Cardinals Needs 2011

Free agency priorities

Quarterback

Kyle Orton, Kevin Kolb, Donovan McNabb, Matt Hasselbeck, Marc Bulger all 5 of those guys have been mentioned as potential starters in 2011 more than incumbent John Skelton. They didn’t draft a quarterback because they’re not a new regime so they’ll find a veteran in free agency.

Offensive Tackle

They allowed 50 sacks last year. Some of that blame can fall on the quarterbacks, but they really need to improve their offensive front to protect whoever the quarterback is next year, especially if it’s Marc Bulger, who might start having Vietnam flashbacks if he takes any more sacks. I’m not sure why they didn’t address this position through the draft.

Guard

Another offensive line position that should have been addressed through the draft. Deuce Lutui can be resigned, but Alan Faneca is done.

 

Draft Needs 

Quarterback

Kurt Warner’s 2009 Stats: 339-513 (66.1%) 3753 yards (7.3 YPA) 26 TDs 14 INTs 93.2 QB Rating

Derek Anderson/Max Hall/John Skelton/Richard Bartel’s 2010 Stats: 284-559 (50.8%) 3247 yards (5.8 YPA) 10 TDs 19 INTs 60.4 QB Rating

Somewhere Larry Fitzgerald is crying.

If Ken Whisenhunt feels that he’s on the hot seat, he’ll try to add a veteran like Kyle Orton, Kevin Kolb, Donovan McNabb, or Vince Young. If he feels he’s safe and has time to develop a rookie, he’ll draft one at 5.

Offensive Tackle

It’s amazing how much better Kurt Warner made this offensive line look. With pretty much the same group of guys, their offensive line gave up 50 sacks this season, whereas they gave up 26 sacks in 2009. Former 1st round pick Levi Brown should not be starting at left tackle anymore and should be moved to right tackle, where Brandon Keith should be benched. They don’t want whoever their quarterback is next season to be under pressure all the time, especially if it’s a rookie.

Cornerback

They traded Bryant McFadden back to the Steelers last offseason because he didn’t fit the scheme, but they didn’t really replace him. Greg Toler can be upgraded, as they need a new cornerback opposite Domonique Rodgers Cromartie to upgrade their 25th ranked cornerback.

Rush Linebacker

The Cardinals only managed 33 sacks last season and most of their top rush linebackers are 34 or older. They like O’Brien Schofield a lot, but they need a rush linebacker of the future across from him.

Guard

When you give up 50 sacks, it’s not just the fault of the offensive tackles. They need at least one, if not two upgrades inside.

Middle Linebacker

They drafted Daryl Washington in the 2nd round last year, but I don’t think he’s a good fit for their 3-4 scheme and he did struggle as a rookie. Paris Lenon next to him will be 34 in November, so they may want to add some true 3-4 middle linebacker depth.

Center

Lyle Sendlein can be upgraded so if a center they like falls to them, they could pull the trigger.

Safety

Now I see why Kerry Rhodes was given away for so cheap last offseason. He’s not very good. They might be looking for an upgrade this offseason.

Tight End

I know they don’t like pass catching tight ends, but if they add a rookie quarterback, they might want to get him a true pass catching tight end. Pass catching tight ends are a rookie quarterback’s best friend.

 

Charles Brown Scout

Offensive Tackle

USC

6-5 303

40 time: 5.25

Draft board overall prospect rank: #10

Draft board offensive tackle rank: #2

Overall rating: 88*

            3/20/10: Charles Brown is one of the more underrated offensive tackles in this draft class. He will go in the first round, but he should go in the top half of the first round and garner some top 10 consideration by teams like Buffalo. He’s a former run blocking tight end, but he has bulked up to 303 for the Combine, though his decision not to run at that weight is a bit concerning. Let’s see how he runs, assuming he’s the same weight, at his Pro Day. His frame may be maxed out as a former run blocking tight end and he is still on the small size, but makes up for that with excellent mature technique and good athletic mobility and footwork. He has experience in a zone blocking scheme and excelled last year protecting Matt Barkley’s blindside at USC. He’s got very good long arms and uses them well. He is extremely mobile for a man of his size and can block at the second level. He plays with good lower body leverage, but lacks elite upper body strength and can be pushed back a bit by bigger bull rushers. His footwork and his hand use are extremely mature for his age, probably the best in the draft class. They rival Ryan Clady’s coming out of school and Clady allowed just 1 sack in a zone blocking scheme in Denver his first year in the league before struggling in a man blocking scheme in his 2nd year. Likewise, Brown would struggle in a man blocking scheme where he was matched up one on one with a defender. He’s got great character and work ethic and he’s extremely consistent. I didn’t see him take very many plays off for what I saw of him last year and didn’t wear down late in games. Overall, he lacks bulk, but he has a great understanding of both the zone blocking scheme and the West Coast offense. He has an excellent motor and great instincts as well as excellent footwork. He used his hands well and he has great lateral agility. He should be considered in the top ten, but probably won’t be. The highest he possibly could go would be 14 to Seattle, but if someone gets him in the 20s, they would be getting a steal, assuming the used a scheme that properly utilized Brown’s skills and minimized his weaknesses.

NFL Comparison: Jordan Gross

*=For a breakdown of what this means, click here

Clemson/North Carolina

 

Spotlight #1: Clemson TE Dwayne Allen

Spotlight #2: Clemson DT Brandon Thompson 

1st quarter

13:41: Interception by Clemson safety Jonathan Meeks, a talented junior player.

12:33: Allen drops a low screen, heard footsteps from Zach Brown.

10:55: Zach Brown in on a sack by himself.

10:02: Thompson gets into the backfield on a run, can’t quite get the tackle.

8:53: Andre Branch on a tackle for a los, good job by Thompson as well, taking on blocks on that play.

7:55: Allen targeted but deflected away by North Carolina linebacker Kevin Reddick, a talented junior player.

7:50: Charles Brown with a nice pass breakup against awesome freshman Sammy Watkins. Brown also had a tackle for loss earlier.

6:30: Allen with a holding penalty on a run block.

6:10: Coples with a quarterback hit.

5:39: Zach Brown on an explosive play for his 2nd sack on the game already. A very fast sack.

4:01: Thompson into the backfield quick, but the play is blown dead quick on a false start by the offense.

1:30: Allen with a nice run block.

2nd quarter

14:02: Meeks with a tackle for loss. He’s been everywhere tonight.

12:38: Thompson, who is being consistently double teamed, does a good job of disengaging and tackling a scrambling quarterback from behind.

11:13: Thompson pancaked.

9:23: Allen for a few yards on an intermediate curl route.

3:16: Allen not quite on the same page with his quarterback on a short pass. Incomplete. Needs to find the ball quicker than that.

2:16: Zach Brown doing everything, pass deflection here.

1:58: Thompson moves around a little, in on a short tackle.

0:40: Allen targeted, but incomplete and inaccurate as the quarterback was under pressure.

 

3rd quarter

13:43: Allen targeted, but not open. Zach Brown is doing a very good job on him.

11:35: Allen open underneath on an out route for the 1st.

11:01: Coples in on a sack, wiped out by a facemask by Kareem Martin.

7:26: Coples with a strip sack.

4:02: Allen doesn’t get his head around fast enough to catch the ball. This is the 2nd time this has happened tonight.

3:45: Allen makes a nice vertical catch along the sideline.

3:37: Allen targeted when his quarterback is under pressure, Allen, the safety blanket, makes the catch. Mental lapse however as he hadthe first down, but ran backwards. Luckily it was only 1st down. 2nd and 1 now.

2:03: Allen getting targeted more, this time for about 5 or so yards in the red zone.

1:46: Allen wide open down the seam, touchdown.

4th quarter

9:58: Clemson up 59-24 has pulled its starters, but I’m still interested in North Carolina’s defensive players.

