2013 NFL Mock Draft 17-32

1-16 17-32 2nd round 3rd round 4th round 5th round 6th round 7th round

 

17. Pittsburgh Steelers- WR Cordarrelle Patterson (Tennessee)

Last week, I said it was close between Jarvis Jones and Cordarrelle Patterson for the Steelers. Well, this week Jones isn’t available so Patterson is the pick. They are reportedly very interested in him and he would replace Mike Wallace. While they have a need at rush linebacker, they also reportedly are high on both Jason Worilds and Chris Carter and don’t want to take a collegiate defensive end in the first round and convert him into a rush linebacker. That hurts Tank Carradine’s chances.

Other options:

TE Tyler Eifert (Notre Dame)- I actually think Eifert is more likely than Carradine. Eifert would give them insurance for Heath Miller, who tore his ACL, and another offensive weapon.

RLB Tank Carradine (Florida State)- I won’t rule Carradine out.

18. Dallas Cowboys- G Chance Warmack (Alabama)

The Cowboys made two head scratching decisions at guard last off-season, signing Nate Livings to a 5 year deal to play left guard and signing Mackenzy Bernadeau to a 4 year deal to play right guard. Livings was one of the worst guards in the league in 2011, while Bernadeau was an inexperienced former 7th round pick that no one else saw as a starter. Livings actually played well this season, but Bernadeau played as expected. There’s been some talk of Bernadeau moving to center, though I don’t know how much that will help. Either way, they need a new starter at right guard. Warmack is too good to pass on at this point.

Other options:

OT DJ Fluker (Alabama)- I don’t think they’d pass on Warmack, but DJ Fluker would fill a need at right tackle. They’re reportedly not that interested in him though.

19. New York Giants- OT DJ Fluker (Alabama)

DJ Fluker is a rising prospect right now, with some saying he could go as high as 7th to Arizona. I don’t have him that high and I think it would be ridiculous to use a top-10 pick on a pure right tackle in an off-season where Tyson Clabo, Eric Winston, and Andre Smith are still available and Sebastian Vollmer and Phil Loadholt had to take less than they were expected to get. However, I don’t see the Giants passing on him at 19. They’re known to be very interested in him and he’d fill a huge hole at right tackle.

Other options:

DE Tank Carradine (Florida State)- The Giants are always interested in adding pass rushers.

20. Chicago Bears- TE Tyler Eifert (Notre Dame)

The Bears already signed Martellus Bennett this off-season, but according to Draft Insider Tony Pauline, that won’t preclude the Bears from taking a tight end at #20. Tyler Eifert is a rising prospect right now with a good chance to go in the top-20. He’s the consensus top tight end and could be seen as the best available player here for the Bears. While Bennett is more of an inline tight end, Eifert can move all around the formation and would allow the Bears to use a bunch of two-tight end sets and creative looks. Jay Cutler will be really happy (or as happy as Jay Cutler can be) with this off-season if the Bears add Eifert here after adding Bennett, Jermon Bushrod, and offensive minded Head Coach Marc Trestman.

Other options:

MLB Arthur Jones (Kansas State)- Jones would fill a big need at middle linebacker and he’d be a perfect fit for their cover 2 scheme.

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21. Cincinnati Bengals- S Eric Reid (LSU)

The Taylor Mays experiment didn’t last long. The Bengals were forced to move Nate Clements from cornerback to safety to play alongside Reggie Nelson and they also re-signed Chris Crocker mid-season and he saw some playing time. They can’t rely on that long term. Both Crocker and Clements are free agents and are heading into their age 33 and 34 seasons respectively. They need a new starter next to Nelson.

The Bengals tend to lock onto position by round and address their biggest needs first. Safety would qualify this year. While Jonathan Cyprien will probably overall be seen as a better prospect than Eric Reid and Matt Elam, the Bengals prefer big school kids so they’ll probably have Reid and Elam higher on their board than Florida International’s Jonathan Cyprien. They’ve worked both out privately and it was tough to choose between them here, but Reid has the size defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer prefers in a defensive back.

Other options:

S Matt Elam (Florida)- Elam is their other option. Safety is big far their biggest need.

22. St. Louis Rams- WR DeAndre Hopkins (Clemson)

After losing Danny Amendola and Brandon Gibson in free agency, the Rams are now missing 2 of their top-3 receivers from last year and it wasn’t a strong receiving corps to begin with. They’ve added Jared Cook and Chris Givens, their leading receiver last year, could be headed for big things in his 2nd year in the league. However, Brian Quick is still incredibly raw, though they haven’t given up on him. Austin Pettis, meanwhile, is only a backup caliber player. They also have just 5 receivers on the roster as of this writing and two of them have never caught a pass in the NFL. Just like Quick last year, Hopkins had a last minute workout with the Rams this year that reportedly went very, very well.

Other options:

WR Justin Hunter (Tennessee)- Justin Hunter is the other receiver option.

G Justin Pugh (Syracuse)- This would also help their offense.

S Jonathan Cyprien (Florida International)- Cyprien would fill a big need, but don’t they have to take an offensive player with one of these picks?

23. Minnesota Vikings- MLB Manti Te’o (Notre Dame)

The Vikings obviously have a need at wide receiver, but they pick at 25 in two more picks and it’s unlikely the Colts take a receiver at 24 so they’ll probably wait until that pick to take a receiver. With pick 23, I expect them to address defense, especially the front 7. Te’o is still expected to go in the 1st round when all is said and done and the Vikings appear to be the team most comfortable with him. He’d fill a massive need at middle linebacker.

Other options:

MLB Arthur Brown (Kansas State)- It’s between Te’o and Brown for them right now.

DT Sylvester Williams (North Carolina)- They’re known to be interested in Williams, but I think he’s only an option if both linebackers are gone.

WR Justin Hunter (Tennessee)- Maybe they want to take their receiver here instead of 25.

24. Atlanta Falcons (TRADE)- CB Xavier Rhodes (Florida State)

The Falcons are rumored to be interested in moving up from 30. It’d make sense given their recent history, just two years after moving up 21 spots in the 1st round for Julio Jones. If Rhodes falls into this part of the first round, they’ll be working the phones and the Colts, who are without a 2nd round pick, make sense as a trade partner. They wouldn’t be able to recoup their 2nd round pick (the trade value chart says the Falcons would have to give up their 3rd rounder), but they’d still add a valuable asset.

After cutting Dunta Robinson, cornerback becomes a big need for the Falcons. Asante Samuel just turned 32 and might only be with the Falcons for one more season and Brent Grimes is gone. Rhodes could step in as an immediate starter opposite Samuel and allow Robert McClain to remain on the slot, where he was very good last season.

Other options:

3-4 DE Margus Hunt (SMU)- I believe Margus Hunt is the Colts’ target. He should be available at 30 though.

RLB Tank Carradine (Florida State)- Carradine is also an option for the Colts and, to an extent, the Falcons.

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25. Minnesota Vikings- WR Justin Hunter (Tennessee)

Even after adding Greg Jennings, the Vikings still need another wide receiver opposite him. Besides, Jennings is turning 30 this season and might not be worth his contract once he’s into year 4 or 5 so they need to think about developing a long term #1. They’ll probably take one with one of their two 1st round picks. At the end of the day, even after trading Harvin, they’ll end up with a better receiving corps in 2013 than 2012 and have an extra 1st rounder to spare.

Other options:

DT Sylvester Williams (North Carolina)- It’s a deep wide receiver year so maybe they wait until the 2nd round to address the need.

26. Green Bay Packers- 3-4 DE Datone Jones (UCLA)

The Packers’ defensive line got absolutely no pass rush in 2011. They used a 2nd round pick in 2012 on Jerel Worthy to help them out there, but that might not be enough. They still ranked just 30th in pass rush efficiency in 2012 as only Clay Matthews could get consistent pressure. They could use a 2nd pick on a pass rushing defensive lineman for their 3 man defensive line.

Other options:

3-4 DE Margus Hunt (SMU)- Hunt is their other defensive line option.

OT Justin Pugh (Syracuse)- Pugh’s versatility could be very attractive to the Packers if they want to address the offense and go with a lineman.

27. Houston Texans- OT Menelik Watson (Florida State)

The Texans lost the right side of their offensive line last off-season. They drafted a right guard in the mid rounds last year and could take right tackle this year. Derek Newton and Ryan Harris split snaps there last season, but Newton struggled and Harris, the better of the two, is still an unsigned free agent. Lance Zierlein of the Houston Chronicle, who admits he is not a big fan of Watson, believes the Texans love him and that he’s going to go in the top-27 picks. He’s a project, but he’d obvious be a natural fit for their zone blocking scheme and fill a need, so the intrigue is understandable, even though I side more with Zierlein on Watson’s long term projection.

