Steelers’ Mike Wallace expected to report this weekend

On a day where one high profile holdout got worse, with Maurice Jones-Drew expressing his anger with Jaguars ownership and saying he’d be open to a trade, the other remaining high profile holdout seemingly got better. According to separate reports by the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette and the NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport, Wallace is expected to join the Steelers this weekend, after their preseason game against the Buffalo Bills on Saturday.

The Steelers refusal to move Wallace in a trade appears to have paid off as Wallace will be a big contributor for a team built to win now. His long term future with the team remains murky as they would appear to lack the cap space needed to give Wallace the type of money he wants and deserves, especially after extending Antonio Brown.

They had to restructure several contracts this offseason just to get under the cap and next offseason they figure to be very backed up against the cap, if not over it, as all of the recently restructured deals will hurt them more next offseason and because Brown’s extension will kick in. However, for a team built to win now, 1 year of Wallace was probably worth more to them than any type of 2013 draft pick (or picks) they could have gotten in a trade for him.

Wallace should still have a down year statistically after his extended holdout. By holding out, he risked getting out of shape. It’s very tough to stay in top football shape on your own. Even more likely, he also missed valuable Training Camp and preseason time with a new offensive coordinator, Todd Haley, coming in. Antonio Brown likely has a much stronger grasp of the playbook than Wallace and he should lead the team in receiving this year. Wallace caught 72 passes for 1193 yards and 8 touchdowns last season, while Brown caught 69 passes for 1108 yards and 2 touchdowns.

If you’re interested in doing a fantasy football league with me, here’s the link (no draft date set yet, currently standard, with the option to become PPR with group vote). http://msn.foxsports.com/fantasy/football/commissioner/Registration/Private.aspx?league=55086&password=FanSpot2

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Pittsburgh Steelers Potential Breakout Player of 2012: Isaac Redman

The great thing about the NFL is that there are so many positions that every year, there is almost always at least one player who has a breakout year on every team, no matter how good or bad the team is. This is the part in a 32 part segment detailing one potential breakout player for the 2012 NFL season on each NFL team. For the Pittsburgh Steelers, that player is running back Isaac Redman.

The Steelers have lost Rashard Mendenhall to a torn ACL, but they may have an even better running back waiting in the wings in Isaac Redman. Mendenhall is an overrated player so his torn ACL may be a blessing in disguise for them. Mendenhall has a career 4.1 YPC, while Redman has an average of 4.5 YPC.

With Mendenhall out last year for most of week 17 and all of their playoff loss to the Broncos, Redman had 92 yards and a touchdown on 19 carries and 121 yards on 17 carries. Those 121 yards would have been the 2nd most yards Mendenhall had all season and the 7.1 YPC he averaged in that game would have been Mendenhall’s highest total since week 3 of the 2010 season. On top of that, the 213 combined yards rushing he had in those 2 games would have been the most productive back-to-back two game stretch since weeks 3-4 of 2010 for Mendenhall.

Redman is also the more well rounded back. Despite less playing time, he matched the 18 catches that Mendenhall had in 2011. He also was more trusted by the coaching staff to pass protect, despite his backup status, with 94 pass protection snaps to 42 for Mendenhall. As you can expect, ProFootballFocus did grade him as the superior pass protector.

They also graded him as the superior runner and player overall (playoffs included), despite his backup status and the fact that he played fewer snaps. This makes sense as Redman averaged 3.3 yards after contact as opposed to 2.5 for Mendenhall, averaged 4.7 YPC to 4.1 YPC, and broke 25 tackles on 127 carries (19.7%) as opposed to 30 broken tackles on 228 carries (13.2%) for Mendenhall.

The Steelers were already starting to take notice of Redman’s talent last year, giving him 91 carries to Mendenhall’s 220 even before week 17. Redman also played 318 snaps to Mendenhall’s 457, as he played more as a blocker and receiver out of the backfield (which goes back to my point that Redman is more well rounded).

Mendenhall is expected to miss at least the first 6 games of the season as he’s expected to start the season on the PUP, but Redman is the more talented back and might not give Mendenhall, a free agent after the season, his starting job back even when Mendenhall returns from injury. There’s serious fantasy upside with Redman and major upside for the Steelers’ running game with a more talented back behind a better offensive line.