0:00: Dwayne Allen is the consensus top tight end prospect in this weak tight end class with 33 catches for 432 yards and 5 touchdowns after this game. He had 6 catches for 51 yards and a touchdown tonight, but he really should have had more than that. He was targeted a lot and he had a few mental lapses and was overall covered well by North Carolina’s Zach Brown. Allen showed himself to be a decent blocker, but there’s room for improvement there. He’s 6-4 255 so he has the frame to be a blocker, he’s just not asked to block a lot in Clemson’s offense. He’s athletic enough to make up for his average to below average blocking ability and he still figures to be the first tight end off the board, but I’d say 2nd round rather than 1st round.

Zach Brown was the linebacker matched up with Allen for most of the game and he did a good job covering him. He’s a strong coverage linebacker, which makes up for the fact that he’s only 230 pounds. He’s also extremely athletic and makes plays all over the field. I’ve now seen two North Carolina games, spotlighting Brown in neither of them, and he’s still managed to impress me in both. He had 7 tackles, 2 sacks, and a pass deflection in this one. In 8 games, he has 52 tackles, 4.5 sacks, and a pick. He looks like a solid first rounder.

The other highly rated North Carolina defensive player, Quinton Coples, had another great game. He dominated when I last saw him against Louisville, but that was Louisville. Clemson is a bit of a tougher test as they played very well against Brandon Jenkins, a potential first round pick at defensive end. Coples had one sack and could have had 2 if it wasn’t for a facemask penalty against another play. He forced a fumble and once again help up well against the run, his specialty. He can play defensive end in both a 3-4 or a 4-3.

Another defensive player for North Carolina, Charles Brown, looked good early, making some plays, but Sammy Watkins was too much for him. Watkins had 8 catches for 91 yards and a touchdown, which is actually a bad day for him, but Brown, an undersized cornerback, once again showed why he’s not much more than a late rounder.

The other spotlight in this game was Brandon Thompson. Thompson did a solid job against the run, but he wasn’t as dominant as he good have been against a decent, but not great North Carolina offensive front. I think he’s a little overrated. Jerel Worthy is better than him. Worthy has played better against better offensive lines and he’s a little bit more athletic. Thompson can be a solid 4-3 nose tackle and this isn’t a strong defensive tackle class, but he’s hardly the top 15 pick some say he is. 

 

Corey Liuget Scout

 

Defensive Tackle/3-4 Defensive End

Illinois

6-2 298

Draft board overall prospect rank: #60

Draft board overall defensive tackle rank: #11

Overall rating: 76 (late 2nd)

40 time: 4.95

3/16/11: Corey Liuget is a fairly high ranked defensive tackle and could go as high as #14 to St. Louis even in a strong defensive tackle class. However, I say he’s overrated. He’s purely a one gap penetrator and, while some teams may consider him as a 3-4 end, I don’t think he can play there. He’s got solid measurable, but doesn’t stand out with his measurables or on tape. He didn’t produce much at Illinois. He was inconsistent and has an inconsistent motor and is rarely dominant.

He plays with poor leverage and his handwork needs work. He’s good against the run and he’s got a good bull rush, but he doesn’t have a good pass rushing repertoire. I don’t think he’s athletic enough or good enough of a pass rusher to play in a 3-4 as an end. He’s a sturdy strong player, but he has work ethic issues and motor issues.

NFL Comparison: Brodrick Bunkley

 

 

Da’Quan Bowers Scout

 

Defensive End

Clemson

6-3 277

Draft Board Overall Prospect Rank: #54

Draft Board Overall Defensive End Rank: #11

Rating: 77 (mid 2nd round)

40 time: 4.95

4/17/11: Bowers’ stock is dropping like a lead balloon. His medical recheck with the NFL did not go well. His knee has been described as “arthritic” and will probably need surgery some day and could significantly reduce the length of his career. This is not a guy you take a risk on in the 1st round, especially after only one good year of production. He could easily drop out of the first round. Some teams might just have a “do not draft” label on him. 

4/17/11: Once a potential #1 pick, Bowers’ stock is now slipping like a rock. He says his knee is 100%, yet he ran a 4.95 at 6-3 276. He hobbled around in drills and looked terrible on the field. The injury concerns, combined with his “one year wonder” label, make him someone who would scare NFL scouts to death when it comes to using a top 10 pick on him, and I don’t blame them. He could fall to Minnesota at 12 or Detroit at 13 now. 

2/20/11: Time travel with me for a second. It’s 2006. The debate for the #1 pick is between Vince Young and Reggie Bush and all of a sudden, the Texans shock the world and announce that they’re going with an athletic (6-7 295 4.65) defensive end from a school in Carolina, Mario Williams out of NC State. Now back to 2011, the debate for the #1 pick seems to be between Nick Fairley and AJ Green. However, with the Combine coming in a few days, we could see a similar performance to Williams’ from Da’Quan Bowers and that could propel him to become the #1 pick.

Bowers was the #1 high school prospect in 2008, after Julio Jones, thanks to his 4.6 40 time at 6-4 280. That’s not quite Mario Williams’’ 6-7 295 4.65, but it’s pretty damn close. Bowers struggled in his first 2 years, but burst onto the scene with 16 sacks, 24 tackles for loss, and 17 quarterback pressures as a junior this year.

The one year wonder label could easily be slapped on him and he did produce a lot of bad tape before this season. However, he was so dominant this year and I think it’s possible that the light really just did turn on for him. His dad died right before the season started and he frequently mentions that as the reason for his strong play this season. He was playing inspired football and I think it’s very possible he plays inspired football for his entire NFL career.

His upside is off the charts. He has that type of athleticism combined with production in college that you only see every 5 or so years. Williams had the 4.65 at 6-7 295 in 2006, with 14 sacks as a junior. Julius Peppers in 2002 with a 4.68 at 6-7 292. Peppers was 2nd North Carolina’s history with 30.5 sacks, in just 3 years. He, of course, went #2 overall in 2002 and has had an amazing NFL career that could land him in the Hall of Fame if he keeps it up.

A lot of people like to hate on Bowers because of the measurable. They say that makes him a high bust type player. They like to remember Derrick Harvey, Jamaal Anderson, Vernon Gholston, and Gaines Adams and not guys like Williams and Peppers and even Dwight Freeney (6-2 270 4.48). I think Bowers fits better with the latter.

I’m not saying Bowers will definitely be the #1 pick, in fact, my money’s still on Green, but he definitely could be a possibility after The Combine. I doubt he falls out of the top 4. The Bengals will love putting him next to another freak athlete, Carlos Dunlap, to help shore up their pass rush.

I don’t think he’ll go #3 to the Bills. I don’t think he’s a 3-4 end. That just doesn’t utilize his pass rushing skills well enough, part of the reason why I don’t like the Texans are moving to a 3-4 and putting Super Mario at 3-4 end. However, the Panthers and Broncos (coached by John Fox who drafted Peppers 2nd overall with his first pick after he became the Panthers coach in 2002) will definitely take a good look at him.

NFL Comparison: Courtney Brown

 

 

Detroit Lions

Debate the Lions Off Season in the Football Fan Forum

2010 Preview:

I wouldn’t be surprised if the Detroit Lions went 2-14 or 3-13 again. I wouldn’t be surprised if they won 5-7 games, I wouldn’t be too surprised if they won 8 or 9. It almost entirely will depend on Matt Stafford. Stafford wasn’t great as a rookie and the team went 2-14. That’s excusable though. He was a rookie. Even Peyton Manning struggled as a rookie. If Stafford rebounds this year and starts playing like a top 15 quarterback and the #1 pick he was, this team could be pretty good.

If 4th round pick Jason Fox can step up and become the elite blindside protector this team has lacked for years, that will only help Stafford’s cause. As will a full season of Calvin Johnson, the addition of Rob Sims to their improving, but currently still mediocre, offensive front. Having a running back like Jahvid Best also helps, as does an improved defense. There’s a good chance he becomes one of the top 15 quarterbacks in the league this year and that could get them 6-8 wins.

Of course other players need to step up on this team for them to reach their full potential for this year (8 or 9 wins). Their defensive line is banking heavily on a strong rookie season from Ndamukong Suh, a bounce back year from Kyle Vanden Bosch and Corey Williams, and a breakout year from Cliff Avril. If everything goes right there, that’ll certainly help. This team ranked 21st in the league in stopping the run last year (YPA), they could certainly be middle of the pack this year.