Other options:

MLB Arthur Brown (Kansas State)- With the top-4 receivers off the board, the Texans don’t have many other options, but they could address the linebacker position.

28. Denver Broncos- CB Jamar Taylor (Boise State)

Don’t ask me why, but reports suggest that the Broncos will target cornerbacks early in the draft, probably in the first round. They have Champ Bailey obviously and just signed Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie. Also, Tony Carter and Chris Harris played well last season. Finally, they have Omar Bolden, a 2012 4th round pick who only fell because of a knee injury he’s since recovered from. DRC was only signed to a one year deal and Bailey could be eventually moved to safety, but I don’t get why they’d use a premium pick on a cornerback when they already have 5 presumably locked into roster spots. Anyway, it’s not my call. If they’re interested in cornerbacks in the first round, Taylor makes a lot of sense. They’ve worked him out privately and they are reportedly smitten with him.

Other options:

CB Desmond Trufant (Washington)- Trufant is the other cornerback option.

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29. New England Patriots- CB Desmond Trufant (Washington)

Even after re-signing Aqib Talib and Kyle Arrington, the Patriots could still draft another cornerback. Trufant probably wouldn’t play much as a rookie, but Talib was only brought back on a one year deal and they could use better depth should injuries strike or if Alfonzo Dennard has to serve a suspension. Arrington belongs on the slot and should not be moved back outside even if injuries strike.

Other options:

QB Ryan Nassib (Syracuse)- If someone wants to trade up into the 1st round to take Nassib, the Patriots are likely going to be a willing partner.

30. Indianapolis Colts (TRADE)- 3-4 DE Margus Hunt (SMU)

The Colts won 11 games last year despite replacement level talent all over the field, but they’ll have to play better to match that win total in 2013. Despite one of the easiest schedules in the league, they still had a negative points differential and the worst points differential in NFL history by an 11-win team. They won just 3 games against .500 or better teams and 2 games total by more than a touchdown (one of which was against the Jaguars). There’s a reason they couldn’t hang with the big boys in the post-season as the Ravens exploited their issues defensively and on the offensive line in their 24-9 victory.

However, they had a lot of cap space this off-season to add talent to a young and improving nucleus so I gave them a good chance to improve their level of play in 2013 and still make it back to the playoffs. That being said, I don’t like what they did with their cap space. It wasn’t just that they overpaid players; it’s the type of players they overpaid. If you’re going to overpay players, make sure they’re players who can have a big impact. I don’t know how much guys like LaRon Landry, Gosder Cherilus, Erik Walden, Ricky Jean-Francois, Greg Toler, and Donald Thomas will help this team (I did like the Thomas deal though, that wasn’t an overpay). They would have been better off signing two or three higher end free agents and filling other needs through the draft.

Now it’s unclear which position they still view as a major need and for that reason it’s unclear what they’ll do in the 1st round. Rush linebacker, offensive line, cornerback, and defensive line should all be considered, but they may not view them all as major needs. I’m giving them Hunt here because I think he’s one of the best available and because I think defensive line is their biggest need right now. Even after signing Jean-Francois, they need more youth there. Aubrayo Franklin, recently signed cheap, turns 33 this season at nose tackle, as does starting five-technique defensive end Cory Redding. They’ve worked Hunt out privately and he’s seen as a first round lock by several sources.

Other options:

RLB Tank Carradine (Florida State)- As it did at 24, Carradine makes some sense to the Colts.

31. New York Jets (TRADE)- S Jonathan Cyprien (Florida International)

The Jets lost both of their starting safeties from 2012. They’ve brought in mediocre veteran Dawan Landry and they have a pair of 2012 late round picks, Josh Bush and Antonio Allen, but they will still probably add a safety through the draft. Cyprien probably won’t make it out of the first round so he makes a lot of sense here for the Jets.

Other options:

CB DJ Hayden (Houston)- Hayden also makes sense for the Jets, but it’s more likely he’s on the board at 34 than Cyprien.

32. Baltimore Ravens- MLB Arthur Brown (Kansas State)

Ray Lewis is obviously retired and while, Dannell Ellerbe played well in his absence, he’s gone as a free agent. Jameel McClain is a mediocre player who will be coming off a major injury in 2013 and even if he can lock down a starting spot, the Ravens run a base 3-4, so they need two starting linebackers. Middle linebacker will be a priority of their off-season.

Other options:

S Matt Elam (Florida)- Elam would address their safety need.

QB Ryan Nassib (Syracuse)- The Ravens are another team that likes to trade down on draft day. A team could move up here to get Nassib.

 

Go on to 2nd round

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2013 NFL Mock Draft 3rd Round

1-16 17-32 2nd round 3rd round 4th round 5th round 6th round 7th round

 

63. Kansas City Chiefs- WR Ryan Swope (Texas A&M)

The Chiefs could use some added receiver depth out of a deep receiver class. Jonathan Baldwin has been a bust to this point in his career and they don’t have a long term starter opposite Dwayne Bowe. Donnie Avery, preferably, would just be a depth receiver going forward and neither Dexter McCluster nor Devon Wylie project as starters long term. They’ve shown interest in Swope, who is expected to go in the 2nd or 3rd round.

64. Jacksonville Jaguars- CB Blidi Wreh-Wilson (Connecticut)

The Jaguars lost a lot of free agents this off-season and they also cut Aaron Ross. That’s not such a bad thing because they ranked 21st against the pass in YPA, but they need to replenish talent. The only cornerbacks on their roster right now are Alan Ball, Mike Harris, Kevin Rutland, and Antwaun Molden. Gross.  Blidi-Wreh Wilson has the length former Seahawks defensive coordinator Gus Bradley covets from the cornerback position. Also, his name is pronounced Bleedy Ray Wilson, which makes him sound like an old blues singer, which is awesome.

65. Detroit Lions- DE Corey Lemonier (Auburn)

The Lions lost both of their starting defensive ends from last off-season and Lawrence Jackson, one of their top reserves, is still a free agent. They signed Jason Jones, but he’s really struggled at end in his career and will be most effective on passing downs as a pass rushing defensive tackle. Aside from Jones, they have just two other ends on their roster. Lemonier is a great fit for the wide nine scheme.

66. Oakland Raiders- CB Robert Alford (Southeastern Louisiana)

All of the cornerbacks who played a single snap for the Raiders in 2011 combined to play 13 snaps for them in 2012 (all by 2011 4th round pick Chimdi Chewka, who wasn’t on their week 1 roster). With no cap room or high draft picks, they were forced to bargain shop for two guys coming off injuries, Shawntae Spencer and Ronald Bartell, and that didn’t work out. They barely played and it was up to a bunch of castoffs and youngsters to man the cornerback position. The group didn’t play well in general, en route to ranking 25th against the pass. Frequent burn victims Tracy Porter and Mike Jenkins are currently penciled in as the starters after being signed to one year deals in free agency.

67. Philadelphia Eagles- CB Darius Slay (Mississippi State)

Even after signing Bradley Fletcher and Cary Williams, the Eagles probably aren’t done adding talent at cornerback. Neither of those two are particularly reliable or talented and Brandon Boykin is so much better on the slot than outside so they won’t want to have to put him out there should one of those two struggle or get hurt. Slay is insurance and a developmental future starter.

68. Cleveland Browns- QB Matt Scott (Arizona)

The Browns have Brandon Weeden and Jason Campbell at quarterback, but they could still use a pick on a developmental quarterback to slot in behind them and maybe be a long term starter. Neither Weeden nor Campbell appears to be one. Scott is raw, but he’s got plenty of upside and they’ve worked him out privately. His arm strength and mobility make him a good fit for Rob Chudzinski’s offense.

69. Arizona Cardinals- QB Mike Glennon (NC State)

The Cardinals traded for Carson Palmer, but he’s not a long term solution. Drew Stanton, meanwhile, remains just a backup caliber player. The Cardinals could still take a quarterback like Mike Glennon on day 2. He has the ideal arm strength for Bruce Arians’ offense and sitting for a year or two behind the veteran Palmer would really do him some good as he attempts to work out his mechanical and accuracy issues.

