Washington Redskins sign DE Ricky Jean-Francois

In Ricky Jean-Francois’ first trip to the open market in two off-seasons ago, he was given a 4-year, 22 million dollar deal by the Colts, a very weird move considering RJF had played just 715 snaps in 4 season with the 49ers from 2009-2012, after they drafted him in the 7th round. He did flash, grading out above average in both 2010 and 2011, but he didn’t deserve that kind of deal then and it predictably didn’t end well. The Colts cut him this off-season after two seasons. He made 23 starts in 26 games with the Colts and graded out about average in both seasons, but the Colts didn’t see him as worth his salary for 2015.

His second trip to the open market went differently, as the Redskins signed him to a 3-year, 9 million dollar deal with 4 million guaranteed. That’s much more appropriate for him. He’ll slot in as a starter opposite Jason Hatcher at 3-4 defensive end for the Redskins and be an immediate upgrade over Jarvis Jenkins, who graded out 45th out of 47 eligible at his position in 2014. Jenkins is a free agent, while overpaid, aging reserves Barry Cofield and Stephen Bowen, who both struggled mightily last season, are expected to be cut.

Grade: A-

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Dallas Cowboys re-sign WR Cole Beasley

Cole Beasley is an ascending slot receiver who has seen his snaps go up in every season since he went undrafted in 2012, playing 128 snaps in 2012, 247 snaps in 2013, and 443 snaps in 2014, grading out above average in each of the last 2 seasons. In 2014, he caught 37 passes for 420 yards and 4 touchdowns on 48 targets (77.1%) and 308 routes run (1.36 yards per route run). The Cowboys could have kept him in the 2 million dollar range for 2015 as a restricted free agent on a 2nd round tender, but instead decided to commit to him long-term with this 4-year, 13.6 million dollar deal that will guarantee him 7 million over the first 2 seasons. It’s a gamble because he’s still relatively unproven, but it could pay off as he could have gotten a deal similar to the one Doug Baldwin got last off-season (3 years, 13 million with 8.5 million guaranteed) on the open market next off-season if he had another solid season.

Grade: B-

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Buffalo Bills trade MLB Kiko Alonso to Philadelphia Eagles for RB LeSean McCoy

Trade for Eagles: I’m probably going against the grain with this, but I love this deal. People are wondering who will replace McCoy. Well, it’s a deep running back draft and a deep running back free agency class. It’s going to be tough to find someone to replace McCoy’s 2013 production, when he rushed for 1607 yards and 9 touchdowns on 314 carries (5.12 YPC) and added 52 catches for 539 yards and another two touchdowns. It’s not going to be that tough to find someone to replace McCoy’s 2014 production, when he rushed for 1319 yards and 5 touchdowns on 312 carries (4.23 YPC) and added just 28 catches for 155 yards.

McCoy could bounce back in 2015, but there’s evidence to suggest he won’t. He’s only graded out higher than 10th among running backs on Pro Football Focus once in 6 years in the league (2013) and he’s going into his age 27 season with 1761 touches at a position that doesn’t have a long lifespan. He’s a good, not great running back in a league where running backs rarely get the kind of money McCoy is still owed over the next 3 seasons (24.25 million).

Kiko Alonso, meanwhile, is owed just 1.7 million over the next 2 seasons on his rookie deal. Like McCoy, he had a strong 2013 that he didn’t replicate in 2014. Alonso graded out as Pro Football Focus’ 9th ranked middle linebacker in 2013, but missed all of 2014 with a torn ACL. However, I like his chances of bouncing back more than McCoy because he’s only going into his age 25 season at a position with a much longer lifespan. A torn ACL is hard to recover from, but Alonso suffered that injury back in June of 2014 and has youth on his side.

He’ll be an obvious upgrade over DeMeco Ryans, who graded out as Pro Football Focus’ 53rd ranked middle linebacker out of 55 eligible in 2013, before missing 8 games with a torn Achilles in 2014. He and Mychal Kendricks will be a strong, young middle linebacker duo for the Eagles inside. The Eagles also will save 6.9 million on the cap by letting Ryans go. Between that and the 8.55 million they saved from trading McCoy, this move saves them about 15 million on the cap (Alonso’s cap number for the Eagles will be about 750K this season). That’s a significant amount for a team that figures to be major players in free agency. This move could allow them to add someone like Devin McCourty to their secondary and have cap room left over.

