Sep 102014

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-1) Last week I mentioned the Ravens’ home dominance in the write up about their game against the Bengals. The Ravens weren’t able to beat the Bengals, even in Baltimore, but the Ravens are still historically very good at home in the John Harbaugh/Joe Flacco era. The Ravens are [...]

Aug 172014

QB Joe Flacco (Baltimore) Joe Flacco was pretty consistently a slightly above average quarterback in the first 5 seasons of his career from 2008-2012. His QB rating had always fallen between 80.3 and 93.6. His completion percentages had always fallen between 57.6% and 63.1%. His YPAs had always fallen between 6.66 and 7.41. His touchdowns had [...]

Apr 072014

Trade for Ravens: The Ravens desperately needed a new center as Gino Gradkowski struggled mightily in his first season as a starter in place of the retired Matt Birk. The 2012 4th round pick graded out as Pro Football Focus’ worst ranked center last season. Jeremy Zuttah is not a great center, grading out 22nd [...]

Dec 032013

Minnesota Vikings (3-8-1) at Baltimore Ravens (6-6) The Ravens won at home last week against the Steelers, but did not cover. However, you could definitely argue they deserved to cover. They scored 6 times (1 touchdown, 5 field goals), as opposed to 3 times for Pittsburgh (3 touchdowns) and still could have covered if they [...]

Nov 272013

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-6) at Baltimore Ravens (5-6) The Ravens have been pretty unbeatable at home over the past few seasons, going 27-4 at home since 2010. Even this year, their worst year of that time frame, they are 5-1 at home, including 6-0 ATS. Because of that, I automatically think about taking the Ravens as [...]

Nov 152013

Last week: 18 (+1) Record: 4-5 The Ravens essentially staved off elimination at home last week, beating Cincinnati in a game that never should have gone to overtime. They are now 26-4 at home since 2010 and, as average as they’ve been this year, they are still 3-1 there, with the one loss coming by [...]

Nov 092013

Last week: 13 (-5) Record: 3-5 In his career, Joe Flacco completes 60.4% of his passes for an average of 7.0 YPA, a touchdown every 25 throws, and an interception every 43 throws. This season, he’s completing 59.4% of his passes for an average of 6.9 YPA, a touchdown every 31 throws, and an interception [...]

Nov 012013

Baltimore Ravens (3-4) at Cleveland Browns (3-4) Obviously, 3-4 is not how the Ravens wanted to start the season, but the schedule gets easier from here for them. After being underdogs in 5 of their first 7 games, the Ravens will definitely be favored in at 4 games (@Cleveland, vs. Pittsburgh, vs. NY Jets, vs. [...]

Oct 172013

Baltimore Ravens (3-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-4) I’ll admit I was pretty surprised when I saw the Steelers were favorites by 1.5 points here against the Ravens, which essentially suggests these two teams are even. However, it just seems like the odds makers think the Steelers are significantly better than their record. They were right [...]