If you’re interested in doing a fantasy football league with me, here’s the link (no draft date set yet, currently standard, with the option to become PPR with group vote). http://msn.foxsports.com/fantasy/football/commissioner/Registration/Private.aspx?league=55086&password=FanSpot2

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Pittsburgh Steelers 2013 Franchise Tag Candidates

WR Mike Wallace

This is an interesting one. Under normal circumstances, Wallace would appear to be an obvious candidate for the franchise tag because the Steelers don’t really have any other pending free agents worth the tag. However, Wallace could hold out into the 2012 season and the Steelers probably wouldn’t reward him with a franchise tag if he does that. They also are pretty backed up against the cap after extending Antonio Brown, so they might not have the cap space to tag Wallace or even extend him at all, even if he reports before the start of the 2012 season.

Likelihood: Somewhat unlikely

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Steelers’ Mike Wallace not available for trade?

After Antonio Brown signed an extension yesterday and the Steelers said they would no longer be discussing an extension with Mike Wallace, speculation picked up quickly that Wallace would be traded. According to ESPN’s Ed Werder, GM Kevin Colbert is denying that Wallace is available for trade. That may be true, but it may also be the Steelers trying to drum up a false report so they can get more in return for Wallace in any potential deal. If teams see the Steelers as feeling desperate to move Wallace, their offerings would likely be significantly smaller. Teams rarely confirm that they’re trying to trade a player and the ones that do often don’t get very much in return.

Meanwhile, if this report is true, we’ll just have to see if that remains the case if it’s a week or two from now and Wallace still has not reported. Obviously, best case scenario for the Steelers is that he reports and helps a team that is in win now mode and this report may signify that the Steelers are clinging to hope that Wallace reports. Either way, this report should not be as interpreted as Wallace won’t be traded. It should be interpreted as “Wallace won’t be traded… yet” or “we are trying to trade Wallace, but we don’t want to make it look like we’re selling him on Craigslist.”

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“No way” the Steelers would franchise Mike Wallace in 2012?

After extending Antonio Brown earlier today, news came out that the Steelers would not be giving Mike Wallace an extension and that he would either have to play out the season on his restricted tender, roughly 2.7 million, or be traded. Some speculated that Wallace, if he signs his tender, would be franchised next offseason. However, according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette’s Ed Bouchette, there is “no way” that would happen.

I have to agree with the latter. The Steelers almost definitely couldn’t afford to pay Wallace the nearly 10 million guaranteed that the wide receiver franchise tag would be worth next offseason, especially not after extending Brown. The Steelers are backed up against the cap this offseason and figure to be backed up against the cap again next offseason, after restructuring several contracts this offseason just to get under the cap. They also don’t “need” Wallace, with two young, talented receivers in Brown and Emmanuel Sanders on the roster.

The Steelers have probably known all along that they would only be able to keep one of their two wide receivers long term and rather than give Wallace the 60 million over 5 years he wants, they gave Brown 42.5 million over 5 years. That seems like a better value. Plus, the “Steeler Way” doesn’t tolerate players putting themselves above the team like this (just ask Santonio Holmes). Wallace rejected a more than reasonable 5 year, 50 million dollar deal from the Steelers earlier this week.

Look for them to entertain trade offers in the coming days for Wallace. A pair of second rounders or a 1st rounder should do the trick and there could be a half dozen or more teams interested in the still just 26-year-old Wallace, including teams that might consider themselves rebuilding, because he is still young. Obvious landing spots would include the Colts, Vikings, Panthers, Seahawks, and Bills, all of whom have the cap space to get this deal done. The Rams also make a lot of sense, but they’d have to backload any deal to Wallace as they don’t have a lot of cap space.

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July 27th Fantasy Football Stock Report (Pittsburgh Steelers Edition)

WR Mike Wallace DOWN

Mike Wallace will either play out the season under his one year tender or be traded. Regardless of whether or not he gets traded, Wallace’s fantasy value could take a major hit this season. If he reports, it’ll likely be after a long holdout, which could led to him getting out of shape and will cost him valuable time learning the playbook, while other receivers like Brown and Sanders are gaining greater mastery of Todd Haley’s new system. He could also hold out into the season.

