New York Jets at Philadelphia Eagles: 2019 Week 5 NFL Pick

New York Jets (0-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (2-2)

This line is pretty high at Philadelphia -14, but I don’t think it’s high enough. In their last game, the Jets were 21-point underdogs at New England and only covered because they got two late return touchdowns off of a muffed punt and a pick six thrown by backup quarterback Jarrett Stidham when Tom Brady was taken out of the game with the game in hand. The Eagles aren’t the Patriots, but I have them third in my roster rankings, so they’re not far behind. They’re only 2-2, but both of their losses were close and they won the first down rate battle in one of them. 

The Jets had their bye last week, but it didn’t help them get healthier, as they will remain without starting quarterback Sam Darnold, top offensive lineman Kelechi Osemele, top linebacker CJ Mosley, and top edge defender Jordan Jenkins, with only defensive lineman Quinnen Williams able to get healthy over the bye. The Eagles are also coming off of a mini bye as well, with their last game coming on Thursday Night Football against the Packers. I have them calculated as 18-point favorites against a depleted Jets team that is starting a third string quarterback.

The only thing preventing me from betting on the Eagles is that they’re not in a great spot, with a much tougher game in Minnesota on deck. The Eagles are 3-point underdogs in that game on the early line and favorites of 10+ are just 63-84 ATS since 2002 before being underdogs, including just 14-28 ATS as favorites of 13+ points. They can still cover this spread even if they don’t play their best game though.

Philadelphia Eagles 27 New York Jets 10

Pick against the spread: Philadelphia -14

Confidence: Low

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