By Ryan Glab
A look at four keys for the Bears to beat this week’s opponent.
1. Limit mistakes and protect the football
Let’s be honest, the Lions are a better football team than their 2-9 record belies. Yet, they’re a worse team than the Bears who have a lot of holes particularly on offense and shouldn’t be able to put up enough points to win the game. However, the better team doesn’t always win the game on Sunday and in most cases it’s because of mistakes (such as penalties, dropped passes, and broken coverage) and turnovers. Limiting mistakes and protecting the football is the most important key to this game because this is a game the Bears can and should win. Not only is starting quarterback Matthew Stafford out but backup Shaun Hill might be out as well with a broken finger on his throwing hand. That would leave third-string quarterback Drew Stanton to take the snaps, and we know how the Dolphins fared against the Bears two Thursdays ago with their third-string quarterback under center. Another Lions offensive weapon, explosive rookie running back Jahvid Best, has been battling turf toe and barely played the last two weeks. Maurice Morris is expected to start.
2. Beware the beast in the middle
Lions rookie defensive tackle, Ndamukong Suh, will soon be (if he isn’t already) considered the Lions’ best player. Arguments can be made for him or wide receiver Calvin Johnson, but that’s just semantics because one is a lineman and one is a skill player and they line up on opposite sides of the ball. Suh is an absolute beast and is 11th in the NFL with eight sacks, leading all defensive tackles. He’s a physically gifted player but it’s his intensity, high motor, and will to win that makes him one of the best defensive linemen in the game at such a young age. This is one of those games that you fear as a Bears fan, not so much that the Bears might lose (although, that is a concern), but you fear that a key offensive player, maybe Jay Cutler, could get hurt and miss some time. When I think of Suh, two plays come to mind. In the preseason, Suh grabbed Cleveland quarterback Jake Delhomme and nearly twisted his head off like a bottle cap as he slammed him to the ground. For those Bears fans who remember the crotch-chop gesture Delhomme gave us after the Panthers beat the Bears in the playoffs in 2005, we didn’t mind seeing Suh nearly decapitate him. But if that were Cutler, that would be a disaster waiting to happen. The second play that comes to mind from Suh is just recently against the Cowboys when Suh grabbed running back Marion Barber’s long dreadlocks and yanked him to the ground. In short, the Bears need to double team him all game and Cutler needs to roll away from him.
3. Shut down the run and execute the Cover 2
As mentioned previously, the Lions could start third-string quarterback Stanton, which means the likelihood of them passing the ball a lot is seemingly lower, at least early on when they’re not trailing by a lot of points. To take pressure off the young quarterback, the Lions will need to try to run the ball, but that could be a futile effort against the Bears’ No. 2 run defense. At some point, they’ll have to put the ball in the air and that’s when the Bears’ execution of the Cover 2 will come into effect. The Bears have been playing great defense this season and a big reason for that is the pressure the front four has put on opposing quarterbacks. After a slow start to the season, the Bears have picked up their sack total recently and are currently ranked No. 13 in the league with 23 on the season. More than half of those sacks (12) were recorded in the four weeks since their bye. If the Bears keep up that pressure on Stanton, interceptions and fumbles are sure to follow. Aside from generating turnovers, the Bears need to prevent the deep play as they face one of the league’s best receivers in Johnson.
4. Finish the game strong
I promised myself not to make a big deal out of it and I won’t, but it’s unavoidable not to at least mention it. Everybody remembers how the Bears won their first game of the season against the Lions. Guarding a 19-14 lead with under a minute to go, the Bears allowed Hill to drive the Lions down the field while playing prevent defense and Johnson hauled in a pass in the end zone with 24 seconds left in the game. Johnson was careless in that he started celebrating too soon and lost control of the football when it touched the ground. Everybody — both fans and media — wants to say the Bears were lucky, but there’s no luck involved. It’s a rule that has been in place for many years and instead of saying the Bears are lucky, how about pointing the finger at Johnson and giving him the blame he deserves? It was his mistake. Regardless, the Bears cannot let the Lions hang around in this game. That’s when odd things tend to happen and the ball takes funny bounces. Step on the gas pedal and don’t stop until they’re sweeping the aisles of hot dog wrappers and empty beer cups at Ford Field.
Go back to Bears Fan Spot
Kevin Kolb Cardinals
Trade for Arizona: Next to Derek Anderson, I guess any quarterback is worth a 2nd round pick, a legitimate starting cornerback who is still only 25, and a long term extension worth 5 years 63.5 million dollars with 21 million in guarantees. Kolb is not worth that. He’s put up mediocre stats in Andy Reid’s offense, an offense that makes quarterbacks look better than they are. Remember when the Dolphins traded a 2nd rounder for AJ Feeley? How’d that work out? Plus, he’s already 27 next month so it’s not like he’s got a ton of untapped potential.