If he gets traded, he’ll be traded to a team likely with an inferior quarterback and receivers have a poor track record when switching teams, especially this close to the season. It takes time to learn a playbook and get adjusted to a quarterback. I’d let him be someone else’s problem in fantasy leagues, especially at his current ADP in the early 4th round.

WR Antonio Brown UP

If Wallace is traded or holds out into the season, Brown immediately becomes the #1 receiver. Even Wallace isn’t traded, Brown could still be the #1 receiver because he’ll have better mastery of Todd Haley’s new offense and because he won’t run the risk of getting out of shape. He’s heading into his 3rd year, normally a big breakout year for receivers. He should have career highs across the board.

WR Emmanuel Sanders UP

If Wallace holds out into the season or gets traded, Sanders would move into the starting lineup. At the very least, he’s a valuable handcuff for Wallace owners. He’s got a lot of upside late in fantasy drafts. He’s plenty talented and also heading into his 3rd year in the league. Even if Wallace reports before the season starts, he could be a bigger part in the offense because he’ll know the offense better than Wallace and he won’t run the risk of getting out of shape. Todd Haley’s offenses typically feature lots of 3-wide receiver sets anyway, like with Fitzgerald, Boldin, and Breaston in Arizona.

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Steelers will not give Mike Wallace a new contract

On the same day that the Steelers signed Antonio Brown to a long term deal, the team confirmed that they would not be giving Mike Wallace a long term contract, according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Earlier this week, the two sides broke talks off completely as the Steelers refused to negotiate with him until he reported to camp, which he says he won’t do until he gets his new deal.

With Wallace not cooperating, the Steelers turned their focus to Brown, who would have been a restricted free agent next offseason and made it nearly impossible under the cap for them to sign Wallace. Brown’s 5 year, 42.5 million dollar contract was much more reasonable than the contract that Wallace was holding out for and since they probably would only be able to keep one going forward, they probably made the right move.

Now the pressure is on Wallace to sign his tender, which will pay him 2.742 million dollars this season. If he doesn’t they may opt to trade Wallace and go forward with Antonio Brown and the promising young Emmanuel Sanders going forward. If he does, they reserve the right to franchise him next offseason. This situation reminds me of the Brandon Marshall situation a few offseasons ago.

Marshall was a restricted free agent who could have been had for a 1st round pick. No one was willing to pay that price, but the Dolphins were willing to give up a pair of 2nd round picks so they essentially did the NFL’s version of a sign and trade with the Broncos, signed Marshall long term and sent a pair of 2nd round picks to Denver. The Steelers should be able to at least get that for Wallace, even though no one was willing to sacrifice a 1st rounder for him before the draft.

Making that move would allow them to get cheaper and younger for the future and to move on from a malcontent wide receiver who is demanding more money than he’s worth. Receiver needy teams who could make sense for Wallace in a trade include St. Louis, Seattle, Carolina, Minnesota, Indianapolis, Buffalo, and the Jets. Cleveland, Baltimore, and Cincinnati all need receiver help as well, but it’s unlikely that the Steelers would agree to trade Wallace in the division.

Regardless of whether or not he gets traded, Wallace’s fantasy value could take a major hit this season. If he reports, it’ll likely be after a long holdout, which could led to him getting out of shape and will cost him valuable time learning the playbook, while other receivers like Brown and Sanders are gaining greater mastery of Todd Haley’s new system.

If he gets traded, he’ll be traded to a team likely with an inferior quarterback and receivers have a poor track record when switching teams, especially this close to the season. It takes time to learn a playbook and get adjusted to a quarterback. I’d let him be someone else’s problem in fantasy leagues, especially at his current ADP in the early 4th round. Brown and Sanders, meanwhile, are currently underrated at their current ADPs of the late 5th round and the 14th round respectively.

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Pittsburgh Steelers extend WR Antonio Brown

The Steelers made a surprise move today by extending a wide receiver, but not the wide receiver many would have expected. With Mike Wallace still holding out and ownership refusing to negotiate with him until he reports, the Steelers turned their attention to Antonio Brown, who was set to be a restricted free agent, much like Wallace is now, next offseason. Brown was given 42.5 million over 5 years, which covers him from 2013-2017, but I’m not going to talk much about what he’s making.

