Tennessee Titans: 2012 Week 2 Power Rankings (#11)

Last week: 8 (-3)

Record: 0-1

This is the last of the rankings that don’t make any sense, I promise. Before the season, I had the Titans as better than the Ravens. Are Titans better than Ravens? Probably not, but I’m not flip flopping after 1 week. I’d rather just be wrong than flip flop and turn out to be right all along. The Titans ran into the wrong team last week, while the Ravens blew out an overrated Cincinnati team.

The positive for the Titans: Jake Locker looked good in his debut, completing 23 of 32 for 229 yards, 1 touchdown, and an interception despite being under pressure all game and should only get better as the season goes on and he gets Kenny Britt back (he’ll have him this week). They won’t have to play the Patriots again and against easier matchups, their defense and their running game should bounce back (I’m more confident in the former). Nothing that happened in either the Patriots/Titans or Bengals/Ravens game surprised me, so I’m not really moving these teams much.

Tennessee

Studs

QB Jake Locker: 23 of 32 for 229 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception, 1 hit as thrown, 3 dropped passes 95.3 adjusted QB rating, pressured 14 times

ROLB Akeem Ayers: 9 tackles, 1 assist, 3 stops on 33 run snaps, 3 quarterback pressures on 10 blitzes, allowed 3 catches for 35 yards on 3 attempts

DT Mike Martin: 1 quarterback hit and 3 quarterback pressures on 17 pass rush snaps, 3 solo tackles, 1 assist, 1 stop on 18 run snaps

Duds

RG LeRoy Harris: Allowed 1 sack, 2 quarterback hits, and 2 quarterback pressures on 38 pass block plays, run blocked for -3 yards on 1 carry

LT Michael Roos: Allowed 1 sack and 2 quarterback pressures on 50 pass block plays, run blocked for 4 yards on 2 carries

RT David Stewart: Allowed 3 quarterback pressures on 50 pass block plays, run blocked for 0 yards on 0 carries

C Francisco Velasco: Allowed 2 quarterback pressures on 50 pass block plays, run blocked for 4 yards on 6 carries

LG Steve Hutchinson: Allowed 2 quarterback pressures on 50 pass block plays, 1 penalty, run blocked for 3 yards on 3 carries

RB Chris Johnson: 4 yards rushing (11 after contact) on 11 carries, 6 catches for 47 yards on 7 targets

WR Nate Washington: Caught 2 passes for 53 yards and a touchdown on 7 targets on 35 pass plays, 10.5 YAC per catch, 1 interception when thrown to, 3 drops,

SS Michael Griffin: Allowed 2 catches for 30 yards and a touchdown on 3 carries, 2 solo tackles, 1 assist, 4 missed tackles, 1 stop on 33 run snaps

LOLB Will Witherspoon: 2 solo tackles and 1 stop on 21 run snaps, allowed 1 catch for 7 yards on 2 attempts

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St. Louis Rams: 2012 Week 2 NFL Power Rankings (#12)

Last week: 12 (+0)

Record: 0-1

And here’s the other half of the controversial prediction. On one hand, I nailed the Rams/Lions game. The Rams showed they were a better team than last year on both sides of the ball. On the other hand, my prediction of the Rams in the playoff only makes sense if the 49ers don’t prove me wrong. If Alex Smith improbably becomes a true franchise quarterback at age 28, proving Jim Harbaugh to be a genius, allowing them to win in spite of the regressed turnover differential and more injuries they almost definitely will suffer, the Rams don’t have much of a chance to get in the playoffs as a wild card in a loaded NFC. I’m sticking with this one more week. We’ll see what happens this week.

A few concerning things for the Rams, they lost two starters on the offensive line to injury, center Scott Wells and left tackle Rodger Saffold. Part of my reasoning for an improved Rams team was an improved offensive line, with Scott Wells coming in and Rodger Saffold coming back from injury. That can’t really happen if both are hurt. The other thing was that Steven Jackson looked pretty done. History suggests he should have one more good year in him, but that’s no guarantee and he was just held to 53 yards on 21 carries by a Lions run defense that ranked 28th in the league in 2011. If he is done, three things will need to happen. The coaching staff will need to reduce his role. He will have to accept this reduced role without being upset. And rookies Isaiah Pead and Daryl Richardson will have to prove themselves capable of larger roles. That’s easier said than done, but if they can do that, they should still be able to run the conservative offense they’ll need to run to win games.

