Last week: 14 (+1)

Record: 3-3

I’m not saying the Packers are the 13^th best team in the league. They didn’t deserve to lose to Seattle or Indianapolis. However, they did and I’m doing this based on what record I think a given team will finish with. Every year, one team goes from a 1^st round bye to out of the playoffs and the Packers are essentially playing with a 2 game handicap in the loaded NFC (19-9 against AFC) because of those two losses. In order to make the playoffs in the NFC, you’re going to need at least 10 wins, maybe 11 to be safe and avoid any tiebreakers keeping you out. In order to go 10-6, they’ll need to finish 7-3 and in order to go 11-5, they’ll need to finish 8-2. That’s why they’re the most likely of the 4 teams who had a first round bye last year to miss the playoffs. They might not deserve to miss them, but they could anyway.

Studs

QB Aaron Rodgers: 24 of 37 for 338 yards and 6 touchdowns, 1 throw away, 2 batted passes, 4 drops, 120.7 adjusted QB rating, pressured on 9 of 40 drop backs (1 scramble, 2 sacks, 4 of 6, 2 touchdowns, 1 throw away)

C Jeff Saturday: Did not allow a pressure on 43 pass block snaps, run blocked for 13 yards on 6 attempts

RT Bryan Bulaga: Allowed 1 quarterback hurry on 43 pass block snaps, run blocked for 33 yards on 10 attempts

WR Jordy Nelson: Caught 9 passes for 121 yards and 3 touchdowns on 11 attempts on 41 pass snaps, 3.2 YAC per catch, 1 drop

CB Casey Hayward: Did not allow a catch on 4 attempts, 2 interceptions, 1 pass deflection, no tackles

ROLB Clay Matthews: 3 quarterback hits and 1 quarterback hurry on 31 pass rush snaps, 4 solo tackles, 4 stops, 1 penalty

Duds

TE Jermichael Finley: 2 catches for 12 yards on 4 attempts on 21 pass snaps, 1.5 YAC per catch, 1 drop

LOLB Erik Walden: Did not record a pressure on 27 pass rush snaps, 2 assists

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