Lions’ Nick Fairley arrested for DUI

When the Lions selected Nick Fairley 13th overall in 2011, it was viewed as possibly the steal of the draft by many. Fairley was coming off a 12.5 sack season as a defensive tackle for the NCAA Champion Auburn Tigers and was once a candidate for the #1 overall pick. However, he seems to be the exact opposite of a steal so far. He didn’t play much as a rookie thanks to injuries and while the Lions had high hopes for his 2nd season in the league, Fairley doesn’t seem to care.

Earlier this offseason, Fairley was arrested for a marijuana related offense and just when it was starting to look like he’d avoid suspension, after entering in the NFL’s substance abuse program, Fairley was arrested for drunk driving early this morning. He’ll almost definitely face some sort of suspension now and is probably going to be in the Lions’ doghouse again. With plenty of depth at the position, the Lions don’t need Fairley and he could end up having another lost season in 2012.

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John Hughes to start for Browns?

The Cleveland Browns selected John Hughes in the 3rd round of the 2012 NFL Draft in a move that surprised everyone. Hughes was widely projected as a 6th or 7th round pick if he got drafted at all. Even Hughes himself didn’t plan his draft party until day 3 of the NFL Draft (rounds 4-7) because he didn’t expect to be drafted before then.

Hughes was drafted for purely depth reasons, but when starter Phil Taylor tore his pectoral, putting his season in danger, the Browns had a need for their depth. While veteran Scott Paxson is currently working out as the starter in place of Taylor, the Browns have been very impressed with Hughes, according to the Cleveland Plain Dealer. They may just be making him earn his way into the starting lineup, but it’s looking like he’ll start there week 1. 6th round rookie Billy Winn, a surprise of another kind (a surprise slip), is another candidate.

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Cowboys won’t deal Mike Jenkins until Training Camp

The Cowboys have already said publicly that they will not be moving disgruntled cornerback Mike Jenkins, who lost his starting job this offseason with the additions of Brandon Carr and Morris Claiborne. The Cowboys have already essentially hung up on at least both the Colts and Lions, who have come asking about Jenkins, who wants to be a starter somewhere.

ESPN’s John Clayton chimed in on the situation today by saying that the Cowboys won’t trade Mike Jenkins, but added until Training Camp. If Clayton is right, this could suggest that the Cowboys only want to keep Jenkins in case of injuries to one of the 3 guys ahead of him on the depth chart, or if there are any further setbacks in the recovery of Morris Claiborne from wrist surgery. If all goes well injury wise at cornerback for the Cowboys, they could be willing to part with Jenkins for the right price in July or so. We’ll see if teams are still interested then and at what price.

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Chargers’ Norv Turner thinks Ryan Mathews could lead league in rushing

In an interview with the San Diego Union-Tribune, Chargers Head Coach Norv Turner said that he believes Ryan Mathews could lead the league in rushing. Normally everything coaches say should be taken with a grain of salt, especially something from a coach as publicly criticized as Turner, as coaches often overestimate their own talent. However, this was a belief I had before Turner said anything so this just solidifies it.

Mathews is a former 12th overall pick (201) and the Chargers really don’t have much in the way of backup options behind him. Gone is touchdown vulture Mike Tolbert (21 touchdowns in the last 2 seasons) and right now all the Chargers have is Curtis Brinkley and his 32 career carries, 7th round pick Edwin Baker, and fullback Le’Ron McClain. Turner has always preferred one workhorse back over multiple specialized backs and it appears he’s finally comfortable with Mathews in that role.

On an offense as explosive as the Chargers, with as much talent as he has, if Mathews gets 300 carries, he could easily lead the league in rushing. Injuries might be the only thing that will stop him from those 300 carries. Last year, Mathews and Tolbert combined for 1581 rushing yards on 343 carries, 16 total touchdowns, and 104 receptions. And that was a down year for San Diego’s offense. There’s a reason why Mathews is my #3 fantasy back.

