Draft board overall prospect rank: #10
Draft board overall wide receiver rank: #2
Overall rating: 89 (Solid 1st round pick)
40 time: 4.47
· Great size (6-3 220)
· Excellent 40 for his size (4.47)
· Experienced 4 year starter
· Incredibly productive college player who improved every season (48/719/7, 44/795/5, 79/1025/12, 100/1147/9)
· Excellent body control
· End zone threat
· Wide catch radius
· Big bodied possession receiver
· Produced in spite of inconsistent quarterbacking
· Tough to tackle in the open field
· Makes tough catches against tough coverage
· Big, reliable hands
· Pro-Style experience
· Great route runner
· Intelligent player
· In excellent shape
· Hard working player who turned his life around
· Physical and beats jams at the line of scrimmage
· Not as fast as his 40 time
· Struggles to separate at times
· Not much of a deep threat
· Might not be fast enough to be a #1 receiver at the next level
· Past legal troubles
· Past issues with durability, though he’s been healthy for 2 years
NFL Comparison: Dwayne Bowe
As a prospect, I compare Michael Floyd to Dwayne Bowe. Bowe was a first round pick in 2007, but there were questions about whether or not he had the speed and deep ability to be a legitimate #1 receiver. There were some of those questions with Floyd too, but he answered some of those questions with a solid 40 time at The Combine, but that doesn’t erase that he looks like a 4.5 or 4.6 player on tape.
He makes up for that with great size (6-3 220) and physicality. He goes over the middle and uses his body well to post up defenders like a power forward. He’s got vertical leaping ability and is also an end zone threat. He’s incredibly smart and productive in his college career, despite working with an inconsistent batch of quarterbacks. He’s also tough to tackle in the open field and a great blocker. In this way, he’s a lot like Dwayne Bowe. Bowe doesn’t have top level speed, but he’s still emerged as a solid #1 wide receiver.
There are some concerns about Michael Floyd’s off the field activity. He’s had 3 alcohol related arrests at his time in Notre Dame and was temporarily kicked off the team last spring. However, those aren’t a major concern for me. Notre Dame isn’t the type of school that just lets you back on the football team just because you’re talented. He had to earn his way back onto the football field and he did so by cleaning up his life, changing his diet, his activities, and getting in great shape. That proves his love of football and he responded by having the best season of his career. If I were an NFL team, I would not worry about the character stuff with him unless something startling came out in an interview.
Compared to Justin Blackmon, Floyd has better size and strength, but Blackmon has more speed. The best way to describe it is to say that Floyd has elite size and strength and average speed and Blackmon has above average size and speed. Neither are going to be elite wide receiver at the next level, but both should be solid to low end #1 wide receivers. They’re not Larry Fitzgerald, Andre Johnson, Calvin Johnson, etc, but rather Steve Johnson (Blackmon) and Dwayne Bowe (Floyd). They’ll probably be top 15 at their positions, but not top 5 or anything.
Both are borderline top 10 prospects. I have Blackmon rated as 90 and Floyd as 89, meaning they’re both on the cusp of being top 10 prospects. In reality, Blackmon will almost definitely come off the board first. Floyd’s stock starts as soon as Blackmon is off the board. He should come off the board anywhere from 7 on. Miami and Buffalo at 8 and 10 will both give him long looks, as will Arizona at 13. The Jets at 16 seems like the bottom of his stock and a team might trade up for him before then.