70. Tennessee Titans- CB Jordan Poyer (Oregon State)

The Titans lost their #1 cornerback Cortland Finnegan in free agency in the 2012 offseason. They were known to be interested in Dre Kirkpatrick at 20 in the 2012 NFL Draft, in order to maintain cornerback as a position of depth. Kirkpatrick, unfortunately for them, went 3 spots earlier. They’ve really missed Cortland Finnegan this year as they ranked 24th against the pass and dead last in points per game allowed so they could use an early pick on a cornerback in 2013.

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71. Buffalo Bills- TE Vance McDonald (Rice)

Scott Chandler was a favorite of Chan Gailey, but Gailey has been fired. What he really is in reality is a marginally talented tight end who will be coming off a torn ACL suffered in December. Even if he’s not a cap casualty, owed 2.45 million next season, they need some competition for him and a 2nd tight end anyway. Gailey rarely used two-tight ends so they don’t have a competent 2nd tight end on the roster. Buddy Nix, who is normally candid when he speaks about the draft, recently spoke about the need to add another tight end. They’ve worked McDonald out privately.

72. New York Jets- NT John Jenkins (Georgia)

After cutting Sione Pouha, the Jets have a need at nose tackle. John Jenkins is frequently mocked in the 1st round, but many in the know disagree. NFL.com’s Josh Norris says that the two prospects he sees mocked in the 1st round most often that he’s not comfortable with are Terrance Williams and John Jenkins. Jenkins is plenty talented, but concerns about his weight and motor could drop him into the 2nd round like Terrence Cody in 2010 or even farther because this is a deep defensive line class.

73. New York Jets (TRADE)- TE Gavin Escobar (San Diego State)

The Jets get this pick in the Darrelle Revis trade. The Jets lost Dustin Keller to free agency and Jeff Cumberland is penciled in as the starter. Playing 608 snaps last year as Keller missed time with injury, including 12 starts and 292 pass snaps, Cumberland caught just 29 passes for 359 yards and 3 touchdowns. The Jets will try to add competition.

74. New York Jets (TRADE)- G Travis Frederick (Wisconsin)

The Jets lost both of their starting guards in free agency this off-season. Vladimir Ducaase will man one spot, but the former 2nd round pick has been very inconsistent in limited action in his career thus far. At the other spot, veteran Willie Colon will start after the 30-year-old signed just a one year deal. They still need help. With so many picks in this scenario, expect them to take a guard like Frederick at some point.

75. New Orleans Saints- NT Brandon Williams (Missouri Southern)

The Saints will look at defensive linemen for their new 3-man defensive line at some point in the draft. Akiem Hicks is penciled in as the starting defensive end opposite Cameron Jordan, but he’s an inexperienced 2012 3rd round pick, while Brodrick Bunkley is playing nose tackle for the first time in his NFL career in his age 30 season. Williams is versatile depth and could eventually end up as a starter.

76. San Diego Chargers- RLB Sio Moore (Connecticut)

I know the Chargers just used a 1st round pick on Melvin Ingram last year, but they need a bookend long term for him. Jarret Johnson and Shaun Phillips are both heading into their age 32 seasons. The former isn’t much of a pass rusher, as his strength is stuffing the run, while Phillips is a free agent this off-season. Meanwhile, Antawn Barnes proved his random 11 sack performance in 2011 was a complete fluke. He had just 3 this season and barely played down the stretch. He signed with the Jets as a free agent anyway.

77. Miami Dolphins- CB David Amerson (NC State)

Even after adding Brent Grimes, the Dolphins still need cornerback help. Grimes is an injury prone player heading into his age 30 season and only on a one year deal. Plus, none of Nolan Carroll, Richard Marshall, or Dimitri Patterson are starting caliber and the latter two could easily be cap casualties this off-season or next. Marshall is owed 9.85 million over the next 2 seasons combined, while Patterson is owed 9.8 million. Neither one of them is worth that.

78. St. Louis Rams- S Phillip Thomas (Fresno State)

The Rams have lost both of their starting safeties from last year, as Craig Dahl has signed with the 49ers and Quintin Mikell remains a free agent after being cut and is not expected to be brought back. That’s not such a bad thing. Dahl was terrible last year on an otherwise great defense, while Mikell, though he played well, was getting up there in age. The Rams will add at least one new safety through the draft.

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79. Pittsburgh Steelers- RB Christine Michael (Texas A&M)

Part of the reason the Steelers had a poor year offensively was their inability to run the ball. Rashard Mendenhall, Isaac Redman, and Jonathan Dwyer were all hit or miss to say the least, as they ranked 27th in the NFL in yards per carry at 3.7. Mendenhall left as a free agent, while Redman and Dwyer aren’t the answer either. They’ll add a running back at some point.

Christine Michael is an enigma. He’s been described as the most talented back is this draft class by some, but his limited tape (just 88 carries as a senior) and his numerous off the field run ins will lead to him being drafted somewhere in rounds 2-4. Also, he has two first names and one of them is a girl’s name, so I don’t know what’s up with that. The Steelers have worked him out privately though so maybe they’ll be able to answer those questions.

80. Dallas Cowboys- DT Bennie Logan (LSU)

Jay Ratliff is on thin ice after a DUI and his play isn’t what it used to be. His roster spot is likely safe for this season after restructuring his contract and getting a 3.66 million dollar signing bonus in March, but 2014 is a different story. He’ll be owed 5.5 million going into his age 33 season. Logan can be a defensive tackle behind him and a potential future successor. They’ve worked out Logan privately.

81. New York Giants- DT Akeem Spence (Illinois)

Cutting Chris Canty really created a need depth for at defensive tackle, even after signing veteran Cullen Jenkins. Marvin Austin can’t stay healthy next to Linval Joseph, while Jenkins just turned 32. Spence would help fill the need for depth.

82. Miami Dolphins- DE Damontre Moore (Texas A&M)

The Dolphins will probably use an early pick on a defensive end because Cameron Wake is their only consistent pass rusher and he’s on the wrong side of 30. No one else had more than 5 sacks. Jared Odrick was awful in his first year at defensive end, though he’ll be given one more chance to lose weight and start outside. Meanwhile, Olivier Vernon is still incredibly raw as a 2012 3rd round pick. Moore could end up being a starter or a rotational end long term.

83. Minnesota Vikings- WR Terrance Williams (Baylor)

I don’t need to tell you why the Vikings could double up on receivers. They’ll add a starting caliber receiver in the first round to play opposite Greg Jennings, but they’ll also take a developmental receiver in the mid rounds of this deep receiver class. Greg Jennings was a nice short term signing, but he’s heading into his age 30 season and by year 3 or year 4 of that deal, he won’t be worth his salary. Williams will probably slot in as a 4th or 5th receiver as a rookie and possibly make an impact in 2014 and beyond.

84. Cincinnati Bengals- WR Da’Rick Rodgers (Tennessee Tech)

The Bengals have a bunch of candidates for the #2 receiver job opposite AJ Green, but no one has taken the job and run with it yet. With a bunch of picks in a deep receiver class, they could add another developmental wide receiver to the mix. Rodgers has 1st round talent, but his off the field stuff will cause him to drop. He’s worth the risk here in the 3rd round for a Bengals team that has taken some risks like this in the past.

85. Washington Redskins- S Shamarko Thomas (Syracuse)

The Redskins could take defensive backs with their first two picks. Brandon Meriweather is their top safety, but he tore his ACL in November and was having trouble staying healthy even before that. He can’t be counted on. Neither can any of their other safeties. Madieu Williams, Reed Doughty, and DeJon Gomes aren’t very good and Williams is also a free agent. They need to add at least one new starter at safety this off-season.

86. Indianapolis Colts- G Brian Winters (Kent State)

The Colts’ biggest weakness was exposed in their post-season loss to the Ravens. The Colts’ offensive line was terrible all year and the Ravens were able to pressure Luck on seemingly every drop back, making it impossible for him to get anything done downfield. They ranked dead last overall in pass block efficiency. Luck was actually one of the best in the league at avoiding sacks, only taking a sack on 14.9% of pressured drop backs, but they need to get him some help at upfront, even after adding Gosder Cherilus and Donald Thomas. The biggest problem was at guard. They struggled for consistency there all year as four different guys, Mike McGlynn, Jeff Linkenbach, Joe Reitz, and Seth Olsen, saw significant action there. Every single one of those four was awful. Winters could play left guard opposite Thomas.

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87. Seattle Seahawks- OLB Jelani Jenkins (Florida)

LeRoy Hill was recently arrested again and could be facing suspension. He was just a two down run stuffer for them last season and he’s a free agent heading into his age 31 season. It’s very possible the Seahawks don’t see him as worth the headache anymore. If they don’t re-sign him, they will need a new 3rd linebacker. Jenkins can compete with Malcolm Smith, a 2011 7th round pick who impressed in limited action this year.