He’s being paid fairly as a just turned 24 year old receiver, after catching 69 passes for 1108 yards and 2 touchdowns in just his 2nd season after going in the 6th round in the 2010 NFL Draft. They may have overpaid for a one year wonder, but had he repeated last season in 2012, he could have commanded a ton of money next offseason. Considering Pierre Garcon, who has never had 1000 yards in a season despite being almost 2 years older and more experienced, got the same deal, this is a good value. There’s not that much to say here.

However, this deal could lead to a Mike Wallace trade. The Steelers have felt all along that they have two #1 receivers, Wallace and Brown, a reasonable thing to think since both surpassed 1100 yards in 2011. However, the Steelers are very backed up against the cap, with Pro Football Talk estimating them at about 3.73 million of cap space and figure to be backed up against the cap next offseason as well, after restructuring several contracts just to get under the cap this offseason.

Given that, I don’t think they’ve ever been able to keep both Brown and Wallace, who will both command #1 receiver money. With Wallace holding out, demanding Larry Fitzgerald money and rejecting a deal similar to this 5 year, 42.5 million dollar deal, and Brown agreeing to sign long term, the decision may have been made for them. They now have even less cap space to sign Wallace long term and may decide to trade him, make Antonio Brown their true #1 receiver, and plug Emmanuel Sanders, a good depth receiver, into the starting lineup opposite Brown.

This deal also makes sure they avoid a similar situation to the Mike Wallace one next offseason when Brown, whose career arc is starting to look very similar to Wallace’s, will be an unrestricted free agent. Also, if Wallace agrees to play out the season on his one year tender (very unlikely, especially after Brown get paid), the Steelers will have the franchise tag freed up for next offseason.

If the Steelers decide to make Wallace available via trade, they’ll have no shortage of suitors. No one signed Wallace to an offer sheet when they could have had him for a 1st round pick before the draft, so I don’t think they’ll be able to get that. However, this situation does remind me of the Brandon Marshall situation a few offseasons ago.

Marshall was a restricted free agent who could have been had for a 1st round pick. No one was willing to pay that price, but the Dolphins were willing to give up a pair of 2nd round picks so they essentially did the NFL’s version of a sign and trade with the Broncos, signed Marshall long term and sent a pair of 2nd round picks to Denver. The Steelers should be able to at least get that for Wallace.

Making that move would allow them to get cheaper and younger for the future and to move on from a malcontent wide receiver who is demanding more money than he’s worth. Receiver needy teams who could make sense for Wallace in a trade include St. Louis, Seattle, Carolina, Minnesota, Indianapolis, Buffalo, and the Jets. Cleveland, Baltimore, and Cincinnati all need receiver help as well, but it’s unlikely that the Steelers would agree to trade Wallace in the division.

Grade: A

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Steelers bring back Max Starks

The Steelers have resigned offensive tackle Max Starks. There was a lot of doubt about this because Starks tore his ACL in January and because Starks was out of football as recently as last October with weight issues. However, he’s still only 30 years old and played pretty well as the Steelers’ left tackle last year. He allowed 6 sacks, 7 quarterback hits, and 20 quarterback pressures, while committing 5 penalties and run blocking well in 13 starts, including playoffs. He’ll provide insurance at left tackle for 2nd round rookie Mike Adams, while 2011 2nd round pick Marcus Gilbert will remain at right tackle.

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Joey Porter signs one day contract to retire with Steelers

Earlier this week, former Cardinal, Dolphin, and Steeler Joey Porter signed a one day contract to retire as a member of the Pittsburgh Steelers at the age of 35. A 1999 3rd round pick, Porter spent 8 seasons with the Steelers and won a Super Bowl. With them, he had 60 sacks. He then spent 3 years in Miami, where he had another 32 sacks, including an AFC leading 17.5 in 2008.

He finished his career with 2 years in Arizona, where had had just 6 sacks, including just 1 last season. He retires with 98 sacks, 30th all-time, 4 Pro-Bowl appearances, and as a member of the Steelers All-Time team and the NFL’s 2000s All-Decade team. He’ll be a candidate for the Steelers’ ring of honor and a fringe candidate for the Hall-of-Fame.

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