Denver Broncos (2-2) at New York Jets (1-3)

The Jets are one of the worst teams in the league, but are strangely favored by a point at home against a decent Denver team. Under ordinary circumstances, the Broncos would be a smart bet this week, but they’re also in a tough spot, coming off of a close loss against the undefeated Chiefs, with a big home game against the undefeated Rams on deck. The Broncos are 6 point underdogs in that game on the early line and teams are just 42-77 ATS before being home underdogs of 4.5+ since 2014. The Broncos should still win this game relatively easily, but this could easily be a trap game for them so I wouldn’t recommend betting this one.

Denver Broncos 20 New York Jets 17 Upset Pick +100

Pick against the spread: Denver +1

Confidence: Low