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Shane Vereen working with Patriots’ 1st team in OTAs

A day after it was reported by ESPN Boston’s Mike Reiss that it would be Shane Vereen and Stevan Ridley, not veteran free agent acquisition Joseph Addai, that would get the bulk of the carries for the Patriots, the Jeff Rowe of the Boston Herald is reporting that Shane Vereen is getting all of the 1st team work in OTAs.

That being said, I wouldn’t read too much into Vereen being 1st string and Ridley 2nd because Belichick has never been one for using just one back. Both were high picks a year ago and he’ll use both in different roles. Ridley will probably see the goal line carries, but this could be a sign that Vereen will lead the team in carries. Danny Woodhead will continue to work as a passing down specialist, while Rowe seconds Reiss’ suggestion that Addai is no lock to make the final 53 at 29 years of age.

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Brandon Jackson to be Browns 3rd down back?

The Browns may have traded up to use the 3rd overall pick in the 2012 NFL Draft on Trent Richardson, but according to the Cleveland Plain Dealer, Brandon Jackson will be used on 3rd downs. This move is consistent with what Head Coach Pat Shurmur normally does, taking his feature back out on 3rd downs. He did so in St. Louis with Steven Jackson when he was their offensive coordinator in 2010 and then again last year in Cleveland with Peyton Hillis.

Richardson is a rookie, so he’s obviously raw in pass protection, even coming over from being coached by Nick Saban. Meanwhile, Brandon Jackson’s specialty is pass protection. This would leave Montario Hardesty without a clear role, but according to the same Cleveland Plain Dealer report, the 2010 2nd round pick is not likely to be cut. Instead, they believe it will be Chris Ogbonnaya who will be cut, unless he can prove himself as valuable on special teams. Obviously the Browns view Hardesty as the better of the two as a pure runner and want him around in case something happens to Richardson.

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Matt Flynn “by far” Seahawks’ best quarterback in OTAs

Pete Carroll has said it will be a true competition for starting quarterback between incumbent Tarvaris Jackson, free agent acquisition Matt Flynn, and 3rd round rookie Russell Wilson. He’s been true to his word so far, alternating 1st string quarterbacks in OTAs on a daily basis. According to Pro Football Weekly, however, Flynn has been “by far” their best quarterback.

That statement would go along with what everyone has believed since Flynn signed a 3 year, 19.5 million dollar deal with 10 million guaranteed, that he will be their week 1 starter. Carroll loves competition and obviously is not going to name a starter at this point and maybe not until after Training Camp or later, but it wouldn’t shock me if they started giving Flynn more reps with the 1st team in the coming days. It’ll be interesting to see if they do that. I’ve said all along that Flynn will be the starter and Russell Wilson will be the backup, making Jackson and his 4 million dollar salary expendable and leading to his release. Obviously, nothing is set in stone yet.

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Bears worried about Matt Forte’s knees

Matt Forte was franchised by the Chicago Bears earlier this offseason and he has not been happy about it. Forte is refusing to sign the 7.7 million dollar tender as he’s looking for a deal worth 8.5 million or so per year over 4-5 years with about half guaranteed: a deal essentially on par with what LeSean McCoy, Chris Johnson, and Arian Foster have gotten in the last 2 seasons. He also took serious offense when the Bears signed Michael Bush to a long term deal, even though it was to be his backup.

The Bears are refusing to meet Forte’s demands, as they have been doing for over a year, since the old regime in the front office. According to the Chicago Tribune, the reason behind this is that they’re worried about his knees. This seems to be a bit of a strange belief as Forte hadn’t missed any games due to injury in his NFL career before last season when he went on IR with a sprained MCL. Forte did tear his PCL in college and sprain it again in 2009, a minor injury, but what running back or what NFL player in general has never had a knee injury?

