Illinois/Penn State

Spotlight #1: Illinois DE Whitney Mercilus

Spotlight #2: Illinois WR AJ Jenkins 

1st quarter

13:45: Mercilus gets good pressure, disengages and makes a tackle for a short gain on a screen up the middle.

12:26: Jenkins lines up in the backfield, catches a pass out of the backfield. Not going anywhere. Tackle for a loss.

11:49: Jenkins with a good run block.

10:34: Mercilus is run at, he gets a tackle, but not until after giving up a decent gain.

8:57: Mercilus able to win his matchup and get into the backfield. He is frequently lining up from a 2 point stance.

6:26: Mercilus gets a pressure on the quarterback and almost is able to hit him as he throws. Good job holding up in time to avoid a potential roughing the passer penalty as well.

5:51: Mercilus shows a good spin move to beat his man.

5:46: Mercilus whiffs on a tackle for loss, but another guy does bring the ball carrier down for a loss.

5:05: Mercilus’ spin move goes nowhere, stood up.

1:46: Mercilus can’t do anything against a double team.

0:43: Jenkins lined up in the backfield again, this time takes a pitch for a loss. 3 guys around the ball. Poor blocking by Illinois’ offensive line.

0:03: Penn State’s Devon Still with a sack. He had 12 tackles for loss and 3 sacks on the season coming into this game and looks like one of the better defensive tackle prospects in college football.

2nd quarter

14:11: Mercilus double teamed again. Allows other guys to get free for a tackle for little to no gain.

12:25: Mercilus likes the spin move. This one is not particularly effective either.

10:21: Jenkins over the middle shirt. He has been a non-factor in this game with 2 catches for 2 yards, but that’s because Penn State’s defense is playing well and Illinois’ quarterback is not. They’ve gone 3 and out on their first 6 drives.

8:26: Mercilus draws a double team, allowing a blitzing linebacker to get a quarterback hit.

6:50: Jenkins with another good run block.

5:09: Mercilus run at again, no gain.

0:33: Jenkins is targeted in the end zone, but the pass is inaccurate out of the back of the end zone.

0:08: Mercilus is doubled again. He’s been consistently facing double teams, but he has looked good against single blocking on those occasions tonight.

 

3rd quarter

10:21: Jenkins targeted in tight coverage, interception. Jenkins did all he could to get the football low, but his hands weren’t strong enough to get it away from the defensive back, who also made a very nice play on the ball.

5:22: Jenkins catches one against the sideline for a first down.

2:30: Illinois running back Jason Ford is showing some better running here in the 2nd half. He really struggled in the first half because Penn State’s defensive line, led by Devon Still, had been doing an awesome job of bottling up the 6-0 235 pound back. Still is having a great game.

1:16: Jenkins catches one for a decent gain. Solid hands, but nothing after the catch.

0:03: Mercilus in on a combined sack.

4th quarter

11:40: Mercilus gives up a big run through his gap.

7:41: Mercilus applies pressure after a spin move, pressure forces a fumble, fumble recovered by Penn State, but Mercilus is able to finish off the play and get a sack after the recovery. This forces a field goal as it is now 4th and goal.

4:55: Jenkins wide open in space, but the ball is batted down at the line. It’s been that kind of night.

0:00: Whitney Mercilus is a breakout prospect this year the way Nick Fairley was last year, coming out of nowhere. The junior had 2 sacks before this season and now after this game has 11.5 sacks and 16.5 tackles for loss in 9 games and is gaining some steam in the first round. Tonight he had 1.5 sacks. He got consistent pressure when he was single teamed, but struggled with double teams. He lined up in 2 and 3 point stances in about equal amounts, but looked more comfortable in a two point stance.

This is actually good for him. At 6-3 260, he has the size to play 4-3 end, but he struggled a bit against the run. He’s a very quick and athlete pass rusher who is comfortable rushing from a 2 point stance which suggests he’s a better fit as a 3-4 outside linebacker than a 4-3 end. I am disappointed that I didn’t get to see him drop into coverage much, but he looks comfortable in space.