They’ll also be counting on a big year from 2nd year players DeAndre Levy and Zach Follett at linebacker. Their secondary remains their biggest hole, but if Amari Spievey can step up as a rookie, unlikely because rookie defensive backs tend to struggle, that’ll help their cause. A lot of things have to go right for this team to win 8 or 9 games, and for that reason I don’t feel comfortable projecting this team to do so, but a lot of things have to go wrong (er, the same) for them to be as bad as they were last year. Even if Matt Stafford struggles as much as he did last year, I’ll have to say these off season additions add an extra win to their total. I’ll put my projection somewhere in the middle of their downside (2 or 3 wins) and their upside (8 or 9 wins).

Projection: 6-10 4th in NFC North

Power Ranking: 24

Last Season: 2-14

Draft:

#2 DT Ndamukong Suh (Nebraska)

A left tackle like Russell Okung who is ready to come in right away and protect Matt Stafford’s blindside would have been perfect here. Their offensive line has been one of the worst in the league since as long as I can remember and all they have done to fix the line that has given up 40-50 sacks in each of the last 3 years is add a guard, Rob Sims. Okung would have been good for Stafford’s health longterm, his development as he attempts to avoid David Carr syndrome, and would have allowed Stafford to fully utilize his cannon arm to connect with one of the best deep threats in the game, Calvin Johnson. This is not a bad pick because Suh is a bad player. This is a bad pick because it doesn’t help the thing that will win the most games for them, their passing game.

Grade: C+

#30 RB Jahvid Best (California)

I actually like Best as a player which I why it’s hard for my to bash this pick. I had Best as my #1 RB. However, he doesn’t get Matt Stafford any more time in the pocket or help their passing game in the way that taking a left tackle could have. To make matters worse, they traded up to get him.

Grade: C+

#65 CB Amari Spievey (Iowa)

It’s hard to bash a pick that’s a great fit for their scheme and fills a huge need at cornerback, but I will, only slightly, because they could have taken a guy like Bruce Campbell, Jason Fox, or Jared Veldheer to play left tackle.

Grade: A-

#128 OT Jason Fox (Miami)

Best pick of the night for them. This actually makes all of their other BPA picks so much better. Fox has 2nd round talent and can develop into a good blindside protector for Matt Stafford and if he does, I think they are draft day winners given all of the talented players they were able to get with their first 3 picks. If not, then this team is going to regret not taking Okung 2nd. Still, I have to give them mad props for getting a huge value at a position of huge need and with one 4th round pick, turning me from a hater of their draft to a lover of their draft.

Grade: A

#213 DE Willie Young (NC State)

Yet another steal in terms of talent, Young is undersized, but Jim Schwartz has had success as a defensive coordinator with undersized players before and Young will, at the very least, be a very solid nickel rusher and, in this pass heavy league, that’s a great value in the 7th round.

Grade: A

#255 WR Tim Toone (Weber State)

Hard to bash this pick because it was the last in the draft and I’ve never actually heard of the player, but Toone was statistically very good at Weber State, though he is a bit undersized and doesn’t fill a huge need (front 7 depth).

Grade: C-

Overall:

There are some ugly grades on their report card, but if Jason Fox pans out, as a whole, this draft class could be one of, if not the strongest of this year. This could be the draft that starts the Lions as a true playoff contender in the future. On that potential, I have to give them a solid grade.

Grade: B+

Key undrafted free agents:

OLB Ryan Stamper (Florida)

WR Mike Moore (Georgia)

FB Matt Clapp (Oklahoma)

TE Richard Dickson (LSU)

Positions of need:

 

 

Offensive Tackle:

Despite the fact that head coach Jim Schwartz said he deserved a few Pro Bowl votes, Jeff Backus actually was one of the worst left tackles in the league this year in terms of sacks allowed. Lions fans can only hope that Schwartz realizes this and decides to target a left tackle early in the draft. Matt Stafford sustained both a knee and a shoulder injury as a rookie because of all the hits he took and we’ve seen what too many sacks early in a players career can do, David Carr, Joey Harrington, or even what too many sacks late in a players career can do, Marc Bulger, Matt Hasselbeck. Backus would be a decent left guard, in fact, he could possibly be an above average left guard, but they would need a new left tackle. If they draft one early, they can shift Backus to guard and upgrade two offensive line positions at once.

Drafted Jason Fox (#128)

Defensive End:

The Lions, as a team, had 26 sacks last year and no player had more than 5.5. Cliff Avril had 5.5, but he doesn’t have the size to be an every down defensive end, so, if they secure a left tackle early, they’ll want to shift their focus on their pass rush. If the Rams draft Jimmy Clausen first and Ndamukong Suh falls to the Lions at 2, they can draft him and that would help their pass rush as well, but they need a true #1 defensive end. After having a quarterback and protecting him, getting to the opponents quarterbacks is the most important thing in the NFL. An elite pass rusher will help their struggling secondary a lot.

Signed Kyle Vanden Bosch, Drafted Willie Young (#213)

Cornerback:

Speaking of struggling secondary, the Lions pass defense was once again one of the worst in the league last year and it will continue to be that why until they secure an elite #1 cornerback. They have more important needs, but they can’t go into next year with this years group of cornerbacks and expect to make the playoffs.

Traded for Chris Houston, Signed Jonathan Wade, Drafted Amari Spievey (#66), Signed Dre Bly

Defensive Tackle:

Drafting Sammie Lee Hill in the middle rounds last year was a smart move and he looks like someone who will be a part of their defensive tackle rotation for a long time. Now they need a pass rushing defensive tackle that can compliment him inside. There’s a good chance that they are able to get Ndamukong Suh early, but Gerald McCoy could also be on their radar at 2 if they can’t get Suh, though I think taking any defensive tackle, other than Suh, over a left tackle, at 2, would be a mistake.

Traded for Corey Williams, Drafted Ndamukong Suh (#2)

Safety:

When you are as bad against the pass as the Lions were in 2009, you can’t blame it all on the cornerbacks. Their safeties need to take some of the blame as well, though the safety position ranks below the cornerback position in terms of positional value.

Signed CC (Can’t Cover) Brown

Offensive Guard:

The Lions don’t just need one upgrade on their offensive line, they need multiple. Drafting a left tackle and moving Backus to guard would be 2, but they still would need a major upgrade at right guard. Their interior offensive lineman were so bad last year that Kevin Smith simply couldn’t get anywhere without a big lineman destroying him.

Traded for Rob Sims

Running Back:

Speaking of Kevin Smith, he might not be ready for the 2010 season with an ACL tear, but even if he isn’t, they could use one more running back. This is now a two running back league. Aaron Brown did not prove himself in his limited opportunities last year and they really lack a breakaway speed threat either way.

Drafted Jahvid Best (#30)

Wide Receiver:

Calvin Johnson is a freak, but after him they don’t have much at wide receiver. Getting Matt Stafford someone else to throw to can only help him, but they do have other more important needs.

