Dez Bryant

 

Wide Receiver 

Oklahoma State

6-2 225

40 time: 4.52

Draft board overall prospect rank: #19

Draft board wide receiver rank: #2

Overall rating: 86*

3/30/10: Bryant’s measurables and workout in the positional drills, especially after basically a year off of football, were really impressive considering he was wearing brand new cleats that had not been broken in before. However, when you consider that the reason he did not have cleats is because he “forgot,” it’s hard to consider this pro day a success. He is known for having mental lapses on the field, and dropped a few catchable balls today, so forgetting something as important as your cleats cancels out the good that the strong workout did, especially when it’s something as important of your Pro Day after being suspended a whole year for something stupid. He really did not seem to get the importance of this day.

1/17/10: Suspended for something bizarre, but that shouldn’t hurt his draft stock too much. The character red flags are there and he doesn’t always seem to have his head in the game. He drops way too many passes and isn’t a good route runner, but he’s going to be an excellent #2 deep threat at the next level at worst. He has an amazing size, speed combination and is extremely dangerous in the open field.

Update (11/2/09):  Character issues yes, but what elite wide receiver doesn’t have character issues. When he’s right, he has elite wide receiver potential.

Suspension update: Bryant has been ruled ineligible by the NCAA for the rest of the season for allegedly lied to the NCAA about the activities that took place when we met with former NFL player Deion Sanders. I don’t get how going to lunch with Deion Sanders is something that gets you suspended for the season, but apparently if you lie about it, the NCAA doesn’t like it. This does hurt if he can’t play for the rest of the year because he will be sluggish, at best, going into the combine having missed that much time. Also, the fact that he lied about whatever he did goes with the reputation he has for not always having his head in the game, which leads me to believe that he could be yet another diva wide receiver. Oklahoma State will try to get Bryant reinstated.

6/13/09: Explosive receiver in an explosive big 12 offense, who also helps on kick and punt returns. The first name that comes to mind is Jeremy Maclin, the 19th overall selection in this past NFL Draft by the Philadelphia Eagles. However, after explosive receiver, explosive big 12 offense, and kick/punt returner, the comparisons stop between Maclin and Bryant. Maclin runs a better 40 time. He ran a 4.45 at the combine and a 4.43 at his pro day while Bryant is likely to run in the low 4.5s maybe high 4.4s, which for a receiver is actually quite slow. However, after timed speed, the comparisons stop favoring Maclin and start favoring Bryant. Bryant is 2 inches taller and more of a red zone threat. In 2008, his true sophomore season, Bryant had 19 touchdown receptions as compared to Maclin’s 13, even though Maclin was a 3rd year sophomore. Though Bryant runs slower timed, he is actually faster, quicker, and more explosive than Maclin in game situations. Bryant has way better hands than Maclin. One of the things I didn’t like about Maclin is the fact that he’s more of a track star wide receiver than a pass catching wide receiver, meaning he doesn’t have the hands to match his athleticism. Bryant does. Bryant is bigger and stronger which helps in run blocking and tackle breaking. Bryant’s offense at Oklahoma State is more of a pro style offense which means that Bryant isn’t going to have as long of a transition period as Maclin will. Maclin played in a true spread at Missouri, while Bryant plays in a pro style spread at Oklahoma State. The difference, and it’s a big one, the quarterback plays under center in a pro style spread as opposed to 90% of the time in shotgun as is the case in a true spread. Overall, Bryant is going to have a much more productive NFL career. Bryant I can see maturing into a #1 or #2 option. Maclin I can’t see being anything more than a Ted Ginn type speed burner receiver who keeps in the kick return game and on some of those fancy end around plays. Bryant is a better true old school esque receiver, who also can help in the return game and maybe on end arounds if needed, though he hasn’t exactly been used in that situation yet in college.

NFL Comparison: Braylon Edwards

*=For a breakdown of what this means, click here 

Draft Grades: Trades

 

Only deals involving 2010 1st round picks

Miami Heat trade the 18th pick (PG Eric Bledsoe) and SG Daequan Cook to the Oklahoma City Thunder for the 32nd pick

Deal for Miami: A pure salary dump, they dump the 3 million or so they would have had to pay the 18th pick, as well as Cook’s 2.2 million dollar cap number, and get the 32nd pick, which won’t command nearly as much money. They save about 4 million in this deal and I don’t think they get all that worse of a package. The difference between the 18th pick and the 32nd pick is not as much as you’d think and Cook is a decent contributor, but easily replaceable. This deal sets them up to do a lot more in free agency, in terms of possibly adding the trinity, LeBron, Wade, and Bosh.