Studs

CB Cortland Finnegan: Allowed 6 catches for 46 yards on 8 attempts, 1 interception, 9 solo tackles, 3 stops and 1 missed tackle on 20 run plays

CB Bradley Fletcher: Allowed 2 catches for 12 yards on 2 attempts, 2 pass deflections, 3 solo tackles on 17 run snaps

K Greg Zuerlein: 6 kickoffs, 4 touchbacks, 65.0 yards per kickoff, 19.5 average starting distance, 3/3 FG (29, 46, 48)

Duds

RT Barry Richardson: Allowed 1 sack, 2 quarterback hits, and 1 quarterback pressure on 31 pass block plays, run blocked for 4 rushing yards on 2 carries

SS Quentin Mikell: Allowed 5 catches for 65 yards on 5 attempts, 7 solo tackles, 2 missed tackles, and 2 run stops on 20 run snaps

DT Kendall Langford: 0 sacks, quarterback hits, or quarterback pressures on 26 pass rush snaps, 1 solo tackle on 14 run snaps, 1 penalty

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San Francisco 49ers: 2012 Week 2 Power Ranking (#13)

Last week: 19 (+6)

Record: 1-0

This is the 2nd straight controversial ranking. I had the 49ers missing the playoffs before the season and the Rams making it. I don’t want to repeat myself with the reason, but basically it was because the Rams would have better injury luck, better coaching, and the addition of guys through free agency, while the 49ers would struggle to maintain their +28 turnover differential and would have worse luck defensively, where they suffered almost no injuries and had 9 or 10 guys have breakout years.

I’ve watched enough seasons to know you can’t have consistent success without a franchise quarterback. You can have one good year or one great year, but even the best defensive teams struggle to consistently have good seasons without a true franchise quarterback. The best example I can think of is the Ravens from the pre Flacco-Harbaugh days (12 wins, 10 wins, 7 wins, 10 wins, 9 wins, 6 wins, 13 wins, 5 wins).

So what could derail that whole prediction? If Alex Smith becomes a franchise quarterback. If a full offseason in Jim Harbaugh’s system and new receiving threats improbably turns Alex Smith into to a franchise quarterback at age 28. He certainly looked the part against Green Bay, but Green Bay also blew numerous coverages, couldn’t get any pressure, couldn’t stop the run, and made life very easy for him.

The Packers also had a very high turnover differential last season. I thought they’d be fine defensively because of the addition of 3 key contributors through the draft and bounce back years from BJ Raji and Tramon Williams, but if that’s not the case, the Packers figure to have one of the worst defenses in the league this year (even worse than last year, because they probably won’t be able to force as many turnovers) and Alex Smith’s performance makes perfect sense.

I’m putting the 49ers here with the acknowledgement that I could be proven wrong in the next few weeks and have to put the 49ers in the top-5 or higher. I’d rather be wrong than flip flop because I think I’m wrong and find out eventually that I was right in the first place. At the end of the day, I believe there’s only so much you can learn week 1. It’s for that reason, along with my out there beginning of the season predictions (understanding this is a parity league and if you predict the same thing as last year, you can’t possibly be right) that my week 2 power rankings often confuse people every year. The 49ers had an impressive win and I was surprised and my confident pick of the Packers was wrong. This is the biggest jump a single team makes this week for that reason.

Studs

QB Alex Smith: 20 of 26 for 211 yards, 2 touchdowns, throw away, 1 drop, 108.8 adjusted QB rating, 7 pressured dropbacks

RG Alex Boone: 0 sacks, quarterback hits, and quarterback pressures allowed on 34 pass block plays, run blocked for 11 yards on 2 carries

C Jonathan Goodwin: 1 quarterback pressures allowed on 34 pass block plays, run blocked for 27 yards on 5 carries

RB Frank Gore: 112 yards (84 after contact) and a touchdown on 16 carries, 4 broken tackles, 1 catch for 1 yard on 1 target