His spin move is his favorite move and he uses it more than most defensive lineman to varying degrees of success. He had a couple very nice spin moves, but a couple were stood up well by the offensive lineman. He needs to develop a wider repertoire of pass rushing moves. He’s having a first round type season and looks to be on pace to have 15+ sacks and 20+ tackles for loss.

However, my worries with him are lack of competition (he has yet to face an elite left tackle and unfortunately Illinois does not play Iowa and Riley Reiff), lack of a track record (only one good season), a thin repertoire of pass rushing moves, and his weakness against the run. If he has the kind of numbers he’s projected to finish the season with, 15+ sacks and 20+ tackles for loss, he could go in the top 15 as a 3-4 linebacker or a 4-3 end. However, for now I have a borderline first round grade on him with the ability to move up into the top 20 or top 25.

As for AJ Jenkins, I’m disappointed I didn’t get to see all he can do. Illinois’ offensive line was getting destroyed by Penn State’s defensive line all game in this ugly 10-7 win for Penn State so Illinois wasn’t doing a lot through the air. Jenkins had 6 of his team’s 13 catches for 43 of his team’s 93 yards through the air.

He lined up in different spots on the field, in the backfield, out wide, in the slot. He looks like a natural slot receiver at the next level. At 6-1 195, he’s not the biggest receiver and he doesn’t look overly fast, but he’s having a hell of a season even after this weak performance with 68 catches for 1030 yards and 7 touchdowns in 9 games. He has nice hands, knows how to get open, runs great routes, and also run blocks very well for his size, an added bonus with a slot receiver. He looks like a solid 3rd round pick with the potential to move up into the 2nd round if he continues his high level of production against tougher competition.

Another playmaker on Illinois’ offensive who stood out to me at times is Illinois senior running back Jason Ford. He rushed for 100 yards on 24 carries despite being bottled up for most of the first half by Penn State’s awesome defensive line. Penn State was winning the battle at the line of scrimmage all game, but Ford still was able to give a solid game with strong, hard nose between the tackle running. He also showed good burst for a 235 pounder. On the season he has 492 yards and 6 touchdowns on 125 carries. This was his best game of the season so I look forward to see if he can continue this. If he can, he could be a solid day 3 pick because of his combination of size, speed, and pass catching ability (14 catches on the year).

Speaking of Penn State’s awesome defensive line, they were winning the battle at the line of scrimmage and in the backfield all night. Devon Still was in the backfield on every other player. On the year, the senior defensive tackle has 47 tackles, 15.5 for a loss, and 4 sacks in 9 games. At 6-5 310, he also has great size against the run. In a weak defensive tackle class, he could end up being the first one taken. He fits as a 3-4 defensive end really well as well.

 

Illinois/Michigan

Spotlight #1: Michigan DT Mike Martin

Spotlight #2: Illinois CB Tavon Wilson 

1st quarter

14:17: Wilson can’t disengage from a block fast enough to make a tough tackle on the running back in space, chases back from behind, able to bring him down after he’s slowed up by another man, but not before 68 yards.

13:15: Wilson can’t disengage off a block in the end zone quick enough to come up and stop a Denard Robinson rushing touchdown.

13:09: Martin ties up two blockers as Michigan is able to collapse the pocket.

12:23: Martin one of several applying pressure on Illinois’ quarterback forcing 3rd down throw away and punt, quarterback evades first couple pressures, but cannot evade Martin, who forces the throw away.

11:24: Wilson comes up and gets a tackle on a scrambling Robinson for a short gain. Good run support.

10:39: Mercilus does a great job of stopping a Robinson scramble on 3rd and 2, short, forces punt.

9:58: Martin creates a pile to stop scrambling quarterback for a short gain.

9:02: Martin in on a pile forcing the running back backwards on an inside run on 3rd and 1, punt.

