Cincinnati Bengals Fantasy Football Projections

QB Andy Dalton (Cincinnati)

I’m expecting a sophomore slump for Andy Dalton. Dalton played well to start last season, completing 61.5% of his passes for an average of 6.6 YPA, and 12 touchdowns to 7 interceptions, leading the Bengals to a 6-2 record. However, in the 2nd half of the season, teams seemed to catch on and the Bengals went just 3-5 as Dalton completed just 54.6% of his passes for 6.6 YPA, and 8 touchdowns to 6 interceptions.

The Bengals also didn’t beat a playoff team all last year, going 0-8. Against a tougher schedule and with the league catching on to his game, Dalton could have a down season this year. I think he’s one of the most overrated quarterbacks in the league. There was a time when Colt McCoy had a decent rookie year, but teams caught on eventually and now he’s a backup. Dalton was a similar player coming out of school.

Projection: 3280 passing yards, 18 passing touchdowns, 15 interceptions, 130 rushing yards, 1 rushing touchdown (192 pts standard/228 pts in 6 pt TD leagues)

RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis (Cincinnati)

8/27/12: BenJarvus Green-Ellis will be the clear starter in Cincinnati, at least early in the season. He’s not very talented and could easy lose carries or his job to Bernard Scott sometime this season, but he moves up a little bit.

It’s hard to get excited about either of Cincinnati’s backs. Both averaged under 4 yards per carry last year and neither of them catch passes all that well. BenJarvus Green-Ellis is currently expected to be the lead back, but I really think Scott could surpass him in carries by the end of the season. I really don’t think BJGE is that good. The Patriots’ offense made him look a lot better than he is and even then he didn’t look that good. He’ll get the goal line carries, however.

Projection: 200 carries 740 rushing yards 7 total touchdowns 14 catches 100 receiving yards (126 pts standard/140 pts PPR)

RB Bernard Scott (Cincinnati)

8/27/12: Bernard Scott will start the season as a pure backup, though he could end up stealing BJGE’s job by the end of the season. The problem is that Scott isn’t very talented either. I would stay away from Cincinnati’s backfield entirely.

Scott will probably be the Bengals’ lead back by the end of the season because he’s the more talented of the two backs, but he’s still not very good. He won’t get the goal line carries or catch a lot of passes for you either. His biggest value is his rushing yardage. I wouldn’t want either of Cincinnati’s backs in my starting lineup, but Scott does have some sleeper potential as a RB5 or so.

Projection: 150 carries 570 rushing yards 4 total touchdowns 17 catches 130 receiving yards (94 pts standard/111 pts PPR)

WR AJ Green (Cincinnati)

With Andy Dalton having the sophomore slump I’m predicting for him, Green’s production will obviously dip a bit. He’s still too talented not to be a fantasy starter, however. He could still see his touchdowns increase next season. The 7 he had in 2011 seems awfully low for someone as talented as Green, however much Dalton does like targeting tight end Jermaine Gresham in the red zone.

Projection: 62 catches 1000 receiving yards 7 receiving touchdowns (142 pts standard/204 pts PPR)

TE Jermaine Gresham (Cincinnati)

Gresham should also see a small dip in his production this season, particularly his touchdowns. AJ Green is way more talented than Gresham so it wouldn’t surpass me if Green became Dalton’s favorite red zone target over Gresham.

Projection: 52 catches 560 receiving yards 5 receiving touchdowns (86 pts standard/138 pts PPR)

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Jets’ Joe McKnight admits he gained 15 pounds from eating McDonalds

Earlier this offseason, it was revealed that Joe McKnight added 15 pounds to his frame in an effort to handle more of a load this season with LaDainian Tomlinson gone and Shonn Greene still yet to prove himself as a true feature back. However, McKnight admitted today that those 15 pounds were added as a result of eating a lot of McDonalds, never a good sign. It’s possible McKnight might not be in shape. He’ll have to get in shape by the regular season or it’ll sap his explosiveness. Perhaps he can ask Head Coach Rex Ryan, who has lost 90 pounds in the last 2 years, for some advice.

Bengals’ Andy Dalton bulks up to 225

Coming out of TCU, arm strength was the biggest knock on Andy Dalton and the main reason why he fell to the 2nd round, but he proved as a rookie that he had adequate arm strength and above average everything else, leading the Bengals to the playoffs. However, he is not satisfied. In an attempt to increase his arm strength and his mere 6.6 YPA, Dalton has spent the offseason bulking up and is now at 225, up 10 pounds from his Combine weigh in of 215 and up 18 pounds from the 207 pounds Dalton admits he was at last season.

We’ll have to see how this affects him on the field, if at all. One might expect Dalton to continue to improve as a 2nd year player, but sophomore slumps are common in sports and Dalton only surpassed 200 yards in 1 of his last 5 regular season games last year, a stretch the Bengals went 2-3 over. They went 3-5 over their last 8 overall, 3-6 if you count playoffs, and didn’t beat a single playoff team all year.

Titans’ GM comments on quarterback situation

The Titans’ quarterback battle between Jake Locker and Matt Hasselbeck might be the most intriguing quarterback battle of the preseason for the sheer reason that both are solid quarterbacks and that the Titans might be the best team in the league with an unresolved quarterback situation. Hasselbeck is the proven veteran, but turns 37 in September, while Locker is inexperienced, but impressed in limited action as a rookie after being the 8th overall pick on the 2011 NFL Draft. Adam Schefter among others believe Hasselbeck will be the starter week 1.