WR Michael Crabtree: 7 catches for 76 yards on 8 targets on 29 pass plays, 6.6 YAC per catch

TE Vernon Davis: 3 catches for 43 yards and a touchdown on 5 targets on 31 pass plays, run blocked for 35 yards on 4 carries

MLB Navarro Bowman: 8 solo tackles, 3 assists, 3 stops on 15 run plays, allowed 5 catches for 42 yards on 8 targets, 1 interception, 1 pass deflection

K David Akers: 6 kickoffs, 3 touchbacks, 70.8 yards per kickoff, 21.3 average start distance, 3/3 FG (40, 43, 63)

Duds

LT Joe Staley: Allowed 3 sacks on 34 pass rush snaps, 1 penalty, run blocked for 7 yards on 2 carries

CB Perrish Cox: Allowed 4 catches for 43 yards on 5 attempts, 1 penalty, 3 solo tackles, 2 missed tackles and 1 stop on 11 run plays, 1 quarterback hit on 8 blitzes

FS Dashon Goldson: Allowed 3 catches for 22 yards and a touchdown on 4 attempts, 2 solo tackles, 2 assists, 2 missed tackles, 1 stop on 17 run plays

SS Donte Whitner: Allowed 3 catches for 19 yards and a touchdown on 4 attempts, 1 pass deflection, 4 solo tackles, 2 assists, 3 missed tackles, 1 stop on 19 run plays

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Baltimore Ravens: 2012 Week 2 Power Rankings (#14)

Last week: 15 (+1)

Record: 1-0

This is the first in 4 straight controversial rankings. Two of my early season bold predictions, Titans over Ravens and Rams over 49ers, took a hit on an otherwise solid week 1, but I hate to change predictions after 1 week. I’d rather be wrong than flip flop because I think I’m wrong and then be proven right. Everyone is wrong about stuff. If I’m wrong about this, I can live with that, but I’m sticking with my preseason predictions for the most part. The Ravens played a Bengals team I pegged as overrated to begin the year, for various reasons, and I had a feeling they would blow them out in Baltimore.

I was not surprised about anything that happened in that game and I’m not changing my prediction after it. Joe Flacco and the offense shredded an overrated Bengals defense and their defense, that lost several key players this offseason and has several aging veterans, allowed 322 yards to an overrated Bengals offense. Against tougher competition, their offense might not look quite so improved and their defense could really get exposed. On top of that, this team really struggled with both consistency and playing on the road last year. If they continue to do that, they’ll lose in Philadelphia next week. If they beat Philadelphia and conquer that, they’ll move up.

Studs

QB Joe Flacco: 21 of 29 for 309 yards, 2 touchdowns, no interceptions, 1 hit as thrown, 109.8 adjusted QB rating, pressured 9 times

RB Ray Rice: 68 yards (35 after contact) and 2 touchdowns on 10 carries, 2 broken tackles, 3 catches for 25 yards on 4 targets

MLB Ray Lewis: 7 solo tackles, 6 stops on 23 run snaps, 1 sack on 4 blitzes, allowed 3 completions for 18 yards on 6 attempts

SS Bernard Pollard: Allowed 1 completion for 6 yards on 2 attempts, 1 pass deflection, 1 batted pass, 1 quarterback pressure on 5 blitzes, 6 solo tackles and 3 stops on 24 run snaps

FS Ed Reed: Allowed 1 completion for 5 yards on 2 attempts, 1 pass deflection, 1 interception, 3 solo tackles and 1 missed tackle on 22 run snaps

K Justin Tucker: 9 kickoffs, 5 touchbacks, 72.6 yards per kickoff, 19.0 average starting position, 3/3 FG (39, 40, 46)

Duds

LOLB Paul Kruger: 0 sacks, quarterback hits, or quarterback pressures on 31 pass rush snaps, 1 solo tackle on 23 run snaps

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Dallas Cowboys: 2012 Week 2 Power Rankings (#15)

Last week: 17 (+2)

Record: 1-0

The Cowboys beat the Giants because Tony Romo had one of the best games of his career. However, they committed 13 penalties, which could have easily derailed them, but Tony Romo wouldn’t let it happen and kept coming up with big throw after big throw. They’ll be right in the NFC East mix, where all 4 teams are evenly matched, but they’ll have to clean that up.