Grade: A

Trade for Bills: I don’t hate this deal for the Bills as much as I love it for the Eagles. The reason for that is that Preston Brown and Nigel Bradham both broke out as every down linebackers for the Bills in 2014 in Alonso’s absence and they could still re-sign Brandon Spikes, a solid two-down run stopper. However, you still don’t trade a younger, cheaper player for an older, more expensive player, at a position with a shorter careerspan. I would have liked to see the Bills pick up some sort of draft pick in this deal. I’m not sure McCoy would have gotten 24.25 million over 3 years on the open market if he was a free agent this off-season. The Bills are giving up that and a talented young linebacker for him. It’s not a good deal.

Grade: D

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Carolina Panthers 2015 NFL Off-Season Preview

Positions of Need

Offensive Tackle

Byron Bell was arguably the weakest starting left tackle in the NFL going into the season and he played about as expected, grading out 85th out of 86 eligible offensive tackles. He’s a free agent this off-season and the Panthers desperately need to find an upgrade. On the right side, Nate Chandler was also a disaster, grading out 68th out of 84 eligible offensive tackles in 11 games before going down for the season with an injury. Even if Mike Remmers, a 2014 undrafted free agent who played well at right tackle down the stretch in Chandler’s absence, is the solution on the right side, they still need help on the left side and they could easily need to add two offensive tackles.

Wide Receiver

The Panthers were one of five teams with two 1000+ yard receivers (Calvin Johnson/Golden Tate, Vincent Jackson/Mike Evans, Randall Cobb/Jordy Nelson, Demaryius Thomas/Emmanuel Sanders). However, that was largely because they didn’t have any receiving options after Kelvin Benjamin and Greg Olsen. Those two received 49.25% of the Panthers targets, the highest percentage by any two teammates. Olsen is a tight end anyway. They desperately need wide receiver help after Benjamin on the depth chart. The Panthers’ next three wide receivers (Jerricho Cotchery, Jason Avant, and Philly Brown) combined for just 4 more targets than Benjamin. Cotchery is going into his age 33 season, Avant was cut mid-season, Brown is just a slot receiver that went undrafted in 2014, and all 3 of them graded out below average in pass catching grade.

Cornerback

Antoine Cason led Panther cornerbacks in snaps played last season, but he graded out as Pro Football Focus’ 97th ranked cornerback out of 108 eligible last season and was cut before the end of the season. Josh Norman, Melvin White, and Bene Benwikere were next in snaps played. Norman and Benwikere both graded out above average, but Norman graded out below average as a 5th round rookie in 2012 and then again in 2013, while Benwikere was a mere 5th round rookie this season, so both of them are hard to trust into 2015. White, meanwhile, graded out 94th out of 108 eligible cornerbacks in 2014. He’s graded out below average in both seasons since he went undrafted in 2013. They could add this off-season.

Safety

Roman Harper and Thomas DeCoud were signed as reclamation projects last off-season for the Panthers. DeCoud graded out below average in 2012 and 2013, including 82nd out of 86 eligible in 2013. Harper, meanwhile, graded out below average in 2011, 2012, and 2013, including 86th out of 88 eligible in 2012. Harper was decent in 2014, but he’s going into his age 33 season, while DeCoud once again graded out below average. Reserve Tre Boston was decent, but he was an inexperienced 4th round rookie, so they could still add at the position this off-season.

Defensive End

The Panthers have already said they won’t be re-signing Greg Hardy, after suspending him for 15 games as a result of off-the-field issues. They didn’t fare well opposite Charles Johnson in his absence last season as Wes Horton, Mario Addison, and Kony Ealy graded out 49th, 39th, and 56th respectively out of 59 eligible 4-3 defensive ends. Kony Ealy was a 2nd round pick in 2014, so he could be better in 2015 and he’s still a big part of their future plans, but they need to add to the position.