Signed Nate Burleson, Drafted Tim Toone (#255)

 

Free Agency:

QB Daunte Culpepper

RB Cedric Peerman (exclusive rights)- resigned 1 year

WR Adam Jennings (restricted)

WR Marko Mitchell- Signed with Vikings

TE Will Heller- resigned with Lions 3 years

TE Casey Fitzsimmons- retired

TE Jake Nordin (exclusive rights)- tendered

TE John Madsen

OT Jon Jansen- resigned with Lions 1 year 850K

OT Corey Hilliard (exclusive rights)- tendered

G Daniel Loper

G Damien Cook

G Manuel Ramirez (restricted)- resigned 1 year 1.1 million

 

 

C Dylan Gandy (restricted)- resigned 1 year 1.1 million

DE DeWayne White

DE Jason Hunter (restricted)- resigned 1 year 1.7 million

DE Jared DeVries- resigned 1 year 1.7 million

DE Copeland Bryan (restricted)- resigned

OLB Zach Follett (exclusive rights)- tendered

MLB Larry Foote- signed with Steelers 3 years 9 million

MLB Cody Spencer (restricted)

CB Phillip Buchanan- signed with Redskins 1 year 1.5 million

CB Will James- signed with 49ers 1 year

CB Anthony Henry

CB Kevin Hobbs

CB DeAngelo Smith (exclusive rights)- resigned 1 year

CB Brian Witherspoon

S Daniel Bullocks

S Ko Simpson (restricted)- resigned 1 year 1.1 million

S Kalvin Pearson

Offseason moves:

Lions cut S Marquand Manuel

Lions sign OLB Isaiah Ekejiuba

 

 

Lions cut S Daniel Bullocks

Lions sign CB Dre’ Bly

Lions waive WR Marko Mitchell

Lions waive TE John Madsen

Lions sign TE John Madsen

Lions sign S C.C. Brown

Lions claim WR Marko Mitchell

Lions re-sign S Daniel Bullocks

Lions claim G Trevor Canfield

Lions acquire TE Tony Scheffler (Denver) and a 7th rounder (Denver) for OLB Ernie Sims (Philadelphia)

Lions cut CB Kevin Hobbs

Lions cut S Kalvin Pearson

Lions waive CB Brian Witherspoon

Lions cut G Daniel Loper

Lions re-sign C Dylan Gandy

Lions announce retirement of TE Casey FitzSimmons

Lions re-sign DE Jared DeVries

Lions re-sign S Ko Simpson

Lions trade DE Robert Henderson to Seahawks for 2010 7th-rounder

Lions acquire G Rob Sims from Seahawks for a 2010 5th-rounder

Lions re-sign G Manuel Ramirez

Lions re-sign G Daniel Loper

Lions re-sign DE Jason Hunter

Lions re-sign CB Kevin Hobbs

Lions re-sign RB Cedric Peerman

Lions re-sign DE Copeland Bryan

Lions re-sign CB DeAngelo Smith

Lions acquire QB Shaun Hill from 49ers for 2011 7th-rounder

Lions acquire CB Chris Houston from Falcons for 2010 6th-rounder and exchange of 2010 5th-rounders

Lions sign CB Jonathan Wade

Lions sign WR Brian Clark

Lions cut DE Dewayne White

Lions re-sign TE Will Heller

Lions acquire DT Corey Williams and 2010 7th-rounder from Browns for 2010 5th-rounder

Lions cut DT Grady Jackson

Lions sign DE Kyle Vanden Bosch

Lions sign WR Nate Burleson

Lions re-sign OT Jon Jansen

Lions cut CB Phillip Buchanon

Lions tender SS Daniel Bullocks

Lions tender S Ko Simpson

Lions tender G Daniel Loper

Lions tender RB Cedric Peerman

Lions tender OLB Zack Follett

Lions tender G Corey Hilliard

Lions tender TE Jake Nordin

Lions tender CB DeAngelo Smith

Lions tender DE Jason Hunter

Lions tender CB Kevin Hobbs

Lions tender C Dylan Gandy

Lions tender G Manuel Ramirez

Lions cut DE Jared DeVries

D’Qwell Jackson Browns

 

I really don’t like signing almost any middle linebacker to a 5 year 42.5 million dollar contract, especially one like D’Qwell Jackson who played just 6 games from 2009-2010. It’s a serious risk to give him a contract in the neighborhood of Patrick Willis, Jon Beason, Karlos Dansby, and David Harris and I’m not sure he’d even be worth that if he wasn’t an injury risk. The one redeeming quality of this deal is that all the guaranteed money (10.4 million) is in the first 2 years so if he disappoints in anyway, they can cut him after the 2013 season.

Grade: D 

 

 

Eric Karkovack

 

Although Eric Karkovack was born and raised in Pennsylvania, he became a Saints fan at a very young age.  Living in a town that was at the time home to the Washington Redskins training camp, not to mention a plethora of Eagles and Steelers fans, Eric somehow managed to attach himself to the lovable losers from the south.

Back then, the Saints weren’t on local television very much and even finding a t-shirt was a challenge.  But as technology evolved, being a Saints fan from afar became much easier.  The internet and NFL Sunday Ticket made Eric feel like a true N’awlins native (even without the magic of Bourbon Street). 

In 2006, he created The New Orleans Saints Review in order to connect with other fans.  Initially, the Review was a weekly interactive podcast.  In 2009, it morphed into a blog.  You can find it at http://www.nosreview.com.

The blog isn’t necessarily the place to find breaking news regarding the Saints.  Instead, it features in-depth reviews and previews of games, players and even the occasional interview.  During the season, Eric also enjoys taking a look at some of the other highlights from around the NFL.

Personal Info

Eric is a professional web designer based in Central Pennsylvania.  Besides Saints football, he enjoys spending time with his wife and daughter, listening to indie rock music, and is also a fan of the Philadelphia Flyers and Baltimore Orioles. 

Follow Eric

Business site: http://www.karks.com/

Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/karks88

Fantasy Wide Receivers

 

Updated 9/3/10 

This top 30 list also happens to be the same list as my “list of guys who if you have anyone else as your WR1 or WR2 you’re screwed list” (name pending). No offense to wide receivers 30+, but if you’re in a 10 or 12 team league, you don’t want the 31st or 32nd best wide receivers as your WR2. The players have been broken up into tiers to show which players will have similar production to the player above them and which will not.

 

Tier 1

1. Andre Johnson

Andre Johnson is the best wide receiver for fantasy purposes this year. Larry Fitzgerald is close to his level in terms of talent, but doesn’t have the talent at quarterback that Johnson has. Johnson had 101 catches for 1569 yards and 9 scores last year and 115 catches for 1575 yards and 8 scores the year before so we shouldn’t expect anything different from him this year.

2. Miles Austin

Austin had 81 catches for 1320 yards and 11 touchdowns last year, despite not becoming a starter until week 5. Take his stats weeks 5-17 and stretch them over a 16 game season and you get 101 catches for 1652 yards and 13 scores. That’s pretty good. Also consider the fact that he was drawing a bunch of double teams last year and probably won’t have to deal with that as much this year with Dez Bryant coming in. Johnson is the safer option this year, but I would not be surprised if Austin led receivers in fantasy points this year and I would not be afraid of taking Austin in the late 1st/early 2nd round this year.

3. Randy Moss

Randy Moss didn’t try at 100% last year. Even as a Patriots fan, I’ll admit that. Tom Brady also wasn’t a 100% all year, whether it be a finger injury, a rib bruise, or his knee problem. Moss will be playing 100% this year. He’s in his contract year. The last time he was in a contract year and Brady was healthy, Moss exploded for 23 scores. He won’t do that this year, but I think he surpasses his stats overall from last year. Last year he had 83 catches for 1264 yards and 13 scores, even at the age of 33.

4. Calvin Johnson

Johnson didn’t play well last year, but he was hurt so I’m not really going to hold that against him. This is the guy who caught 78 balls for 1331 yards and 12 scores in 2008, as a 23 year old on a 0-16 team with a load of crap at quarterback. If he’s healthy, he could surpass those stats with Matt Stafford at quarterback.

Tier 2

5. DeSean Jackson

DeSean Jackson also will have to deal with a presumed downgrade at quarterback going from Donovan McNabb to Kevin Kolb, although, unlike Leinart who has proven himself to not be very good, 70.8 QB rating in 595 career throws, Kolb is relatively unproven. In Kolb’s two starts last year, Jackson had 250 yards and 2 scores. That’s encouraging, but also a small sample. I think Jackson will be fine this year, but he’s not going to be quite what he was last year, 62 catches for 1159 yards and 9 scores, because I don’t think Kolb’s arm is quite as strong as McNabb’s and Jackson is the definition of a deep threat.

6. Roddy White

White is a reliable guy. He’s had at least 83 catches, 1153 yards, and 6 scores in each of the last 3 seasons. As long as Matt Ryan is still his quarterback, White should be good for 80-90 catches 1100-1200 yards and 8-10 scores.