Studs

QB Tony Romo: 22 of 29 for 307 yards, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception, 109.1 adjusted QB rating, pressured 12 times

RB DeMarco Murray: 132 yards rushing (93 after contact) on 20 carries, 2 broken tackles, 2 catches for 9 yards on 2 targets

WR Kevin Ogletree: 8 catches for 114 yards and 2 touchdowns on 11 targets on 22 passing snaps, 1 interception when thrown at, 4.5 YAC per catch

RE Jason Hatcher: 1 sack, 1 quarterback hits, and 4 quarterback pressures on 29 pass rush snaps, 2 solo tackles and 2 stops on 14 run stop snaps, 1 penalty

ROLB DeMarcus Ware: 2 sacks and 3 quarterback pressures on 27 pass rush snaps, 3 solo tackles, 3 stops on 20 run stop snaps, 1 penalty

RILB Sean Lee: 10 solo tackles, 1 assist, 5 stops on 20 run stop snaps, 6 completions for 39 yards allowed on 6 attempts

P Chris Jones: 2 punts for 108 yards, 1 return for 5 yards, 51.5 net yards per punt, 2 of 2 inside the 20

Duds

LT Tyron Smith: 3 quarterback pressures allowed, 4 penalties committed, run blocked for 15 yards on 3 carries

TE Jason Witten: 2 catches for 10 yards on 3 targets on 21 passing snaps, 2 penalties, 1.5 YAC per catch

RT Doug Free: 3 quarterback pressures allowed, 2 penalties committed, run blocked for 7 yards on 1 carry

FS Gerald Sensabaugh: 1 solo tackle, 2 missed tackles, wasn’t thrown on

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Washington Redskins: Week 2 NFL Power Rankings (#16)

Last week: 16 (+0)

Record: 1-0

There isn’t much that needs to be said. The Redskins went into New Orleans with a rookie quarterback and beat a Saints team that was undefeated at home last year. The defense is a bit of a concern, but then again, they were playing Drew Brees, and any potential Robert Griffin week to week inconsistencies are also a concern and very possible because he is a rookie, but this team is surely in the mix in a tough NFC East. It’s really anyone’s division and several good teams are going to end up missing the playoffs

Studs

C Will Montgomery: Allowed 0 sacks, quarterback hits, and quarterback pressures on 31 pass block snaps, run blocked for 69 yards on 15 carries

OT Trent Williams: Allowed 1 quarterback pressure on 31 pass block snaps, run blocked 25 yards on 5 carries, 1 penalty

QB Robert Griffin: 19 of 26 for 320 yards, 3 touchdowns, 3 drops, and 1 throw away, 119.7 adjusted QB rating, pressured 8 times, 42 yards rushing (28 after contact) on 9 carries, 1 broken tackle

WR Pierre Garcon: 4 catches for 109 yards and a touchdown on 4 targets on 5 pass snaps, 24.8 YAC per catch

LOLB Ryan Kerrigan: 1 sack, 2 quarterback hits, and 7 quarterback pressures on 49 pass rush snaps, 1 solo tackle, 1 missed tackle, 2 stops on 15 run snaps

CB Josh Wilson: Allowed 1 completion for 25 yards on 5 attempts, 1 pass deflection, 2 solo tackles and 1 assist on 15 run snaps

K Billy Cundiff: 9 kickoffs, 6 touchbacks, 73.7 yards per kickoff, 20.8 average starting distance, 4/4 on field goals (37, 37, 41, 45)

Duds

LE Adam Carriker: 0 sacks, quarterback hits, and quarterback pressures on 32 pass rush snaps, 1 solo tackle, 1 assist, 1 stop on 10 run snaps

WR Josh Morgan: 1 catch for 21 yards on 2 targets on 24 pass snaps, 7.0 YAC per catch, 1 drop

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Week 2 NFL Power Rankings (#17)

Last week: 22 (-5)

Record: 1-0

Before the season started, I picked the Buccaneers as an underrated team for several reasons. I’m not going to repeat myself completely, but basically free agent additions, new coaching staff, fewer turnovers, 3 starters through the draft, and guys coming back from injury and having bounce back year. Basically, I picked the Buccaneers somewhere in between the 4-12 they were last year and the 10-6 they were in 2010 and I settled on 7 wins. That might have been a little low. The defense looked night and day better from last year (thanks to a finally healthy Gerald McCoy) and they keep that up, 9 or 10 wins or more seems about right. The Buccaneers will put themselves to the test this week against the Giants and go into the game 3-14 over the last 2 years against teams that finish .500 or better.

