2013 NFL Mock Draft 4th Round

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98. Jacksonville Jaguars- OT Vinston Painter (Virginia Tech)

Cameron Bradfield is a pretty mediocre right tackle and the Jaguars new regime has mentioned on several occasions that they’d like to add someone else to the mix there. They’ve worked Painter out privately.

99. Kansas City Chiefs- OT Reid Fragel (Ohio State)

If the Chiefs trade Branden Albert, they could double up on offensive tackles. Donald Stephenson would be the right tackle in that scenario and he was awful in a few spot starts at left tackle last season. The 2012 3rd round pick could be better in 2013, especially on the right side, but they need competition for him.

100. Oakland Raiders- QB Tyler Wilson (Arkansas)

Trading for Matt Flynn won’t preclude the Raiders from taking a quarterback, especially if they accumulate more picks. Flynn’s salary is non-guaranteed in 2014 and he’s unproven. Meanwhile, the only other quarterback they have on their roster is Terrelle Pryor. Pryor was drafted about 3 rounds earlier than anyone else would have drafted him by Al Davis and the new regime doesn’t seem to be a fan of his. He was 3rd string behind Matt Leinart all last year until week 17 and when he did get to play, he was very inconsistent.

101. Philadelphia Eagles- G David Bakhtiari (Colorado)

The Eagles could need to take an offensive lineman at some point. There are a lot of uncertainties with guys coming off of injuries. From their expected 2012 offensive line, three suffered major injuries, while right guard Danny Watkins got benched. Bakhtiari can play tackle and guard and maybe even some center.

Side note: If I were drafting players based solely off of their name, David Bakhtiari would be the first pick. He sounds like a Dothraki. Dothraki never bust. Bleedy Ray Wilson would be a close 2nd. Syracuse’s Shamarko Thomas is 3rd because, I mean, of course he is. Christine Michael is last.

102. Minnesota Vikings- CB Will Davis (Utah State)

The Vikings could use some cornerback depth after cutting Antoine Winfield. 2012 3rd round pick Josh Robinson struggled as a rookie, while AJ Jefferson and Chris Cook are both heading into the final year of their respective deals. Davis probably wouldn’t do much other than special teams as a rookie, but he could have a role in 2014 and beyond. They’ve worked him out privately.

103. Arizona Cardinals- S JJ Wilcox (Georgia Southern)

After cutting both of their starting safeties this off-season, I expect the Cardinals to add a safety through the draft at some point. Rashad Johnson is not a proven starter, while Yeremiah Bell is a 35-year-old who was signed on just a one year deal. With only 3 safeties currently on the roster, it’s likely they are saving a spot for someone they draft. They’re known to be interested in Wilcox.

104. Cleveland Browns- S Don Jones (Arkansas State)

I don’t know why the Browns cut Usama Young, a cheap, young functional starter, but they’ll need to replace him. Eric Hagg is behind him on the depth chart, but they reportedly want him to focus more on special teams next season. They’ll probably add a veteran after the draft, but that won’t stop them from drafting one in the mid rounds. They’ve worked Jones out privately.

105. Buffalo Bills- CB Logan Ryan (Rutgers)

The Bills are expected to move Aaron Williams from cornerback to safety in his 3rd year in the league. This makes a lot of sense. Williams, a 2011 2nd round pick, struggled mightily in coverage at cornerback in his first two years in the league and his lack of coverage ability won’t be as exposed at safety, a position many projected him to before the draft. However, they really need cornerback depth now as Leodis McKelvin is unreliable.

106. New York Jets- WR Stedman Bailey (West Virginia)

The Jets are stuck with Santonio Holmes for another year and Jeremy Kerley and Stephen Hill have some upside, so they probably won’t spend a premium pick on a receiver this year, but they’ll probably add one in the mid rounds of a deep receiver class, especially if they accumulate this many picks.

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107. Tennessee Titans- S Sanders Commings (Georgia)

Michael Griffin, Bernard Pollard, and George Wilson are their top-3 safeties for 2013, but none are locks to be back in 2014. Pollard and Wilson are veterans signed to just one year deals, while Michael Griffin was awful in 2012. Owed 6.2 million in 2014, he won’t be given another chance to bounce back if he plays in 2013 anything like he did in 2012. The Titans will probably add a safety at some point through the draft. Commings is a hot prospect right now. He’s taken 5 private visits, one of which was to Tennessee. He can play cornerback and safety and could be this year’s Tavon Wilson.

108. Carolina Panthers- CB BW Webb (William & Mary)

After cutting Chris Gamble, the Panthers’ need for a cornerback became even more desperate. Captain Munnerlyn, Josh Thomas, and Josh Norman are currently their top-3 cornerbacks and none of those guys are proven starters, let alone #1 cornerbacks. They don’t have a 3rd round pick and they have other needs, but this is a deep cornerback class so they’ll take one at some point.

