Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-1)

Last week I mentioned the Ravens’ home dominance in the write up about their game against the Bengals. The Ravens weren’t able to beat the Bengals, even in Baltimore, but the Ravens are still historically very good at home in the John Harbaugh/Joe Flacco era. The Ravens are 41-10 at home since 2008, Joe Flacco and John Harbaugh’s first season with the team. As a result, they are 19-11 ATS as home favorites of less than 7 or home underdog.

Here they are favorites of just 2.5 points. I thought the Ravens and Steelers were very, very comparable in terms of talent level before the start of the season and so far there’s been nothing to suggest that was an incorrect evaluation. Given that, I really like getting the Ravens here as favorites of less than a field goal. Also helping the Ravens is that they don’t have any sort of big game to look forward to week 3, while Pittsburgh has to deal with Carolina that week. The Ravens go to Cleveland next week. Teams are 114-84 ATS since 1989 as divisional home favorites before being divisional road favorites. The Ravens should be the right side here.

Baltimore Ravens 17 Pittsburgh Steelers 9

Pick against spread: Baltimore -2.5

Confidence: Medium

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