Seattle Seahawks Potential Breakout Player of 2012: Matt Flynn

The great thing about the NFL is that there are so many positions that every year, there is almost always at least one player who has a breakout year on every team, no matter how good or bad the team is. This is one part in a 32 part segment detailing one potential breakout player for the 2012 NFL season on each NFL team. For the Seattle Seahawks, that player is quarterback Matt Flynn.

Matt Flynn was the latest in a line of backup quarterbacks to get a starting job and starting salary based on limited action backing up a proven and experienced starter. He joins a group that includes Matt Hasselbeck, AJ Feeley, Matt Schaub, Matt Cassel, and Kevin Kolb, among others, over the past decade. Aside from Hasselbeck and Schaub, no one from that group has really had any success, especially not lately, and Flynn, who the Seahawks signed to “compete” to be their starter (although the competition was essentially a formality, that’s just how the Seahawks operate), got a 3 year 19.5 million dollar contract with 10 million guaranteed off of just 2 starts this offseason, the least of anyone in that group, aside from Hasselbeck.

However, like Hasselbeck, Flynn is going from Green Bay, where he played well in limited action behind an elite quarterback, to Seattle, which has Green Bay ties. Seattle traded for Hasselbeck in 2001, giving up a 3rd round pick and a swap of 1st round picks for him and a 7th round pick. Hasselbeck had been selected 3 years earlier by the Packers and Mike Holmgren in the 6th round and he spent 3 years backing up Brett Favre, obviously never seeing a start, and completing 13 of 29 for 145 yards and 2 touchdowns in mop up duties.

Holmgren, then with Seattle, needed a starting quarterback and traded for Hasselbeck, hoping what he had seen of him in practice and limited action on the field in the regular season and Preseason, would translate to the field as a full time starter. It was a big leap of faith, but it worked out as Hasselbeck made 3 Pro-Bowls, a Super Bowl, and took the Seahawks to the playoffs 6 times in 10 seasons. The Seahawks and GM John Schneider, who was with the Packers in 2008 as Director of Football Operations in 2008, when they drafted Matt Flynn in the 7th round, are making a similar leap of faith this offseason.

Flynn only has 2 career starts, but they were both very good starts. In 2010, he started against New England and completed 24 of 37 for 251 yards and 3 touchdowns to 1 interception and in 2011, he started against Detroit and completed 31 of 44 for 480 yards and 6 touchdowns to 1 interception, setting a Green Bay record for passing yards in a game, more than Bart Starr, Brett Favre, or Aaron Rodgers. In his career, he completed 82 of 132 for 1015 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. He’s definitely got the upside to become one of the top-15 quarterbacks in the NFL.

If you’re interested in doing a fantasy football league with me, here’s the link (no draft date set yet, currently standard, with the option to become PPR with group vote). http://msn.foxsports.com/fantasy/football/commissioner/Registration/Private.aspx?league=55086&password=FanSpot2

Seahawks expected to hold Sidney Rice out of contact for most of Preseason

Sidney Rice is not expected to be cleared for contact for most of the Preseason. It’s mostly precautionary and he should be out there week 1, but it’s definitely not a good sign. Neither is the fact that they’ve signed Antonio Bryant (eventually cut 10 days later), Braylon Edwards, and Terrell Owens in the last couple weeks.

He’s still got upside in fantasy football, if he can stay healthy, and he’s worth a late round flier, but his current ADP in the 9th round is too high. He’s had 3 concussions and 2 shoulder surgeries in the last calendar year. Meanwhile, while he had 83 catches for 1312 yards and 8 touchdowns in 2009, he’s missed a combined 23 games in his other 4 seasons and never gone over 32 catches, 484 yards, or 4 touchdowns in any of those 4 seasons. He’s almost definitely going to be a fantasy dud this season.

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Seattle Seahawks 2013 Franchise Tag Candidates

DT Alan Branch

Largely a bust in the early part of his career in Arizona, as a 2007 2nd round pick, the Seahawks got the most out of Branch last season, as he ranked as ProFootballFocus’ 5th rated defensive tackle as primarily a run stuffer. However, while the defensive tackle franchise tag is relatively inexpensive (7.9 million in 2012), it’s unlikely the Seahawks would give it to someone who doesn’t do much in the way of rushing the passer. There is some precedent with that, with the Dolphins giving the tag to Paul Soliai in 2011, but he was a 3-4 nose tackle, not a 4-3 defensive tackle. More likely he’ll have to “settle” for a deal like Brodrick Bunkley’s (5 years, 25 million), a comparable two-down run stuffer in a 4-3.