8:14: Wilson comes up and combined on the tackle on the back in the open field after a short dump off, goes for 8.

7:11: Wilson shows willingness to stick nose in on a pile in the backfield, tackling ball carrier for a loss on a screen. Not the one making the play, but like to see the willingness.

4:20: David Molk with a great block to spring a big run up the middle.

3:15: Martin helps create a pile on the line for no gain.

2:33: Martin draws double team, knocks a guy over, gets free, nothing comes of it, but still impressive power.

2:27: Martin gets a tackle for a short gain, another 3 and out for Illinois, 3rd straight to start game.

1:44: Wilson comes up and makes the tackle on the back for a medium sized gain.

1:05: Wilson is the last one to hit Robinson before he goes down for a gain of 10 after an inside run.

0:14: David Molk had a great first quarterback run blocking, Michigan ran very well in the first and had clear lanes up the middle on almost every inside run. Phenomenal blocking.

2nd quarter

14:34: Wilson has played a few snaps at safety in this one, did on this last play. Might be the 6-1 205 defensive back’s best position at the next level.

12:49: Wilson at safety powered out of the way by tight end Kevin Koger on the goal line, easy touchdown run by Robinson. David Molk with a great initial block on the play too.

12:23: Martin lines up on the center and draws a double again. 4-3 or 3-4 nose tackle would be his best position at the next level, good job to shed at least one block on this play.

11:57: Martin does a good job to help collapse pocket, quick throw by design though, completion, goes to AJ Jenkins.

10:30: Martin applies pressure and hits quarterback as he throws, still completion to Jenkins, who has 4 catches early despite a struggling Illinois offense. Jenkins short of stick though, 4 possessions, 4 punts for Illinois. Only 1 first down.

8:35: Wilson back at cornerback, allows 15 yard completion over the middle to Junior Hemingway.

8:02: Wilson on Kevin Koger, allows 39 yard touchdown deep. Robinson has attempted just 5 passes, 1 incomplete, 2 complete short, 2 complete longer, both thrown on Wilson. In his defense, this was a mismatch having to pick up the tight end in motion, but not a good play. Great play by Koger deep though. 2nd catch of the game.

5:39: Whitney Mercilus in on a tackle for loss on 4th and goal, turnover.

4:20: Wilson faked out by fake end around, needs to show better discipline than that.

3:55: Wilson blitzing, gets pressure, forces quarterback up, Mercilus hits Robinson as he throws, forces weak wobbly throw, immediately deflected, good instincts by Wilson on the deflection to pick it off, red zone pick.

3:52: Martin does a great job of bull rushing a double team.

3:17: Mike Martin drops into coverage here, didn’t look too bad, takes away short option on a play where Michigan got a sack and forced yet another Illinois 3 and out.

1:05: Mercilus hits Robinson as he throws, Wilson could have made a play on the ball, didn’t seem particularly interested in doing so and making at least an effort.

0:50: Martin does not take plays off, played the whole first half.

0:18: Martin couldn’t react to a juke well in the open field. Not the most athletic.

 

3rd quarter

14:13: Martin can’t quite get short tackle on eventual first down run.

13:40: Martin gets into the backfield with penetration on a run play again, gets himself in position to least attempt a tough play. So strong in the middle.

13:22: Martin gets into the backfield and shows great pursuit and discipline, eventually combines for tackle for loss after an option pitch. Good job staying with play.

12:38: Ryan Van Bergen with a sack, Martin lines up on the outside on the play and beats his man. Michigan’s defensive line is having a fantastic game.

9:55: Martin pressured quarterback well, puts hands up as soon as the quarterback releases, always like to see that.

9:36: Wilson sticks nose in on a pile.

7:17: Wilson with a nice open field solo tackle, almost broken, but wraps up and stays with it for gain of just of 3.

6:18: Mercilus with another pressure, just misses sack.

