Washington Redskins (1-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (2-0)

The Redskins looked very good in Kirk Cousins 2014 debut last week, as Robert Griffin went down with a significant ankle injury a few plays into what ended up being one of the most dominant performances by a team I’ve seen in a while. The Redskins moved the chains at an 84.09% rate, as opposed to 45.00% for the Jaguars. However, it was just the Jaguars so I’m still skeptical. He completed 52.3% of his passes for an average of 5.51 YPA, 4 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions in 3 starts against some of the worst defenses in the league (Atlanta, Dallas, NY Giants) last season.

Will the Redskins’ continue to have success this week? I like their chances. Philadelphia doesn’t have a good defense. They looked decent against Jacksonville week 1, but they were terrible last season and they let the Colts move the chains at a 77.78% rate last week in an eventual Philadelphia win. The Eagles also haven’t been as good offensively as last season, moving the chains at a 72.97% rate despite playing Indianapolis and Jacksonville, who don’t have good defenses. They’re going to continue to miss Evan Mathis, their best offensive lineman, this week.

This should be a shoot-out and I like the Redskins chances of at least keeping it close against a Philadelphia team that has stumbled out of the gates to 2-0. The Eagles are in a hard spot as they have to go to San Francisco next week, while the Redskins are home for the Giants next week. Divisional road underdogs are 57-41 ATS before being divisional home favorites since 2002. Meanwhile, teams are 89-54 ATS as underdogs before being favorites when their opponent will next be underdogs since 2010, including 90-55 ATS as road underdogs before being home favorites when their opponents will next be road underdogs since 2008. I’m grabbing the 6.5.

Philadelphia Eagles 31 Washington Redskins 30

Pick against spread: Washington +6.5

Confidence: High

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