Likelihood: Somewhat unlikely

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Seattle Seahawks sign WR Terrell Owens

I don’t understand this signing at all. TO is done. We saw it in 2010 and he’s not going to be any better 2 years and a torn ACL later, after a year out of football. In 2010, he did catch 72 passes for 983 yards and 9 touchdowns, but he did that on 132 targets (54.5%) and 10 balls targeted for him ended up getting intercepted. Carson Palmer was just forcing him the football, which is why he led the league in interceptions that year and the Bengals went 4-12. He also dropped 8 passes.

Terrell Owens is one of the greatest receivers of all time, but father time is undefeated. Eventually, everyone is done and, heading into his age 39 season, TO is definitely done. Of the top 30 leading receivers of all time, only 3 others have played into their age 39 season or later: Jerry Rice, Charlie Joiner, Joey Galloway. Only Rice (83/1139/9) was productive in his age 39 season. Joiner caught 34 passes for 440 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Galloway caught 12 passes for 173 yards and didn’t score.

Unless Terrell Owens is secretly his former teammate Rice, he’s not going to have any positive impact this season at age 39. He may rank 2nd all-time in receiving yards, but he’s 6961 yards back of 1st place Rice, who is just on a completely different level. He’s actually closer to Mark Clayton and Fred Biletnikoff, who are tied for 51st place, than he is to Rice.

All he’s going to for the Seahawks is steal reps and snaps from young receivers looking for a chance to prove themselves, guys like Golden Tate, a 2010 2nd round pick, Kris Durham, a 2011 4th round pick, and Ricardo Lockette, a talented 2011 undrafted free agent. It’s not like the Seahawks are contending for a Super Bowl or anything this season and even if they were, Owens wouldn’t be much help. On top of that, he could prove to be a locker room cancer as he’s been elsewhere in the NFL (and Arena League), which is not a good thing, especially on a young team with a young quarterback. He might not, like he didn’t in Buffalo, but even then, he’d be no help, especially coming in so close to the season.

This is a move that wreaks of desperation for a team who lacks proven receivers after Sidney Rice, who has yet to be cleared for contact. So far this month, they’ve signed Antonio Bryant (last catch 2009), cut Antonio Bryant, signed Braylon Edwards, and signed TO. I liked the Edwards signing because at age 29, he’s still got some bounce back potential. TO doesn’t. I’m going to say the same thing about this signing that I said about the Ochocinco signing. The best way this can end is if TO gets cut in camp.

Grade: D

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Seahawks’ James Carpenter might not play at all in 2012

Seahawks’ right tackle James Carpenter tore his ACL last November and predictably will start Training Camp on the active/PUP list when it opens for the Seahawks. After that, he’ll almost definitely be transferred to the reserve/PUP list when the regular season starts, which means he’ll miss at least 6 games. According to ESPN’s John Clayton, Carpenter will likely then be transferred to IR and will not play a snap in 2012.

Clayton cites that the knee injury was really bad and goes on to say that “it hasn’t really had a full time to heal. I think he’s slow in healing. If they get four games out of him they’re lucky.” In his absence, career journeyman Breno Giacomini played alright and he will remain the starting right tackle at least until Carpenter returns, which it doesn’t sound like is going to happen any time soon.

Carpenter struggled mightily as a rookie before his injury, after going 25th overall in the 2011 NFL Draft, but rookies can struggle and still go on to have good careers. Missing his entire 2nd season, however, does not help at all and could lead to 2013 being a make or break season for him. None of his 2014 salary is guaranteed so they can cut him without penalty after the 2013 season if he doesn’t get his act together. Carpenter looks as close to a bust as any player who is just 1 year removed from being a 1st round pick can. Carpenter was a surprise pick in the 1st place and has not validated himself or Pete Carroll for “reaching” for him.

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Seattle Seahawks extend C Max Unger

This Seahawks have extended the only member of their offensive line who wasn’t hurt last season, center Max Unger. Unger will get over 24 million combined over 2013-2016, adding this extension onto the million or so he’ll make this year in the final year of his rookie deal. This deal also guarantees him 12 million total.

