1st round
#1 LA Clippers- PF/C Blake Griffin (Oklahoma)
I don’t know exactly where the Clippers will put Griffin, maybe they trade Chris Kaman, or agree to a buyout with Zach Randolph, but Griffin is the best player in the draft and as the Clippers are a team that desperately needs a savior, they need to take him. It’s much a better decision than taking Ricky Rubio, who may never develop, especially since the Clippers already have Baron Davis at point guard.
NBA Comparison: Amar’e Stoudemire
#2 Memphis- PG Ricky Rubio (Spain)
There is too much value in Rubio for the Grizzles not to try and draft and trade him. The Kings at #4 really need a point guard and a face of the franchise and Rubio would be both. The Grizzles, however, have no real need for Rubio as they already have a point guard in Mike Conley and need interior help. They could move down to #4 and pick up a player in the process. The Kings would likely have to give up either 2007 1st round pick Spencer Hawes or 2008 1st round pick Jason Thompson. At #4, they could take a player like Jordan Hill, who would help them inside, along with either Thompson or Hawes. It is in the Grizzles’ best interest to try and make a trade with Sacramento and I think one will get worked out. If one, for whatever reason, does not get worked out, the Grizzles should not take Rubio. He will not play for them. He has said, through his agent, that he wants a big market and Memphis is not one. The risk of him staying in Europe and the Grizzles wasting a #2 pick is too big, especially when point guard is not a need. If they can’t work out a trade, they should just reach for Jordan Hill.
NBA Comparison: Steve Nash
#3 Oklahoma City- C Hasheem Thabeet (Connecticut)
Unless Rubio falls here, its obvious what the Thunder will do here. Their biggest need as a shot blocking center, which is interesting because they have already spent 3 first rounders in centers since 2004, Robert Swift in 2004, Johan Petro in 2005, and Saer Sene in 2006. Maybe the 4th time is the charm. Thabeet is more talented than all of those busts. The Dikembe Mutombo comparisons are dead on with him.
NBA Comparison: Dikembe Mutombo
#4 Sacramento- PF Jordan Hill (Arizona)
Again, the Kings will be making this pick on behalf of the Grizzles, then trading the player to Memphis along with either Jason Thompson or Spencer Hawes for Ricky Rubio. Memphis would likely want Jordan Hill. Darrell Arthur is not the longterm solution at power forward and Hakim Warrick is a free agent. Hill is too good of an all around player for the Grizzles to pass up here.
NBA Comparison: Chris Bosh
#5 Washington- SG/SF James Harden (Arizona State)
If the first 4 picks play out like they do in this mock, the Wizards will definitely take James Harden. What they do with him after taking him is less definite. The Wizards are in an interesting position. They have a lot of talent on their roster, but had a bad year last year because of injuries. They could keep James Harden and put him at shooting guard. He’s a very NBA ready player and could help them win right away. The other option is to trade him for some immediate help. I like option B. My favorite trade rumor is the one where Washington send James Harden, Antawn Jamison, and Mike James to Phoenix for Amar’e Stoudemire. With Stoudemire, Caron Butler, and Gilbert Arenas, the Wizards would have an amazing big 3, assuming all stay healthy. The Wizards could turn draft picks into legitimate NBA talent, as the Celtics did in 2007. 12 months later, the Celtics hoisted the trophy. I’m not saying that this move would win the Wizards the NBA Championship, but it should make them a 50 win team right away. As for Phoenix, Amar’e could leave after 2011 for nothing. The Suns get Jamison, who, while he is older than Stoudemire, is under contract for longer and cheaper per year. Jamison is an athletic big who can run the floor and would fit perfectly in Phoenix’s system. Mike James would give the Suns about 6 million of cap space for the summer of 2010. James Harden, while he would not be a perfect fit for the Suns system, is versatile enough to play the Suns’ run and gun offense and would give the Suns what they do not have right now, a young, talented wing player.
NBA Comparison: Brandon Roy
#6 Minnesota- G Tyreke Evans (Memphis)
The Timberwolves need that step up scorer and they shouldn’t pass up on Evans as he would fit that role perfectly. He can play both point and shooting guard for them, as can Randy Foye, which will allow them to mix things up to compensate for the fact that they don’t have a true 1 guard.
NBA Comparison: Jamal Crawford
#7 Golden State- G Stephen Curry (Davidson)
Is this too high for Curry? Yes, but Nellie is picking. The man wants a roster of 12 scorers and is very close to having one. Curry could be that missing ingredient in Nellie’s recipe for disaster. Have fun stopping anyone.
