I have never liked the idea of giving a guard a lot of money, but the Titans desperately needed guard help and Levitre will instantly turn the left guard position into a position of major strength. Plus, Levitre got less money than Davin Joseph (7 years, 52.5 million with 19 million guaranteed), Carl Nicks (5 [...]
I really didn’t think anyone would sign Delanie Walker other than the 49ers. Because of his specific role in their system, he was more valuable to them as a 2nd tight end than to anyone else. Apparently the Titans disagreed as they outbid the 49ers for him and will pay him like a starter, giving [...]
The Titans had arguably the worst safety play in the NFL last season, a huge part of the reason why they ranked 24th in the NFL against the pass and dead last in the NFL in points allowed. Michael Griffin was ProFootballFocus’ 86th ranked safety out of 88 eligible, leading the NFL with 22 missed [...]
After going 9-7 with one of the NFL’s youngest rosters in 2011 (26th in average age heading into the season), the Titans had a lot of hope for this season. Jake Locker was supposed to be an upgrade over veteran game manager Matt Hasselbeck at quarterback. Receiver Kenny Britt was finally supposedly healthy and Chris [...]
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-13) at Tennessee Titans (5-10) Aside from this being a divisional matchup, this is a completely meaningless game for these two teams. Both are out of the playoffs by a long shot. I have a rule against making significant plays on completely meaningless games. If the teams might not care about a game, [...]
Last week: 25 (+0) Record: 5-10 Net points per drive: -0.89 (31st) DVOA: -32.5% (31st) Weighted DVOA: -32.0% (31st) Studs LT Michael Roos: Allowed 1 quarterback hit on 41 pass block snaps RT Byron Stingily: Allowed 1 quarterback hit on 41 pass block snaps, run blocked for 2 yards on 3 attempts LE Derrick Morgan: [...]
Tennessee Titans (5-9) at Green Bay Packers (10-4) I’ve called Green Bay overrated because of all their injuries and I still think there’s a lot of truth to that. Injuries at running back have left them with a washed up Ryan Grant, an unproven DuJuan Harris, and fullback John Kuhn to carry the rock. The [...]
Last week: 24 (-1) Record: 5-9 Net points per drive: -0.65 (29th) DVOA: -25.9% (29th) Weighted DVOA: -23.0% (28th) The Titans somehow pulled out a win at home on Monday Night Football, despite having more penalties (14) than first downs (12) and almost more punts (10). This is because the Jets turned the ball over [...]
New York Jets (6-7) at Tennessee Titans (4-9) The Titans are 4-9, which isn’t very good at all, but if you can believe it, they’re even worse than their record. Of their 9 losses, 5 have come by 21 or more and only one of their 4 wins have come by more than a field [...]
Last week: 24 (+0) Record: 4-9 Net points per drive: -0.76 (29th) DVOA: -29.1% (29th) Weighted DVOA: -27.1% (29th) The Titans have been worse than their record all season and after coming up short against another team who is worse than their record, the Colts, the Titans sit at 4-9, which is still better than [...]
Tennessee Titans (4-8) at Indianapolis Colts (8-4) Last week, I bet against the Colts because I felt they were an overrated team and the Lions were an underrated team. I felt the Colts were overrated because they’ve had a very easy schedule and they’ve actually had a -43 points differential despite their then 7-4 record. [...]
Last week: 26 (+2) Record: 4-8 Net points per drive: -0.8 (29th) DVOA: -28.9% (29th) Weighted DVOA: -26.6% (29th) Studs C Fernando Velasco: Allowed 1 quarterback hurry on 62 pass block snaps, run blocked for 14 yards on 3 attempts CB Alterraun Verner: Allowed 4 catches for 27 yards on 7 attempts, 1 pass deflection, [...]
Houston Texans (10-1) at Tennessee Titans (4-7) Tennessee may be 4-7, which isn’t a terrible record, but they are a terrible team. Of their 7 losses, 5 have come by 21 or more points and only one of their wins came by more than a field goal. Because of this, they are -97 in points [...]
Last week: 23 (-3) Record: 4-7 Net points per drive: -0.77 (30th) DVOA: -28.9% (29th) Weighted DVOA: -28.8% (29th) Tier 7: Terrible Studs CB Alterraun Verner: Allowed 2 catches for 26 yards on 7 attempts, 1 interception, 2 pass deflections, 4 solo tackles, 1 assist, 1 stop, 2 missed tackles LOLB Zach Brown: 2 sacks [...]
Tennessee Titans (4-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-9) One of the most powerful trends applies to road favorites after a bye. Since 2002, teams are 44-15 ATS as road favorites right after a bye, including 22-3 ATS as divisional road favorites off a bye. I only heavily bet on this trend when the road favorite deserves [...]
Last week: 24 (+1) Record: 4-6 On bye.
Last week: 27 (+3) Record: 4-6 What a weird two weeks for the Titans. First they get blown out in a game that wasn’t as bad as the final score. Then they blown out the Dolphins in a game that wasn’t as bad as the final score. Much like the Bears did to them, they [...]
Tennessee Titans (3-6) at Miami Dolphins (4-4) Jake Locker returns this week for the Titans. It’s amazing. It’s almost as if his shoulder magically healed as soon as veteran backup Matt Hasselbeck had a bad game. Locker has more upside definitely and is the right quarterback for this team right now, because they’re not going [...]
Last week: 25 (-2) Record: 3-6 The Titans have won 3 games by a combined 7 points and lost 6 by a combined 133 points, giving them a league worst points differential of -126. After allowing 317 points all of last year, 8th best in the league, they’ve allowed 308 through 9 games this year, [...]
Chicago Bears (6-1) at Tennessee Titans (3-5) This was the toughest game of the week for me. At first glance, this looked like a trap line which is normally a good thing to bet against when sportsbetting online. There is heavy public action on Chicago and yet the line is falling (it opened at -5 [...]
Last week: 25 (-3) Record: 3-5 The Titans were overrated going into their overtime loss to the Colts last week. Despite their 3-4 record, they had the league’s worst points differential, winning 3 games by a combined 7 points and losing 4 by a combined 96 points. That’s continued into this week as they are [...]
Indianapolis Colts (3-3) at Tennessee Titans (3-4) The winner of this game between the Colts and Titans will either be over .500 or at .500 and well in contention for a playoff spot in the AFC. I told you the AFC sucks. The Titans, however, will be hurt in this quest to do so this [...]
Washington Redskins (3-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (3-3) In a couple other of my picks this week, I said it would be reckless to pick a heavily public backed dog this week with one exception. Dogs are 63-39 ATS on the season. You might think, that’s a reason to take the dog, but eventually that’s going [...]
Last week: 22 (+6) Record: 3-4 If the Titans beat the Colts in Tennessee this week, the Titans will be 4-4 in the crappy AFC and then anything can happen. Given that I picked them to make the playoffs before the season, I obviously would like to see that happen, but I don’t think it [...]
Tennessee Titans (2-4) at Buffalo Bills (3-3) These two teams are actually very, very similar. Tennessee ranks 29th in yards per play differential and Buffalo ranks 30th. Buffalo also ranks 30th in rate of sustaining drives differential, while Tennessee ranks 31st. I picked both teams for big plays last week because, in addition to other [...]