Sep 232014

Philadelphia Eagles (3-0) at San Francisco 49ers (1-2) Ordinarily, I’d be all over the 49ers here considering how good they’ve been as big favorites and how good they’ve been off of a loss in the Jim Harbaugh era. Since 2011, the 49ers are 7-4-1 ATS off of a loss and 9-3 straight up, outscoring opponents [...]

Sep 202014

San Francisco 49ers (1-1) at Arizona Cardinals (2-0) With the exception of last week’s epic debacle against the Bears, the 49ers generally are good at beating up on weaker opponents. They are 24-13 ATS as favorites of 3 or more since 2011. Last season, against teams that finished .500 or worse, Colin Kaepernick completed 110 [...]

Aug 222014

QB Colin Kaepernick (San Francisco) In the 8 games Kaepernick played with Michael Crabtree last season, Kaepernick completed 59.2% of his passes for an average of 7.78 YPA, 10 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions in those 8 games, numbers more reminiscent of 2012. That’s as opposed to 56.7% completion, 7.41 YPA, 14 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions [...]

Jan 132014

San Francisco 49ers (14-4) at Seattle Seahawks (14-3) I almost never go against the Seahawks at home and with good reason. Since 2007, the Seahawks are 39-19 ATS at home, including 23-11 ATS as home favorites. They have been especially good over the past two years, as they’ve broken out as an elite team, going [...]

Jan 082014

San Francisco 49ers (13-4) at Carolina Panthers (12-4) The Panthers won in San Francisco earlier this season, helping propel them to a 12-4 record, the #2 seed, and home field advantage in the NFC divisional round. In spite of all that, they are 1 point home underdogs here. Ordinarily, I’d think this would be a [...]

Jan 022014

San Francisco 49ers (12-4) at Green Bay Packers (8-7-1) Aaron Rodgers is back for the Packers and that obviously makes a big difference. He started out a little shaky against Chicago, understandable because he missed almost 2 months with injury, throwing 2 early picks, but bounced back to finish 25 of 39 for 318 yards [...]

Dec 252013

San Francisco 49ers (11-4) at Arizona Cardinals (10-5) The Cardinals proved themselves last week to be a very good football team, going into Seattle, where no one has won in two years, and winning despite losing the turnover battle by 2. Teams rarely are able to overcome a -2 turnover margin, winning just about 17.7% [...]

Dec 182013

Atlanta Falcons (4-10) at San Francisco 49ers (10-4) Colin Kaepernick has had his fair share of issues this season, but against teams that currently have a .500 or worse record this season, Colin Kaepernick has completed 97 of 156 (62.2%) for 1356 yards (8.69 YPA), 10 touchdowns, and no interceptions, while rushing for 230 yards [...]

Dec 052013

Seattle Seahawks (11-1) at San Francisco 49ers (8-4) The Seahawks blew the Saints last week, winning 34-7 on Monday Night Football. Ordinarily, teams carry over that momentum off of a Monday night blowout into their next game, going 31-13 ATS since 2002 off of a win of 21 or more. However, I don’t think the [...]

Nov 302013

Last week: 6 (+0) Record: 7-4 Colin Kaepernick has had his share of issues this season, but he’s played well against teams that currently have a .500 or worse record this season, completing 86 of 138 for 1290 yards, 10 touchdowns, and no interceptions, while rushing for 189 yards and 3 touchdowns on 38 carries [...]

Nov 222013

San Francisco 49ers (6-4) at Washington Redskins (3-7) The 49ers have been deadly off of a loss in the Jim Harbaugh era. It might not seem that way because they’ve lost back-to-back games on separate occasions twice this season. However, they are 6-3 ATS off of a loss in the Jim Harbaugh era, including 8-3 [...]

Nov 152013

Last week: 5 (-1) Record: 6-3 There’s no shame in losing to the Panthers, even at home, because of how good the Panthers are. Losing Vernon Davis mid-game certainly didn’t help. The 49ers might not have a huge chance of winning in New Orleans this week, because no one does, but going forward, the rest [...]

Nov 132013

San Francisco 49ers (6-3) at New Orleans Saints (7-2) It’s arguable the Saints’ win over the Cowboys was the most lopsided contest in NFL history. While the Saints set the NFL record with 40 first downs, the Cowboys ran just 43 plays. The Saints’ +31 first down margin was the best in NFL history. The [...]