Grade: A

Deal for Oklahoma City: Using some of their salary cap room to add vets, the Thunder get Cook, who can play a role for them, and they get him relatively cheap. Excluding the fact that they later moved the 18th pick for a 2011 1st rounder from the Clippers, I still think this is a solid move.

Grade: B

Chicago Bulls trade the 17th pick (PF Kevin Seraphin) and PG Kirk Hinrich to the Washington Wizards for cash

Deal for Chicago: Pure salary dump. If this move is the one that allows them to sign Bosh and LeBron (which it looks like it could), it’s genius. They may still need to move Luol Deng first before they can afford both of them if Bosh demands a max deal. Hinrich was nothing more than Rose’s backup and the 17th pick is not as valuable as it sounds. Mid first round picks are role players and projects (in Seraphin’s case, it’s project).

Grade: A

Deal for Washington: I kind of see what they were trying to do here. They figured no one would want to sign in Washington in free agency anyway, for fear or being shot, so they used their cap space to trade for a player and got a draft pick in the process. Not a horrible idea, but did they need Hinrich? They already have John Wall at Gilbert Arenas, at point guard, plus Foye who can play there. Did they need another? 9 million dollars of cap space is a lot and this may take them out of the sweepstakes for getting a player like David Lee, who I would much rather want than Hinrich. Seraphin is widely considered a big project, but he does save this deal from being a complete F.

Grade: D

New Orleans Hornets trade the 11th pick (C Cole Aldrich) and SG Morris Peterson to the Oklahoma City Thunder for the 21st pick (PF Craig Brackins) and the 26th pick (SF Quincy Pondexter)

Deal for New Orleans: There wasn’t anyone the Hornets were enamored with at 11 and they didn’t really need a starting caliber player, but rather some wing depth and interior depth, so they traded down, got two picks, filled two needs with those two picks, and dumped Morris Peterson’s salary in the process.

Grade: A

Deal for Oklahoma City: They needed a center and Aldrich was better than any center they could have gotten with one of their later picks, but I don’t think Aldrich was quite worth what they gave up, two first rounders, and 6.6 million of cap space. This takes them out of the David Lee sweepstakes, a sweepstakes they looked like the favorite to win. They could have gotten a decent center project or two with their later picks.

Grade: C

 

Portland Trailblazers trade SF Martell Webster to the Minnesota Timberwolves for SF Ryan Gomes and the 16th pick (SF Luke Babbitt)

Deal for Portland: Last year, Webster scored 9.4 points per game, 3.3 rebounds, 0.8 assists, 0.55 blocks, and 0.49 steals, shot 40.5% from the field, 37.3% from three, and 81.3% from the line. Gomes, who plays the same position, had 10.9 points, 4.6 rebounds, 1.6 assists, 0.82 steals, 0.21 steals, shot 44.7% from the field, 37.2% from three, and 82.5% from the line. Webster is younger and may have a little bit more upside as a former upside pick, but if he hasn’t come around by now, I don’t think he will. I may have done this deal straight up, Webster for Gomes. Getting the 16th pick as a throw in only makes it sweeter.

Grade: A

Deal for Minnesota: Basically you’re trading a decent player for a decent player at the same position and throwing in a mid first round pick. Why? The only thing that keeps this from a fail is Webster’s upside, but he is 23 with 5 years experience so it may be time to give up on him as someone who’s going to be a good player in this league.

Grade: D

Oklahoma City Thunder trade the 18th pick (PG Eric Bledsoe) to the Los Angeles Clippers for a 2011 1st round pick

Deal for Oklahoma City: They got this pick when they moved up from the early 2nd to the 18th pick in the first, in the Miami Daequan Cook salary dump, and now they may have turned it into a 2011 lottery pick, a class that figures to be more talented than this one, because the Clippers don’t look like a playoff team in 2011.

