Kansas City Chiefs (2-2) at San Francisco 49ers (2-2)

I’m completely torn on this one as there’s good reasons to take each side. On one hand, the 49ers usually cover as favorites of 3 or more as they’ve always beaten up on bad teams in the Jim Harbaugh era. They are 24-14 ATS in that situation since Harbaugh took over in 2011. However, I’m not sure the Chiefs are a bad team at all, while the 49ers haven’t looked right this season because of all the players they are missing to injuries and suspension. We might be getting a significant amount of line value with the Chiefs as 6 point underdogs.

The Chiefs looked fantastic last week in a 41-14 home win over the New England Patriots. They could easily carry that momentum into this week considering how well teams do off of blowout wins on Monday Night Football. Teams are 32-14 ATS since 2002 off of a 21+ point win on Monday Night Football. I’m taking the 49ers out of principle because the Chiefs are a publicly backed underdog, but I’m not confident at all.

San Francisco 49ers 23 Kansas City Chiefs 16

Pick against spread: San Francisco -6

Confidence: None

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