88. Green Bay Packers- OT David Quessenberry (San Jose State)

The Packers haven’t worked out very many draftable prospects, but they reportedly have a lot of interest in David Quessenberry, who would be a great fit for their blocking scheme and provide depth at all 5 positions. Left tackle Marshall Newhouse could be upgraded and Derek Sherrod is no guarantee to be ready to take over that spot. Center Evan Dietrich-Smith, meanwhile, is going into his first year as a starter.

89. Houston Texans- MLB Jon Bostic (Florida)

When Brian Cushing got hurt, it really showed their lack of depth at middle linebacker after they traded DeMeco Ryans this off-season. The Ryans trade was smart because he never really fit their 3-4 scheme and he wasn’t worth what they were paying him, but they never replaced him and that came back to bite them. There was way too much of Bradie James, Tim Dobbins, Daryl Sharpton, and Barrett Ruud at middle linebacker for the Texans. Bostic is a developmental prospect and a potential future starter.

90. Denver Broncos- RB Le’Veon Bell (Michigan State)

The Broncos don’t have a ton of needs, but they could use another running back. Willis McGahee will be 32 next season, coming off a major injury. Knowshon Moreno is hard to rely on long term. 2012 3rd round pick Ronnie Hillman, meanwhile, is probably just a change of pace back long term. John Fox likes using multiple backs anyway and though they aren’t run heavy now because of Peyton Manning, in the future, when Manning isn’t around or when he declines, Fox will probably go back to his conservative, run heavy ways. They’ve worked out Bell privately.

91. New England Patriots- G Dallas Thomas (Tennessee)

The Patriots could take an offensive lineman like Dallas Thomas. He has the versatility Belichick likes and he could be a long-term upgrade at right guard over Dan Connolly, the weak link on an otherwise very strong offensive line.

92. Indianapolis Colts (TRADE)- CB Dwayne Gratz (Connecticut)

The Colts could use another cornerback since Greg Toler can’t stay healthy and Vontae Davis has had his share of injury issues as well. The latter is heading into his contract year anyway. Gratz could also push Darius Butler as the #3 cornerback if he regresses this year, after signing a 2-year deal.

93. San Francisco 49ers- TE Travis Kelce (Cincinnati)

Delanie Walker left as a free agent. He might have just been a #2 tight end, but Walker played on 713 of 1229 possible offensive snaps, roughly 58%. He was a big part of their offense. The 49ers will have to replace him. It’s an important position on their team so they could easily use a premium pick on one with so many picks overall.

94. Baltimore Ravens- S Earl Wolff (NC State)

Michael Huff has been signed, but if the value makes sense, the Ravens could still take a safety early. Mediocre veteran James Ihedigbo will compete with unproven youngsters Omar Brown and Christian Thompson at the other safety spot. The latter will start 2013 on a 4 game suspension.

95. Houston Texans- TE Jordan Reed (Florida)

The Texans lost James Casey this off-season, which is a much bigger deal than most teams losing their fullback. Casey lined up at fullback, h-back, and tight end and was a versatile weapon for them in the passing game, playing 668 snaps in 18 games. If you can count him as a fullback, he would have led the position in snaps played this season. They’ll need to replace him after losing him and Joel Dreessen in the last two off-seasons.

96. Kansas City Chiefs- 3-4 DE Malliciah Goodman (Clemson)

Tyson Jackson and Mike DeVito will start at end for the Chiefs and both are solid at what they do, which is tie up blockers against the run in base packages. However, neither of them can get any pressure whatsoever. In fact, Chief defensive linemen combined for 5 sacks, 7 hits, and 18 hurries on 1225 combined pass rush snaps last year, a pathetic 2.7% rate. For comparison, JJ Watt had 21 sacks, 24 hits, and 31 hurries by himself. DeVito had just 1 sack and 11 hurries last year, so he won’t help much. They need to find a penetrating defensive lineman to play on passing downs. Tamba Hali and Justin Houston can’t do it alone. As good as they are, the Chiefs still ranked 29th in the NFL in sacks last year.

97. Tennessee Titans- DE Alex Okafor (Texas)

Derrick Morgan and Kamerion Wimbley are both good starting defensive ends, but they don’t have any depth, which is why they’ve shown interest in several veteran defensive ends this off-season. It doesn’t sound like they’re going to end up signing one, so they’ll turn to the draft for depth.

 

Go on to 4th round

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2013 NFL Mock Draft 2nd Round

1-16 17-32 2nd round 3rd round 4th round 5th round 6th round 7th round

 

33. Jacksonville Jaguars- QB Ryan Nassib (Syracuse)

The Jaguars have to add another quarterback at some point. They can’t just have Chad Henne and Blaine Gabbert compete for the starting job. Ryan Nassib is currently expected to be the 2nd quarterback off the board, maybe even in the late 1st round with a team trading up for him. According to the NFL Network’s Daniel Jeremiah, Nassib to the Jaguars is a very logical fit.

34. New York Jets (TRADE)- CB DJ Hayden (Houston)

Rex Ryan loves cornerbacks. Former Ravens scout and current NFL Network analyst Daniel Jeremiah says that when Ryan was their defensive coordinator in Baltimore, he would always come into the draft room and try to persuade them to take another cornerback, regardless of whether or not they actually needed one. Even if they don’t trade Revis, I wouldn’t be surprised if they added one in the late rounds, but if they do trade Revis, expect them to target cornerbacks early.

35. Philadelphia Eagles- QB EJ Manuel (Florida State)

The Eagles already have Michael Vick and Nick Foles, but the former is really just a one year stopgap at this point in his career and probably won’t be back with the team in 2014 as a free agent. Foles, meanwhile, isn’t a proven commodity and he wasn’t really a high pick so Chip Kelly probably won’t feel a lot of loyalty to him, especially since he lacks the mobility Kelly likes in a quarterback. He still could be traded. Manuel is someone who has that mobility and he’s someone Kelly is known to really like. He recruited Manuel at Oregon and mentioned him as someone he wishes he had a chance to coach. They also worked him out privately.

36. Oakland Raiders (TRADE)- TE Zach Ertz (Stanford)

As I’ve mentioned before, the Raiders basically need every single position. Brandon Myers was their leading receiver last year, but the tight end is now with the New York Giants. The only three tight ends on their roster have a combined 14 career catches. They’ve shown a lot of interest in the local product Ertz. He makes a lot of sense for them here.

37. Cincinnati Bengals- RB Giovani Bernard (North Carolina)

BenJarvus Green-Ellis had a bunch of rushing yards this season, but that has more to do with the Bengals’ awesome offensive line and the sheer number of carries he got. He once again averaged less than 4 yards per carry overall this season. He can run through holes if they’re there, but he’s only a between the tackles plodder and he frequently ranks among the worst in the NFL in yards after contact per carry. The Bengals have mentioned adding another back this off-season. They’ve shown interest in Bernard, who would complement BJGE well and who would fit their system like a glove.

38. Arizona Cardinals- OT Justin Pugh (Syracuse)

Through the first 8 weeks of the season, D’Anthony Baptiste and Bobby Massie allowed a combined 25 sacks. However, Baptiste was then benched for rookie Nate Potter and fellow rookie Massie improved tremendously around the same time and the duo combined to allow just 7 sacks in the final 8 games of the season. They’re still young so the Cardinals won’t feel forced to take an offensive tackle in the first round if they don’t like the value. However, they’ll address the position at some point. They’ll like Pugh’s versatility. Even if they don’t need him to play tackle, he could still play guard.

39. New York Jets- QB Matt Barkley (USC)

The Jets are unlikely to address the quarterback position in the first round because they still have too much invested in Mark Sanchez, but they can’t go into 2013 with just Sanchez and Greg McElroy at quarterback. They’ll bring in an alternative this off-season. Hopefully they actually decide to use that alternative this season if/when Sanchez struggles, unlike last year.

40. Tennessee Titans- G Larry Warford (Kentucky)

Chris Johnson is great when he has great blocking, but when the offensive line isn’t opening up holes for him, he’s pretty bad. Why do you think he has such good games against bad run defenses and bad games against good run defenses? Their run blocking was better last year than in 2011, but they still need help. Center Fernando Velasco was their best interior lineman and Andy Levitre, a free agent acquisition, will lock down the left guard position. However, right guard is still a major need. That position was a rotating door last year. They’ve worked out Warford privately.