Today, Titans GM Ruston Webster weighed in on the situation saying that it will be more on “gut feel” than stats or anything else. This might hint at Matt Hasselbeck. The stats say Locker is the better quarterback. He averaged 8.1 YPA last year, completed 51.5% of his passes, and threw 4 interceptions to no interceptions, while Hasselbeck averaged 6.9 YA, completed 61.6% of his passes, and threw 18 touchdowns to 14 interceptions. However, Hasselbeck is an experienced veteran with savvy and leadership that Locker cannot yet possess because of his age. The Titans are set pretty well to compete for a playoff spot this year and might not want to jeopardize that by putting out a young quarterback that will have growing pains.

Titans’ Kenny Britt has another surgery

When healthy, Kenny Britt is one of the most talented receivers in the league. In his last 14 full games, he’s caught 56 passes for 1146 yards and 12 touchdowns, which would be very good stats over a 16 game season. However, he missed most of last season with a torn ACL and today needed surgery again on that same knee.

The Titans don’t seem overly concerned and it doesn’t sound like he’ll miss any more time. It was a relatively minor procedure, one that GM Ruston Webster even called “common.” However, it’s a setback in his recovery nonetheless and that’s never a good thing. Even if he’ll probably be good to go week 1, there will be questions about his ability to play all 16 games and play at 100%. Derrick Morgan had the same surgery last offseason and managed just 2.5 sacks in 14 games. It’ll be worth monitoring his progress because Britt could be a fantasy steal if he’s close to 100% this season.

Varying opinions on how Bears’ wide receivers stack up on depth chart

The Bears acquired Brandon Marshall for a pair of 3rd round picks this offseason to be their #1 receiver. That much is known. However, that’s about all that’s known. There are varying opinions on how Devin Hester, Earl Bennett, and Alshon Jeffery stack up 2-4 on the depth chart. ESPN Chicago reported earlier this month that Devin Hester was penciled in at the #2 receiver spot, leaving rookie 2nd round pick Alshon Jeffery in the slot. However, they’ve since backtracked, saying that Hester will only be used in special packages.

According to the Chicago Tribune, Hester will still return kicks and punts, which doesn’t make it sound like he’ll be heavily involved at receiver. At the same time, the Chicago Tribune is reported that they’d be “stunned” if Alshon Jeffery started the season opposite Brandon Marshall. The most natural fit for the 4 receivers would be to put Alshon Jeffery opposite Brandon Marshall, line Earl Bennett up in the slot where he’s best, and use Devin Hester as a 4th receiver so he can focus more on what he does best, special teams. This is definitely a situation to monitor in Training Camp, however, because it seems like no one knows for sure what’s going on right now.

Vladimir Ducasse could compete with Wayne Hunter for Jets’ right tackle job

Depending on who you ask in the Jets’ organization, Wayne Hunter is either definitely the week 1 starter or he’ll have competition for his job in Training Camp. Hunter, one of the league’s worst statistical tackles last season, has the full support of offensive line coach Dave DeGuglielmo, who says that Hunter is the starting right tackle until they “ship him out of here” or “shoot me dead.” Meanwhile, GM Mike Tannenbaum admits that Hunter is their right tackle, but added “for now”. Offensive coordinator Tony Sparano was noncommittal on the issue, leaving the door open.

The Jets didn’t draft an offensive tackle at all, but there was some speculation that they’d try to cut or trade Hunter earlier in the offseason, which obviously didn’t happen. In my opinion, I’d say Hunter is probably going to be the week 1 starter at the position, but he’ll have competition in camp and a short leash should he continue to struggle. His main competition would be Vladimir Ducasse, a bust of a former 2nd round pick, who has spent most of his career at guard. Ducasse has worked out exclusively at right tackle in OTAs and figures to be 2nd on the depth chart, for now.

New England Patriots sign WR Jabar Gaffney

I still don’t understand why Jabar Gaffney was cut. He led the Redskins in receiving last year, catching 68 passes for 947 yards and 5 touchdowns with Rexohn Grossbeck hurling shit at him. He’s 31, so he’s no spring chicken, but at just 2.65 million, he was still reasonably priced for the Redskins. The Patriots certainly didn’t need another receiver, but Gaffney can compete with Chad Ochocinco and Deion Branch for the #3 and #4 receiving jobs in New England and at 2.3 million over 2 years, why not? Gaffney is still a solid receiver and he has experience with Tom Brady (2006-2007) and Josh McDaniels (2007, 2009-2010).

Grade: A

 

Baltimore Ravens sign Jacoby Jones

Jones is a pretty mediocre receiver. He’s been given plenty of chances to lock down a starting job with the Texans, but struggled to hold off Kevin Walter. He’s never gone over 51 catches for 562 yards in a season, which he did in 2010. Last year, even with Andre Johnson missing a lot of time, he still managed just 31 catches for 512 yards.

He’s a decent return man, but shouldn’t be anything other than a #3 or #4 receiver. There’s a reason the Texans cut him to save 3 million dollars, after they couldn’t find a suitor for his contract through a trade. The Ravens needed receiver depth behind Anquan Smith and Torrey Smith because they have no proven depth, but I don’t understand why they forked over 7 million over 2 years to get him. That’s a lot to pay for a mediocre player, especially one available this late in the offseason and one who no one would pay 3 million in a trade a week ago.

Grade: C-