Studs

C Jeremy Zuttah: 0 sacks, quarterback hits, or quarterback pressures allowed on 31 pass block plays, run blocked for 23 yards on 4 carries

RB Doug Martin: 95 yards (63 after contact) on 24 carries, 4 broken tackles, 4 catches for 23 yards on 4 attempts, 0 sacks, quarterback hits, or quarterback pressures allowed on 5 pass block plays

DT Gerald McCoy: 1 sack, 1 quarterback hit, and 2 quarterback pressures on 36 pass rush snaps, 1 tackle and 1 stop on 12 run plays

CB Aqib Talib: Allowed 3 completions for 63 yards on 5 attempts, 2 pass deflections, 4 solo tackles and 2 stops on 14 run plays

LOLB Lavonte David: 1 quarterback pressure on 8 blitzes, 3 solo tackles, 1 assist, 3 stops, 1 missed tackle on 14 run snaps, allowed 1 completion for 4 yards

P Michael Koenen: 5 kickoffs, 4 touchbacks, 74.6 yards per kickoff, opponent’s average starting position of 20.4 yards

Duds

RG Ted Larsen: 1 quarterback hits, 1 quarterback pressure allowed, 2 penalties, run blocked 6 times for 23 yards

RE Adrian Clayborn: 0 sacks, 0 quarterback hits, 0 quarterback pressures on 35 pass rush snaps, 1 solo tackle, 1 missed tackle, 1 stop on 13 run snaps

FS Mark Barron: Allowed 5 completions for 91 yards and 1 touchdown on 7 attempts, 1 pass deflection, 3 solo tackles on 14 run snaps

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New York Giants: Week 2 Power Rankings (#18)

Last week: 14 (-4)

Record: 0-1

Yes, they may be defending Super Bowl champs, but they were also the worst regular season team to even win the Super Bowl in terms of wins and point differential. They’re a good team that can get hot, but not an elite team. I said that before the season and I stand by it now. They have major problems in the secondary and on the offensive line and while they have the talent to make the playoffs, they play in football’s most crowded division in the tougher conference. I think the 4 NFC East teams will all cannibalize each other in divisional play, finish with 8-10 wins, and only send one team to the playoffs.

Studs

QB Eli Manning: 21 of 32 for 213 yards, 1 touchdown, 0 interceptions, 4 drops and 1 throw away, 106.1 adjusted QB rating, pressured 15 times

RE Jason Pierre-Paul: 6 quarterback pressures on 30 pass rush snaps, 2 solo tackles, 1 missed tackle, 1 stop on 30 run stop snaps

LOLB Keith Rivers: 6 tackles, 1 assists, and 4 stops on 13 run stop snaps, 1 completion for 10 allowed yards allowed on 2 attempts

LOLB Michael Boley: 1 quarterback pressure on 4 blitzes, 1 interception and no completions allowed on 2 attempts

P Steve Weatherford: 4 punts for 201 yards, 3 of 4 inside the 20, one touchback, 3 returns for 3 yards, 44.5 net yards per punt

Duds

RT David Diehl: 2 sacks, 5 quarterback pressures allowed, run blocked for 4 yards on 2 carries

LT Sean Locklear: 1 quarterback hit, 4 quarterback pressures allowed, run blocked for 8 yards on 3 carries

RB David Wilson: 4 yards on 2 carries, 1 fumble

WR Victor Cruz: 6 catches for 58 yards on 11 targets, 3 drops on 36 pass plays, 2 penalties, 2.8 YAC per catch

CB Corey Webster: 5 completions allowed for 127 yards and a touchdown on 6 attempts and 1 deflection

CB Justin Tyron: 3 completions allowed for 61 yards and a touchdown on 3 attempts, 1 missed special teams tackle