Grade: A

Deal for Los Angeles Clippers: I get the need for a backup point guard with Baron Davis’ health issues, but I don’t see the need to take one here and give up what could be a future lottery pick. They could have gotten a solid one in free agency or the 2nd round. However, if they are able to pull off a Baron Davis salary dump deal with someone and can entice a max contract free agent to LA, this will look brilliant. I don’t see that happening though.

Grade: C

New Jersey Nets trade the 27th pick (SG Jordan Crawford) and the 31st pick (C Tibor Pleiss) to the Atlanta Hawks for the 24th pick (SF Damion James)

Deal for New Jersey: James is one of the more overlooked players in this draft class and I can see him being a starter for this team longterm, so I see why they moved up, but they may have given up a bit too much. The 31st pick is a lot to move up 3 spots from 27th to 24th. James may have been there at 27 and even if he wasn’t, bad teams that need a lot of things should not get this enamored about a guy who slipped to the mid 20s.

Grade: B

Deal for Atlanta: Atlanta doesn’t have a lot of guys under contract for next year so they turn one pick into two and win in terms of value. The NBA does not have a trade value chart like the NFL, but if they did, the Hawks would be clear winners here.

Grade: A

Memphis Grizzlies trade the 25th pick (SG Dominique Jones) to the Dallas Mavericks for cash

Deal for Memphis: I don’t like the concept of giving away a pick for nothing, just so you don’t have to pay the pick, but I can kind of see why the Grizzlies did it in this situation. They had two other firsts and not a ton of needs.

Grade: B

Deal for Dallas: I don’t see how Jones fits into the mix as a Maverick, unless there’s a trade that clears up their backcourt, but you’re getting a good player for pretty much nothing and it’s not like the Mavericks are pressed for cash.

Grade: A

 

Erin Henderson Vikings

 

Erin Henderson might be the single most underrated player in the league. In his first year as a starter, he ended up grading out as the 4th best 4-3 outside linebacker on ProFootballFocus. Most of the league hasn’t really caught up to that yet because there’s only so much tape you can watch (meanwhile ProFootballFocus watches every snap of every game), but Henderson really is a good one.

He was only a 2 down run stuffer last season, but only two outside linebackers (Von Miller and Jarret Johnson) graded out as better against the run at his position. This year he’s expected to become a 3 down player as his teammate and brother EJ Henderson is not expected back and he could move to middle linebacker. He might not be capable of that, but for 2 million over 1 year, he’s an absolute bargain even if he remains a 2 down run stuffer for the whole season.

Grade: A

 

Florida State/Clemson

Spotlight #1: Florida State OT Andrew Datko 

Spotlight #2: Florida State DE Brandon Jenkins

1st quarter

13:50: Datko out of a 2 point stance, good burst off the ball on a 2nd level block.

11:07: Datko misses a 2nd level block, tackle for a loss.

10:28: Datko blown past with quick interior penetration to Datko’s right.

9:16: Jenkins frozen on a double team. Also on the play, talented Florida State redshirt sophomore cornerback Xavier Rhodes with a PI on a deep pass.

8:15: Jenkins getting dominated in his matchup early.

6:55: Datko stays with Andre Branch’s spin move well.

4:16: Jenkins not getting any pressure tonight. Clemson senior first year starting left tackle Phillip Price is dominating this matchup tonight.

0:58: Datko clears a huge hole on an 8 yard run for a first down.

2nd quarter

12:56: Jenkins taken down on a cut block.

12:32: Lazy effort by Jenkins. Looked like he gave up on this play.

11:31: Jenkins able to get into the backfield, but a roll out away from him.

10:55: Jenkins beats his man to the inside with a swim move, gets pressure and a hit.

10:16: Jenkins’ spin move goes nowhere and then he’s knocked down. I’ve been impressed with Phillip Price, the 1st year senior starter at left tackle for Clemson.

2:15: Datko misses a block on a failed 3rd and short conversion.

1:32: Jenkins able to draw a hold on Phillip Price.

1:13: Jenkins run at and he gets a tackle for no gain on a quarterback draw.

0:53: Brandon Jenkins with a sack. 3 great plays in a row by him to finish off a disappointing first half.

