Oakland Raiders (0-2) at New England Patriots (1-1)

The trends say that the Patriots should be the right side, as they have another easy game coming up in Kansas City next week, while the Raiders host the Dolphins next week. Teams are 68-44 ATS since 2012 before being 3+ point road favorites the following week. However, I’m very hesitant to lay 14 points with the Patriots right now, even against the Raiders. The Patriots have won by a margin of more than 14 three times in their last 6 games, but they’ve only done so 5 times in their last 20 games.

Even in their recent blowout wins, the passing game hasn’t been that good as they’ve averaged 173 passing yards per game. Tom Brady has completed 59.6% of his passes for an average of 6.82 YPA, 32 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions in his last 22 games combined, including 56.8% of his passes for an average of 5.18 YPA, 5 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Their passing offense will get better as the season goes on as Rob Gronkowski comes closer to full health, but right now I don’t really trust them laying 14 points. I’m not confident in the Raiders at all, but they’re the pick here.

New England Patriots 24 Oakland Raiders 12

Pick against spread: Oakland +14

Confidence: None

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