4:18: Martin gets pressure, forces step up against double team and hold with great bull rush.

3:54: Martin can’t disengage as quarterback scrambles past him.

2:36: Martin in on a tackle a good way away from the line, can’t quite prevent the 1st down on 3rd down on a quarterback scramble.

1:54: Jenkins almost makes a highlight reel 29 yard catch on a back shoulder throw on the sideline, but replay shows he didn’t control before going out of bounds, reversed.

1:45: Jenkins draws PI. He’s had a solid night, but as much as he’s been targeted with his quarterback basically forcing it to him all night, he should have better stats. Generally getting beat one on one by JT Floyd, a junior cornerback.

1:17: Martin in on a combined tackle for no gain.

4th quarter

14:25: Wilson with a tackle after a gain of 9.

12:53: Martin with a rare miscue, off sides penalty.

12:10: Martin faked out on a play action.

11:56: Martin gets a short solo tackle.

11:25: Martin one of two closing on quarterback as he throws, still complete.

10:54: Jenkins thrown to, picked off by JT Floyd, great job to jump route.

9:50: Martin falls in open field on a quarterback scramble.

5:47: Martin lines up on the outside, something he’s done on occasion, from 2 point stance and drops in coverage. He handles a complex scheme well.

5:41: Martin in on a combined sack with Van Bergen for a loss of 16 after quarterback breaks another sack.

4:52: Jenkins catches a conversion on 4th and 26, 32 yards. Jenkins has 8 catches for 102 yards, but 20 targets.

3:53: Martin in on a tackle after a gain of 3.

3:14: Wilson in on a tackle after a sizeable gain on the ground.

2:25: Wilson blocked off play on a long touchdown run to his side.

2:18: Martin in on a combined sack with Ryan Van Bergen again.

1:47: Martin forces quarterback up in pocket, scrambles, little to no gain, forces punt.

0:00: Michigan dominated this game 31-14 and it started upfront for them defensively. The two players who had the biggest impact were defensive tackle Mike Martin and defensive end Ryan Van Bergen. Van Bergen had a solo sack, while the two combined on another 2 sacks. Martin was a load against the run helping limit Illinois to just 37 yards on 33 carries. He’s a powerful bull rusher who can take on double teams on the inside. He looks like an ideal 4-3 nose tackle at the next level and at 6-1 305 he could play 3-4 nose tackle as well in the right scheme.

He’s not the most athletic player in the open field and he doesn’t have a ton of production with 60 tackles, 6 for loss, and 3.5 sacks and he’s not much of a pass rusher, but he’s going to be a great run stuffing 4-3 or 3-4 nose tackle at the next level. I was also impressed with how he handles Michigan’s complex defensive scheme, occasionally lining up at defensive end, rushing from a 2 point stance, and even dropping into coverage. He might even fit as a 3-4 defensive end at the next level.

Ryan Van Bergen has more production as a pass rusher with 45 tackles, 12.5 for loss, and 5.5 sacks, but he’s more of a run stopper than anything. The 6-5 285 pound defensive end would be best fit as a 4-3 left end or a 3-4 defensive end. He had a great game in this one getting consistent penetration against the run and the pass with 2 sacks and 3 tackles for loss.

Michigan has a few more draftable prospects on their team, center David Molk and tight end Kevin Koger. The undersized center Molk is a great run blocker at 6-2 285. He had a great game here, paving the way for Michigan to run for 223 yards and 3 touchdowns and 48 carries. Michigan did a good job in the open field too rushing, but their interior blocking, specifically Molk, was extremely impressive. If he had more size, he’d be a 2nd round pick, but at his size he’s probably a mid rounder. He’d be best fit in a zone blocking scheme. Kevin Koger showed himself to be a good blocker as well, but also caught 2 passes for 42 yards, even better when you see that Michigan completed just 8 passes all game. On the year, the 6-4 255 pound Koger has 23 catches for 244 yards and 4 scores on a run heavy offense. He’s a blocker first, but in this one showed great ability as a receiver one on one with cornerback/safety Tavon Wilson on the outside.