 

3rd quarter

14:15: Jenkins gets into the backfield, but misses a tackle for a loss.

13:36: Jenkins can’t change directions quickly on a potential tackle for loss.

13:08: Jenkins able to get a little pressure. This was a coverage pressure, great coverage by Florida State’s secondary.

11:07: Jenkins is able to get more pressure.

10:34: Just a note, Jenkins has had several plays where he lines up as a linebacker.

7:06: Jenkins is among others getting pressure, but then he gets knocked down.

6:06: Jenkins beats his man, but the back does a nice job of blocking him to prevent a sack or a pressure.

1:09: Datko whiffs on a cut block, allows pressure on a screen.

4th quarter

14:45: Jenkins blocked by Clemson tight end Dwayne Allen. Blocking is a popular knock on him.

12:27: Datko with a nice cut block.

3:39: Jenkins gets pressure, flushes the quarterback from the pocket.

2:46: Datko stays with Andre Branch’s spin move.

1:59: Datko allows a quarterback hit by Andre Branch, forces an errant throw and almost a pick.

1:37: Datko pancakes Branch.

0:00: Jenkins showed flashes of brilliance in this game, but was overall inconsistent and struggled with a left tackle in Phillip Price who is hardly an elite prospect. Through 7 games, Jenkins has just 26 tackles, 6.5 for loss, and 3.5 sacks, good, but hardly the 63 tackles, 21.5 for loss, and 13.5 sacks he had in 14 games last season. He’s really losing momentum as a first round prospect and could end up outside of the first round if he keeps this up.

As for Phillip Price, I was very impressed with him. He doesn’t get a lot of attention and he doesn’t have a lot of starting experience, but the 6-5 315 pound left tackle looked very good in his matchup with Jenkins, a talented pass rusher and a sure fire top two rounds pick. He’s worth a 2nd look in my opinion.

As for Andrew Datko, he didn’t have the best night, but he was matched up with a potential first round pick in Andre Branch and he held his own. He kept the athletic Branch, who now has 47 tackles, 11.5 for loss, and 7 sacks in 8 games, in check and proved himself to be a worth tackle at either left tackle or right tackle at the next tackle. He would be a fringe first round pick if he wasn’t missing the rest of the season with shoulder surgery. He’ll have to prove his health before the draft, otherwise, he could really slip. For now, I’d say the first round looks unlikely for him.

 

Giants Draft Visits

 

CB Omar Bolden (Arizona State)

OLB Matt Broha (Louisiana Tech)

TE Jake Byrne (Wisconsin)

DT Ronnie Cameron (Old Dominion)

G James Carmon (Mississippi State)

QB Austin Davis (Southern Mississippi)

S Matt Daniels (Duke)

OLB Ryan Davis (Bethune-Cookman)

RB Cyrus Gray (Texas A&M)

MLB Dont’a Hightower (Alabama)

S Jerron McMillian (Maine)

TE Adam Nissley (UCF)

DE Josue Ortiz (Harvard)

TE Adrien Robinson (Cincinnati)

WR Mohamed Sanu (Rutgers)

QB Matt Simms (Tennessee)

RB Michael Smith (Utah State)

OT Donald Stephenson (Oklahoma)

OLB Korey Toomer (Idaho)

OLB Tahir Whitehead (Temple)

WR Devon Wylie (Fresno State)

Jacksonville Joker

By Anthony Brown

Dear Santa,

I have been a good fan and an ok blogger all year long. Please may I have a win on Sunday?  And please, please Santa, give me two more years of LB London Fletcher playing at a high level.

The Washington Redskins stagger through the remainder of their season with everyone on the team but Donovan McNabb auditioning for a spot on next year’s roster. Santa’s sleigh brings them to Jacksonville to face the Jaguars. Santa has a few gifts for Washington, too.

Jaguars RB Maurice Jones-Drew, AKA Pocket Hercules, is listed as Doubtful for the game after missing practice this week. Years of fantasy football taught me that “Doubtful” stud players are 50-50 to show up in games, especially when the playoffs are on the line. Jacksonville blew its shot to lock up the AFC South with its loss in Indianapolis last week. They are desperate to win out. If Jones-Drew can crawl, he will make some appearance Sunday.