Tight End

Wide receiver isn’t the only place where the Panthers have depth problems in the receiving corps. Ed Dickson was predictably horrible as their #2 tight end last season, grading out 60th out of 67 eligible. He was Pro Football Focus’ 63rd ranked tight end out of 64 eligible in 2013 with Baltimore before the Panthers signed him so that shouldn’t have been a surprise and they shouldn’t bring him back as a free agent. Adding a 2nd tight end would help this offense.

Key Free Agents

DE Greg Hardy

Greg Hardy had such a bright future at this time last year, after grading out as Pro Football Focus’ 2nd ranked 4-3 defensive end in 2013 and their 6th ranked in 2012. The Panthers, eager to keep him long-term, franchised tagged Hardy last off-season, guaranteeing him 13.1 million for 2015, but they would end up regretting that. Hardy was arrested for and convicted of domestic violence in the off-season. He was allowed by the NFL to play for the Panthers week 1 because he was appealing the verdict, but public pressure forced the Panthers inactivate Hardy for the final 15 games of the season, meaning the Panthers got just 1 game for that 13.1 million. Hardy is still young (going into his age 27 season), still talented, and got the charges dropped this off-season, but he could be rusty, he got the charges dropped on a technicality, he’s still facing a suspension from the NFL, and he remains an off-the-field risk long-term. The Panthers have already said they’re moving on from him. It’ll be interesting to see what his market is this off-season. If he’s smart, he’ll take a one-year deal, bet on himself, stay clean and make a boatload of money next off-season.

G Fernando Velasco

Fernando Velasco was the Titans’ 11th ranked center in 2012, but the Titans still made him a final cut the following off-season. It was a curious move at the time, but now it makes a little bit more sense. That 2012 season is very uncharacteristic when you look at his whole career. The only other season he’s graded out above average since entering the league in 2008 was 2011, when he played just 28 snaps. Since being released by the Titans, he graded out below average on 758 snaps at center in 2013 in Pittsburgh in place of an injured Maurkice Pouncey and below average on 407 snaps at guard in 2014 with the Panthers. He’s a reserve interior offensive lineman.

DT Dwan Edwards

Dwan Edwards has graded out below average in each of the last 5 seasons, averaging 595 snaps per season over that time period. In 2014, he graded out 63rd out of 81 eligible defensive tackles on 591 snaps. Going into his age 34 season, things aren’t going to get better. He won’t draw a big market this off-season and might end up retiring. If he plays next year, he’ll probably be signed late in the off-season and have a small role.

TE Ed Dickson

Ed Dickson has graded out below average in 4 of 5 seasons in the NFL (4 with the Ravens and the last one with the Panthers) since the Ravens drafted him in the 3rd round in 2010, including each of the last 3 seasons. He’s been especially bad in each of the past 2 seasons, grading out 63rd out of 64 eligible tight end in 2013 and 60th out of 67 eligible in 2014. He’s a fringe roster player.

OT Byron Bell

Byron Bell is experienced, with 56 starts in 4 seasons since the Panthers signed him as an undrafted free agent in 2011, but he’s not very good. He was horrible to start his career at right tackle, grading out 69th out of 76 eligible in 2011, 61st out of 80 eligible in 2012, and 53rd out of 76 eligible in 2013. Predictably, he wasn’t better in 2014 when forced to play the blindside, grading out 83rd out of 84 eligible. He’s a swing tackle at best and not a very good one. The Panthers have already said they aren’t going to be bringing him back in any capacity

Cap Casualty Candidates

RB DeAngelo Williams

The Panthers signed DeAngelo Williams to a massive 5-year, 43 million dollar deal in the 2011 off-season and, even after a restructured contract with a severe pay cut given to him two off-seasons ago, the Panthers are only now at the point where they can release Williams as a post-June cut and save on the cap. They’ll only save 2 million on the cap by doing that and they won’t even have him completely off their cap until 2017, but they’ll save 2 million in cash and Williams is going into his age 32 season and coming off of a season in which he missed 10 games with injury and averaged just 3.53 yards per carry. Jonathan Stewart is much younger and played way better last season.