Wilson was the spotlight for Illinois. Michigan completed just 8 passes, but 2 of them were on Wilson, including that long one by Koger. He also allowed a solid gain to Junior Hemingway. He lined up all over the field, cornerback, nickel back, and safety, but he seemed too stiff in coverage to be a cornerback at the next level. At 6-1 205, he has good size, but would be a bit undersized for a safety as well and made his fair share of mistakes as a run stopper. He also showed below average physicality for a pro prospect at safety. He’s too much of a tweener to get drafted here and might even be an undrafted prospect in my eyes.

The top prospect on either side in this game is Illinois’ defensive end Whiteny Mercilus, the nation’s leader in sacks and a likely first round pick. Mercilus had a great game once again with one sack, several quarterback hits, including one that led to a red zone interception, and generally consistent pressure. He’s a phenomenal pass rusher and a consistent player who has had a sack in every game except 2, giving him 57 tackles, 22.5 for loss, and 16 sacks on the season. His main flaw is that he’s a one year wonder who came out of nowhere this season and normally I’m weary of one year wonders, but he’s such a good player. He can play either 4-3 defensive end or 3-4 rush linebacker at 6-3 265 and is even solid against the run. He could go as a high as the top 15.

The final draftable prospect on Illinois’ team is AJ Jenkins. Jenkins has 8 catches for 103 yards, but was targeted 20 times so he should have had more production. He, in general, lost the matchup with JT Floyd, a relatively unknown junior cornerback. He has great numbers, but is targeted so much for some reason. On the season, he has 90 catches for 1276 yards and 8 touchdowns at 6-1 195, but looks like a slot receiver at best at the next level and a potential mid round pick.

 

Ike Taylor Pittsburgh

 

Nnamdi Asomugha got 12 million per year. Johnathan Joseph got just under 10 million per year. Antonio Cromartie was overpaid a bit with 8 million per year. Now Ike Taylor gets 7 million per year. Taylor is 31 and might not even be starting caliber if it wasn’t for the Steelers scheme, front 7, and Troy Polamalu. I have no idea why they overpaid him like this. It’s not like them. I know their pass defense isn’t very good, but I’m not sure it would have gotten a ton worse if Taylor had left because he’s not all that great. The only thing that saves this deal from being an F is that only 9 million over the 28 million over 4 is guaranteed so they didn’t guarantee a ton of this deal.

Grade: D

 

How many wins Redskins

By Anthony Brown

The Washington Redskins will finish with six or seven wins this season, according to Paul Bessire, the Stat-master behind The Prediction Machine. He projects the same finish for the Dallas Cowboys, which could mean the ‘Skins and ‘Boys could end the season fighting to stay out of division last place.

How did it come to this in a season that started so well? Here’s Bessire’s assessment:

“The Redskins are about as average across the board as any NFL team that I have ever studied. They don’t do anything really well, yet are only really deficient against the run. That would be the biggest difference between our expectations for this team and what the Redskins look like now; we expected a more physical, aggressive team on defense. We saw that physicality earlier in the season, but Washington has lost that edge (and then some) as the season has progressed. Blame it on depth, Albert Haynesworth, scheme, lack of talent or quality of competition, but the inability to hold up against the run has cost the team gravely, particularly against NFC East rivals.”

Ouch! The Washington Redskins defense has Norv Turner Syndrome. They’ve gone soft. Talk as much as you like about the 3-4 defense, Albert Haynesworth and how Mike Shanahan “handled” him, it’s pretty clear that somewhere along the way, Washington stopped playing east coast Beastball. You know what that is–run hard so that your offensive linemen can beat up on their defense, and slobber-knocking defense to crush anyone holding the ball.

The Redskins started the season that way. Something happened between the October, when Eagles quarterback Michael Vick was the cheese in the Kareem Moore-DeAngelo Hall sandwich, and last Sunday when the ‘Skins were crushed by the New York Giants.