Considering elite centers like Scott Wells (4 years, 24 million, 13 million guaranteed) and Chris Myers (4 years, 25 million, 14 million guaranteed) got similar amounts on their contracts this offseason, Unger is overpaid. He’s not an elite center and has never been one. This season, he was ProFootballFocus’ 17th ranked center, about as middle of the pack as you can get. There’s no reason to pay a solid starting center this much money.

Grade: C

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Robert Turbin would start for Seahawks if Marshawn Lynch is suspended

After getting arrested last week on DUI, Marshawn Lynch, who has 2 prior convictions and a prior 3 game suspension, is facing suspension from the NFL. According to the Sports Xchange’s Len Pasquarelli, the Seahawks are “holding their breath” as the NFL reviews the situation of their recently paid 31 million dollar back (over 3 years). He should get some sort of suspension.

Pasaquarelli also reports that Robert Turbin, a 4th round rookie, would likely start for the Seahawks if Lynch is suspended. This makes sense because #2 back Leon Washington is purely a change of back/pass catching/return man type of a running back. Turbin, currently 3rd on the depth chart, has the build and skill set to carry the load. He has definitely fantasy upside, especially as a handcuff for Marshawn Lynch owners.

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Seahawks’ Marshawn Lynch arrested for drunk driving

Marshawn Lynch was arrested today for drunk driving. This is major news because this is hardly Lynch’s first run in with the law. Lynch was accused of sexual assault in 2007. In 2008, he pleaded guilty to failure to exercise due care to avoid striking a pedestrian during a hit and run with a pedestrian. And in 2009 he was pulled over, and the cops smelled marijuana and found a loaded gun. He was eventually charged with 3 counts, avoided drug related charges, and pled guilty to a single misdemeanor weapons charge. Lynch was suspended for the first 3 games of the 2009 season.

Since then, Lynch had done a great job turning his career and his life around. He was traded from Buffalo to Seattle to get a fresh start and rushed for 1204 yards and 12 touchdowns on 285 carries last year, becoming a fan favorite in the process. This offseason, he earned a 4 year, 31 million dollar deal from the Seahawks, who can’t be happy about the recent news. Now he faces more legal discipline and could be given another suspension from the NFL. It’s painful to see someone be so stupid and risk ruining something so great that it took him so long to get back.

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Mike Williams, Ben Obomanu, and Deon Butler are not locks to make Seahawks’ roster

According to the Seattle Post, none of Mike Williams, Ben Obomanu, and Deon Butler are locks to make the Seahawks’ roster. The report called Doug Baldwin, Golden Tate, and Sidney Rice as the only locks to make the roster, as the trio of Williams, Obomanu, and Butler will have to compete with youngsters Ricardo Lockette and Kris Durham. Durham was a 4th round pick in 2011 that did nothing as a rookie, while Lockette is an undrafted free agent from that same year that Pete Carroll has spoken highly of. Mike Williams, meanwhile, is owed 3 million this year and questionable for the start of camp as he recovers from broken leg. He seems likely to be one of the odd men out.

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Seahawks’ Chris Clemons expected to attend Training Camp

Chris Clemons was one of only a few players to hold out of his team’s mandatory minicamp last month and he was fined for doing so. He did so because he wanted a new contract, as he heads into a contract year, but, even though he has yet to receive one, a Seahawks insider talks Pro Football Weekly that Clemons will be there for the start of Training Camp with or without a new deal.

This might sound a little surprising, but perhaps Clemons has realized that the Seahawks won’t be giving him an extension or he’s decided to put this season ahead of his own financial interests. Since arriving to the Seahawks as a nondescript player before the 2010 season, Clemons has been one of the best defensive ends in the league, Clemons had 24 sacks, 18 quarterback hits, and 97 quarterback pressures over the last 2 seasons.

However, heading into his age 31 season and with no success outside of Seattle’s system, they are not interested in giving Clemons the Cameron Wake money (4 year, 49 million), he’s looking for, especially not after using a 1st round pick on Bruce Irvin, a similar player and a potential replacement for Clemons long term. Clemons reportedly rejected a 3 year, 18 million dollar offer earlier this offseason.

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