FB Mike Tolbert

Mike Tolbert has had some good years, but he’s coming off of a season in which he was Pro Football Focus’ 22nd ranked fullback out of 23eligible. He could bounce back in 2015, but he’s going into his age 30 season and his 2.45 million dollar salary is a lot for a fullback who isn’t one of the best in the NFL so he might not even be worth his salary even if he does bounce back. The Panthers can save that entire amount on the cap by letting him go.

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Arizona Cardinals 2015 NFL Off-Season Preview

Positions of Need

Outside Linebacker

With John Abraham playing just 37 snaps thanks to a serious concussion, the Cardinals really struggled to rush the passer this season, particularly from the outside linebacker position. Alex Okafor led the position in snaps played, but graded out 45th out of 46 eligible 3-4 outside linebackers. Sam Acho was better, but he only played 483 snaps and now is a free agent. Help is needed at the position this off-season. Matt Shaughnessy should be healthier in 2015 after missing 8 games with injury in 2014, but he’s only a marginal player at best.

Guard

The Cardinals’ guard play was horrendous last season. Starters Paul Fanaika and Ted Larsen graded out 71st and 68th out of 78 eligible guards respectively last season. Fanaika is a free agent, while Larsen could be a cap casualty or benched this off-season. The Cardinals drafted Jonathan Cooper 7th overall in the 2013 NFL Draft, making him the highest drafted true guard in over two decades, and he’s been a massive bust thus far, struggling with injuries and performance, playing just 189 snaps in 2 seasons combined in the NFL. It’s possible he morphs into a starter in 2015, but the Cardinals still need to add more talent at this position this off-season.

Middle Linebacker

Larry Foote led Cardinal middle linebackers in snaps played last season, but he was horrible, grading out 56th out of 60 eligible players. A free agent going into his age 35 season, Foote is likely done in the NFL and is expected to take a coaching job with the Cardinals. Kevin Minter, a 2013 2nd round pick, did a decent job in the two-down role next to Washington, with a 3rd safety usually playing around the line of scrimmage as a 2nd linebacker in sub packages. Daryl Washington is a talented middle linebacker when on the field and more than capable of playing the three-down role, but he missed the entire 2014 season with suspension and might not be reinstated for the start of the 2015 season. His checkered off-the-field history makes him a shaky bet moving forward. The Cardinals should add here at some point this off-season.

Running Back

The Cardinals ranked dead last in the NFL in yards per carry last season, averaging 3.29 yards per carry. That was largely a result of Andre Ellington averaging 3.28 yards per carry on 201 carries as the lead back, as he struggled through a variety of injuries, before eventually getting shut down for the season late in the season. Ellington averaged 5.53 yards per carry in 2013 as a 6th round rookie, but that was on just 118 carries and, considering his injury history dates back to his days at Clemson, there’s a good chance that the 5-9 199 pound back isn’t capable of staying healthy over 250-300 carries. The Cardinals seem confident going into 2015 with him as the starter, but they need to upgrade their depth behind him, given how unreliable he is. The trio of Kerwynn Williams, Stepfan Taylor, Marion Grice averaged 3.78 yards per carry last season and has essentially no proven NFL success.

Cornerback

Antonio Cromartie did a solid job, making 16 starts for the Cardinals last season and playing pretty well, but he’s a free agent this off-season. Everything sounds like he’s New York bound to re-join the Jets and former Arizona defensive coordinator Todd Bowles. Jerraud Powers was their 3rd cornerback last season. He has experience as a starter and he’s done a solid job in the past when counted on in that role, including 2013 with the Cardinals, but the Cardinals will need to replenish depth, assuming Cromartie does, in fact, leave.

Center

Lyle Sendlein was horrible last season, grading out as Pro Football Focus’ 40th ranked center out of 41 eligible. He’s been a solid veteran for them for years and he’s definitely had better days, but he’s now going into his age 31 season. The Cardinals can save 3.15 million in cash and cap space by letting him go this off-season and they could find a cheaper, better starter in free agency.