109. New Orleans Saints- CB Leon McFadden (San Diego State)

Even after signing Keenan Lewis, they could add another cornerback. That’s how bad their secondary is. Patrick Robinson was benched and Jabari Greer could eventually be a cap casualty. They’re known to be targeting cornerbacks early and this is a deep cornerback class.

110. San Diego Chargers- QB Tyler Bray (Tennessee)

I believe that Philip Rivers’ recent struggles have more to do with his horrific supporting cast than anything, which is why I think they need to build around him early in the draft. However, I don’t know that for a fact and he’s owed 15.75 million in an age 34 contract year in 2015 so they’ll have a big decision to make on him coming up soon. They should add a developmental backup behind him at some point. Bray has a lot of upside and is worth a shot here in the 4th round for a team like San Diego.

111. Miami Dolphins- RB Andre Ellington (Clemson)

Reggie Bush is gone and Andre Ellington can do some of the same sort of things, namely play 3rd downs behind Lamar Miller. The Dolphins’ coaching staff is reportedly not thrilled with Daniel Thomas, a product of the old regime and Ellington would be a better fit for their scheme as a backup than him.

112. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- CB Tyrann Mathieu (LSU)

Even after trading for Darrelle Revis, the Buccaneers could still use cornerback help. Eric Wright is the only other proven cornerback on their roster and he struggled mightily last year. He had his salary slashed down to 1.5 million this season, which isn’t even guaranteed, and he’ll be a free agent next off-season. Mathieu will probably never replace him on the outside, but he can be a good nickel back and special teamer for them. They’ve worked him out privately.

113. St. Louis Rams- DT Jordan Hill (Penn State)

The Rams don’t have a lot of depth at defensive tackle. They could use someone to push Kendall Langford next to Michael Brockers. Langford struggled in his first year of a 4-year deal in 2012 and might not be back in 2014, owed 5 million, unless he can get his act back together.

114. Dallas Cowboys- RB Stepfan Taylor (Stanford)

Felix Jones is a free agent and the Cowboys reportedly don’t trust either Phillip Tanner or Lance Dunbar as primary backups behind the injury prone DeMarco Murray. They’re known to be interested in Taylor and will reportedly target him in the 3rd or 4th round range.

115. Pittsburgh Steelers- S Duke Williams (Nevada)

Dick LeBeau mentioned that he’d like to see the Steelers add a young safety to the mix. That makes sense. Ryan Clark is heading into his age 34 season and Troy Polamalu, though younger heading into his age 32 season, just doesn’t seem to be able to stay healthy anymore. Look for them to address this in the first few rounds of the draft. Williams is a nice developmental safety for LeBeau to work with. They’ve worked him out privately.

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116. New York Giants- CB Marc Anthony (California)

The Giants struggled mightily against the pass last year, ranking 31st in the NFL. Jayron Hosley and Corey Webster were the worst offenders. Webster took a massive pay cut and will be back, but he’s now 31 and he’s not getting any better any time soon. He’ll be a 32-year-old free agent next off-season. Hosley, meanwhile, could bounce back as he was just a rookie, but he was also just a 3rd round pick and 3rd round picks only become starters around 30% of the time.

117. Chicago Bears- WR Marquise Goodwin (Texas)

The Bears are going to let Devin Hester focus on returns next year, rather than trying to turn him into a receiver, which is what they should have done 4 years ago. Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery are a great possession receiving duo, but they’ve expressed an interest in adding more of a speed element to their offense so they take Marquise Goodwin here.

118. Cincinnati Bengals- QB Landry Jones (Oklahoma)

Bruce Gradkowski left as a free agent and the Bengals have expressed interest in adding a developmental quarterback to be Andy Dalton’s backup. Landry Jones fits the range.

119. Washington Redskins- S Bacarri Rambo (Georgia)

The Redskins could definitely double up on safeties and they’re known to be interested in Rambo. Brandon Meriweather is their top safety, but he tore his ACL in November and was having trouble staying healthy even before that. He can’t be counted on. Neither can any of their other safeties. Madieu Williams, Reed Doughty, and DeJon Gomes aren’t very good and Williams is also a free agent.

120. Minnesota Vikings- G Oday Aboushi (Virginia)

The Vikings could use competition for both Charlie Johnson and Brandon Fusco, who were the weak points on an otherwise very strong offensive line. Imagine how good Adrian Peterson would be with better guard play in front of him. They’ve worked Aboushi, a collegiate tackle and conversion candidate, out privately.

121. Indianapolis Colts- RLB Ty Powell (Harding)

The Colts signed Erik Walden in free agency and they also have former 1st round pick Jerry Hughes in the mix, but that shouldn’t preclude them from taking a rush linebacker through the draft. Hughes has been very underwhelming in his first 3 years in the league, while Walden has been awful as a spot starter for the Packers over the last 2 years, grading out as ProFootballFocus’ worst rated 3-4 outside linebacker two years running. Besides, Robert Mathis is also getting up there in years. He might not be around in 2014, owed 5 million heading into his age 35 season.

