Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-4)

Jacksonville was in a perfect spot to finally cover the spread last week. They were 13.5 point underdogs, so they had a lot of room to play with, as a result of the fact that they lost by 21+ points in two straight weeks. Teams are 40-22 ATS since 2002 after back-to-back losses of 21 or more, as teams tend to be undervalued, overlooked, and embarrassed in that situation. And they still didn’t cover the spread, losing 33-14. They have covered just 6 of their last 21 games, dating back to week 17 of 2012. Over those 21 games, they lost 15 of them by double digits. They should get blown out again here as 7 point home underdogs against the Steelers.

Pittsburgh Steelers 31 Jacksonville Jaguars 17

Pick against spread: Pittsburgh -7

Confidence: Medium

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