The Bears obviously know better about Forte’s knees than I would, but I do think the story sounds peculiar. Forte’s agent had a different word for it, calling it “absurd,” pointing to the fact that I just brought up, that Forte hadn’t missed a game due to injury in his NFL career before last year. If the Bears are, in fact, worried about Forte’s knees, they won’t give him what he wants and that means this could be a long, drawn out, and messy hold out. It wouldn’t shock me if the Bears traded Forte before the season, as they did give Michael Bush, who has some starting experience, a good chunk of money this offseason. Also Kahlil Bell played decent down the stretch in place of an injured Forte last season.

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St. Louis Rams Fantasy Football Projections

QB Sam Bradford (St. Louis)

8/27/12: I was a little bit lower on Bradford than I should have been. He’s only a QB2, but I’m moving him up slightly.

Tough to get behind Bradford as anything more than a QB2 because of his lack of offensive supporting cast. He could improve on the 3512 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 15 interceptions he had in 2010, but at the same time, I don’t expect them to pass 590 times again, like they did in 2010. And, of course, he might not last the season behind an offensive line that led the league in sacks in 2011. They got a new center, which helps, but that’s just a center. They also inexplicably didn’t address the line until the 5th round in the draft.

Projection: 3720 passing yards, 20 passing touchdowns, 14 interceptions, 50 rushing yards, 0 rushing touchdowns (205 pts standard/245 pts in 6 pt TD leagues)

RB Steven Jackson (St. Louis)

8/31/12: Isaiah Pead has failed to lock down the #2 back job behind Steven Jackson. He will split the role with follow rookie Daryl Richardson. This is good and bad news for Jackson’s fantasy stock. The good news is that there’s no immediate threat to his workload and he should see the type of carries he’s used to so long as he’s healthy and running well. The bad news is that there’s no obvious handcuff should he get hurt so you’re taking a big risk with Jackson that he doesn’t get hurt or decline. History suggests he might have one more good year in him so he’s worth that risk in a weak running back class outside of the top-10 backs.

Like Michael Turner, Jackson will be getting a reduced workload this season, but Jackson’s reduced workload is more well known after the Rams spent a 2nd round pick on a running back, Isaiah Pead. Pead will be able to do what Cadillac Williams and Jerious Norwood couldn’t last season, reduce Jackson’s workload. He’s also 29 in July and has 2138 career carries and stagnated fantasy wise by the offense he’s on. He’s only scored 10+ touchdowns once in his 8 year career.

Projection: 240 carries 1010 rushing yards 7 total touchdowns 40 catches 330 receiving yards (176 pts standard/216 pts PPR)

WR Steve Smith (St. Louis)

8/13/12: If any of St. Louis’ wideouts are going to be fantasy relevant this season, it’s probably going to be Smith. Smith seems to be healthy off of essentially 2 lost years with injuries. He’s working with the 1st team, having a strong camp, and was Bradford’s favorite weapon in their 1st preseason game. He probably will never be his 100 catch self again, like he was in 2009 before injury, but he’s got the most value of any of St. Louis’ receivers. He’s worth a late round pick.

Projection: 63 catches 780 receiving yards 5 receiving touchdowns (108 pts standard/171 pts PPR)

WR Danny Amendola (St. Louis)

Bradford showed great chemistry with Amendola in the slot as a rookie in 2010 as he caught 85 passes for 689 yards and 3 touchdowns. Even after a major injury last year, he should still have similar numbers in 2012.

Projection: 80 catches 700 receiving yards 4 receiving touchdowns (94 pts standard/174 pts PPR)

TE Lance Kendricks (St. Louis)

Lance Kendricks was their 2nd round pick in 2011. He had a disappointing rookie year, but in his 2nd year in the league, he could definitely have a better year. Sam Bradford probably won’t miss as many games as he did last year and with little to no proven outside receivers, he could target the talented Kendricks early and often. There’s some upside here.