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41. Buffalo Bills- WR Robert Woods (USC)

Teams that draft quarterbacks in the first usually spend their next pick on an offensive player, doing so in 18 of the last 23 instances. 2012 3rd round pick TJ Graham projects best as a slot receiver long term so they still need a receiver opposite Steve Johnson. Buddy Nix said that would be something they’d be targeting and he’s normally very candid about this type of thing. They’ve worked out Woods privately, something they usually do before spending a premium pick on a prospect.

42. Miami Dolphins- DT Sylvester Williams (North Carolina)

This is a deep defensive tackle class so Williams, who could go in the late teens, could fall this far, but I don’t think he’d fall any farther. The Dolphins are known to be very interested in him. Both of their defensive tackles, Randy Starks and Paul Soliai, are set to be free agents next off-season and with Jared Odrick expected to focus more on defensive end full time, they don’t have much depth either.

43. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- DE Tank Carradine (Florida State)

They have other needs and they seem to feel confident with 3rd year ends Adrian Clayborn and Da’Quan Bowers playing the bulk of the snaps at defensive end next season, but after losing Michael Bennett as a free agent, they need to add depth. Carradine is too good to pass on at this point. After he ran a 4.93 at 6-4 276 less than 5 months after tearing his ACL, Carradine is definitely in the top-20 mix.

44. Carolina Panthers- DT Kawaan Short (Purdue)

The Panthers passed on Fletcher Cox at 9 in the 2012 NFL Draft because they still believed in 2011 3rd round picks Terrell McClain and Sione Fua. However, between now and then, McClain was a final cut and Fua lost his starting job and played just 256 snaps all season. He was also horrible when he played, ranking 83rd out of 85 eligible at his position on ProFootballFocus, despite his very limited playing time. The Panthers started Dwan Edwards and Ron Edwards at defensive tackle in 2012. The former Edwards was a final cut of the Bills right before the season, while the latter Edwards was recently a cap casualty going into his age 34 season in 2013. They could definitely take their defensive tackle this year, after ranking 18th against the run despite the emergence of stud rookie middle linebacker Luke Kuechly.

45. Oakland Raiders (TRADE)- DE Bjoern Werner (Florida State)

The Raiders could really use help at almost every position. They don’t have anyone who is any good opposite Lamarr Houston at defensive end. Veteran Andre Carter, the mediocre Jason Hunter, and 2012 5th round pick Jack Crawford are all in the mix. Werner falls out of the first round because of the depth at his position and because he’s just not the type of prospect he was envisioned as at the start of the process. He has a great motor, but possesses no special skills. The Raiders will take him, however, and he has a good chance to be a starter long term.

46. St. Louis Rams- RB Eddie Lacy (Alabama)

The Rams like Daryl Richardson, who had 98 carries as Steven Jackson’s primary backup last season, and they probably haven’t given up on 2012 2nd round pick Isaiah Pead. However, Jeff Fisher has always enjoyed having a stable of young backs. They’re known to be interested in Eddie Lacy. I never considered him a realistic option for them in the 1st round, but after a disappointing Pro Day, he makes a lot of sense for them if he falls to them in the 2nd.

47. Dallas Cowboys- S Matt Elam (Florida)

I thought the Cowboys needed a safety before they cut Gerald Sensabaugh. Now I think they need two. They probably won’t get two, which means the inexperienced Barry Church will probably start at one spot coming off a torn Achilles. However, safety will be high on their priority list this off-season.

48. Pittsburgh Steelers- RLB Jamie Collins (Southern Mississippi)

The Steelers like Jason Worilds and Chris Carter, but that won’t deter them from taking someone to play 3-4 outside linebacker. This is a strong edge rusher class. Collins is a small school prospect, but a strong Combine has put him in the day 2 range. Mike Mayock has him rated ahead of Barkevious Mingo among 3-4 outside linebackers. The Steelers have worked him out privately.

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49. New York Giants- MLB Kevin Minter (LSU)

The Giants signed Dan Connor, but only to a one year deal. They could still look at linebackers fairly early in the draft, as they mentioned they needed to get better play from the position next year. They stick to their board anyway and Minter could easily be seen as best available here. He could go as high as the late first round.

50. Chicago Bears- OLB Khaseem Greene (Rutgers)

Brian Urlacher and Nick Roach are gone. The Bears brought in DJ Williams from Denver, but he’s pretty washed up as he heads into his age 31 season. Fellow free agent acquisition, James Anderson, also isn’t very good. Lance Briggs, meanwhile, is not washed up, but it’s worth mentioning that he’s heading into his age 33 season and can’t do this forever.

51. Washington Redskins- CB Johnthan Banks (Mississippi State)

The Redskins’ secondary was a weakness in 2012, ranking 22nd in YPA allowed. It doesn’t look much better going into 2013 as EJ Biggers has been the only addition, replacing Cedric Griffin as the 3rd cornerback with DeAngelo Hall and Josh Wilson. All 3 of those cornerbacks are free agents next off-season anyway. Banks is a steal in a loaded cornerback class and they’re known to be very interested in him.

52. Minnesota Vikings- DT Jesse Williams (Alabama)

One half of the Williams wall is already long gone as Pat Williams was out of the league last year in his age 40 season. He was never really replaced as the Vikings use a committee of players at that spot opposite Kevin Williams. Kevin, meanwhile, turns 33 in August and, owed 7.5 million in each of the next 2 seasons, he might not be around much longer. The Vikings could add a defensive tackle early through the draft.

53. Cincinnati Bengals- OT Kyle Long (Oregon)

It’s about 4 days to draft day and Andre Smith is still not on the roster. He won’t come down with his price and the Bengals, despite having the most cap space in the NFL, are content to let him leave and take his replacement through the draft. Kyle Long can be that replacement. If they do retain Smith after the draft, Long has the versatility to serve as a valuable 6th offensive lineman for them and a potential future successor for left tackle Andrew Whitworth, who turns 32 this off-season.

54. Kansas City Chiefs (TRADE)- MLB Kiko Alonso (Oregon)

The Chiefs got this pick from the Dolphins in a projected Branden Albert trade. The Chiefs have a massive hole at middle linebacker, where the inexperienced Cory Greenwood is currently penciled in as the starter. Alonso provides an immediate upgrade out of the 2nd round and would fill the Chiefs’ only pressing starting need after left tackle (Luke Joeckel).

55. Green Bay Packers- RB Johnathan Franklin (UCLA)

The Packers were kind of just throwing shit at the wall and seeing what stuck at running back this year, using Alex Green, James Starks, Cedric Benson, Ryan Grant, and DuJuan Harris at running back. They were generally ineffective, ranking 22nd in the NFL, averaging 3.9 YPC. Harris played well down the stretch, but can they really count on him in 2013? I know they don’t value the running back position much, but they need to bring someone else into the mix this off-season. Franklin is their type of back.

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56. Seattle Seahawks- WR Quinton Patton (Louisiana Tech)

Even after trading for Percy Harvin, the Seahawks could use another wide receiver as Sidney Rice has trouble staying healthy. Without a ton of other needs, they could add someone like Quinton Patton here in the 2nd round. They’re known to be very interested in him.

57. Houston Texans- WR Keenan Allen (California)    

Andre Johnson will be 32 next year and Kevin Walter was cut. They used a 3rd round pick on DeVier Posey and a 4th round pick on Keyshawn Martin last year, but they need a blue chip prospect in the mix. Posey might miss the whole 2013 season after tearing his Achilles and Martin’s only contributions to this team were as a return man. Owner Bob McNair recently mentioned that the Texans need to add another playmaker at wide receiver and he’s right. Expect them to target receivers early in the 2013 NFL Draft. Allen fits what they look for in terms of size at the wide receiver position.

58. Denver Broncos- DT Johnathan Hankins (Ohio State)

Even after re-signing Kevin Vickerson and bringing in Terrance Knighton, the Broncos still have a need at defensive tackle. Hankins is going to be seen more as a 3-4 nose tackle than a 4-3 defensive tackle by most teams, but defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio loves big run stuffing defensive tackles, regardless of their ability to get to the quarterback.

59. New England Patriots- WR Markus Wheaton (Oregon State)

The Patriots have brought in Danny Amendola to replace Wes Welker, but they aren’t done making over their receiving corps. They need someone to replace Brandon Lloyd, who was cut. Woods can be that receiver. If Wheaton pans out long term and Amendola can stay healthy, the Patriots will have both a younger and improved receiving corps going forward as Tom Brady heads into the final 5 years or so of his career.

