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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (0-0) at St. Louis Rams (0-0) To start the season, this week has 8 games that feature road favorites (and no game that features a line higher than a touchdown). Almost every single one of those 8 road favorites is heavily backed by the public. I hate making…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (0-0) at Denver Broncos (0-0) I really like the Ravens this season. I think they’re one of the most talented teams in the NFL and on the Super Bowl short list. The Ravens lost a lot this off-season (Torrey Smith, Haloti Ngata, Pernell McPhee to name a few),…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
New York Giants (0-0) at Dallas Cowboys (0-0) The Cowboys won the NFC East with 12 wins last year, but I think they’ll have a tougher time in 2015. Defensively, they were pretty weak in 2014, ranking 26th in rate of moving the chains allowed. They get Sean Lee back…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Washington Redskins: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (0-0) at Washington Redskins (0-0) I hate making big plays on road favorites that are heavily backed by the public. Those always scream “trap game” to me. Whenever the public is heavily on a road favorite it’s usually for the wrong reason. That reason is that the lines…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (0-0) at Chicago Bears (0-0) This line is way too high at a touchdown and yet the public money keeps coming in on the Packers. I love fading the public whenever it makes sense and it definitely does here. The Bears are better than people think (more…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (0-0) at Arizona Cardinals (0-0) The Cardinals won 11 games last season, while the Saints won 7, but I think the Saints were actually the better team last year, as they ranked 11th in rate of moving the chains differential, while Arizona ranked 17th. The Saints were…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at San Diego Chargers: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (0-0) at San Diego Chargers (0-0) I have these two teams about even coming into the season. San Diego has better quarterback play, but Detroit has a better supporting cast. I have both teams snagging a wild card berth, San Diego with 10 wins in the AFC and…
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Continue reading →: Top-200 NFL Players: 51-75 (2015)
1-25 26-50 51-75 76-100 101-125 126-150 151-175 176-200 This 8-part series counts down the top-200 players in the NFL. 200 might sounds like a lot, but with 53 players on 32 teams’ rosters, that’s 1696 players. Count guys on the practice squad, guys on the PUP or the IR, and guys who are free…
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Continue reading →: 2015 NFL Season Playoffs and Prop Bets
AFC Wild Card Denver Broncos over New England Patriots Baltimore Ravens over San Diego Chargers NFC Wild Card New Orleans Saints over Detroit Lions Philadelphia Eagles over Minnesota Vikings AFC Divisional Denver Broncos over Indianapolis Colts Baltimore Ravens over Miami Dolphins NFC Divisional Seattle Seahawks over New Orleans Saints Green…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots: 2015 Week 1 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) at New England Patriots (0-0) I hate to start the regular season off with a no confidence pick, but I think that’s where I’m going here. I think Pittsburgh is overrated, after having the 4th fewest adjusted games lost to injury last season, including the fewest on…
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