The reason I don’t hate this move is because Larry Fitzgerald wanted Kevin Kolb. Larry Fitzgerald is a free agent after next season. If they had waited until next offseason, Fitzgerald could have easily left. Sure, they could have traded a 2nd or a 3rd for Kyle Orton and hoped that would have been enough to please Fitzgerald, but Fitz specifically requested Kolb, which is probably why Philadelphia was able to drive the price up so high. The Cardinals didn’t have a choice.
Now they need to sign Fitz to a long term deal. If they don’t, they risk him realizing Kolb isn’t actually that good and then Fitz leaving anyway after what’s probably going to be an 8-8 season. I have mixed feelings all around on this one. They way overpaid, but they kind of had to. This move is a good move if they can convince Fitz to sign an extension in the next few days or weeks, but if they can’t, then it’s a horrific move.
On one hand, Fitzgerald is not a quarterback and it might not be smart to let a non-quarterback run your team like this. On the other hand, Fitzgerald is their best player. He had 1137 receiving yards last year even with all the crap they had at quarterback. He’s never been a diva. In fact, he was willing to take a pay cut if it meant they could resign Anquan Boldin. If he wants Kolb, it’s not because he’s worried about his stats. It’s because he wants to win and he doesn’t want to go through another 5-11 season.
I’m averaging everything out and giving them a C.
Grade: C
Trade for Philadelphia: This move has upside for Arizona, but it’s highway robbery for Philly. They drafted Kolb with a 2nd 4 years ago and he hasn’t done much to prove he’s a franchise quarterback since then, and yet they were not only able to recoup their 2nd rounder, but they got a legitimate starting cornerback in DRC who is only 25 years old. Cornerback was a huge need of theirs.
Grade: A
Kevin Harrison
Name: Kevin Harrison
Nickname: Bird
Location: West Orange, NJ
Team: New York Jets
Born: October 1970
Season Ticket Holder: Before Birth
Email: KHBirdman@comcast.net
Twitter: https://twitter.com/KHBirdman
Website: http://khbirdmantalkingjets.blogspot.com/
Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/kevin.harrison2
My family has had season tickets since the mid-60, before I was born. I sat at Shea back in 1970 when I was still in my Mother’s belly and came out a month later green.
It’s been frustrating 40 years with the Jets between being overshadowed by the Giants to poor personnel decisions, to their debacles on the field. However, I’m hoping this new regime can fulfill my sports dream and satisfy my entire sports life by bringing us passionate fans a Super Bowl Championship already.
I’ve been writing about the Jets for the past 15 years and have been published in Jets Confidential, NY Post, and the NY Daily News. I’m also on the cover of a book called “ Camp Camp : Where Fantasy Island Meets Lord Of The Flies” by Roger Bennett. Just no comments please on how UGLY I was.
So, please read my thoughts each week on The Football Fan Spot as we embark on this magical ride (knock on wood).
Kevin Burnett Dolphins
The Dolphins needed another linebacker inside next to Karlos Dansby with Channing Crowder gone and they get Kevin Burnett at a fairly reasonable rate, 5.5 million per year over 4 years with 10 million guaranteed. Considering linebackers like Quincy Black and Clint Sessions got 6 million over 5 years with more guaranteed money, this move looks like a steal. Considering Quincy Black and Clint Sessions were drastically overpaid, this move just looks about right. Nothing wrong with that.
Grade: A
Kevin Boss Raiders
The Raiders somehow got under the cap by restructuring Stanford Routt’s and Richard Seymour’s deals. I don’t know exactly how this happened, but I have a feeling it involves Al Davis using dark magic. Just a guess. With their new found cap space, they were able to outbid the Giants for Kevin Boss, who replaces Zach Miller in Oakland. At 4 years, 16 million, this is one of the first reasonable contracts the Raiders have given out this offseason.
Grade: A
Kevin Boss Chiefs
Kevin Boss goes to Kansas City to provide insurance for Tony Moeaki, who is injury prone. In his absence, the Chiefs didn’t get a lot of production from the tight end spot in 2011. If Moeaki is healthy, Boss fits in 2 tight end sets because of his ability to run block and his ability to be a threat in the end zone. He regressed as a pass catcher in 2011 with 28 catches for 368 yards and 2 touchdowns in his first year in Oakland, but had 33, 42, and 35 catches from 2008-2010 with the Giants so he can pass catch some as well. The Chiefs are getting him at a reasonable rate, 3 years, 9 million. They’re buying low 1 year after the Raiders signed him to a 4 year, 16 million dollar deal, which they released him from this offseason after he disappointed and with the Raiders cap situation.