LE Justin Tuck: No sacks, quarterback hits, or quarterback pressures on 21 pass rush snaps, 2 solo tackles, 1 missed tackle, 1 stop on 24 run stop snaps

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New York Jets: Week 2 NFL Power Rankings (#19)

Last week: 23 (+4)

Record: 1-0

The Jets didn’t score a touchdown with their 1st or 2nd team offense all preseason and then they score 48 against the Bills week 1? What the hell? Well, all of their offensive problems are not solved. They may have scored 48, but 14 of those were scored by the defense or special teams and several other scores were helped by great field position as a result of Ryan Fitzpatrick’s ineptitude. Those 48 points don’t tell the whole story. The Jets’ yardage total ranked just 11th in the league last week. Good, but not great. Plus, once the Bills got down big, their defense just quit. Something tells me it’ll be different when they go to Pittsburgh this week. Mark Sanchez is still a quarterback with a mediocre career QB rating throwing to a weak group of receivers, led by a raw 2nd round rookie who will be predictably inconsistent on a week to week basis.

NY Jets

Studs

QB Mark Sanchez: 19 of 27 for 266 yards, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception, 1 throw away, 1 spike, 1 drop, 113.9 adjusted QB rating, pressured 8 times

WR Jeremy Kerley: 4 catches for 45 yards and a touchdown on 4 targets on 18 pass plays, 0.8 YAC per catch, 1 punt return for 68 yards and a touchdown

CB Darrelle Revis: Allowed 2 completions for 14 yards on 7 attempts, 1 interception, 1 pass deflection, 4 tackles and 1 stop on 24 run plays

CB Antonio Cromartie: Allowed 2 completions for 17 yards on 6 attempts, 1 interception, 2 solo tackles on 27 run plays

K Nick Folk: 9 kickoffs for an average of 71.8 yards per, 4 touchbacks, average starting position of 20.1, 2/2 on FGs (25, 39)

Duds

LG Matt Slauson: Allowed 1 quarterback hit on 29 pass block snaps, run blocked for 10 yards on 4 carries

RB Shonn Greene: 94 yards (73 after contact) and a touchdown on 27 carries, 2 fumbles, 1 broken tackle

FS LaRon Landry: Allowed 4 completions for 60 yards on 4 attempts, 8 solo tackles, 2 stops, and 3 missed tackles on 30 run snaps, 2 quarterback hits on 3 blitzes

MLB Bart Scott: 4 solo tackles, 3 stops, and 4 missed tackles on 30 run plays

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Indianapolis Colts: 2012 Week 2 Power Rankings (#20)

Last week: 18 (-2)

Record: 0-1

No shame in losing to the Bears, who might be the best team in football. I had the Colts and Bears both as underrated teams going into the season and now I think the Colts might be even more underrated after a big loss to an underrated opponent. Seriously, how the hell is this team home dogs for the Vikings? How is any team home dogs for the Vikings?

Studs

WR Reggie Wayne: 9 catches for 135 yards on 18 targets, 1 interception when thrown to, 4.3 YAC per catch on 49 pass plays

P Mat McAfee: 4 kickoffs, 2 touchbacks, 69.0 yards per kickoff, average start on 21.0, 5 punts, 51.4 yards per punt, 1 return for 23 yards, 42.8 net yards per punt

Duds

QB Andrew Luck: 23 of 44 for 309 yards, 1 touchdown, 3 interceptions, 1 batted pass, 3 drops, 64.8 adjusted QB rating, pressured 15 times

CB Vontae Davis: Allowed 6 completions for 104 yards and 2 touchdowns on 7 attempts, 1 penalty, 5 solo tackles, 1 missed tackle, 2 stops on 30 run snaps

ROLB Jerry Hughes: 2 quarterback pressures on 23 pass rush snaps, 1 solo tackle on 28 run snaps

LE Cory Redding: 1 quarterback hit, 2 quarterback pressures on 33 pass rush snaps, 1 batted pass, 0 tackles or stops on 24 run snaps

RE Fili Moala: 1 quarterback pressure on 30 pass rush snaps, 1 solo tackle, 1 stop on 25 run snaps

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