Defensive Tackle

Dan Williams is a free agent this off-season. He’s been their starting nose tackles essentially for 5 seasons since they drafted him in the 1st round in 2010, making 40 starts over that time period, including 9 last season. The Cardinals will have to replace him if they’re unable to retain him this off-season as they don’t have a clear successor on the roster.

Quarterback

Things aren’t terrible at quarterback, but there is uncertainty. Ryan Lindley was a train wreck down the stretch when he was forced into the starting lineup as a 3rd stringer. He probably won’t be in the NFL at all next season. Logan Thomas was a 4th round pick of the Cardinals in 2014, but it’s very concerning that he couldn’t make it on to the field over Lindley. Thomas completed just 1 of 8 NFL attempts last season and struggled in practice. The history of 4th round quarterbacks becoming starters isn’t great, so he’s hard to rely on as a long-term solution. Drew Stanton flashed at times, but ultimately proved to be the backup caliber quarterback we thought he was all along, completing 55.0% of his passes for an average of 7.13 YPA, 7 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions, while grading out as Pro Football Focus’ 31st ranked quarterback out of 39 eligible. Carson Palmer was easily the best of the bunch. The Cardinals moved the chains at a 73.58% rate when he started and a 67.03% rate when he didn’t. However, going into his age 36 season and two career ACL tears, he’s not a long-term solution and, with one of those ACL tears coming just back in November, he’s iffy for the short-term as well. It’ll be tough for them to find a long-term solution this off-season, but this is somewhere they could add.

Key Free Agents

CB Antonio Cromartie

Antonio Cromartie made 63 of 64 starts from 2009-2012 with the Jets and Chargers and graded out above average in all 4 seasons, maxing out at 18th in 2012. Cromartie started all 16 games for the Jets again in 2013, but graded out 102nd out of 110 eligible and ended up being a cap casualty. He was forced to settle for a 1-year, prove it deal with the Cardinals and the common opinion is that he did prove it and deserves a big contract this off-season. That’s only half true though as, while Cromartie was dominant to start the season, he was horrible in the 2nd half of the season and ended up grading out below average overall. Going into his age 31 season, Cromartie is simply no longer capable of consistently showing top cornerback ability and shouldn’t be paid more than an average starter. A strong candidate to be overpaid this off-season, it’s no secret that Cromartie would like to go back to the Jets and reunite with Todd Bowles. Bowles is now the Head Coach of the Jets after doing a fantastic job as defensive coordinator with the Cardinals in 2013 and 2014.

DT Dan Williams

Dan Williams was a first round pick by the Cardinals in 2010 as a 6-2 327 pounder with rare movement and pass rush abilities for his size. Williams never quite lived up to his billing, maxing out at 428 snaps and primarily just playing in base packages, but he graded out above average in 4 of 5 seasons, including each of the last 3 seasons and he had his best season in his contract year in 2014. He played all 16 games for the first time in his career and graded out as Pro Football Focus’ 14th ranked defensive tackle on just 427 snaps. On top of that, he actually graded out above average as a pass rusher, something he’s done in each of the last 2 seasons after grading out below average in that aspect in each of his first 3 seasons. It’s possible his best football is still ahead of him, going into his age 28 season.

OLB John Abraham

John Abraham is the active all-time leader in sacks and a potential future Hall-of-Famer (he’d get my vote), after grading out as a top-4 4-3 defensive end on Pro Football Focus in every season from 2007-2012 with the Falcons. Because of his size, he didn’t get signed until July 2013, when the Cardinals gave him a 2-year, 4.6 million dollar deal to play rush linebacker in their 3-4, a position he’d never played before. Abraham proved to be a tremendous steal in the first year of his contract, grading out 13th at his new position, but the same cannot be said about the second year of his contract, as he was limited to 37 snaps by a serious concussion. Now going into his age 37 season, he’ll be looking at one-year, incentive laden deals with minimal guaranteed money, assuming he wants to continue his career. He’s reportedly 50/50 to retire as of this writing.

