Oct 152016

Cleveland Browns (0-5) at Tennessee Titans (2-3) Ordinarily, I like to go against significant week-to-week line movements, because they tend to be overreactions to a single week of play. The early line for this game had the Titans as 5.5 point favorites, but the line has since moved up to 7 this week. However, that’s […]

Sep 102016

Minnesota Vikings (0-0) at Tennessee Titans (0-0) The Vikings caught a tough break when quarterback Teddy Bridgewater suffered a brutal knee injury in practice with less than 2 weeks before the first game of the season. Bridgewater dislocated his knee, tore his ACL, suffered additional ligament damage, and is out for at least the season. […]

Jan 032016

Tennessee Titans (3-13) at Indianapolis Colts (7-8) This is another one where I wouldn’t touch either side with money. Both teams have serious quarterback problems. The Colts are on to their 4th quarterback of the year, Josh Freeman. Matt Hasselbeck was playing in the absence of starting quarterback Andrew Luck, but he got hurt last […]

Dec 262015

Houston Texans (7-7) at Tennessee Titans (3-11) The line has finally been released for this one. I was hoping that if Brian Hoyer were ruled out for the 2nd straight week with a concussion that the Texans would be underdogs, as that would have opened up two very powerful trends. Divisional home favorites are 22-58 […]

Dec 202015

Tennessee Titans (3-10) at New England Patriots (11-2) The Titans rank just 26th in rate of moving the chains differential, but have been pretty solid offensively, outside of the 2 games that talented rookie quarterback Marcus Mariota missed with injury. In those 2 games, they moved the chains at a 53.57% rate, as opposed to […]

Nov 192015

Tennessee Titans (2-7) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6) Things seem to be looking up for the Jacksonville Jaguars, who won their 3rd game of the season last week, on a last second field goal in Baltimore. Though just 3-6, Jacksonville is only a game out of first place in the AFC South, behind an Indianapolis team […]

Oct 312015

Tennessee Titans (1-5) at Houston Texans (2-5) The Texans are going into a bye this week. That might sound like a good thing, but it’s not, as counterintuitive as that might seem. Big home favorites (6+) typically do very well before a bye (59-20 ATS since 2002), but, for whatever reason, small home favorites like the […]

Oct 172015

Miami Dolphins (1-3) at Tennessee Titans (1-3) The Dolphins have been a massive disappointment through 4 games, after finishing 10th in rate of moving the chains differential in 2014 and seemingly getting better this off-season. They won in Washington, though only on a punt return touchdown, lost a close one in Jacksonville, who hasn’t beaten […]

Sep 182015

Tennessee Titans (1-0) at Cleveland Browns (0-1) As I’ve mentioned many times before, I love fading significant week-to-week line movements, as they are usually the result of overreaction to one game, which creates line value. We have a case of that here as the Browns went from 4 home point favorites in the early line […]

Sep 122015

Tennessee Titans (0-0) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) These two teams are in very similar situations. Both were awful last season, as both went 2-14. Subsequently, they had the #1 (Tampa Bay) and #2 (Tennessee) overall picks in the draft. Both teams, as so many terrible teams before them have, drafted quarterbacks atop the draft. […]