7. Brandon Marshall

7/30/10: Marshall has been cleared to go full strength for training camp. This is huge for him as he is joining a new team, a new scheme, and pairs with a new quarterback. There’s also a much slimmer chance of any early season struggles for Marshall, who is coming off of a hip injury (you know, the one Josh McDaniels thought he was making up).  

Marshall has had 100 catches and 1100+ yards in each of the past 3 years. However, last year his YPC fell from 13.0 and 12.2 to 11.1 because Denver’s new quarterback, Kyle Orton, didn’t have the arm strength to get the ball down to him downfield like his previous quarterback, Jay Cutler. Chad Henne, his quarterback in Miami, has arm strength that is closer to Cutler’s than Orton’s so I expect to see that YPC go back up. However, the 100 catches actually could be in some jeopardy. Marshall had hip surgery and will miss some of training camp. This is not good for his chemistry with new quarterback Chad Henne and for his adjustment to a new scheme. That being said, he missed some of training camp last year with new quarterback Kyle Orton and Josh McDaniels’ new scheme and still caught 100 balls. He should be a solid fantasy option and borderline WR1.

8. Greg Jennings

7/30/10: In his last 9 games, including the playoffs, he had 42 catches for 745 yards and 3 scores. Over 16 games, that’s 75 catches for 1324 yards and 6 scores. Whether it be him breaking out, or Driver getting older, or the improvement of the Packers line, allowing Rodgers to hit him deep, he was much better in the 2nd half last year. It will only continue this season. Their line improved in the offseason, Jennings is moving into the prime of his career as he turns age 27 in September, and Driver is not only old, but badly hurt. Those 75 catches for 1324 yards and 6 scores seem pretty realistic right now, possibly with even more touchdowns because of how explosive the Packers’ offense is. Expect 70-80 catches 1300-1400 yards and 6-8 scores. 

Jennings struggled a bit last year with 68 catches for 1113 yards and 4 scores.  However, he was a lot better after Clifton and Tauscher returned (as was their entire team it seems). Rodgers had more time in the pocket and more time to get the ball down the Jennings, his deep threat.  In his last 9 games, including the playoffs, he had 42 catches for 745 yards and 3 scores. Over 16 games, that’s 75 catches for 1324 yards and 6 scores. With Clifton and Tauscher healthy for the start of this year, and Bryan Bulaga drafted in case one of them gets hurt, he could get close to those stats this year. Also, Donald Driver is getting up there in age so Jennings could see an increase in targets for that reason as well.

9. Steve Smith (CAR)

8/19/10: Any speculation that Smith and his broken arm would not be ready for the season or not in game shape for the season were destroyed when Smith was surprisingly activated from the PUP list a couple weeks before anyone expected him too. Smith was amazing in the 4 games that he and Matt Moore both started, with 398 yards and 3 scores, despite leaving midway through the 4th game with his first broken arm of the last 9 months. Smith is surprisingly underrated this year. 

6/29/10: Smith broke his left arm recently. He is expected to return for the regular season, but he’ll miss valuable training time with two quarterbacks, Matt Moore and Jimmy Clausen, who he doesn’t have an extensive history with. He also may not be 100% come regular season. He may be out of shape. His recovery may also run long and he could miss a game or two. I’m knocking him down just a bit.

In the four games Steve Smith played with Matt Moore last year, he had 378 yards and 3 scores, despite leaving midway through the 4th game with a broken arm. This year, he is either going to have Matt Moore or Jimmy Clausen as his quarterback and I think both of them are better than Jake Delhomme was last year. He has a history of being inconsistent so it’s tough to extrapolate those 4 game stats across 16 games, but if you do, you get 1512 yards and 12 scores. Not bad considering he has had multiple 1400+ yard seasons in his career before. He should be a very solid WR2 and borderline WR1.

10. Reggie Wayne

Wayne is the model of consistency for fantasy football owners. He hasn’t missed a game for any reason since his rookie year, 2001. He has had 1000+ yards and 75+ catches in every season since 2004. His quarterback, Peyton Manning, also never misses games. Like ever. However, he may be wearing down a bit. In his last 10 games last year, including playoffs, he had 3 touchdowns, and only surpassed 100+ yards once. Granted, he was hurt, and he did have to face Darrelle Revis twice, but that’s not encouraging, especially at his age (he’ll be 32 in November) and with Pierre Garcon coming on as their #2 receiver. He should still be a solid WR1, but I don’t think he matches last year’s stats and I don’t think he’s quite a fantasy stud this year.

Tier 3

11. Larry Fitzgerald

8/24/10: Whether it be Leinart or Anderson, the Cardinals couldn’t do anything offensively against the Titans in their 2nd preseason game. For what it’s worth, Leinart was worse, but they both sucked. With Leinart it was all checkdowns and underthrows and with Anderson it was a bunch of inaccurate overthrows. Fitzgerald is good, but he can’t throw the ball to himself. He also has a lingering knee injury and lingering injuries sapped a lot of his production last year. He may have issues reaching both 1000 yards and 10 touchdowns this year. 

I think Fitzgerald is due for a down year. The last time Matt Leinart was the Cardinals’ starting quarterback, Fitz had 69 catches for 946 yards and 6 scores. Leinart may have gotten a little better since then, but I wouldn’t count on it. Leinart really struggled last season in limited action and even the Cardinals’ themselves aren’t sold on him. That’s why they signed Derek Anderson and have considered signing Marc Bulger. In Leinart’s one start last year, Fitz had 4 catches for 34 yards.

12. Marques Colston

7/30/10: Colston has been placed on the PUP/Active list after failing his conditioning test, following offseason knee surgery. This is his 3rd straight offseason with knee issues so there are concerns here. 

Colston is a boom or bust fantasy player on a weekly basis. He had 6 games of 50 or fewer yards last year, but also 6 games of 75 or more yards. He still ended up with 1000+ yards, but because of how many receivers New Orleans has, the title of Saints #1 receiver given to Colston doesn’t quite mean as much. He is inconsistent, but in every season he’s ever played more than 14 games, he’s had 1000 yards and at his size, 6-4, he should be his team’s primary goal line target.

13. Steve Smith (NYG)

8/10/10: Having Nicks opposite him does hurt him near the goal line, since Nicks is such an athletic goal line presence. Smith is still a lock for 100 receptions and 1000+ yards in my mind as their possession receiver and I love his consistency, but don’t expect him to get into the end zone very much this year. 

Steve Smith is very underrated. If you type “Steve Smith ESPN” into Google, Carolina receiver Steve Smith and retired Miami Heat guard Steve Smith come up before the Giants’ Steve Smith come up. Smith had 57 or more yards in every single game except for 2 last year. That’s consistency. However, there are reasons not to like him. He’s not a goal line threat at 5-11 with only 7 scores last year and with the emergence of 6-1 Hakeem Nicks as a receiver, that could actually go down this year. Smith only had 3 scores after week 5 last year. Coincidentally, week 5 is the week when Hakeem Nicks started getting more and more action. This year, he’s probably a starter and will take away, not only touchdowns, but receptions in general from Smith and Smith is not a YAC or YPC guy who can do a lot without a lot of targets.

14. Malcom Floyd

9/2/10: If Jackson has truly played his last game as a Charger, Floyd’s value goes up even more. He has certainly looked like a #1 receiver this preseason and could match Jackson’s 2009 numbers, 1167 yards and 9 scores. 

7/24/10: While Jackson is out, Floyd has even more time to build a bond with quarterback Phillip Rivers. If he doesn’t have 1000 yards this year, I would be shocked.  

7/9/10: I had him as a sleeper based on the potential that Jackson would get suspended. Now Floyd will be the Chargers #1 receiver for at least 3 weeks next year. This guy already had 34 catches for 525 yards in his 8 starts last year as their #2 receiver, now he has at least 3 weeks of being the #1 guy in that offense and 3 weeks of no Vincent Jackson to take away red zone looks. This guy is a major sleeper and could be a top 15 fantasy wide receiver if Jackson gets traded. 