NBA Comparison: Jason Terry
#8 New York- SG Demar DeRozan (USC)
Right now the Knicks just have Quentin Richardson and Larry Hughes at shooting guard. Let me rephrase that, right now the Knicks just have Quentin Richardson’s expiring contract and Larry Hughes’ expiring contract. Both will be gone in 2010 as the Knicks go after LeBron. DeRozan is the perfect athletic player to play in D’Antoni’s system and would fill what is soon to be a need at shooting guard.
NBA Comparison: Vince Carter
#9 Toronto- SG/SF Gerald Henderson (Duke)
The Raptors traded Jason Kapono away so the Raptors are definitely going after a shooting guard here, even if it means they have to reach for a guy like Henderson.
NBA Comparison: JR Smith
#10 Milwaukee- PG Ty Lawson (North Carolina)
Milwaukee needs a point guard. Lawson moves into this spot because of his great NCAA Tournament. He’s the fastest player in this draft class period, but he also is tough, plays good D, and has a nice outside shot. His toughness is what will attract Scott Skiles to him the most, over guys like Jrue Holliday, Brandon Jennings, Jeff Teague, and Jonny Flynn.
NBA Comparison: Jameer Nelson
#11 New Jersey- F Earl Clark (Louisville)
New Jersey hopefully has realized that Bobby Simmons is not a longterm answer at small forward. Clark is NBA ready now and can play small forward as that do everything kind of guy. He also can move to power forward if needed.
NBA Comparison: Boris Diaw
#12 Charlotte- SG Wayne Ellington (North Carolina)
The Bobcats need a set up scorer and a shooting guard as they have lacked both of those since Jason Richardson was traded. Raja Bell only has one more year on his contract and is better suitor as a stopped and a shooter. The Bobcats will have their choice between Gerald Henderson and Wayne Ellington. I have Henderson higher rated, but I don’t think that UNC alum Michael Jordan over a Dukie. Now you might be thinking that Jordan wouldn’t just pick someone over a better player just because of college allegiances, but this is also the guy who drafted Kwame Brown #1, Adam Morrison #3, and took DJ Augustin last year when he already had Raymond Felton. Look at Jordan’s drafting record in Charlotte and you’ll see that he has already taken 2 former Tarheels, Sean May and Raymond Felton in his short time.
NBA Comparison: Richard Hamilton
#13 Indiana- F James Johnson (Wake Forest)
The Pacers will take Johnson here because he’s the best available player, but because he’s too similar to Danny Granger, they’ll trade him to the Timberwolves for the Wolves’ 18th and 28th selections, also sending a future 2nd rounder to Minnesota. The Timberwolves have 3 first rounders so they’ll be happy to trade up. With Johnson and Evans, they can get two guys who can help them right away next year.
NBA Comparison: Ron Artest
#14 Phoenix- G Jrue Holiday (UCLA)
Steve Nash might not be around too much longer. The team seems to be falling apart around him and he’s a free agent in 2010. He may follow his old coach Mike D’Antoni to New York. The Suns need a point guard of the future. The Suns look like they are going to be running and gunning for a while in the future with Alvin Gentry as coach so Holiday’s speed and quickness are huge assets. He’s not NBA ready, but he won’t have to do much in his first year and can learn for Nash. He has more upside than anyone left on the board.
NBA Comparison: Rajon Rondo
#15 Detroit- PG Brandon Jennings (Italy)
Allen Iverson didn’t work out too well. The team was better when he didn’t play. He won’t be back as he’s a free agent this offseason. Rodney Stuckey played well last season and he’s a great player, but he’s more of a nice tweener guy off the bench. They need a true distributing point guard. Brandon Jennings is best known as the guy who didn’t want to play college ball and went to Europe to play professionally instead. He struggled in Europe and his stock fell, but he still has great upside and may be considered a steal at this point when its all said and done. He can push the ball, distribute, and score it from time to time, both by hitting jumpers and creating his own shot. That’s all they really need.
NBA Comparison: Jason Williams
#16 Chicago- C BJ Mullens (Ohio State)
This is as close to a lock as any pick in the draft, with the exception of Blake Griffin going #1. Mullens canceled a workout last week and his agent said it was because Mullens had already gotten a guarantee from a top 16 pick. He could have said top 15, or a lottery team (top 14), to make it easier if it were the Pistons or the Suns, but he said top 16, meaning that team is likely the Bulls at 16. Also, a twitter page that is believed to belong to Mullens posted a tweet saying he got a guarantee from “MJ City,” referring to Michael Jordan, long time Chicago star. The Bulls need a true center, so they’ll take the high upside Mullens here at #16.