DE Tommy Kelly

Tommy Kelly looked done after 2013. He was going into his age 34 season, off of a 2013 season in which he played just 5 games before tearing his ACL and a 2012 season in which he graded out as Pro Football Focus’ 80th ranked defensive tackle out of 85 eligible. He was released by the Patriots and Raiders respectively following those two seasons. However, the Cardinals gave him a chance on a cheap deal in late August after Darnell Dockett tore his ACL and it paid off as he turned back the clock in Arizona, grading out as Pro Football Focus’ 17th ranked 3-4 defensive end. Kelly heads into his 3rd straight free agency with a lot more leverage than his past 2 free agencies, even going into his age 35 season. Returning to the Cardinals on a cheap deal makes a lot of sense for both sides as Dockett is expected to be a cap casualty this off-season.

OLB Sam Acho

Sam Acho was a 4th round pick by the Cardinals in 2011. He made 26 starts in his first 2 seasons combined, but it was clear he was forced into starting action too quickly, as he graded out 25th out of 28 eligible in 2011 and 31st out of 34 eligible in 2012. In 2013, he played just 104 snaps in 3 games (2 starts) before going down for the season with a broken leg, but he bounced back to grade out above average in 2014 for the first time in his career, doing so on 483 snaps. Now he hits free agency and can make a decent amount of money as a reserve somewhere.

TE Rob Housler

Rob Housler came into the NFL with a lot of promise, drafted in the 3rd round in the 2011 NFL Draft by the Cardinals after running a 4.55 40 at 6-5 248. However, he never lived up to that potential, grading out below average in all 4 seasons he’s been in the NFL and averaging 418 snaps played per season, including just 327 snaps in his contract year in 2014. He never developed as a blocker and caught just 105 passes in 55 career games. I don’t expect him back in Arizona, as Bruce Arians prefers tight ends who can at least block. He’ll try to catch on somewhere as a reserve tight end.

G Paul Fanaika

Paul Fanaika, a 2009 7th round pick, was given a 1-year contract extension after his first NFL career start in week 1 of the 2013 season. That’s how much they liked him. He never lived up to their expectations though. He started 30 games over the past 2 seasons, but he wasn’t good, grading out 76th out of 81 eligible guards in 2013 and 71st out of 78 eligible guards in 2014. The Cardinals may opt to bring him back if Bruce Arians still sees something in him, but they should look to do better than him in the starting lineup.

MLB Larry Foote

Larry Foote had a solid prime of his career as a linebacker in Pittsburgh and Detroit, but he’s graded out below average in each of the last 4 seasons, including 56th out of 60 eligible in 2014. Going into his age 35 season, he appears to be at the end of the line. He’s already accepted a coaching job with the Cardinals and, even though the language of his coaching contract is flexible enough that he could get out of it to take a playing job, there’s a very good chance he’s played his last snaps.

Cap Casualty Candidates

DE Darnell Dockett

Darnell Dockett is going into his age 34 season coming off of a torn ACL, but that’s not the only problem. Even in his prime, he was never that good, particularly struggling mightily against the run. From 2007-2013, he graded out below average in 6 of 7 seasons, including 26th out of 28 eligible 3-4 defensive ends in 2008, 31st out of 39 eligible in 2009, 34th of out 42 eligible in 2010, and dead last among eligible in 2012. Owed 6.8 million dollars guaranteed this off-season on a team with cap issues, he’s a virtual lock to be let go. The Cardinals would save that whole amount on the cap by doing so.

WR Ted Ginn

Ginn has been a massive bust as the 9th overall pick in the 2007 NFL Draft, but he’s managed to stay in the league 8 years because of what he does in the return game. He averages 11.09 yards per punt return and 22.93 yards per kickoff return with 7 total special teams touchdowns in his career. However, when the Cardinals signed him to the 3-year, 9.75 million dollar contract that they signed him to last off-season, they did so expecting him to contribute as a pass catcher. Ginn has never been much of a pass catcher, but graded out above average as a pass catcher the first time in 2013. The Cardinals were mistaken to think that though as Ginn fell behind 3rd round rookie John Brown on the depth chart to start the season and ended up catching just 14 passes for 190 yards. Going into his age 30 season with Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Floyd, and John Brown all locked in ahead of him, Ginn isn’t worth his 3.25 million dollar non-guaranteed salary for 2015 and the Cardinals can save 2.5 million by releasing him.

