All values are as of 4/3/12. The following are players I think are underrated values in PlayTheDraft. You can sign up to play for free (normally 30 dollars) to compete against yours truly, Mel Kiper, and others for a chance to meet Mel Kiper himself. http://game.playthedraft.com/fbdraft/setup/affiliate_league_accept.asp?affiliateID=7
QB Ryan Tannehill (Texas A&M)
Tannehill’s price is at 2242, which puts him between the 10th and 11th pick. As long as he goes in the top 10, you’re making money with him. I think his floor is 8 to Miami (2500) and his ceiling is 4 to Cleveland (3150) or even 3 if a team goes crazy and trades up (3250). There’s definitely huge upside here with minimal downside.
QB Brandon Weeden (Oklahoma State)
Weeden’s price is 876, which puts him between the 42nd and 43rd picks. I think he’ll end up going in the 1st round one way or another. Either Cleveland passes on Ryan Tannehill and takes him at 22 (1625) or Cleveland takes Tannehill, Miami misses out and panic trades back up into the end of the first round for him. If he goes in the first, you’ll get at least 1375 from him, a gain of almost 500. Worst case scenario, Cleveland at 37 (965), Seattle at 43 (875), and Kansas City at 44 (860) will take him. Minimal downside with big upside here.
WR Stephen Hill (Georgia Tech)
As long as Hill goes in the first round, you’re making money with him. The 32nd pick has a value of 1375 and Hill is going for 1286. Possible destinations include 19 to Chicago (1700), 22 to Cleveland (1625), 25 to Denver (1550), 26 to Houston (1525), and I think that’s his floor, but Baltimore at 29 (1450) or San Francisco at 30 (1425) would snatch him up. You’ll make money with him.
WR Chris Givens (Wake Forest)
Givens is one of those guys who you’ll make money on as long as he gets drafted in the first 3 rounds. He’s going for 548 and the value of the 95th pick is 552. Givens is an underrated prospect who should go in the 2nd or 3rd round.
WR Marvin Jones (California)
You can basically copy and paste what I said for Givens and put it here. Although Jones is slightly cheaper at 547.
WR Ryan Broyles (Oklahoma)
If Broyles is healthy at his Pro Day on April 12th, he’ll shoot back into the first 3 rounds, his value will jump and you’ll make money one way or another. He’s only valued at 494 now and if he is still hurt at his Pro Day, you can dump him with ease.
TE Coby Fleener (Stanford)
Another one of those guys who you’ll make money on as long as he gets drafted in the first round. He’s valued at 1118 and 26 to Houston (1525) is a definitely possibility, as is San Francisco at 30 (1425) and New York at 32 (1375). Worst case, he goes to Indianapolis and reunites with Andrew Luck at 34 (1020) for a minor loss, but I have a good feeling he’ll go in the first round.
C Peter Konz (Wisconsin)
Konz will also make you money if he goes in the first round. He’s valued at 1314 and I doubt New York passes on him at 32 (1375) so this is a pretty safe one. His upside is 19 to Chicago (1700).
OT Bobby Massie (Mississippi)
This is a thin tackle class, but it’s such an important position that teams will reach for players at the position. Massie is probably going to be the 5th tackle off the board. He’s ranked 6th, which is already a good value, but his price is pretty cheap at 681, which puts him at the 59th pick. I can’t see Detroit at 54 (740) passing on him and he’s got the upside to go in the top of the 2nd round to someone like Cleveland at 37 (965), Jacksonville at 38 (950), or St. Louis at 39 (935).
OT Mitchell Schwartz (California)
Another undervalued tackle, Schwartz will make you money if he goes in the top 84 picks. He’ll probably be off the board in the top half of the 3rd round or higher.
OT Jeff Allen (Illinois)
Same thing as above only Allen comes cheaper, 510 as compared to 573, and he’s got more upside. In some circles, he’s viewed as a 2nd round pick.
G Amini Silatolu (Midwestern State)
An underrated small school kid, Tony Pauline thinks he has a shot in go in the top 45 picks (845), while Mike Mayock calls him a 2nd round pick (630). Meanwhile, Russ Lande has him as a potential first round pick (1375). As long as he’s drafted in the first 2 rounds, as he has a value of 642, Silatolu will make you money and there’s obviously big upside with him. I think he’s got an outside shot to go 30th to San Francisco (1452).
G Brandon Brooks (Miami-Ohio)
Another one of those guys who will make you money if they go in the first 3 rounds, Brooks (495) is a pretty safe pick.
DT Billy Winn (Boise State)
Winn is incredibly undervalued at 529. As long as he goes in the first 3 rounds, you’ll make money off him and he’s probably a 2nd rounder (650). I can’t see him slipping out of the middle of the 3rd round. The Jets at 77 (592) seems like his floor.
MLB Dont’a Hightower (Alabama)
Hightower (1366) will make you money as long as he goes in the first round. I can’t see him slipping out. He’s very commonly mocked to the Steelers at 24 (1575) and he’s such a good fit for him. I can’t remember the last time I didn’t mock him to them. If they pass, Baltimore at 29 (1450) won’t.
MLB Mychal Kendricks (California)
Kendricks is a rising prospect right now, but his price doesn’t suggest that. At 619, he’s projected between the 68th and 69th picks, but he’s actually get some first round buzz to Baltimore at 29 (1450) and New York at 32 (1375). I wouldn’t go that far, but I doubt he gets out of the top half of the 2nd round. I have him going to Seattle at 43 (875).
OLB Bobby Wagner (Utah State)
Kendricks is the rising prospect now, but Wagner could be the rising prospect next after he essentially matched all of Kendricks’ numbers at his recent Pro Day. Wagner has an outside shot at the first round (1375) and Tampa Bay at 36 (980), St. Louis at 39 (935), Carolina at 40 (920), Bufalo at 41 (905), Seattle at 43 (975), Philadelphia at 46 (830), and Chicago at 50 (780) are all possibilities for him. His price is only 658 and you’ll make money on him as long as he goes in the top 61 picks.
RLB Shea McClellin (Boise State)
McClellin is valued at 578, the equivalent of the 82th pick, but he’ll probably be a top half of the 2nd round pick, with an outside shot at the first round. He reminds me of Brooks Reed coming out last year.
CB Stephen Gilmore (South Carolina)
Gilmore is a rising prospect with an outside shot at the top 15 or top 10. Cincinnati at 17 (1750) is a more reasonable spot for him, but I wouldn’t rule out him going in the top 15 or top 10, even to Carolina at 9 (2350). His price is 1517, or the equivalent of 27 to New England, which I think is his absolute floor.
S Harrison Smith (Notre Dame)
This is a weak safety class so Smith will probably go in the top half of the 2nd round or late in the first round. You’ll make money off him as long as he goes above 56 to Pittsburgh. His price is 722.
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