Malcom Floyd broke out last year at age 28. He had 41 catches for 776 yards and 1 score. That 1 score looks like a fluke because he’s 6-5. I expect more touchdowns for him. Facing his first full season as a starter, 40 catches for 750 yards and 5 scores looks like the floor for him. His ceiling is a lot higher. In his last 8 games, after Chris Chambers’ release officially made him a starter, Floyd had 34 catches for 525 yards. Over 16 games, that’s 68 catches for 1050 yards. Add in the fact that Vincent Jackson could be facing a 4 game suspension to start the season, making Floyd Phillip Rivers’ #1 receiver, and you’ve got yourself a fantasy sleeper.

15. Wes Welker

8/24/10: Good to see him in there and healthy. In fact, if I didn’t see it myself, I wouldn’t have believed that this guy was ever in a freak injury accident week 17 last year. Leading the league in receptions last year despite missing 3 games with injury makes this guy a PPR god, and he’s pretty good in normal leagues too. 

7/24/10: Welker has been cleared for training camp, which pretty much guarantees that Welker, who tore two ligaments on his knee back in January, will be in the starting lineup week 1. For anyone who was smart and listened to me when I said he was my 19th ranked wide receiver and got Welker in the 8th, 9th or 10th round, congratulations. However, now that the cat’s out of the bag about Welker, he’s going to start going a lot earlier. You won’t be able to get him where you could before. Nonetheless, I do have to move him up even more. Assuming he’s close to 100% and doesn’t get hurt again, Welker, one of the toughest guys in the league, should be good for another 100 receptions and 1000 yards. He’s not a touchdown threat, but he’s a PPR god. This is the man who had 123 receptions for 1348 yards last year despite missing 2 games and most of a 3rd with injuries. 

6/2/10: I wanted to make sure he was healthy (or healthy ish) before putting him on this list, but Welker did something that amazed me yesterday. He practiced. Less than 5 months after tearing his ACL and MCL and less than 4 months after major knee surgery, Welker was on the field at Patriot OTAs practicing at what reports call “75 percent.” ADP has Welker going as the 21th wide receiver off the board at somewhere around pick 56. I’m putting him at 19 because I think Welker is the type of guy who’s going to exceed expectations. He always does. He’s not an end zone threat, but this is a guy who missed 2 (really 3 because of that first quarterback knee injury week 17) games last year and still caught 123 balls for 1348 yards and 4 scores. I’ll take the chance on him before I take a chance on any of the other guys on this list below him.

 

Tier 4

16. Mike Sims-Walker

Sims-Walker was extremely inconsistent last year. He had 5 games of 30 yards or fewer, thought 6 games of 80 yards or greater. His inconsistencies appear excusable, thanks to injuries and Darrelle Revis and lack of playing time early on, but he may prove this year that he’s just overall an inconsistent guy. It doesn’t help that he’s playing in an inconsistent offense for an inconsistent team. All in all, I think he does better than the 63 catches for 869 yards and 7 scores he had last year, this year, assuming he stays healthy.

17. Anquan Boldin

8/24/10: Boldin only has 2 receptions in his first 2 preseason games and simply is not being targeted as much as Flacco’s longest tenured target, Derrick Mason. This could continue into the season, even though Boldin is more physically impressive. 

Anquan is now the main man in Baltimore, rather than Fitz’ two number in Arizona, so I think he sees an increase in percentage of targets, especially near the goal line. He only had 4 touchdowns last year, which is ridiculous for a 6-1 217 receiver, because Fitzgerald, at 6-3 222, has always been Arizona’s main goal line guy. That won’t be the case this year. However, Baltimore threw 84 fewer times than Arizona last year. One would think that Baltimore will throw more this year, with Joe Flacco maturing more in his 3rd year, and with some actual deep threat receivers, but if they don’t, Boldin’s numbers could actually decrease across the board, with the exception of touchdowns. My best guess is that he’ll have similar catches, 84, and yards, 1024 than last year, with a few more touchdowns, but he could be a little better and a little worse than that, depending on how often the Ravens throw and how he adjusts to a new scheme and a new quarterback, which is not a given either.

Tier 5

18. Pierre Garcon

I am down on Wayne this year and up on Pierre Garcon. He had some injury issues late, but in the last 9 games he played, including the playoffs, he had 50 catches for 723 yards and 4 touchdowns. Over 16 games, that’s 89 catches, 1285 yards, and 13 scores. He’s going into that magical 3rd season breakout year (which for some reason never fails) and Wayne is getting older and struggled late last year. I am not guaranteeing a thousand yard season, but I think he very well could have 1000+ yards.

19. Michael Crabtree

Crabtree had everything go wrong for him last year (though most of that was his fault). He missed the first 5 games. He missed training camp so he didn’t practice the offense anywhere near enough before he played and he had to establish chemistry with Alex Smith in a pinch. He also was a rookie and rookie receivers, for the most part, struggle. Yet, he still had 48 catches for 625 yards and 2 scores. Even by adding in those 5 other games at his pace, you’d get 70 catches for 909 yards and 3 scores. However, I think he’ll increase the pace in his 2nd year, with a greater understanding of the offense and his quarterback, as well as a greater comfortably having gone through his first training camp and not being thrown into action starting week 7. He’ll also increase in terms of touchdowns. He has good size at 6-1 214 and I don’t think Vernon Davis will vulture as many of his scores this year as he did last year. Expect 70-80 catches for 900-1000 yards and 5-7 scores. That makes him a borderline WR2.

20. Dwayne Bowe

Bowe has had a bad past few months. First he was suspended 4 games for performance enhancing drug use and never got back on terms with his team and his quarterback. Then, this month, he made some questionable comments that basically said his team would “import” woman to their hotel rooms on roadtrips. Now, we don’t have to jump to conclusions. Maybe they were being “imported” to make them sandwiches, but it certainly doesn’t look good for him or his team. All that being said, he’s his team’s most talented receiver and I expect him to be the #1 option next year. His quarterback is not very good, but this is the same guy who had 86 catches for 1022 yards and 7 scores in 2008 with Tyler Thigpen at quarterback. Hell, even Chris Chambers had 608 yards and 4 scores in 9 games as the #1 option last year. There’s always a chance that Chambers comes out as the #1 option or as a 1B option or that Dexter McCluster steals a good chunk of receptions. Weirder things have happened in Kansas City. However, I think Bowe has a good chance to get back to that 1000 yard mark, though he is a boom or bust type player.

21. Hakeem Nicks

8/10/10: Reports say Mario Manningham is likely to be the Giants new punt returner, which makes it less and less likely that Manningham is going to start over the 2nd year Hakeem Nicks this year. Nicks is also getting the first team reps in training camp. My biggest concern with Nicks was not talent, but getting on the field, but I think it’s safe to say he’ll be their #2 receiver when the season starts. Nicks was tied with Percy Harvin for the lead in rookie receiving yards and receiving touchdowns last year despite not being a starter for most of the year so Nicks could approach 1000 yards and 8-10 touchdowns as his team’s main goal line threat. 

A lot to like and a lot not to like. Nicks actually was tied for the lead in rookie receiving yards with Harvin last year, despite not being a starter for most of the season. He’s probably going to be a starting receiver this year, with Mario Manningham in the slot. His frame at 6-1 makes him likely to be his team’s favorite goal line wideout and we’ve seen the success that receivers like big receivers like Plaxico Burress have had with Manning before. He’s a big YAC and YPC guy with 16.8 YPC last year and 18.0 YPC in his finale year in college, so he can do a lot without getting a ton of targets. In fact, he only had 71 targets all last year and still managed to get 790 yards. More than 50% of his yards (423) were in YAC. He also had 8 games of 4 of more catches in 14 games last year, very consistent for a rookie. However, YPC and YAC notoriously fluctuate somewhat from year to year. He’s also not even a lock to be a starter on his team.

22. Terrell Owens

8/19/10: Owens has definitely appeared the Batman to Ocho’s Robin, with 10 targets for 6 catches and 41 yards, as opposed to Ocho’s 3 targets for one 4 yard reception. I’m calling Owens the #1 guy in Cincinnati this year, though he’ll have plenty of other receivers to compete with. 

