 1 Pick 1

Ryan Lester- Lester’s Legends

Pick: RB Adrian Peterson MIN

I believe Peterson, Chris Johnson, and Maurice Jones-Drew are pretty much on the same level. I expect Chris Johnson to see a decrease in his workload after such a heavy one last year. MJD proved he could be the feature back, but doesn’t get enough help. Meanwhile, Peterson had a monster year despite Favre & Co. taking the lead role in the offense. I think the Vikes run more and pass less this year, which should be huge for All Day.

Round 1 Pick 2

Vin Sadicario- FF Toolbox

Pick: RB Chris Johnson TEN

Coming off a huge 2009 season, Chris Johnson is the number one player on my draft board this season. While Johnson may not carry the ball 358 times again this season, he is a threat to score whenever he touches the ball. Johnson will once again be the focus of the Titans offense in 2010, and should put up great fantasy numbers all season long.

Round 1 Pick 3

Jeff Malloy- Beast or Bust

Pick: RB Maurice Jones Drew JAC

The third spot in a re-draft league is a great position this year. You get the last of the top 3 RB’s, you don’t have to agonize over the decision, and any way you slice it you are a getting a Beast. MJD, ADP and CJ2K are all so close it is really tough to pick a frontrunner. Not that we had the choice here, but we’ll take the guy who is second only to LT2 in touchdowns since entering the league in 2006.

Round 1 Pick 4

Steven Lourie- Football Fan Spot

Pick: RB Ray Rice BAL

No surprises in the top 3, no surprises here either. Rice is one of 4 (5 if you count Frank Gore, but I don’t like his inconsistency) running backs in the NFL with great talent, solid health, and a good shot at 300+ carries. He had 2000+ total yards last year and has a good shot at doing that again this year.

Round 1 Pick 5

Hunter Ansley- Draft Zoo

Pick: RB Frank Gore SF

I’m not a huge fan of the fifth pick, but I think Gore is the best option here. He had 1120 yards and 10 TDs on the ground in only 14 games last season, and he really seemed to turn it on over his last four games, scoring four touchdowns and averaging 113 rushing yards in that span. With the upgrades on the O-line, he could be in for a big year. Plus, I’ve never taken Gore before, so there’s that.

Round 1 Pick 6

Sam Arker- Rothstein Sports

Pick: RB Michael Turner ATL

This pick is weighted heavily on not being a PPR league, where Turner’s value drops significantly. He is the best player available at this point.

 

Round 1 Pick 7

Eric Stashin- Rotoprofessor

Pick: WR Andre Johnson HOU

He’s the elite WR in the game and is just too valuable to pass up at this spot in the draft. If healthy, he’s a virtual lock for 100 receptions. Of the RB still on the board, there are just too many question marks to consider taking them over Johnson.

Round 1 Pick 8

Scott Carasik- Scardraft

Pick: WR Calvin Johnson DET

Taking a WR here wasn’t my first plan of action, but since I have sleepers at other spots, I feel it’s smart to at least get one good WR for the team.

Round 1 Pick 9

Steve Adler- Fantasy Daddy

Pick: RB Steven Jackson STL

With seven games with 100 or more yards rushing in 2009, Jackson was able to carry the offensive load for the Rams and many fantasy teams. With an improving offensive line, SJAX may be able to break the 2000 all purpose yards in 2010. A great value pick at #9.

Round 1 Pick 10

Paul Greco- Fantasy Pros 911

Pick: WR Randy Moss NE

Was leaning towards Larry Fitzgerald, but with an early mock draft its hard to tell whether or not the quarterback situation is going to stable. That being said, I did not want a risky/shaky pick here so I’ll go with a guy I feel can get 1,000+ yards through the air and double digit touchdowns.

Round 1 Pick 11

Walter Cherepinsky- Walter Football

Pick: RB Shonn Greene NYJ

Shonn Greene had an incredible playoff run. He was the better back at the end of the season, and New York’s offensive line is still as powerful as ever (Alan Faneca secretly was the worst player on that unit). I’ll be really surprised if Shonn Greene doesn’t hit at least 12 touchdowns this year – and the sky’s the limit if Mark Sanchez improves.

Round 1 Pick 12

Justin Mertes-Mistretta- The Sports Bank

Pick: QB Drew Brees NO

In a league that awards 6 points for every passing touchdown, I couldn’t pass up on Brees this late. The RBs left on the board all have upside, but none of them are safe #1 RB’s in my mind. In the first round, it’s all about minimizing risk. Brees is a lock to finish as a top-5 QB.

 

 

Fullbacks 2011

 

Updated 4/20/11

QB RB FB WR TE OT G C DE RLB DT 3-4 DE NT MLB OLB CB S K P

Scoring System 

100 Once in a decade prospect 
95-99 Elite talent 
90-95 Solid top 10 pick 
85-90 Solid first round pick 
80-85 Late 1st-early 2nd 
75-80 Solid 2nd round pick 
70-75 Solid 3rd round pick 
65-70 3rd-4th round pick 
60-65 4th-5th round pick 
55-60 5th round pick 
50-55 6th round pick 
45-50 7th round pick 
40-45 Undrafted, invite to training camp 
30-40 Career practice squader 
20-30 No NFL future 
0-20 No football future 

 

1. Charles Clay 57 (Tulsa)

2. Owen Marecic 54 (Stanford)

3. Henry Hynoski 52 (Pittsburgh)

4. Anthony Sherman 51 (Connecticut)

5. Stanley Havili 46 (USC)

6. Shaun Chapas 44 (Georgia)