Grade: B
Kerry Rhodes Cardinals
Trade for Jets:
Rex Ryan had been trying to get rid of Kerry Rhodes all offseason because apparently they had some clashes last year, so I like to see him establishing his dominance and continuing to establish the discipline in the locker room and, unlike Josh McDaniels, who is trying to do the same with Brandon Marshall, this move barely hurts the team. Marshall is a very talented receiver who is giving it his all on the field and helping the team. Rhodes takes a lot of plays off and overall is fairly lazy, but he’s talented when he tries. This wasn’t a bad move.
Grade: B+
Trade for Cardinals:
This doesn’t matter to grading this deal, but for Anquan Boldin and a 7th, the Cardinals have essentially gotten a 3rd rounder and Kerry Rhodes. They haven’t had a great two days. Overall, though, I like this deal for them. They needed a safety to replace Antrel Rolle and Rhodes has good upside if he’s trying, which players do most of the time after a trade, and they only gave up a 4th and a 7th for him. He can play right away. My only issue is that both Adrian Wilson and Kerry Rhodes, the Cardinals’ two safeties, are both strong against the run, but struggle somewhat in coverage.
Grade: B+
Kentwan Balmer Seahawks
Deal for Seattle: Back in 2008, I mocked Balmer to the Seahawks with the 25th pick, as did several others. Balmer eventually slipped to 29th where the Niners drafted him. However, the Balmer era in San Fran was a colossal failure. With a mere 19 tackles in two years and 0 sacks, Balmer could never consistently break into the rotation at defensive end for the Niners, so the Seahawks are hoping a return to the 4-3 and his natural position of defensive tackle will bring his former first round talent out of him. For a mere 6th round pick, I’d say that’s a risk worth taking.
Grade: A
Deal for San Francisco: The Niners had absolutely no need for him. He wasn’t going to play significantly on their 3 man line this year at all and really never fit their 3-4 scheme well at all. Getting a 6th rounder for him is pretty solid considering we’ve seen starting cornerbacks like Chris Houston go for 6th rounders and star receivers with legal trouble go for a 5th rounder. The Balmer reclamation project is less likely to work than a possible Adam Carriker bounce back year in Washington, yet the Rams got significantly less for their former 1st round pick bust.
Grade: A
Kentucky/Vanderbilt
Spotlight #1: Kentucky S Winston Guy
Spotlight #2: Vanderbilt DE Tim Fugger
1st quarter
13:14: Guy bites on a play fake, goes towards back, play goes his direction on a roll out.
12:42: Guy shows a good motor in pursuit.
9:42: Fugger lines up standing up at linebacker.
8:05: Fugger lined up against right tackle early, right tackle having a lot of trouble with him.
6:22: Guy bites on another play fake, gave up gap integrity play goes other way for solid gain on a quarterback run.
4:39: Guy gets in on a tackle for little to no gain.
3:48: Guy allows completion, misses tackle afterwards, luckily a couple other guys in area to clean up for no extra gain.
2nd quarter
14:32: Guy sheds a block and a gets a tackle after a gain of 6.
12:49: Guy allows reception to Barden.
12:12: Guy makes a tackle after crossing field.
11:41: Guy on a short tackle.
6:24: Fugger in on a combined sack.
4:14: Guy blocked off the play well because he was overly aggressive, long run.
2:33: Guy overly aggressive again, vacates his gap, allows sizeable quarterback run.
2:13: Guy in on tackle on a pile.
1:10: Guy pancaked on a short conversion lining up near the line of scrimmage. Guy down with an injury. Going to focus on Trevathan for now.
0:54: Trevathan with a short tackle, 5th of the game.
0:52: Guy back.
0:05: Guy not quite fast enough to chase down back before a solid gain. Let him get out of bounds and stop clock, mistake by back not to take advantage of the opportunity.
3rd quarter
14:54: Fugger outmuscled in pass rush.
14:01: Fugger beats his first man, but stopped by double team.
13:14: Guy gets a special teams tackle.
11:40: Guy with a phenomenal open field tackle to prevent a first down on 3rd down.
7:37: Tim Fugger starts outside, rushes inside, up the middle, almost untouched, explosive solo sack.
6:32: Guy in on a tackle combined with another defensive back who allows a completion.
6:00: Guy bites on another fake, poor instincts and reaction.
2:15: Fugger with an effective spin move.
2:07: Fugger doubled.
1:41: 2nd effective spin by Fugger.
4th quarter
14:48: Fugger gets some pressure.
10:40: Guy in on a tackle.
6:45: Guy in on a pile that got dragged a good 5-10 yards. Zac Stacy with a phenomenal effort and run.
3:20: Guy hurt again.
0:00: Winston Guy is one of college football’s leading tacklers and he’s a safety. He had 120 tackles this season and 105 last season. However, he’s not a traditional safety. He lines up in a number of different spots in Kentucky’s 4-2-5 defense, including as a nickel back, a box safety, and essentially at outside linebacker on the weak side as Kentucky only has 2 linebackers. He would obviously be undersized for a linebacker at the next level at 6-1 215 so safety will be his long term position, but I think he’s hurt by the fact that he doesn’t play a traditional safety spot.