After that loss, fans are pointing fingers at Albert Haynesworth, Mike Shanahan, Dan Snyder, just about everyone. I suspect it was the nature of the New York loss  that has everyone up in arms. Show strength if you are going to lose. At least that offers hope that we can compete the next time. ‘Skins fans don’t know what to expect against Tampa Bay. It’s unsettling.

East coast smashmouth is so identified with the NFC East that the whole division was branded as the Beast. New York is the lone Beast team adhering to the brand. Philadelphia has remade itself as the most dynamic young offense in the division, nigh unbeatable with Vick at quarterback. Don’t let Vick escape from the Eagles’ roster. He would surely end up in Washington, the closest he can get to a hometown team with his native Newport News, Virginia, and all those Virginia Tech fans near by. Philadelphia would never send three quarterbacks (counting Sonny Jurgensen) to Washington.

The Dallas Cowboys lost the lunch pail mentality that defines the Beast. There are too many egos in that franchise, on the field and in the front office. There are too many rookie divas who won’t do this or that in homage to the other ten guys whose grunt work lets them shine.  There are too many stars on the Cowboys, none of them very bright.

I predicted an eight-win season for the ‘Skins at the start of the season. That looks iffy now with the suddenly tough Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Jacksonville Jaguars and another game against the Giants on the schedule. It can be done, but only if the Redskins go back to their Beastball roots and hit somebody.

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Go back to Redskins Fan Spot 

 

Houston Texans

 

Debate the Texans’ offseason needs in The Football Fan Forum 

2010 Preview:

The Texans lost 7 games last year, 5 by a touchdown or fewer, 6 by 10 points or less. You would think that a team as talented as this bunch would win a few more of those games and finally make the playoffs, but I’m going to say otherwise. First, they have one of the toughest schedules in the league with 11 games against teams that won 8 or more games last year and 13 games against teams that won 7 or more games last year. 

Second, it’s not like their record in games decided by 1 touchdown or less was bad. They lost 5 by a touchdown or fewer, but they also won 5 by a touchdown or fewer. People saying this team is going to win 10 or 11 games and citing their amount of close losses are misinformed.

This wasn’t a team that got unlucky in the clutch last year. This is a team that played a lot of close games. Unless they step up and become a clutch team and start winning 60-70% of their close games, they aren’t going to be better than last year. With a tougher schedule this year, I think they’ll actually have a worse record this season than last, and once again miss the playoffs.

Projection: 8-8 3rd in AFC South 

Power Ranking: 19 

Draft:

#20 CB Kareem Jackson (Alabama)

He fills a much needed hole left by Dunta Robinson, who left for big money in Atlanta. The Colts were able to destroy the Texans through the secondary all last year and that would only get worse if the Texans didn’t address the position, so I like the position. I just had other players (Kyle Wilson, Brandon Ghee) rated higher, like by a whole round’s worth.

Grade: B-

#58 RB Ben Tate (Auburn)

He fills a need at running back, which they said numerous times they would try to address. Tate is good, but has a very inconsistent motor and doesn’t like to take contact. I wouldn’t have given him a shot in the 2nd round, but he is a decent fit for their cut and go run blocking scheme and he fills a need.

Grade: C+

#81 DT Earl Mitchell (Arizona)

This is a bit of a reach, but it again fills a need. I just get the sense that the Texans’ draft board is pretty different than mine, which is not necessarily a bad thing, and unlike some teams, they are actually addressing important needs. Mitchell is a solid player, but he’s a former fullback with a maxed out frame, short arms, and lacks bulk. He’s a solid nickel rusher and rotation player, but not the future starter type you like out for a 3rd round pick.

Grade: C-

#102 OLB Daryl Sharpton (Miami)

Sharpton is a bit of a reach, but not a huge reach. He played middle linebacker in college, but I think he can kick to the outside and help them at strong side outside linebacker a bit. However, linebacker wasn’t a big need and Sharpton is a bit of a reach and position changes are never easy.