An impaired Jones-Drew is easier to stop. That’s a gift to the Redskins defense that declared LB Brian Orakpo and S Reed Doughty OUT for the game and that placed DE Phillip Daniels and nose tackle Maake Kemoeatu in injured reserve. Anthony Bryant might be a step-up from Kemoeatu. Fan favorite Daniels, the strongest man on the team, had already dropped to second on the depth chart. 

A healthy Jones-Drew would have allowed Jacksonville to apply its greatest strength to Washington’s greatest weakness–run defense. If Jones-Drew is out, the injury fall-off is much steeper for the Jaguars than for the Redskins.

Rex Grossman continues to make his case as starting quarterback. He looked good for half the game against the Dallas Cowboys. Fans loved the 30 point output and the sustained drives. We know in the end that Grossman is still Grossman. Counting his appearance against the Lions, Grossman has four turnovers, counting fumbles lost, that led to three touchdowns for the other guys. That’s not sustainable over a 16 game season. 

Grossman’s play does give us the chance to assess Kyle Shanahan’s offense. We see that it can work. Grossman is a wrinkle to throw at Jacksonville who may not have game-planned him well enough. All that comes at the price of high drama. We thought we were rid of all that when the Redskins dismissed Vinny Cerrato. (Sigh.)

As with the Cowboys last week and the Giants next week, you have to favor the Jaguars over the Redskins. The wrinkles in this contest narrow the odds in Washington’s favor. Look for the ‘Skins to make this contest closer than the seven point advantage assigned to the Jags.     

http://redskinshogheaven.com/

Go back to Redskins Fan Spot

Jason Fox Scout

Offensive Tackle

Miami

6-7 305

40 time: 5.45

Draft board overall prospect rank: #49

Draft board offensive tackle rank: #7

Overall rating: 78*

            4/1/10: Jason Fox has first round talent and has been the anchor on Miami’s offensive line ever since he stepped on campus, but there are a lot of red flags with him. He’s a bit skinny and isn’t a great run blocker and is therefore limited scheme wise to being a left tackle in a zone blocking scheme. He also has had heart issues in the past and is just coming off of knee surgery. He doesn’t have great athleticism or upside, but he’s a hard worker, a gym rat, and a tape watcher. His pass blocking form and footwork are elite, but he struggles to contain quicker ends and, by that respect, could be seen as a man without a true position. He was extremely dominant at Miami, but he needs to bulk up some and prove he is healthy. He has also had an ankle injury and an elbow injury in the past, though he played through them well and rarely missed a game in his very successful college career. He has a shot of going in the 2nd round because of this weak left tackle class, but he shouldn’t go after guys like Jared Veldheer, Roger Saffold, and Tony Washington, and he probably will. Most likely he’ll be a late 2nd round early 3rd round guy, but he has first round upside and talent and could be anchor at left tackle in a zone blocking scheme (like Indy’s perhaps) for many years because that is exactly what he was at Miami.

NFL Comparison: Duane Brown

*=For a breakdown of what this means, click here

Jets First Place

 

By Kevin Harrison 

It was a huge battle for first place on Sunday night with the Jets playing their nemesis, the Miami Dolphins.   It was time for revenge as the Jets hadn’t been swept by the fish since back in 2003.

If you take away the Monday Night Miracle and the 51-45 game, this rivalry has had a ton of heartbreak for the Jets from the Mud Bowl loss to the fake spike and numerous Duper / Clayton touchdowns in between.

But, this is a new era.  This was the first game where once hated Dolphin, Jason Taylor, was on our side.

I was a little nervous as Revis, Jenkins, and Pace were out with injuries.  Jason Taylor and Nick Mangold were a bit banged up but playing.  And Braylon Edwards was suspended for the first quarter as punishment from the Jets for his DWI.  So, that’s a lot of talent off the field or not at 100%.

The offense looked in sync.  And what a great way to start the game with an 11 play, 6 minute drive ending in a touchdown.  Sanchez looked great making some clutch throws and then hit Keller, his go to guy, for a 24 yard score.  Doesn’t look like the Jets needed Braylon “DWI” Edwards on that first drive.

Our second touchdown was just as sweet.  Sanchez hit Keller for a long gain.  The drive was then helped out with a personal foul on 3rd and 20 to give the Jets a first down which was followed by a 20 yard run by LT.  Did San Diego actually say this guy lost a step?  Then, Sanchez hits Keller again for another TD!