7/27/10: Owens has officially signed. It appears he will beat out the injury prone Antonio Bryant for a starting job and with a real quarterback this year, it wouldn’t be ridiculous to believe he could go for 900+ yards. Consider him a late WR2 or early WR3. 

The Rams are reportedly very interested in Terrell Owens. He remains a sleeper and a good value for now so I’d say draft him in the late rounds. He will have a rookie quarterback in Sam Bradford, but last year he had 829 yards and 5 scores on a crappy offensive team with a quarterback who didn’t have the arm strength to hit him deep. At least Bradford has a stronger arm than Trent Edwards or even Ryan Fitzpatrick, with whom he had a good bond with late. He could be a borderline WR3 this year. In 9 games where Fitzpatrick threw more than 20 passes, Owens had 534 yards and 4 scores. Stretch that over 16 games and you’ve got 949 yards and 7 scores. If he signs with the Rams, 800-900 yards and 5-7 scores isn’t crazy to expect.

23. Chad Ochocinco

8/19/10: Ochocinco has looked downright horrible in the preseason so far, looking significantly older and slower than Owens. There’s no doubt that Owens is the better receiver, at least now. That may change in a few weeks. 

7/27/10: I think Ocho and TO can coexist on the same team, but that doesn’t mean Ocho won’t have a decrease in production. Owens is better than Bryant, who would have been lining up across from him before. We saw what happened to Lee Evans after he teamed up with Owens last year. He had 405 fewer yards. Ochocinco is more talented than Evans and Carson Palmer is more talented than anyone Buffalo had at quarterback, but Ochocinco is far from a lock from 1000 yards anymore, especially with the addition of other guys like Jordan Shipley and Jermaine Gresham to his offense around him.  

There are a few reasons not to like Chad Eight Five this year. The Bengals brought in a ton, and I mean a ton, of receivers this offseason, Antonio Bryant, Jermaine Gresham, Jordan Shipley, Dezmon Briscoe, Matt Jones. That will take double teams away from Ocho, but you can’t argue that having a capable #2 a capable slot guy and a capable tight end in there is not going to cut down on his targets and I think that hurts him more than it helps him. He’s also 32 and not getting any younger. He should still get 60-80 catches, 1000+ yards and 8-10 scores, but he’s no lock any more.

24. Hines Ward

9/3/10: Ward has long been Big Ben’s favorite receiver so he of course gets a stock boost with Ben’s suspension getting cut. 

Hines Ward is due for a bad year. First, Big Ben is not going to start the first 6 games. In the 2 games Big Ben has missed over the last 4 years, Ward has a combined 8 catches for 100 yards and a score. Not exactly anything to get excited about. Ward is also 34 and will have a hard time keeping up the stats he had last year, which, in terms of catches and yards, were his 2nd highest stats in his career. Before last year, he had only had 1 1000+ yard seasons in the last 4 and hadn’t had an 1100+ yard season since 2003, when he was 27. Ward also has a bad hamstring injury and hamstring injuries tend to linger longer than most.

25. Derrick Mason

8/24/10: Despite all the new weapons the Ravens gave Joe Flacco this offseason, he’s still doing what he knows how to do best in the preseason, throwing it to Derrick Mason. Mason only has one season of 1000 yards or less in the past 10 years and could challenge for another 1000 yard season this year, even with all these new weapons around him. Even if he doesn’t get 1000 yards, he’ll be close and he’s extremely undervalued this year.

Tier 6

26. Mike Wallace

9/3/10: An amazing player this preseason, Wallace gets his starting quarterback back 2 weeks earlier and thus is a great sleeper. He’s a WR2 when Ben’s in the lineup. 

Wallace is another boom or bust guy (as Nicks was before him and the next two after him will be). Wallace had 39 catches for 756 yards and 6 scores last year as a rookie and a slot receiver. He will be Pittsburgh’s #2 this year with Santonio Holmes. However, with any role change, there’s always some risk. He’ll have more targets, but also face more and better coverage and more and better attention from opposing defenses. Also, not having Big Ben and his big arm for 6 games to get him the ball downfield hurts. His 19.4 YPC is also pretty scary. YPC tend to fluctuate from year to year. I can’t imagine him keeping that up so he’ll probably have to catch significantly more balls to increase his yards.

27. Robert Meachem

Meachem was not the most consistent guy last year, with 6 games of 20 or fewer yards. A lot of that had to do with the fact that he was not a starter until midseason, but even when he was a starter, he was inconsistent, with 6 games of 2 or fewer catches after week 10, including playoffs. The Saints have way too many receivers to consider anyone other than Colston a safe WR2 bet. The only reason Meachem was a good fantasy option last year was he had 9 touchdowns, 7 in his last 9 games, but that’s no safe bet either. Touchdowns for receivers have a knack for being very inconsistent on a yearly basis and the fact that New Orleans has so many other good receivers doesn’t help with the inconsistencies.

28. Santana Moss

Moss has 790 or more yards in each of the last 7 years. Over this time, he has had Vinny Testaverde, Chad Pennington, Patrick Ramsey, Mark Brunell (age 35), Todd Collins, and Jason Campbell as his quarterbacks. Now he has Donovan McNabb. McNabb, overall is a better quarterback than any of those 6, and he has a significantly stronger arm than all 6 of those as well. This is going to allow Moss to get more deep bombs, increasing his pedestrian 14.9 YPC and allowing him to show off all of his natural 4.3 speed. He’s not a touchdown threat at 5-10, but he’s still a very talented player in a great position as McNabb’s #1 option and could very well have his 4th career 1000+ yard season. It’s not like he hasn’t had one in a while. He had one just two years ago in 2008.

29. Jeremy Maclin

8/15/10: Maclin was the most targeted Eagles receiver when Kolb was in the game, a very good sign because I wasn’t sure how the talented 2nd year receiver would mesh with his new quarterback, given his inexperience. 

Maclin ended last year strong with 50+ yards in each of his last 7 games and 40+ in each of his last 10 and one would expect him to get better in his 2nd year. However, there’s no telling how he’ll adjust to a new quarterback. The downgrade from McNabb to Kolb could hurt him. Consider him a boom or bust guy.

30. Percy Harvin

8/29/10: When healthy, Harvin is the Vikings best receiver, now that Sidney Rice has gone down with a hip injury. It’s definitely a good sign that he has been practicing and now playing in games without issues and the news that doctors may have found a sort of cure for his migraines is great for his fantasy value. If healthy, he’s a strong WR2 with Rice out. 

8/19/10: After passing out at training camp, it’s become painfully obvious that Harvin is nowhere near ready for live NFL action. He remains a major health risk for this season and I can think of plenty of better things to do with a mid round pick than use it on Harvin. It is sad though, because he’s got plenty of talent. 

8/10/10: Harvin’s chronic migraines are looking like something that could be a major issue for him. He hasn’t practiced in over a week because of them and there appears to be no end in sight. If his migraines ever flared up like this in the season, like they did last year, he would miss games and that would hurt him. This looks like a very concerning situation for the 2nd year receiver. 

8/6/10: Hey, you know that whole Brett Favre retiring thing. Turns out it was pretty much a hoax. Even though no one in the media heard it straight from his mouth that he was retiring, the entire world went into a panic and assumed he was retiring because of some alleged text messages.

8/3/10: Downgrade at quarterback = less stats.  

Anyone who just watches ESPN and doesn’t know stats or Harvin would take a chance on Harvin way early than he should. ESPN loves Harvin because of his big play ability. However, the 2009 offensive rookie of the year only had 790 yards and 6 scores last year. He also had 135 yards rushing last year, but Minnesota has said they no longer play to use him in the wildcat, probably because they drafted wildcat quarterback Joe Webb in the 6th. He also had 6 games of 41 or fewer yards and he has a very dubious injury history. 