Projection: 45 catches 570 receiving yards 5 receiving touchdowns (87 pts standard/132 PPR)

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Arizona Cardinals Fantasy Football Projections

QB John Skelton (Arizona)

8/20/12: The Cardinals have not named a starting quarterback yet, but Skelton will start and play into the 3rd quarter this week, which means he’ll get all the 1st team reps in the most important Preseason game of the year. Barring a meltdown, he’ll be the starting quarterback. In 11 career starts, he’s thrown for 2248 yards, 10 touchdowns, 14 interceptions, while rushing for 153 yards. Over 16 games, that’s 3270 passing yards, 15 touchdowns, 20 interceptions, and 223 rushing yards. He was pulled in two of those games and has thrown for 2057 yards, 9 touchdowns, 10 interceptions, while rushing for 144 yards. Over 16 games, that’s 3657 passing yards, 16 touchdowns, and 17 interceptions, while rushing for 256 yards. He’s got a good receiving corps, but there’s no guarantee he won’t be benched midseason or anything like that. You can do better in a QB2.

Projection: 3500 passing yards, 15 passing touchdowns, 15 interceptions, 200 rushing yards, 1 rushing touchdown (196 pts standard/226 pts in 6 pts TD leagues)

RB Chris Wells (Arizona)

7/1/12: Chris Wells is still uncertain for Training Camp after giving what was initially called “minor” surgery on his knee earlier this offseason. Meanwhile, Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt challenged him publicly to “bust his tail” over the next few weeks because other running backs have looked good in his absence. They spent a 2nd round pick on Ryan Williams in 2011 and now that he has returned from injury, they plan to use him. The more time Wells misses, the better it is for Williams and the worse it is for Wells.

Chris Wells had a great season last year, but Ryan Williams is returning from injury. They used a 2nd round pick on him in 2011, so they’ll definitely use him. He’ll cut into Wells’ carries a lot more than Alfonso Smith, LaRod Stephens-Howling, and Chester Taylor did last season. He won’t approach the career high 245 carries he had last season, especially after an offseason surgery of his own on his knee, one he is not yet practicing because of.

Projection: 170 carries 710 rushing yards 7 total touchdowns 9 catches 60 receiving yards (119 pts standard/128 pts PPR)

RB Ryan Williams (Arizona)

7/1/12: With Wells moving down, Williams moves up. Wells is hardly the picture of durability so Williams is not only a nice compliment, but will be a potential fantasy breakout candidate if Wells suffers a major injury. There’s upside here.

Williams will probably be a pure backup after the season that Chris Wells had last year, but he’ll see some carries and it’s not like Wells isn’t an injury risk. They drafted Williams in the 2nd round for a reason. They’ll use him.

Projection: 140 carries 630 rushing yards 5 total touchdowns 32 catches 240 receiving yards (117 pts standard/149 pts PPR)

WR Larry Fitzgerald (Arizona)

Larry Fitzgerald had 80 catches for 1411 yards and 8 touchdowns last year with terrible quarterback play. I can’t guarantee his quarterback play will be any better, but Michael Floyd drawing away the bracket coverage opposite him will help him.

Projection: 83 catches 1440 receiving yards 9 receiving touchdowns (198 pts standard/281 pts PPR)

WR Michael Floyd (Arizona)

7/26/12: The 13th overall pick in the 2012 NFL Draft, Floyd is reportedly struggling with his work ethic and will open Training Camp as the Cardinals’ 4th receiver and may even start the season 4th on the depth chart. He could work his way up the depth chart during the season, but his fantasy value just went from minimal to none.

There’s not a ton of value in Arizona’s #2 receiver, even one as talented as Floyd, but Early Doucet had 54 catches for 689 yards and 5 touchdowns and Andre Roberts had 51 catches for 586 yards and 2 touchdowns last year. Floyd should at least do better than that, even as a rookie.

47 catches 520 receiving yards 4 receiving touchdowns (76 pts standard/123 pts PPR)

TE Rob Housler (Arizona)

8/20/12: You can read more about Housler here.

Projection: 48 catches 600 receiving yards 4 receiving touchdowns (84 pts standard/132 pts PPR)

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