Last week: 29 (+5)
Record: 2-3
I had the Buccaneers as a preseason underrated team for reasons I’ll repeat in a minute, but I had them overrated and picked against them last week because they ranked dead last in the league in yards per play differential. Now, after just one week, they rank 22nd because of their blowout victory over the Chiefs and they also rank 26th in rate of sustaining drives differential. I hate to put too much stock into one game, but I did think the Buccaneers were underrated to begin with.
This doesn’t really matter in the long run because I don’t think they’ll make the playoffs either way, but it matters by my picks purposes. Last year, they had a poor turnover differential. Teams tend to bounce back after that type of season. They won 6 games fewer than the year before, also is often a precursor to a bounce back season. They also fired their Head Coach, who the team quit on in the middle of a 10 game losing streak that took them from 4-2 and in 1st in the division to last place. Finally, they added several talented players through free agency and the draft and got several key players back from injury. We’ll see how they do going forward.
Studs
QB Josh Freeman: 15 of 26 for 328 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception, 3 drops, 1 thrown away, 1 batted pass, 100.1 adjusted QB rating, pressured on 5 of 28 drop backs, (1 scramble, 1 sack, 3 of 3)
LT Donald Penn: Did not allow a pressure on 29 pass block snaps, run blocked for 4 yards on 1 attempt
LG Carl Nicks: Did not allow a pressure on 29 pass block snaps, run blocked for 51 yards on 6 attempt
WR Mike Williams: Caught 4 passes for 66 yards and 2 touchdowns on 8 attempts on 28 pass snaps, 4.3 YAC per catch
WR Vincent Jackson: Caught 4 passes for 113 yards and a touchdown on 5 attempts on 28 pass snaps, 13.0 YAC per catch, 1 drop
CB Eric Wright: Allowed 3 catches for 21 yards on 6 attempts, 2 pass deflections
FS Ronde Barber: Allowed 2 catches for 13 yards on 3 attempts, 1 interception, 1 pass deflection
SS Mark Barron: Allowed 1 catch for 19 yards on 1 attempt, 1 interception, 3 solo tackles, 1 assist, 3 stops
Duds
RG Jamon Meredith: Allowed 2 quarterback hurries on 29 pass block snaps, run blocked for 13 yards on 5 attempts
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