Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-7) at Seattle Seahawks (7-1)

The Seahawks came up kind of flat in St. Louis last week as a huge favorites against an inferior opponent, winning only by the score of 14-9. However, they get another opportunity to blow out an inferior opponent and cover a huge spread here this week and the difference is they are at home. They’ve been incredible at home since 2007, to the point where you can almost just blindly bet them at home. They are 36-16 ATS at home over that time frame, including 20-8 ATS as home favorites, and 10-2 ATS as home favorites of 7 or more. They have been especially good over the past two years, as they’ve broken out as an elite team, going 8-3 ATS since the start of the 2012 season.

They’re in another good spot as non-divisional home favorites are 68-46 ATS since 2008 before being road favorites. They are in Atlanta next week, as they have no serious distraction keeping them from blowing out the Buccaneers here. The Buccaneers, meanwhile, are in a bad spot as non-divisional road underdogs before being non-divisional home underdogs, a spot teams are 80-113 ATS in since 2002. They’re also a very good chance they’ve just quit on their Head Coach Greg Schiano at 0-7 and won’t be able to do anything about Seattle just running up the score on them, as they are one to do. The Seahawks should be able to cover this large line.

Seattle Seahawks 31 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7

Pick against spread: Seattle -16

Confidence: Medium

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