60. Atlanta Falcons- DE Cornelius Washington (Georgia)

Even after signing Osi Umenyiora, the Falcons still need pass rush help. Umenyiora probably won’t play a lot of snaps when they go to any of their 3-4 packages and he’s getting up there in age as well, heading into his age 32 season coming off an underwhelming 2012 season. None of their other pass rushing options are real sure fire things either, so they’ll probably take an edge rusher in the first couple of rounds, preferably someone versatile who can play in multiple fronts. They’ve worked the local prospect Washington out privately.

61. San Francisco 49ers- S DJ Swearinger (South Carolina)

The 49ers didn’t make much of an effort to re-sign Dashon Goldson. That makes a lot of sense for the 49ers as they have a lot of talent to fit under the cap over the next few off-seasons and Goldson, while talented, is replaceable. DJ Swearinger can be that replacement. He’s a steal who falls because this is a deep safety class.

62. Baltimore Ravens- OT Terron Armstead (Arkansas-Pine Bluff)

The Ravens’ offensive line is so much better when Michael Oher can play right tackle and Kelechi Osemele can play left guard, but that would require someone to adequately play left tackle. Bryant McKinnie stepped up as that guy in the post-season, a huge part of the reason why the Ravens won the Super Bowl, but the soon to be 34-year-old free agent is incredibly unreliable. Even if they re-sign him, they could draft a developmental tackle at some point in the draft to slot in behind him. Armstead is too good to pass on at this point.

 

Go on to 3rd round

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2013 NFL Mock Draft 6th Round

1-16 17-32 2nd round 3rd round 4th round 5th round 6th round 7th round

 

169. Jacksonville Jaguars- FB Kyle Juszczyk (Harvard)

Juszczyk should get drafted as a fullback. He’s taken 6 private visits, one of which was to the Jaguars, who lost fullback Greg Jones to free agency.

170. Kansas City Chiefs- RB Latavius Murray (Central Florida)

The Chiefs could use a better backup for Jamaal Charles. Andy Reid is a pretty strict one back Head Coach, but that hasn’t stopped him from using late round picks on developmental running backs before. They’ve worked Murray out privately.

171. Detroit Lions- WR Tavarres King (Georgia)

The Lions once again need a receiver again somehow. Titus Young was cut for behavioral reasons and even though they also have Ryan Broyles, he tore his ACL late in the season and probably won’t be ready for the start of the season. Besides, the pass heavy Lions drafted him with the idea of having 3 good, young receivers in mind. They’ll want someone to replace what Young was supposed to be. Fortunately, it’s a deep wide receiver class.

172. Oakland Raiders- OT Chris Faulk (LSU)

Right tackle is a problem spot on an overall actually decent Oakland offensive line. Faulk falls because of injury, but could be a steal in the 6th round, especially for a team like Oakland who needs a power blocking right tackle.

173. San Francisco 49ers- RLB Brandon Jenkins (Florida State)

The 49ers have so many picks and this is a deep edge rusher class so they could add some depth at 3-4 outside linebacker. Aldon Smith and Ahmad Brooks are great outside linebackers in the 49ers’ 3-4 scheme, but if either of them were to get hurt, they’d be in serious trouble. They clearly don’t trust their depth as reserves played a combined 78 snaps for them at that position this year. Parys Haralson is coming off a season ending injury and is currently their #3 outside linebacker. Jenkins falls into the 6th round coming off an injury, but if he can stay healthy, he could be a steal for the 49ers, who can afford to wait on him.

174. Arizona Cardinals- MLB Vince Williams (Florida State)

The Cardinals added Jasper Brinkley and Lorenzo Alexander at middle linebacker this off-season, but Brinkley was awful as a starter for the Vikings last season, while Alexander struggled in limited action last year with the Redskins and has primarily been a pure special teamer in his career. They could add a developmental talent behind them.

175. Cleveland Browns- TE Joseph Fauria (UCLA)

The Browns don’t have a 2nd round pick so they might not be able to add a tight end earlier than this, but they do seem fine with going into 2013 with Jordan Cameron as their starting tight end. Still, expect them to add one at some point.

176. Oakland Raiders- MLB AJ Klein (Iowa State)

The Raiders signed 3 free agent linebackers and all 3 are penciled in starters right now. That’s how thin things are there. None of the three are clear long term solutions so they could add a linebacker at some point in the draft.

177. Buffalo Bills- G Alvin Bailey (Arkansas)

The Bills lost Andy Levitre to free agency and now David Snow is penciled in as their starting left guard. They’ll have to find some competition this off-season, probably through the draft. I don’t expect them to use a premium pick on this position as you can find quality starting guards in the mid to late rounds, but they’ll add a guard. Bailey could end up making a few starts as a rookie.

178. New York Jets- RLB Stansly Maponga (TCU)

Despite taking Barkevious Mingo in the first round, they could still add someone like Maponga in the later rounds. They really have nothing at the rush linebacker position.

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179. San Diego Chargers- G Earl Watford (James Madison)

The Chargers addressed the offensive tackle position earlier in the draft, but guard is a need as well, especially after losing Louis Vasquez as a free agent. He was their only good offensive lineman last year. Considering they started an undrafted rookie on the offensive line last year, Watford has a chance to be a rookie starter out of the 6th round for them.

180. San Francisco 49ers- NT TJ Barnes (Georgia  Tech)

The 49ers don’t use much of a true nose tackle, but they still don’t have one on the roster. The massive run stuffing Barnes could have an immediate role.

181. New York Jets (TRADE)- RB Joseph Randle (Oklahoma State)

The Jets get this pick in the Darrelle Revis trade. Even after trading for Chris Ivory, the Jets could add another back. They have a ton of picks and none of Ivory, Mike Goodson, or Bilal Powell are proven backs. Randle is a great value at this point anyway.

182. Carolina Panthers- OT Xavier Nixon (Florida)

The Panthers have just 5 picks in the draft, but not a ton of needs either. They need defensive tackle, cornerback, safety, wide receiver, and someone to upgrade the right side of their offensive line. They have 4 of those 5 so far and now they take their right tackle.

183. New Orleans Saints- 3-4 DE Quinton Dial (Alabama)

The Saints took Brandon Williams in the 3rd round, but they could double up on defensive linemen. While Williams is more of a nose tackle, Dial provides depth at 5-technique defensive end.

184. St. Louis Rams- WR Conner Vernon (Duke)

As I mentioned earlier, the Rams only have 3 wide receivers on the roster who have ever caught a pass in the NFL. They could easily double up on wide receivers through the draft.

185. Dallas Cowboys- WR Josh Boyce (TCU)

The Cowboys could use some wide receiver depth. Kevin Ogletree, the closest thing they had to a consistent #3 receiver last year, left as a free agent. They’ve worked out Josh Boyce privately.

186. Pittsburgh Steelers- 3-4 DE Nick Williams (Samford)

Brett Keisel is heading into an age 35 contract year and former 1st round pick Ziggy Hood has been awful whenever he’s been counted on in his first 4 years in the league (he’s also going to be a free agent next off-season). Cameron Heyward is also a former 1st round pick and he’s very inexperienced, though I still believe in him. Still, they need someone opposite him long term and it doesn’t look like that player is on the roster right now.

187. New York Giants- RB Jawan Jamison (Rutgers)

This is more of a luxury pick than anything, but Jamison would give the Giants insurance behind David Wilson and Andre Brown. The Giants met with him at his Pro Day, as they did with a bunch of local prospects. He could go a couple rounds earlier than this.

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188. Chicago Bears- G Edmund Kugbila (Valdosta State)

Matt Slauson will play left guard next season, but he was only signed to a one year deal. Kugbila can provide depth there and maybe even at center, where Roberto Garza will be a free agent heading into his age 35 season next off-season. They’ve worked out Kugbila privately, one of 4 teams to work out the small school kid.

189. Minnesota Vikings- DE Mike Catapano (Princeton)

The Vikings could use defensive end depth and they’ve worked out Catapano privately. He’s a good value at this point in the draft.

190. Cincinnati Bengals- DE Michael Buchanan (Illinois)

The Bengals retained Robert Geathers, but he kind of sucks. He’ll rotate with Carlos Dunlap and Michael Johnson, who are both scheduled to be free agents next off-season. The Bengals like rotation on the defensive line and Buchanan could crack that rotation by the end of the season with a bigger role potentially coming in 2014.