122. Green Bay Packers- RLB Trevardo Williams (Connecticut)

The Packers love drafting best available and this pick makes a lot of sense. Clay Matthews is obviously the real deal and they obviously still believe in 2012 1st round pick Nick Perry opposite him. However, when those two missed time with injury this year, Erik Walden and Dezman Moses were atrocious in their absence. Packers’ fans must be thrilled that the Colts signed Walden this off-season. They need better depth.

123. Seattle Seahawks- TE Ryan Otten (San Jose State)

The Seahawks don’t have a ton of needs, but Zach Miller hasn’t really contributed as a pass catcher like they had expected, catching 63 passes in the two last seasons combined. His blocking is good, but owed 5.8 million in 2014, that might not be enough for him to stick on the roster. Otten has the kind of speed Pete Carroll desires from the tight end spot anyway, something no one on their roster currently really has. It’s no surprise they’re known to be interested in him.

124. Houston Texans- S Josh Evans (Florida)

The Texans replaced Glover Quin with Ed Reed, but Reed turns 35 in September so they have to start thinking about the future at safety. They’ll spend a pick on a developmental safety at some point.

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125. Denver Broncos- DE Sam Montgomery (LSU)

Whoever the Broncos sign to replace Elvis Dumervil is probably going to be on the wrong side of 30 because all of their remaining options are over 30 (it’ll probably be Dwight Freeney). Given that, they could use a pick on a developmental pass rusher behind him to go with Freeney and Robert Ayers.

126. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- TE Nick Kasa (Colorado)

The Buccaneers have two great outside receivers in Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams, but they don’t have much to work with in the intermediate part of the field. Jackson and Williams combined for 2380 receiving yards, but after those two, no one else had more than 472 receiving yards and that was running back Doug Martin. They added Kevin Ogletree at wide receiver, but they still need a tight end.

127. Atlanta Falcons- RB Mike Gillislee (Florida)

Steven Jackson is an upgrade over Michael Turner, but he turns 30 in July and has 2395 career carries. He’s 26th all-time in rushing yards at 10135, but the average top-25 all-time running back has his last 1000 yard season in his age 30 season at 2602 carrier carries. And after players have their drop off, they average just 169 carries per season at 3.5 yards per carry and just 5 touchdowns, so they’re really a non-factor as a back. I don’t think they’ll be able to count on him in 2014 and beyond and they clearly don’t view Jacquizz Rodgers as anything more than a complementary back. Here’s a back he can complement long term.

128. San Francisco 49ers- RB Marcus Lattimore (South Carolina)

I really like this fit. Frank Gore is probably heading into his last year with the team. They have Kendall Hunter and LaMichael James for the future, but neither of those two is the type of power, interior runner that Lattimore can be when healthy. The 49ers have plenty of picks and can afford to take a flier on Lattimore. He wouldn’t have to play a single snap as a rookie if he’s not ready, but he could be another very good and very cheap asset for their future in 2014 and beyond.

129. Baltimore Ravens- WR Chris Harper (Kansas State)

Anquan Boldin is gone and the Ravens need a starting receiver opposite Torrey Smith. They have some intriguing young internal replacements like Tandon Doss, Tommy Streeter, and Deonte Thompson and also veteran Jacoby Jones, but they could still take a receiver in the early to mid-rounds. It’s a deep receiver class. Harper would complement Smith well. He’s been compared to Anquan Boldin and the Ravens are known to be interested in him.

130. Baltimore Ravens- C Barrett Jones (Alabama)

Gino Gradkowski is a 2012 4th round pick penciled in at center following Matt Birk’s retirement, but they could use some competition for him. Jones is versatile enough to play all 5 spots on the line even if he can’t beat out Gradkowski so that will appeal to the Ravens.

131. San Francisco 49ers- 3-4 DE Lavar Edwards (LSU)

Five-technique defensive end Justin Smith will be a free agent heading into his age 35 season next off-season. Expect the 49ers to prioritize extensions for Aldon Smith and Colin Kaepernick next off-season before re-signing him, so 2013 might be his last year with the 49ers, if not his last year in the NFL. The 49ers need to find a long term successor.

132. Detroit Lions- CB Brandon McGee (Miami)

The Lions retained Chris Houston, who played well last season, and have three cornerbacks going into their 2nd year in the league that they like, but the Lions could still add another cornerback at some point in the draft.

133. Atlanta Falcons- C Brian Schwenke (California)

They have more pressing needs, but the Falcons lost two starters on the offensive line from last season, one at center and one at right tackle. They will probably add an interior offensive lineman and an offensive tackle through the draft. Schwenke is the former. They’ve worked him out privately.

 

Go on to 5th round

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