He does have a high amount of tackles, even for someone who plays in the box so much, but Kentucky essentially gives him free reign to chase the ball, which means he doesn’t have to pay a lot of attention to gap integrity. That won’t fly at the next level. He’s overly aggressive plays with poor gap integrity. He’s also stiff in pass coverage and doesn’t have a lot of experience doing that. Some are projecting him as a strong safety at the next level and a potential day 2 pick. I have him as a mid day 3 pick as a nickel back.
On the Vanderbilt side, defensive end Tim Fugger is a very underrated prospect. At 6-4 250, he’s a bit of a one trick pony as a pure pass rusher first and has trouble against run, but he’s a very good pass rusher who gets consistent pressure. He’s not the best athlete, but he has a terrific motor. On the season he has 33 tackles, 13.5 for loss, 7 sacks, including 1.5 in this game, giving Kentucky’s right tackle all he could handle. He also has 4 deflections. He should get drafted as a day 3 pick as either a nickel end or a 3-4 outside linebacker, but will probably get drafted later than he should. In fact, based on projections, he looks like he would be lucky to get drafted, though that can change with strong workouts, as well as possibly a good game in the Senior Bowl, should he attend.
Kendall Wright Scout
Wide receiver
Baylor
5-10 196
Draft board overall prospect rank: #15
Draft board overall wide receiver rank: #3
Overall rating: 87 (Solid 1st round prospect)
40 time: 4.41
Games watched: TCU/Baylor, Texas A&M/Baylor, Oklahoma/Baylor
Positives
· Elite deep speed
· Explosive
· Quick off the line
· 4 years of strong production
· Incredibly productive senior season (108 catches for 1663 yards and 14 touchdowns)
· Improved every season
· Some production as a runner as well
· Natural hands catcher
· Great route runner
· Smart receiver who finds seams in the defense
· Adept at going over the middle of the field
· Great hands and rarely drops a ball
· Quick
· Great after the catch
· A threat to score at any time
· Smart, hard working player with great intangibles
· Takes the top off the defense
Negatives
· Possibly a system player?
· Didn’t have an elite season until Robert Griffin broke out
· Played in a high tempo, spread offense
· Didn’t have to master an advanced route tree
· Short (5-10)
· Small and could be prone to injury working the middle of the field
· Not much of a blocker
· Can be jammed at the line
· Could have trouble with jump balls
· Not much of an end zone threat
· Won’t break a lot of tackles with power and strength
NFL Comparison: Antonio Brown
Whereas Justin Blackmon and Michael Floyd both look like #1 receivers at the next level, Kendall Wright doesn’t have the size to be a #1 receiver. Very few #1 receivers are under 6 foot tall and Wright is 5-10. He makes up for his lack of size with blazing speed. He’s an excellent deep route runner who caught 108 passes for 1663 yards and 14 touchdowns last season as Robert Griffin’s top wide receiver. In Robert Griffin’s scouting report, I compared him to Aaron Rodgers because of his ease throwing downfield accurately. If Griffin is Rodgers, Wright is Greg Jennings.
As an NFL player, I think a Greg Jennings comparison makes some sense, but he reminds me more of Antonio Brown. Brown was one of the few sub 6 foot receivers to surpass 1000 yards last season in his 2nd season as a pro. He’s not his team’s primary receiver, but his blazing speed makes him a great deep threat out of the slot and allowed him to catch 69 passes for 1108 yards and 2 touchdowns. He’s also very good on special teams, part of the reason why he made the Pro Bowl last season. Wright was not utilized in that manner at Baylor, but his abilities suggest he could be a good return man as well.
Wright probably won’t come off the board before in the top 10 or top 15 like Blackmon or Floyd because he doesn’t project well as a #1 wide receiver, he should still be a first round pick, in spite of his size. A comparison in terms of who he reminds purely as a prospect is Percy Harvin, a smaller wide receiver who went 22th overall to the Vikings in 2009. Wright should also go in that range. His stock starts at #19 to Chicago. Tennessee at 20, Cincinnati at 21, Cleveland at 22, Denver at 25, and Houston at 26 are all other options. Needing a young wide receiver and more receiving depth behind the aging Andre Johnson, I doubt Houston would pass on him.
He’s got the ability to be a weapon as a #2 receiver who lines up in the slot in 3 wide receiver sets, a la Wes Welker or Victor Cruz. He probably won’t be a team’s feature receiver, but he’d still be a valuable weapon. My one concern is that he’s a system player. He played in a spread style offense and didn’t have an elite season until Robert Griffin broke out. Heading into the season, he was probably a 3rd or 4th round prospect (that was my grade on him and I thought I was higher on him than most). His quick rise in conjunction with Griffin worries me.