Dec 112014
 

Arizona Cardinals (10-3) at St. Louis Rams (6-7) At first glance, this line seems off. The Cardinals aren’t as good as their 10-3 record, but rate of moving the chains differential still says we’re getting a significant amount of line value with them as 4.5 point underdogs. The Cardinals rank 10th, moving the chains at [...]

Dec 052014
 

Kansas City Chiefs (7-5) at Arizona Cardinals (9-3) The wheels are starting to fall off for the Arizona Cardinals. They have lost 2 straight by double digits in Seattle and Atlanta and they have one offensive touchdown in their last 11 quarters. I’ve said all season that this team had not been playing as well [...]

Nov 222014
 

Arizona Cardinals (9-1) at Seattle Seahawks (6-4) It takes a lot for me to go against Seattle at home, given how consistently good they’ve been there in recent years. Since 2007, the Seahawks are 45-20 at home, including playoffs and they aren’t just having success straight up as they are 43-21-1 ATS. They outscore opponents [...]

Nov 162014
 

Detroit Lions (7-2) at Arizona Cardinals (8-1) The Cardinals have the NFL’s best record at 8-1, but they’re also the most overrated team in the NFL I believe. They rank just 14th in rate of moving the chains differential, moving the chains at a 72.56% rate, as opposed to 70.71% for their opponents, a differential [...]

Nov 082014
 

St. Louis Rams (3-5) at Arizona Cardinals (7-1) The Cardinals are the most overrated team in the NFL. Despite having the NFL’s best record at 7-1, the Cardinals rank just 14th in the NFL in rate of moving the chains differential, moving the chains at a 72.65% rate, as opposed to 71.71% for their opponents, [...]

Oct 252014
 

Philadelphia Eagles (5-1) at Arizona Cardinals (5-1) I’m not happy that these two teams are playing each other because I think they’re two of the most overrated teams in football. Neither is as good as their record and yet one will advance to 6-1, though I guess that’ll make for easier betting situations in the [...]

Oct 182014
 

Arizona Cardinals (4-1) at Oakland Raiders (0-5) The Cardinals are 4-1 and have one of the best records in football, but they’re a very flawed, fraudulent 4-1. The Cardinals are just +10 in point differential despite their record and they’ve needed to win the turnover battle by 8 just to do that. Winning the turnover battle [...]

Oct 092014
 

Washington Redskins (1-4) at Arizona Cardinals (3-1) Last week I called the Cardinals a fraudulent 3-0 team. Every year it seems there’s one team that gets off to a hot start and then crashes and burns. The Dolphins started 3-0 last year. The Cardinals started 4-0 in 2012. The Bills started 3-0 in 2011, etc. [...]

Oct 042014
 

Arizona Cardinals (3-0) at Denver Broncos (2-1) The Cardinals have been anointed one of the top few teams in the NFL as a result of their 3-0 start. That’s very short-sighted. There always one team that start 3-0 or better and goes on to miss the playoffs. The Dolphins started 3-0 last year. The Cardinals [...]

Sep 202014
 

San Francisco 49ers (1-1) at Arizona Cardinals (2-0) With the exception of last week’s epic debacle against the Bears, the 49ers generally are good at beating up on weaker opponents. They are 24-13 ATS as favorites of 3 or more since 2011. Last season, against teams that finished .500 or worse, Colin Kaepernick completed 110 [...]

Sep 132014
 

Arizona Cardinals (1-0) at New York Giants (0-1) The Cardinals were one of my overrated teams coming into the season and I still think that’s true, even after their 1 point comeback victory at home over the Chargers on Monday Night Football week 1. They get Tyrann Mathieu back from injury this week and Andre [...]

Sep 052014
 

San Diego Chargers (0-0) at Arizona Cardinals (0-0) It’s hard to find a team that has lost as much talent since the last time we played football as the Cardinals, particularly defensively. Karlos Dansby is gone as a free agent. Daryl Washington was suspended for the season. Darnell Dockett is out for the season with [...]

Mar 242014
 

A league average cornerback from 2009-2011, Cromartie had a dominant 2012 campaign, grading out as Pro Football Focus’ 16th ranked overall cornerback and 5th ranked cornerback in pure coverage grade, allowing just 46.0% completion, 5th lowest in the NFL. That was a big part of the reason why the Jets felt comfortable moving on from [...]

Dec 252013
 

San Francisco 49ers (11-4) at Arizona Cardinals (10-5) The Cardinals proved themselves last week to be a very good football team, going into Seattle, where no one has won in two years, and winning despite losing the turnover battle by 2. Teams rarely are able to overcome a -2 turnover margin, winning just about 17.7% [...]

Dec 182013
 

Arizona Cardinals (9-5) at Seattle Seahawks (12-2) Seattle at home is pretty much an auto-bet. They’ve been incredible at home over the past few years. Since 2007, they are 38-17 ATS at home, including 22-9 ATS as home favorites, and 11-3 ATS as home favorites of 7 or more. They have been especially good over [...]

Nov 292013
 

Arizona Cardinals (7-4) at Philadelphia Eagles (6-5) The Eagles snapped their 10 game home losing streak before the bye against the Redskins, beating them 24-16 in a game that wasn’t really even as close as that final score. The big difference was they had Nick Foles under center. Foles proved his first home start of [...]