Oct 182014

Tennessee Titans (2-4) at Washington Redskins (1-5) At first glance, it looks like we’re getting line value with the Redskins. Despite the Redskins’ 1-5 record, they are 10th in rate of moving the chains differential, moving the chains at a 73.50% rate, as opposed to 71.74% for their opponents. Meanwhile, the Titans are 29th at -7.00%, moving [...]

Oct 102014

Jacksonville Jaguars (0-5) at Tennessee Titans (1-4) This is a game where I don’t want to pick either side. On one hand, the Titans might not deserve to be favored by 6 points against anyone, especially with Charlie Whitehurst likely under center again. They are 1-4. They rank 29th in rate of moving the chains [...]

Oct 032014

Cleveland Browns (1-2) at Tennessee Titans (1-3) Tennessee has been demolished in back to back weeks, losing by final scores of 33-7 and 41-17, but I have reason to think that this week will be different. For one, Jake Locker is coming back from injury. Locker isn’t great or anything, but he’s definitely better than [...]

Sep 232014

Tennessee Titans (1-2) at Indianapolis Colts (1-2) The Titans were 7 point underdogs in Cincinnati last week and got blown out by the score of 33-7. Now they’re 7.5 point underdogs in Indianapolis. I think this week will go a little differently for several reasons. For one, the Colts aren’t as good as the Bengals, [...]

Sep 182014

Tennessee Titans (1-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-0) The Bengals beat the Falcons 24-10 last week in Cincinnati, making it 10 straight regular season home games that they’ve not only won but covered, winning by an average of 16.1 points per game. They moved the chains at a 75.00% rate, as opposed to 64.51% for their [...]

Aug 172014

QB Jake Locker (Tennessee) Injuries have sidetracked the former 8th overall pick’s career. He’s played in just 23 games in 3 seasons, working as a backup to veteran Matt Hasselbeck as a rookie and then missing a combined 14 games over the past 2 seasons with a variety of injuries. Last year, he suffered a hip [...]

Dec 252013

Houston Texans (2-13) at Tennessee Titans (6-9) Firing Gary Kubiak and replacing him with Wade Phillips didn’t seem to fix anything. They’ve lost their last two games by margins of 22 and 24 points, despite losing 8 of their previous 11 games by a touchdown or less. Sure they were facing tough teams in the [...]

Dec 072013

Tennessee Titans (5-7) at Denver Broncos (10-2) Peyton Manning’s struggles in the cold are well documented. If you’ve been reading things about this game on the internet or watching ESPN or NFL Network this week, you might have heard this stat: in games where the game-time temperature  was 32 or below, Peyton Manning is 3-7, [...]

Nov 302013

Last week: 18 (+0) Record: 5-6 The Titans haven’t really missed Jake Locker. He wasn’t the reason why they were winning and Ryan Fitzpatrick is one of the best backups in the NFL. They still have a very solid defense led by Jurrell Casey, Alterraun Verner, two Pro-Bowl caliber players, among other players who are [...]

Nov 282013

Tennessee Titans (5-6) at Indianapolis Colts (7-4) What the hell happened to the Colts? The same team that knocked off the Broncos, 49ers, and Seahawks before the bye has been playing terrible football in the four weeks since the bye, barely beating Tennessee and Houston by a field goal (after trailing early in both games), [...]

Nov 232013

Tennessee Titans (4-6) at Oakland Raiders (4-6) The Raiders may be 4-6, but they aren’t as good as their record. Their 4 wins have come against teams that are a combined 11-29. They are moving the chains at a 67% rate, as opposed to 73% for their opponents. Their defense has been surprisingly competent, but [...]

Nov 142013

Tennessee Titans (4-5) at Indianapolis Colts (6-3) Both of these teams lost as huge home favorites last week, the Colts lost 38-8 at home to the Rams and the Titans losing 29-27 to the Jaguars. It’s very likely both teams were caught looking forward to this huge divisional game and that last week’s performance was [...]

Nov 092013

Last week: 15 (+3) Record: 4-4 The Titans have Jake Locker back and have weathered the worst part of their schedule, which was Kansas City, Seattle, and San Francisco in back-to-back-to-back weeks. Assuming they beat the Jaguars this week, they will be 5-4 going into next week’s Thursday Night Game with the Colts. They play [...]

Nov 062013

Jacksonville Jaguars (0-8) at Tennessee Titans (4-4) The Jaguars are not very good. That’s obvious. However, everyone covers at some point. There’s a time, place, and a line where you can take any team. I think this is it for the Jaguars, as 11.5 point underdogs. There’s actually some value in betting on winless teams [...]