NBA Comparison: Spencer Hawes
#17 Philadelphia- PG Jonny Flynn (Syracuse)
Andre Miller is a free agent and considering there is a good chance he is gone and the team has very little behind him, they may want to replace him. Flynn is also one of the best available players and would fit into this young offense very nicely.
NBA Comparison: Raymond Felton
#18 Minnesota- SG/SF Chase Budinger (Arizona)
This pick will go to Indiana in the James Johnson deal. The Pacers need a true shooting guard. They needed one last year so much that they used TJ Ford at shooting guard and Jarrett Jack at point. Jack is likely gone as a free agent, as so is Marquis Daniels, the Pacers only true shooting guard. It would be smart of them to take a shooting guard and pair him with Ford. Budinger is the best available and fits the Pacers’ up tempo style.
NBA Comparison: Brent Barry
#19 Atlanta- SF/SG Terrence Williams (Louisville)
The Hawks have 7 players signed to contracts for next year, so they take best available. Williams is extremely versatile which will help the Hawks as they go into a critical offseason which will determine if they stay contenders or fall back to obscurity.
NBA Comparison: Gerald Wallace
#20 Utah- PF Tyler Hansbourgh (North Carolina)
Both Carlos Boozer and Paul Millsap are free agents. Hansbourgh is the type of fundamental and tough player that Jerry Sloan likes.
NBA Comparison: Drew Gooden
#21 New Orleans- F Austin Daye (Gonzaga)
The Hornets can just take best available here. Daye has great upside, possibly more than any other small forward in the draft class and small forward is a position of need for the Hornets
NBA Comparison: Corey Brewer
#22 Dallas- PG Jeff Teague (Wake Forest)
Jason Kidd is a free agent so the Mavs should pick up a point guard in this point guard rich draft class. Teague would be a lottery pick most years.
NBA Comparison: Keyon Dooling
#23 Sacramento- F DeJuan Blair (Pittsburgh)
Jason Thompson is going to Memphis in the Ricky Rubio deal, so the Kings need another rotational big man. Blair is not going to be anything more than a role player in the NBA, but he brings the toughness to the frontcourt that this team needs.
NBA Comparison: Craig Smith
#24 Portland- PG Eric Maynor (VCU)
Portland has a lot of depth, but needs a legitimate starting point guard. Steve Blake was alright last year, but he could be upgraded. Maynor is the best player available in a very strong point guard class.
NBA Comparison: Antonio Daniels
#25 Oklahoma City- SG Marcus Thornton (LSU)
The Thunder are keeping Durant at small forward for now, which is good because that’s where he belongs. However, they need a starting shooting guard. Thornton can play shooting guard and gives them that all important 3 point shooter to stretch the defense. They did not really have that last year.
NBA Comparison: Rashad McCants
#26 Chicago- G Jermaine Taylor (Central Florida)
Ben Gordon could be gone, which would be a huge blow for this team. Hopefully replacing him with the NCAA’s 3rdleading scorer will be enough to replace him. I don’t care if he didn’t play at a big time school, 26.2 ppg is 26.2 ppg. This guy is a legitimate NBA scorer from everywhere on the court.
NBA Comparison: Leandro Barbosa
#27 Memphis- SG/SF Sam Young (Pittsburgh)
Memphis has a thin bench, so they add swingman Sam Young who can add young leadership, physicality, and toughness to this team.
NBA Comparison: James Posey
#28 Minnesota- PF/C Jeff Pendergraph (Arizona State)
This pick will also go to Indiana as part of the James Johnson deal. Indy needs an athletic big man to add to the rotation with Troy Murphy. Roy Hibbert proved that he’s not capable of being more than a 15-20 minute guy so Pendergraph will sneak into the first round and add depth to the Pacers’ frontcourt.
NBA Comparison: Mikki Moore
#29 LA Lakers- SF DaJuan Summers (Georgetown)
Lamar Odom and Trevor Ariza are both free agents and if both were to leave, they would be left with Luke Walton and Adam Morrison at small forward, which is not a good thing. With very few other needs, they take the best small forward available just in case.
NBA Comparison: Tim Thomas
#30 Cleveland- PF/C Taj Gibson (USC)
Ben Wallace could retire, Joe Smith is likely gone as a free agent, and Anderson Varejao could ask for 10 million a year, which means he might not be back. The Cavs need a power forward who can help with shot blocking and rebounding, even if the team trades for Shaq. Gibson is a nice depth guy who can also run the floor.