191. Washington Redskins- RB Zac Stacy (Vanderbilt)

It just wouldn’t be right if Mike Shanahan didn’t add a running back in the late rounds. Alfred Morris is awesome, but so was Terrell Davis and Shanahan drafted a running back after 3 of his 4 thousand yard seasons. It’s just how he operates. Stacy could be a steal for a zone blocking team.

192. Indianapolis Colts- WR Tyrone Goard (Eastern Kentucky)

Even after adding Darrius Heyward-Bey, the Colts could still add another receiver. They were one of 5 teams to work out the small school Goard privately and the 6 foot 7 receiver could go a round or two higher than this.

193. Green Bay Packers- C Khaled Holmes (USC)

Evan Dietrich-Smith played well in limited action in relief of a benched Jeff Saturday down the stretch last season, but he’s inexperienced and in a contract year. The Packers don’t have a lot of needs and could add some competition for him.

194. Seattle Seahawks- S Brendan Melanophy (Fordham)

Do the Seahawks need another safety? No, but they don’t have many needs and love adding defensive backs. Melanophy fits what they look for in a defensive back and they were one of several teams to meet with him at his Pro Day.

195. Houston Texans- 3-4 DE William Gholston (Michigan State)

This is a pure BPA pick. Gholston could really go in the 5th round or even the 4th, but here in the 6th he’s an excellent value as defensive line depth for a Houston team that has an aging Antonio Smith (32 in October) opposite JJ Watt. Smith will also be a free agent next off-season.

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196. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- DT Everett Dawkins (Florida State)

Gerald McCoy showed what he can do if he can stay healthy, playing all 16 games for the first time in his 3 year career and having one of the top years by a defensive tackle this season. However, they need an upgrade next to him. Roy Miller was a decent run stuffer, but he had just 5 total quarterback pressures all year. He left as free agent anyway.

197. Cincinnati Bengals- CB Terry Hawthorne (Illinois)

The Bengals don’t need a cornerback right now. In fact, they might have the deepest cornerback crew in the NFL. However, both Terence Newman and Adam Jones are on the wrong side of 30 so with no more pressing needs they can add a cornerback for developmental purposes in the late rounds.

198. Atlanta Falcons- DT DeWayne Cherrington (Mississippi State)

After losing Vance Walker in free agency, the Falcons could add another defensive tackle for depth purposes. They’ve shown interest in Cherrington.

199. Baltimore Ravens- S Cody Davis (Texas Tech)

Even after signing Michael Huff, the Ravens could double up on safeties through the draft after losing both Ed Reed and Bernard Pollard this off-season. They have a bunch of picks.

200. Baltimore Ravens- MLB Brandon Magee (Arizona State)

Like safety, the Ravens could double up on middle linebackers through the draft after losing Ray Lewis and Dannell Ellerbe.

201. Houston Texans- RLB David Bass (Missouri Southern)

Whitney Mercilus will step into the starting lineup for departed free agent Connor Barwin opposite Brooks Reed, but they need to replenish depth. If Bass pans out as a starter in 2014 and beyond, they could move Reed to middle linebacker next to Brian Cushing, another major long term need of theirs.

202. Tennessee Titans- RB Knile Davis (Arkansas)

The Titans could add another back behind Chris Johnson and Shonn Greene. If Johnson doesn’t get his act together, he won’t be back in 2014, owed 8 million and 25 million over the final 3 years of his deal. Greene, meanwhile, isn’t a starting caliber back.

203. Baltimore Ravens- QB Jordan Rodgers (Vanderbilt)

The Ravens could add another backup behind Joe Flacco. All they have is the inexperienced Tyrod Taylor. There’s not another quarterback on the roster. Rodgers could push him for #2 duties or be the 3rd quarterback or a stash for their practice squad.

204. Kansas City Chiefs- QB Sean Renefree (Duke)

The Chiefs have brought in Alex Smith and Chase Daniel this off-season, but that won’t stop Andy Reid from using a mid or late round pick on a developmental quarterback. He’s always adding developmental quarterbacks when he has a roster spot. Ricky Stanzi is currently their 3rd string quarterback and he’s never played a snap in the NFL, not even behind Brady Quinn, Matt Cassel, and Tyler Palko. A product of the old regime, Reid is unlikely to be loyal to him.

205. Oakland Raiders- DT Michael Brooks (East Carolina)

The Raiders could easily double up on defensive tackles considering their lack of talent at the position. They’ve worked Brooks out privately.

206. Pittsburgh Steelers- QB Ryan Griffin (Tulane)

The Steelers are known to be interested in adding a developmental quarterback behind Ben Roethlisberger. They’ve worked Griffin out privately.

 

Go on to 7th round

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Two year mock draft

Rules

  • Prospects from 2012 and 2013 are eligible
  • This is based on how players were seen as prospects. We know Russell Wilson is awesome now, but he went in the 3rd round so he won’t go in the 1st round here.
  • 2013 needs and current rosters are taken into account.
  • A team cannot draft a player currently on their roster because that wouldn’t make any sense.

1. Kansas City Chiefs- QB Andrew Luck (Stanford)

This is pretty obvious. The Chiefs just traded for Alex Smith, but they wouldn’t have done that if a prospect like Andrew Luck were available to them #1 overall.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars- QB Robert Griffin (Baylor)

This is equally obvious. The Jaguars may or may not have interest in Geno Smith at #2, but they’d definitely have interest in Robert Griffin if he were available.

3. Oakland Raiders- QB Geno Smith (West Virginia)

I have the Raiders taking Geno Smith in my regular mock and he makes sense here for them too. I don’t think they’d take Matt Kalil or Trent Richardson and I think they’ll see Smith as more valuable to them than any defensive player in either draft class.

4. Philadelphia Eagles- OT Matt Kalil (USC)

The Eagles will probably take Eric Fisher at #4 if available. Matt Kalil is better than not just Eric Fisher, but also Luke Joeckel. He’d go #1 in 2013 if he were in this draft class. The Eagles would take him at 4 in a heartbeat.

5. Detroit Lions- RB Trent Richardson (Alabama)

The Lions have Reggie Bush as a change of pace back and Mikel Leshoure as a between the tackles guy, but they love taking the best available prospect and I don’t think they would pass on Trent Richardson.

6. Cleveland Browns- CB Morris Claiborne (LSU)

The Browns will be hoping that DeMarcus Milliner falls to them at 6 this year as cornerback is their biggest need. In this mock, they get a superior cornerback prospect in Claiborne.

7. Arizona Cardinals- OT Luke Joeckel (Texas A&M)

Joeckel will probably go #1 in 2013, but I have him 7th in this one, 2nd among 2013 prospects. That’s just how much better last year’s draft class was at the top. The only reason Joeckel wasn’t the highest drafted prospect from 2013 in this mock is because the Raiders didn’t need a left tackle. The Cardinals obviously do.

8. Buffalo Bills- QB Ryan Tannehill (Texas A&M)

The Bills would take Geno Smith in a heartbeat if he fell to them at 8 in reality. Some would argue that Tannehill is a superior quarterback prospect (I wouldn’t). Either way, quarterback is a massive need of the Bills’ so they take Tannehill here.

9. New York Jets- WR Justin Blackmon (Oklahoma State)

There isn’t a receiver like Justin Blackmon in the 2013 NFL Draft, but if there were, the Jets would take him in a heartbeat at 9.

10. Tennessee Titans- DT Sharrif Floyd (Florida)

The Titans get the top available defensive player from the 2013 NFL Draft. They have some nice defensive tackles, but none are the game changers Floyd can be in a 4-3.

11. San Diego Chargers- OT Eric Fisher (Central Michigan)

The Chargers will pray that one of 2013’s top-3 tackles will fall to them at 11 and they’d probably have to move up in reality. In this scenario, however, Fisher falls to them and they take him in a heartbeat.

12. Miami Dolphins- OT Lane Johnson (Oklahoma)

Like the Chargers, the Dolphins will probably also have to move up to take a left tackle if they want one, but not here as Lane Johnson falls to them at 12.

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- CB DeMarcus Milliner (Alabama)

The Buccaneers have a massive need at cornerback and will consider Xavier Rhodes and Desmond Trufant at 13. They’d take the superior Milliner in a heartbeat.

14. Carolina Panthers- S Mark Barron (Alabama)

The Panthers have all sorts of needs on the defensive side of the ball, with the exception of defensive end. Barron, the 7th overall pick in 2012, is easily the best available defensive prospect at this point in the draft (remember, they can’t redraft Kuechly).