C Lyle Sendlein

Lyle Sendlein was horrible last season, grading out as Pro Football Focus’ 40th ranked center out of 41 eligible. He’s been a solid veteran for them for years and he’s definitely had better days, but he’s now going into his age 31 season. The Cardinals can save 3.15 million in cash and cap space by letting him go this off-season and they could find a cheaper, better starter in free agency.

G Ted Larsen

Like Sendlein, Larsen struggled as a starter last season, grading out 68th out of 78 eligible guards. Teams don’t usually cut starters unless they have massive salaries, even if they were ineffective, but the Cardinals can save 2.2 million on the cap and in cash by letting Larsen go, money they could use on an upgrade. Larsen isn’t worth starting caliber money.

TE John Carlson

John Carlson was a disaster in his first season as the starting tight end in Arizona, grading out 65th out of 67 eligible tight ends on Pro Football Focus. He caught just 33 passes for 350 yards and 1 touchdown on 49 targets (67.3%) and 384 routes run (0.91 yards per route run). He also struggled as a blocker, grading out 65th in that aspect, which is something that had to disappoint Bruce Arians, who loves tight ends who can block. The Cardinals can save 1.6 million on the cap and cash by letting him go this off-season and they have 2014 2nd round pick Troy Niklas ready for a bigger role in 2015.

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Cleveland Browns sign QB Josh McCown

The average annual salary on this deal isn’t terrible as it’s a 3-year, 14 million dollar deal with incentives that could make it worth up to 20 million. The issue is that McCown will get 6.25 million guaranteed, including a fully guaranteed 5.25 million dollar base salary for 2015. That first year’s guaranteed base salary is more than any quarterback got on the open market last off-season as the likes of Michael Vick, Chad Henne, Matt Cassel etc all got 5 million dollars or less in guaranteed first year money last off-season.

That batch of quarterbacks includes Josh McCown, who, last off-season, parlayed a strong extended stretch as the Bears’ starting quarterback in the absence of Jay Cutler into a 2-year, 10 million dollar deal with the Buccaneers that paid him 4.75 million guaranteed in his first year. If McCown was only worth that then, after a 2013 season in which he completed 66.5% of his passes for an average of 8.17 YPA, 13 touchdowns, and 1 interception, how he is worth more now, after a disastrous 2014 season, especially since he’s now another year older, going into his age 36 season.

In 2014, McCown won just 1 of 11 starts, completing 56.3% of his passes for an average of 6.75 YPA, 11 touchdowns, and 14 interceptions. The Buccaneers moved the chains at a mere 63.46% rate in the 10 games McCown started and finished and it wasn’t like McCown didn’t have talent around him. The Buccaneers’ offensive supporting cast was far from perfect, but Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson were one of four wide receiver duos to both have 1000+ yard seasons in 2014. The Browns don’t have anyone as good as either one of those two in their receiving corps. Overall, McCown graded out as Pro Football Focus’ 34th ranked quarterback out of 39 eligible in 2014.

McCown’s 2013 was obviously better, but he’ll be two years removed from that in 2015, which is even more of a concern as he goes into his later 30s. Besides, that season was the clear outlier as, prior to that, the last season he had a quarterback rating higher than 70 was 2006. In his career, McCown completes 58.8% of his passes for an average of 6.63 YPA, 61 touchdowns, and 59 interceptions. I know the quarterback market is very weak this off-season, but that doesn’t mean that you should give a backup caliber player like McCown this kind of guaranteed money. They could have gotten someone like Colt McCoy or Jake Locker for half this price and at least they have enough youth to have upside. The Browns better hope Johnny Manziel can get it together this off-season otherwise they’re going to have a very tough time moving the ball in 2015.

Grade: D

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