NBA Comparison: Brandon Bass
2nd round
#31 Sacramento Kings- F Derrick Brown (Xavier)
In case Donte Greene doesn’t pan out at small forward, the Kings need a backup plan and some depth. Francisco Garcia shouldn’t have a major role in your team if you want to be a good team. Brown has good upside, but also valuable versatility as he can move over to power forward as well, which is good because, with Thompson gone, the Kings don’t have a true power forward other than veteran Kenny Thomas.
NBA Comparison: Robert Horry
#32 Washington- SG Jodie Meeks (Kentucky)
The Wizards expect Nick Young to grow into the main guy at the shooting guard position, to go with Arenas, Butler, Stoudemire (via trade), and Brendan Haywood. However, the Wizards still could use some depth at that position and most of all they need a shooter to extend the floor. Meeks is a bit of a reach here as he’s a one trick horse, but he fills the Wizards’ two biggest needs, shooting guard and a 3 point shooter.
NBA Comparison: Eddie House
#33 Portland- SF Omri Casspi (Israel)
Portland has enough players in the states, so they’ll go foreign here and get a guy who has first round potential.
NBA Comparison: Hedo Turkoglu
#34 Denver- PG Patrick Mills (St. Mary’s)
With very few needs, the Nuggets take a backup point guard, in a very strong point guard class, and get a guy who has first round talent. Mills can lead the offense when Billups needs a breather.
NBA Comparison: Dee Brown
#35 Detroit- F DeMarre Carroll (Missouri)
The Pistons take a tough combo forward to give them depth. They only have one small forward signed going into next season.
NBA Comparison: Renaldo Balkman
#36 Memphis- PG Darren Collison (UCLA)
The Grizzles need a backup plan in case Mike Conley doesn’t pan out so they take advantage of a deep point guard class. Collison is very underrated, in my mind, at this point.
NBA Comparison: Darrell Armstrong
#37 San Antonio- SG/SF Danny Green (North Carolina)
The Spurs shouldn’t go foreign here because they need talented players to him them win now. They’re window of opportunity is closing. They need some youth on the wings and Green, when hot, can score with the best of them.
NBA Comparison: Francisco Garcia
#38 Portland- PF/C Josh Heytvelt (Gonzaga)
The Trailblazers need a replacement up front for Channing Frye, who is a free agent and who has been very disappointing thus far in Portland.
NBA Comparison: Matt Bonner
#39 Detroit- PF/C Jon Brockman (Washington)
The Pistons have been lacking that energy inside defender since Ben Wallace left. Brockman is a poor man’s Ben Wallace, but the Pistons will still take that here in the 2nd round. The Pistons don’t have a lot of big men signed to contracts for next season so Brockman would fit in right away. He’s a little undersized, but makes up for it with his hustle which the Pistons like.
NBA Comparison: Reggie Evans
#40 Charlotte- G Jack McClinton (Miami)
Raymond Felton might not be back next season, and the Bobcats could use a nice streaky microwave type shooter off the bench even if he is back. Michael Jordan likes proven college kids so McClinton has to be very high on his 2nd round list. McClinton gives them young leadership and a nice role player off the bench.
NBA Comparison: Tony Delk
#41 Milwaukee- F Jeff Adrien (Connecticut)
Adrien is undersized at 6-7, but makes up for it with hustle. The Bucks lack one of those inside hustle guys. Coach Scott Skiles will love Adrien’s hustle and intensity. Many see him as the next Chuck Hayes, an undersized energy guy who can help a team out off of the bench or as a supporting starter.
NBA Comparison: Chuck Hayes
#42 LA Lakers- G Nick Calathes (Florida)
Derek Fisher won’t be around forever and Jordan Farmar hasn’t exactly grown until the starting point guard role as they would have hoped. Calathes would be a huge steal here. Even if Farmar pans out long term as the point guard, Calathes has the size to play both the 2 and the 3. Because he’s drafted in the 2nd round, the Lakers can buy Calathes out of his contract his Greece, which he is reportedly regretting signing, and bring him over to play next year.
NBA Comparison: Jose Calderon
#43 Miami- F Chris Johnson (LSU)
Miami lacked tough shot blockers on the interior last season so much that they signed Jamaal Magloire. Johnson could fill that role this season.
NBA Comparison: JaVale McGee
#44 Detroit- G Jerel McNeal (Marquette)
McNeal is a tenacious defender and could serve in that role off the bench next season as either a point guard or a shooting guard. The Pistons need to get back to playing DEEEETROIT BASKETBALL and that would require a tenacious defender like McNeal.
