Washington Redskins (3-5) at Minnesota Vikings (1-7)

The Redskins won a crazy home game against the Chargers last week in overtime, but that game might really hurt them here this week. Teams are 3-16 ATS since 1989 on Thursday Night after an overtime game. It makes sense. Recovering from a longer game on a short week would obviously put you at a disadvantage. Teams usually don’t do well as favorites off of a home overtime win anyway, going 22-41 ATS since 1989 in that situation.

The Vikings aren’t a very good team, but the Redskins have a terrible defense that they can move the ball against and compete in this game. Christian Ponder completed 25 of 37 for 236 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception last week in Dallas against a weak Dallas defense. The Redskins allow opponents to move the chains at a 78% rate on the season. If Ponder, with Adrian Peterson, can move the ball well against the Cowboys in Dallas, he can do the same at home, where he’s been a lot better in his short career. It’s not a big play, but I expect the Vikings to win here over a tired Redskins team.

Minnesota Vikings 23 Washington Redskins 20 Upset Pick +120

Pick against spread: Minnesota +2.5

Confidence: Low

[switch_ad_hub]

[switch_ad_hub]

[switch_ad_hub]