The second quarter was a disaster as the Jets let the stinkin’ fish right back in the game with poor defense and a lack of any offense combined with some penalties.  The Dolphins were picking apart our defense.  We even had great field position on one of our drives with a great kickoff return for 54 yards by Brad Smith and the drive just stalled.   At the end of the quarter, we had an opportunity for a long field goal and we had our millionth false start to make a long field goal attempt even longer and the ball was tipped at the line.  Still, we were going into the locker room with a 14-10 lead.

After the defense once again looked disgusting, like a puddle of vomit giving the Dolphins another touchdown for a 17-14 lead, Sanchez comes out and hits Braylon Edwards for a 67 yard touchdown to regain the lead, 21-17.   I’m not sure Braylon deserves a touchdown based on what he did but, I’m a frustrated Jets fan so I’ll gladly take the score!

The Jets D started the third quarter stinking another egg letting the Dolphins walk right down the field but luckily only gave up a field goal.

After some back and fourth, Eric Smith blocks a punk and we are sitting pretty on the 10 yard line until Edwards gets called for a trip and Slausen gets called for a hold.  After a terrible call in the Wildcat that got Brad Smith a first down, we were sitting pretty again.  However, another Slausen hold on a Sanchez TD run stalled the drive and gave us only three points.  How many penalties are we gonna have?  Don’t you wish we resigned Faneca as this Slausen experiment isn’t working.  And, wouldn’t it be nice if we threw more than once at the endzone when we were so close?  Why did we get so conservative again?  The Jets were up 4 points but I was quite disgusted with the series of downs when you start with the ball on the 10 yard line.

Before I could blink, the Dolphins booted a 50 yard field goal.  The Jets were up just one.   I had a bad feeling on how this was going to play out based on how poorly the defense was playing this evening.

The Jets didn’t feel my pessimistic attitude.  They got the ball with 6+ minutes to go and drove right down the field while mixing up the run and the pass and eating up valuable time on the clock.  The drive ends with a LT one yard touchdown score to put the Jets up by 8.

Now it was up to the defense to seal the victory.  The defense had it’s moments in the game with Ellis having one sack and Jason Taylor with a sack and a pressure.  They were great in the first quarter giving up just 16 total yards.  But, now it was under two minutes with the game and first place in the AFC East on the line.  It didn’t look like the defense was up for the task letting the Dolphins walk all the way down the field.  However, the Jets stopped them on four straight plays ending with a Drew Coleman interception in the endzone to seal the game.

Can you say FIRST PLACE !!!

http://khbirdmantalkingjets.blogspot.com/ 

 

 

John Jerry Scout

Guard

Mississippi

6-5 335

40 time: 5.15

Draft board overall prospect rank: #73

Draft board guard rank: #3

Overall rating: 74*

            4/5/10: As you can tell from his measurable size, Jerry is a large dude and a punishing run blocker. He excels in run blocking in man schemes, locking onto a defensive linemen and pounding him into the ground with his brute strength. He’s very durable for his size and is actually in pretty good physical shape. He didn’t appear to wear down late into games as most guys his size would. He was a four year starter in the SEC and never had any issues with injuries. He is dominant from the word “go” and he has been dominant ever since he stepped onto campus. Football is in his blood. His older brother Peria Jerry went 24th overall to the Falcons last year. He really struggles when he has to move a lot and when an agile defender forces him to move his feet to compete with him. He is great one on one in the so called “phonebooth” in the middle of the trenches and is great at directional blocking, forcing his man to go the way he wants him to. However, he has very heavy feet and would not fit a zone blocking scheme that required an athletic guard. He is not a natural knee bender and need some work on his form. Overall, he should be a very good right guard in the right scheme, but that description is one of a 3rd round prospect and nothing more. The rumors that he could go in the 2nd round, I think, are false because he is very limited in terms of the type of player he is. He excels at one thing, but his versatility is very questionable. At the very least though, with his long arms, massive bulk, and good height, he’ll be an asset to a team on short downs, but I think, in the right scheme, this is a starting guard. He has a very good track record blocking for guys like Ben Jarvus Green Ellis and Dexter McCluster, as well as other rushers who got very good holes to run in over the last 4 years at Mississippi.