 

Giants 2011 Preview

 

In 2004, the Giants started 4-1 before finishing 6-10. In 2006, they started 6-2 before finishing 8-8. They still made the playoffs and lost to the Eagles in the first. In 2007, they started 6-2 before finishing 10-6. They eventually got their act together and won the Super Bowl, but their 2nd half struggles were still there. In 2008, they started 11-1 before finishing 12-4 and losing in the first round of the playoffs. In 2009, they started 5-0 before finishing 8-8.

Last year was more of the same for the Giants. They started 6-2, but finished 4-4 down the stretch and missed the playoffs at 10-6. Along the way, they blew a 31-10 4th quarter lead to the Eagles and got shelled by the Packers for 500+ yards in Lambeau. In the Tom Coughlin/Eli Manning era, they have always started strong, struggled in the 2nd half, and only one year have they won a playoff game, that being their Super Bowl winning year of 2007.

The 2010 Giants had the #10 passing offense, the #6 rushing offense, the #8 rushing defense, and the #9 passing defense. They also had the #7 total defense and the #5 total defense. However, they were 1st in the league in turnovers turning the ball over 42 times, 5 more than 2nd place Carolina and Minnesota. That’s what did them in.

Unfortunately, the offseason was not too kind to the Giants. While the Eagles signed a ton of free agents and the Cowboys figure to be better this season, the Giants lost Barry Cofield, Steve Smith, Kevin Boss as free agents and had to cut veteran interior linemen Rich Seubert and Shaun O’Hara. They also lost rookie cornerback Prince Amukamara indefinitely with a broken foot.

Steve Smith’s loss will be felt at wide receiver. Hakeem Nicks and Mario Manningham are both very talented receivers as the starters, but Smith was their best possession receiver out of the slot. Now, career backup Domenik Hixon and 2010 preseason standout Victor Cruz will compete for the slot receiver job with rookie 3rd round pick Jerrel Jernigan possibly coming on late.

Kevin Boss’ presence will also be missed in both the passing game and the running game. Boss is one of the better blocking tight ends in the league and he was a great end zone target for Eli Manning. He is replaced by 2009 3rd round pick, the inexperienced Travis Beckum. Beckum has caught 21 passes in 2 seasons as a pro as Boss’ backup.

Filling the voids of Seubert and O’Hara up front, free agent acquisition David Baas will start at center, in place of O’Hara, while David Diehl, who struggled on the left side, allowing 8 sacks in 2010, moves to left guard. 2009 2nd round pick William Beatty will be the new blindside protector. Baas is a marginal starter who the Giants overpaid to come over from San Francisco. Meanwhile, Beatty has not impressed in limited action in 2 seasons since being drafted.

If Beatty struggles, they don’t have many other options. They don’t want to move stud right tackle Kareem McKenzie and backup left tackle Shawn Andrews is terrible. Rookie 4th round pick James Brewer is in the mix, but the Giants have said they don’t plan to play him much as a rookie. McKenzie and Chris Snee do a solid job on the right side at tackle and guard respectively, but gone are the days of the Giants having one of the league’s best offensive lines.

When the Giants were at their best, Plaxico Burress was one of the best goal line threats in the league, their offensive line was one of the best in the league, and they had a fearful running game, helped by, again, an amazing line upfront. While Hakeem Nicks has done a nice job of replacing Burress, their offensive line is not as good as it once was and also gone are the days of Earth, Wind, and Fire wreaking havoc in the backfield (also, sadly, gone are the days of running back committees having cool names, what’s up with that!?).

Earth (Brandon Jacobs) is 29 and has lost his lead back job. Wind (Derrick Ward) is gone. Actually I don’t know where he went. Fire (Ahmad Bradshaw) is their best running back. Bradshaw rushed for 1235 yards and 8 touchdowns on 276 carries last year, his first year after taking the lead back job from Jacobs. He also caught 47 passes for 314 yards. He was rewarded this offseason with a 4 year deal, but he’s injury prone and fumble prone. His 7 fumbles in 2010 were a huge part of the reason why the Giants led the league in turnovers. We could see some of 3rd string running back Da’Rel Scott, a rookie 7th rounder, this year.

Another reason why this running game is no longer feared is the sudden decline of Madison Hedgecock, one of the best fullbacks in the league a few years ago. Hedgecock was benched for Bear Pascoe last season, who didn’t do much better. Pascoe was replaced by undrafted free agent Henry Hynoski this offseason. Without an elite running game to supplement him, it’s very possible that Eli Manning has another season where he turns the ball over a lot. He’ll throw for a bunch of yards and a bunch of touchdowns given this receiving corps, but he will hurt you with the turnovers. He’ll also be hurt by the loss of Kevin Boss and Steve Smith, as well as what should be a weaker offensive front.

 

The Giants have always been known for their pass rush and after a bad year rushing the passer in 2009, they bounced back with 46 sacks in 2010. Unfortunately, top pass rusher Osi Umenyiora, who had 11.5 sacks in 2010, is not happy and wants out or a new deal. He has shut up, for now, but this is not the first time Umenyiora has expressed dissatisfaction with his team and his contract.

Umenyiora will start opposite Justin Tuck, who also had 11.5 sacks last year. 2010 1st round pick Jason Pierre Paul should play a little bit more this season, but there’s not a lot of playing time to go around unless something happens to Umenyiora or Tuck. Meanwhile, inside on their defensive line, the Giants will feel the loss of Barry Cofield, a stud run stuffer who offered some pass rush. He signed with the Redskins in free agency.

2010 2nd round pick Linval Joseph will step into the lineup for Cofield. They also have 2011 2nd round pick Marvin Austin in the mix. He could see playing time this year because their other starter at defensive tackle, Chris Canty, has disappointed with a mere 2 sacks in 2 seasons since signing a giant contract with the Giants.

Former defensive end Mathias Kiwanuka is reportedly fully recovered from what seemed like a potential career ending neck injury, which he suffered last year. They brought him back on a two year deal and will have him play strong side linebacker this year, a position he has some experience at. He will be an upgrade over Clint Sintim, the 2009 2nd round pick who was penciled into the starting lineup before Kiwanuka resigned.

On the weakside, Michael Boley is a decent player, as is Jonathan Goff inside. The Giants spent a 6th round pick on Greg Jones, which I felt was a steal. He could see a lot of action as a rookie if anything happens to Kiwanuka. He could also beat out Boley or Goff. Don’t be surprised if that happens at some point this season.

The safety position was a huge position of need for the Giants following the 2009 season. The Giants responded by drafting Chad Jones and signing Antrel Rolle and Deon Grant. They also got Kenny Phillips back from injury. However, safety was still a weakness for this team last year. Chad Jones got badly hurt in a car accident and is still nowhere near ready to return. Deon Grant sucked and didn’t play much down the stretch, but Antrel Rolle was even worse.

Rolle had the 7th worst quarterback rating against of any safety in the league. He will continue to start this year, opposite Kenny Phillips who had a nice bounce back year in 2010. It’s possible rookie Tyler Sash, a 6th round pick, could be the starter over Rolle at some point this season, if Rolle has another terrible year. He could, however, just as easily bounce back to his pre-2010 form when he was at least a decent safety.

At cornerback, the Giants have good depth, but lack a true #1. Corey Webster and Terrell Thomas are the starters and Aaron Ross provides good depth as a nickel cornerback. However, they were hoping Prince Amukamara could have an impact at the position this season and possibly even become that #1 cornerback. He is out indefinitely with a foot injury. On top of that, Aaron Ross is injury prone and they don’t have great depth behind him at the position.

The Giants could start off strong once again, as they always do. In their first 7, Philadelphia represents the biggest challenge and their only other two challenging games are against St. Louis and Arizona. However, they could finish rough once again. In fact, it seems like the schedulers set them up for another 2nd half collapse. From week 9 on, they have to play New England, Philadelphia, New Orleans, Green Bay, Dallas, the Jets, and then Dallas again. Philadelphia is definitely better than them and I think Dallas is better than them once again. They will really miss the players they lost in free agency and I think they finish in 3rd.

Quarterback: B

Running backs: B

Receiving corps: B

Offensive line: B-

Run defense: C+

Pass rush: A-

Pass coverage: C

Coaching: C

Projection: 7-9 3rd in NFC East

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