15. New Orleans Saints- RLB Dion Jordan (Oregon)

The Saints badly need a pass rusher and they take the best available here. Jordan is a top-10 pick lock and could go as high as #2 to the Jaguars in reality.

16. St. Louis Rams- MLB Luke Kuechly (Boston College)

The Rams take a pure best available. Kuechly would move Laurinaitis to the outside and give the Rams two great every down linebackers.

17. Pittsburgh Steelers- RLB Ezekiel Ansah (BYU)

The Steelers are another team that gets a prospect that would never fall to them in real life. Rush linebacker is a need of theirs after they released James Harrison.

18. Dallas Cowboys- G Chance Warmack (Alabama)

The Cowboys will be lucky if Jonathan Cooper falls to them, so they’d take Chance Warmack in a heartbeat. He’d plug and play really well at right guard for them.

19. New York Giants- CB Stephon Gilmore (South Carolina)

The Giants take best available as they usually do. Gilmore was a top-10 pick in the superior 2012 draft class and helps a 31st ranked pass defense.

20. Chicago Bears- G Jonathan Cooper (North Carolina)

The Bears still have a massive need at left guard even after all of the money they spent on the offense this off-season. Cooper would plug and play there really well.

21. Cincinnati Bengals- WR Michael Floyd (Notre Dame)

Safety and linebacker are bigger needs for the Bengals, but none of those made any sense for them here so they take Floyd, the 13th pick in 2012, as a long term complement to AJ Green.

22. St. Louis Rams- WR Tavon Austin (West Virginia)

I have the Rams taking Tavon Austin at 16 in my regular mock, but he might not even make it to them there. He’d be a perfect fit for them as a replacement for Danny Amendola.

23. Minnesota Vikings- DT Fletcher Cox (Mississippi State)

I have the Vikings taking Sheldon Richardson here in reality. Cox, the 12th pick in the 2013 NFL Draft, is a better defensive tackle and might have been the #2 defensive tackle off the board behind Sharrif Floyd if he were in this draft class.

24. Indianapolis Colts- NT Dontari Poe (Memphis)

Defensive tackles went 11, 12, and 14 in 2013 and the Colts take the highest drafted of the bunch here. Cox goes ahead of him, but only because he’s a better 4-3 fit.

25. Minnesota Vikings- WR Kendall Wright (Baylor)

The Vikings almost have to come out of the first round with a wide receiver. Wright is the best available, narrowly edging out the bigger, but rawer Cordarrelle Patterson.

26. Green Bay Packers- 3-4 DE Star Lotulelei (Utah)

Lotulelei could go a lot higher depending on what his medical recheck in Indianapolis shows next month, but he’s a steal here for the Packers, who need defensive line help.

27. Houston Texans- WR Cordarrelle Patterson (Tennessee)

Patterson won’t fall to them in reality, but wide receiver is a big position of need for the Texans. He has the size they like.

28. Denver Broncos- DT Michael Brockers (LSU)

The Broncos finish off the top-3 defensive tackles from 2012. Brockers was a raw pass rusher coming out, but John Fox will like his ability to stuff the run from day 1.

29. New England Patriots- CB Xavier Rhodes (Florida State)

The Patriots get 2013’s #2 cornerback here at 29. I think they’d be pretty happy with that considering how poor their pass defense was last season, especially without Aqib Talib, who is only on a one year deal.

30. Atlanta Falcons- OLB Jarvis Jones (Georgia)

The Falcons grab a hometown pass rusher that can play in a 3-4.

31. San Francisco 49ers- S Kenny Vaccaro (Texas)

The 49ers could trade up for Vaccaro in reality because they have a big hole at safety after losing Dashon Goldson. They don’t have to here.

32. Baltimore Ravens- MLB Dont’a Hightower (Alabama)

The Ravens were known to have a lot of interest in Hightower last year. He went one pick before them to the Patriots so the Ravens traded out of the 1st round completely, but they get him here as a successor for Ray Lewis.

Denver Broncos sign CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie

Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie has a ton of talent and has definitely flashed in his career. He was the 16th overall pick in 2008 and made the Pro-Bowl in 2009, a year in which he graded out as ProFootballFocus’ 4th rated cornerback. However, he doesn’t always play up to his talent and he has inconsistent effort. He was a throw in to Philadelphia in the Kevin Kolb trade after graded out as ProFootballFocus’ worst cornerback in 2010 and he wasn’t much better in 2 years in Philadelphia.

Perhaps only being able to get a one-year prove it deal on the open market will wake him up. It might also help him that he’ll be on a competitive team for the first time since 2009, when his Cardinals won the NFC West. And if he doesn’t play up to his talent, well, it’s only a one year deal worth 5 million and the Broncos have other good cornerbacks. With Champ Bailey, DRC, Tony Carter, and Chris Harris, the Broncos could have the best pass defenses in the NFL in 2013 if everything goes right, after ranking 5th, allowing 6.4 YPA, in 2012.

Grade: B

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Cleveland Browns sign DE Desmond Bryant

I thought Desmond Bryant was an underrated free agent going into the off-season. Bryant played well for the Raiders on 645 snaps last year, taking over as a starter week 10 after Richard Seymour got hurt and grading out as ProFootballFocus’ #7 defensive tackle, excelling as a pass rusher and holding his own against the run. In 2011, he graded out slightly above average on 596 snaps, including 9 starts, and in 2010, he was very good on 333 snaps. He’s played both defensive tackle and defensive end for the Raiders in his career and at 6-6 300, he seems like a natural fit at 3-4 end for the Browns. I’m also not too worried about his recent arrest as it seems like that was an isolated incident.

He gives them a deep defensive line with Phil Taylor, Ahytba Rubin, John Hughes, and Billy Winn. I wasn’t expecting him to get 34 million over 5 years with 15 million guaranteed, but I don’t think it was a bad move. The Browns have now solidified all of the starting spots in their front 7 and will now try to trade down from 6 (unless DeMarcus Milliner falls), take a cornerback, wide receiver, tight end, or guard later in the first round, and gain back a 2nd rounder (which they currently are without) in the process. If they stay at 6, they may reach for Xavier Rhodes, Cordarelle Patterson, or Chance Warmack or take a depth front 7 player like Ezekiel Ansah. Mike Lombardi has made it known that he’d take a defensive lineman with every pick if he could.

Grade: B

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Philadelphia Eagles sign NT Isaac Sopoaga

Sopoaga barely played for the 49ers last season because they so infrequently were in their base 3-4 using a traditional nose tackle. He played 395 snaps in 19 games en route to the Super Bowl and he didn’t even play well in those snaps. Including post-season, only two defensive tackles graded out worse than him last season despite the limited playing time. On top of all that, he turns 32 in September. This 3 year, 12 million dollar deal with 5 million guaranteed suggests that the Eagles see Sopoaga as a starter and is that’s the case, they’re going to be disappointed.

Grade: C

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Miami Dolphins sign OLB Philip Wheeler

This random signing of a linebacker by the Dolphins wasn’t as bad as the Dannell Ellerbe atrocity. Wheeler played pretty well last season, grading out as ProFootballFocus’ 7th rated 4-3 outside linebacker, but you have to remember where he was a year ago. Last off-season, he didn’t even get a million dollars on a 1 year deal from the Raiders because he was only seen as a two-down linebacker. What if he was just a one year wonder?

26 million over 5 years with 13 million guaranteed is a lot to gamble on that, especially since the Dolphins didn’t really need an outside linebacker. Kevin Burnett was 4th rated among 4-3 outside linebackers last year, even better than Wheeler and he’s more of a proven commodity. Wheeler is a couple of years younger, but Burnett would have been cheaper this season. The Dolphins only saved 7.2 million in cap space by cutting Karlos Dansby and Burnett and burned much more cash and future cap space by replacing them with Ellerbe and Wheeler. They did get younger in the linebacking corps, but I don’t think they got better and they certainly didn’t get cheaper or more proven.

Grade: D

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Philadelphia Eagles sign TE James Casey

The Eagles already have Brent Celek, but James Casey isn’t a traditional tight end. He can play fullback and h-back as well and played 668 snaps in 18 games for the Texans last year even though they had both Owen Daniels and Garrett Graham. He caught 38 passes for 379 yards and 3 touchdowns on 48 targets, grading out above average as a pass catcher on ProFootballFocus, while holding his own as a blocker. He’ll probably be used in a similar role in Philadelphia, though I do like the fit with him and Chip Kelly a lot. 12 million over 3 years with 8 million guaranteed (with another 2.5 million available through incentives) might be a little much for him, but it’s a decent deal.

Grade: B

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