NFL Comparison: Max Jean Gilles

*=For a breakdown of what this means, click here

Kellen Moore Scout

 

Quarterback

Boise State

6-0 197

Draft board overall prospect rank: #191

Draft board overall quarterback rank: #9

Overall rating: 54 (6th round)

40 time: 4.94

Games watched: Boise State/ToledoBoise State/Fresno StateBoise State/Arizona State

Positives

·         Incredibly smart

·         High football IQ

·         Excellent decision maker

·         Great short to intermediate accuracy

·         Excellent timing

·         Quick release

·         Winner (50-3 career record with 3 losses by 5 points)

·         4 year starter

·         4 years of great production (completion percentages between 64.3%-74.3%, YPAs between 8.2-10.0, TDs between 25-43, INTs between 3-10)

·         Has always been mature beyond his years

·         Good pocket presence

·         Gets ball out quick and avoids sacks

·         High character leader

·         Great field vision

·         Always keeps his eyes downfield

·         Hard worker who loves the game

·         All the intangibles

Negatives

·         Short (barely 6 foot)

·         Small frame 6-0 197

·         Minimal arm strength

·         Struggles with throws outside the numbers

·         Deep throws tend to hang

·         Poor deep accuracy

·         Low release point

·         Combination of low release point and lack of height lead to a lot of passes deflected at the line, only will get worse in NFL

·         Level of competition wasn’t great

·         Not mobile

·         Doesn’t throw particularly well on the run

·         Poor athlete

·         Not a lot of under center experience

·         No Pro Style experience

·         System quarterback?

·         Doesn’t pass the eyeball test

NFL Comparison: Shorter Colt McCoy

Kellen Moore is the winningest quarterback in college football history with a 50-3 career. That record could stand for a long time and may never be broken. However, this is not a definite precursor for NFL success. The top 4 winningest quarterbacks in college football history: Kellen Moore, Colt McCoy, David Greene, Andy Dalton. Only Dalton has 40+ wins in college and went on to become a legitimate NFL starter. This isn’t to say that quarterbacks with a lot of wins are automatically going to fail in the NFL. This would be ridiculous. However, it’s not a definite predictor of NFL success.

Moore has got a lot of things working against him. First of all, he’s barely 6 foot tall. There are only 2 NFL starting quarterbacks who have had any sort of success at shorter than 6-2: Michael Vick and Drew Brees. Moore doesn’t have Vick’s speed and athleticism and Brees has a much stronger arm. Neither of those two quarterbacks have Moore’s weird delivery point. It’s Philip Rivers esque. That works fine if you’re Rivers and 6 foot 5, but Moore isn’t. A lot of his passes are going to be knocked down at the line of scrimmage. That happened quite a bit in college, but it’ll happen more in the NFL, especially with all of the tall long armed defensive ends like Jason Pierre Paul and the like.

Moore has a lot of trouble driving the ball deep. His deep balls don’t have a lot of zip or velocity and float too much. He has trouble throwing into windows farther than 10-15 yards out and he doesn’t have the ability to consistent drive the ball outside the numbers. NFL teams will just stack the middle against him and dare him to beat them deep. His arm will get stronger in the NFL as he gets into a strength training program, but because of his small frame, I question how much muscle he can add and how much stronger his arm can get.

It’s a shame because he’s one of the smartest most accurate college quarterbacks I can remember. He’s an excellent leader with all the intangibles. He’s got an infectious demeanor and work ethic and love for the game. He’s a winner (albeit in a weak conference) with incredibly short accuracy and football intelligence. He’s a poised leader with a quick delivery and great pocket presence.

However, all of the same things can be said about Colt McCoy, who Moore surpassed in career wins this season. McCoy won 44 games in a tougher conference in the Big 12. He was just as smart and accurate and poised as Moore and even taller (6-2). However, he fell to the late 3rd round and in 2 years as a starter, he has failed to impress. The Browns are once again searching for a quarterback 2 years later. Moore will probably be a 5th or 6th round pick, but will have a similar career. He’s not going to be a good starter in the NFL, but you can do a lot worse in your backup quarterback.