Cincinnati Bengals (0-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-0)
This game is between two teams in the Ravens and the Bengals who are much better at home than on the road. The Ravens are 41-9 at home since 2008, Joe Flacco and John Harbaugh’s first season with the team. As a result, they are 19-10 ATS as home favorites of less than 7 or home underdogs. Meanwhile, the Bengals went undefeated at home last season in the regular season, doing so by an average of 17.62 points per game and covering all 8 times. On the road, however, they went 3-5 and 2-5-1 ATS. That included losses to non-playoff teams like Cleveland, Miami, Chicago, and Pittsburgh and a close call in Buffalo.
The Bengals also lost last year in Baltimore and I don’t see why this season would be much different. The Bengals were better than their 11-5 record last season, finishing 3rd in rate of moving the chains differential, but that wasn’t the case on the road and, if anything, they’re less talented than last season with Anthony Collins, Michael Johnson, and Mike Zimmer gone. Geno Atkins returning from injury should help, but he’s a question mark in terms of his abilities in his first game back. Meanwhile, the Ravens should be better this season. I like them to once again defend their home field here and beat Cincinnati.
Baltimore Ravens 17 Cincinnati Bengals 10
Pick against spread: Baltimore -1
Confidence: High
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