Dallas Cowboys at St. Louis Rams: 2014 Week 3 NFL Pick

St. Louis Rams (1-1) at Dallas Cowboys (1-1)

This game is relatively meaningless for the Cowboys as compared to next week’s game against the Saints in Dallas. Teams are 74-117 ATS as road favorites before being home underdogs since 1989, including 20-39 ATS when both games are non-divisional. They could easily overlook the Rams. They can’t really afford to do that. The Cowboys get Orlando Scandrick back from suspension this week, but this is still one of the worst defenses in the NFL.

They were the worst defense in the NFL last season and then they lost Sean Lee, DeMarcus Ware, and Jason Hatcher, while only gaining Henry Melton, who still doesn’t look 100% coming off of an ACL tear. Austin Davis looked reasonable in Tampa Bay last week in his first career start, completing 22 of 29 for 235 yards, no touchdowns, and no interceptions. These two teams are more even this line (1.5 points in favor of Dallas) suggests and the Cowboys are in a bad spot. I like the Rams’ chances of winning this game.

St. Louis Rams 24 Dallas Cowboys 20 Upset Pick +100

Pick against spread: St. Louis +1.5

Confidence: Low

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