NBA Comparison: Shannon Brown
#45 Minnesota- F Victor Claver (Spain)
Minnesota already got two players who can help next year, and who are safe bets to help a lot in the future, so the T-Wolves, with 2 2nd rounders can take a foreign project here. Claver has huge upside and has the talent of a late 1st rounder.
NBA Comparison: Jorge Garbajosa
#46 Cleveland- SG/SF Lee Cummard (BYU)
Wally Sczerbiak and his giant expiring contract are likely gone as he is a free agent. The Cavs need a shooter to replace him on their bench. Cummard doesn’t do much well other than shoot, but that’s all they need to do and he’s very good at it.
NBA Comparison: Jason Kapono
#47 Minnesota- PF Alade Aminu (Georgia Tech)
The Wolves get a garbage guy inside to put in the rotation with Kevin Love and Al Jefferson with their final pick in what has been a good draft for them.
NBA Comparison: Carl Landry
#48 Phoenix- F Dante Cunningham (Villanova)
The Suns need depth at small forward with Matt Barnes a free agent and Grant Hill getting up there in age. Cunningham can play some power forward in the Suns’ run and gun system as well. He’s the best player available here.
NBA Comparison: Malik Allen
#49 Atlanta- PG Curtis Jerrells (Baylor)
The Hawks need a point guard in case Mike Bibby leaves as a free agent and Acie Law can’t handle it by himself.
NBA Comparison: Marcus Banks
#50 Utah- G Toney Douglas (Florida State)
The Jazz take advantage of a deep point guard class to get a backup for Deron Williams, who missed significant time with injury last year.
NBA Comparison: Charlie Bell
#51 San Antonio- F Milan Macvan (Serbia)
The Spurs always seem to take at least one foreign player every draft so they take Macvan, who should be a nice role player in the NBA very soon.
NBA Comparison: Linas Kleiza
#52 Indiana- F Robert Dozier (Memphis)
The Pacers take an athletic big man who can run the floor in the Pacers’ run and gun style offense.
NBA Comparison: Hakim Warrick
#53 San Antonio- SG/SF Dionte Christmas (Temple)
The Spurs take a great shooter who can help the team off the bench right away as they go for a championship in what might be their final try in the Tim Duncan era.
NBA Comparison: Courtney Lee
#54 Charlotte- PF Leo Lyons (Missouri)
Sean May is likely done as a Bobcat, maybe as an NBA player completely, so Jordan and the Bobcats need a replacement in the rotation for the former 2005 1st round pick. Lyons is an accomplished college player so he’s high on Jordan’s list.
NBA Comparison: Leon Powe
#55 Portland- F Paul Harris (Syracuse)
I love Paul Harris as a sleeper. I think he’s a poor man’s Charles Barkley and with the power forward position changing from a big basher 2nd center type of guy to an energy hustle rebounds guy where height doesn’t matter, only strength, it’s a perfect time for a 6-4 guy like Harris to play power forward in the NBA. He’s a project and a risk, but the Trailblazers can afford to do that and this is only a 2nd round pick. The upside on him is huge.
NBA Comparison: Poor man’s Charles Barkley
#56 Portland- C Paulao Prestes (Brazil)
The Blazers could use another center. Prestes has good upside, but he’s a project. The Trailblazers can afford to wait. He can be a replacement for Joel Pryzbilla in a few years.
NBA Comparison: Kendrick Perkins
#57 Phoenix- F Jonas Jerebko (Sweden)
The Suns cut costs and take a foreign player that they can bring over in a few years when they start rebuilding.
NBA Comparison: Matt Harpring
#58 Boston- G AJ Price (Connecticut)
No bigs with a high chance of sticking on a team are available here, which is unfortunate because the Celtics could lose both Glen Davis and Leon Powe. Instead the Celtics take a high character winner who can shoot the three and replace Eddie House in the role of guy who camps at the three point line but still helps a team in a huge way in case House leaves as a free agent.
NBA Comparison: Jamaal Tinsley
#59 LA Lakers- C Garret Siler (Augusta State)
The Lakers need to get tougher inside, even if Bynum can stay healthy for a whole season. Siler is 7-0 290. He may be too big to play longterm in the NBA, but if they can get him in shape they could have a real steal.
NBA Comparison: Dan Gadzuric
#60 Miami- PG Tyrese Rice (Boston College)
The Heat could use a backup point guard to take the pressure off of young Mario Chalmers.
NBA Comparison: Bobby Jackson