Grade: C

#118 TE Garrett Graham (Wisconsin)

Garrett Graham is a solid player and all, but the Texans have a Pro-Bowl caliber tight end in Owen Daniels and they also drafted two tight ends last year, so I don’t see the need for a guy like Graham.

Grade: D

#146 CB Sherrick McManis (Northwestern)

A slight reach in round 5, but he’s still a decent pick. The Texans needed to double dip in the cornerback position this year to try to defeat Peyton Manning and the Colts.

Grade: B-

#187 G Shelley Smith (Colorado State)

The Texans needed some interior depth coming into this offseason and Smith fits the scheme and is a decent, but not great, value.

Grade: B

#197 WR Trindon Holliday (LSU)

Holliday is undersized, but an explosive kick returner who should have an immediate impact on the Texans in the field position game. If Holliday can get 3-5 more yards per carry than their kick returner last year, that could be a huge difference for a team that seemingly lost every game by less than a touchdown.

Grade: A

#227 TE Dorin Dickerson (Pittsburgh)

Wow. Their 4th tight end they’ve drafted in the last two years, despite the fact that they already have Owen Daniels on the roster (who by the way they gave a 1st/3rd tender this offseason). Dickerson will probably be moved to another position, which is the only explanation for this. He can play fullback and wide receiver and help on special teams and he’s an outstanding value in the 7th.

Grade: A

Overall:

As I said before, I think the Texans just had a different looking draft board than me, which is fine assuming their players pan out. However, I don’t really like the haul of players they caught. They do earn extra points for actually addressing needs though.

Grade: B-

Key Undrafted Free Agents

OT Adam Ulatoski (Texas)

S Aaron Webster (Cincinnati)

DT Malcolm Sheppard (Arkansas)

OT Jason Watkins (Florida)

OLB Will Patterson (Indiana)

OT Cole Pemberton (Colorado State)

FB Jack Corcoran (Rutgers)

Positions of need:

Cornerback:

The Texans corners got a grand total of 1 interception from their cornerbacks last year. To make things worse, top shutdown corner Dunta Robinson is a free agent this offseason and he wants big money that the Texans don’t appear to want to spend. If either Donovan Warren or Kyle Wilson slip past the Falcons to the Texans at 20, they could pull the trigger.

Drafted Kareem Jackson (#20) 

Safety:

Eugene Wilson was great last year…until he got hurt. He’s missed 29 games in 4 years and they don’t have depth behind them. They need to be strong in the secondary everywhere to have a shot to beat Peyton Manning. In state safety Earl Thomas would make sense at 20 if he’s still there, as would a guy like Nate Allen in the second.

Defensive Tackle:

Amobi Okoye had a down year last year, but I expect him to bounce back in the future. Either way, they’ll need at upgrade at the other defensive tackle position. If they can’t get Dan Williams in the first, they’ll look for guys in the mid rounds.

Drafted Earl Mitchell (#81) 

Outside Linebacker

Taking Brian Cushing in the first round was a great decision, but unfortunately they needed two linebacker upgrades last offseason and only got one. They can focus on the other side this year and should take advantage of the depth of the outside linebacker class by finding someone they feel will fit their scheme in the mid rounds.

Drafted Daryl Sharpton (#102), Signed Danny Clark

Running Back:

Gary Kubiak enjoys starting random guys at the running back position. I literally think he puts the name of every running back on his roster into a hat and draws one and then runs with him for that drive and then repeats. Steve Slaton probably won’t be ready for the start of next season, plus they don’t seem to like him because he fumbles too much. Jahvid Best has an outside shot at the 20th pick. If not, they’ll still target one in the late rounds. At the very least, they need a goal line back because they really struggled to run the football in the red zone.

Drafted Ben Tate (#58) 

Wide Receiver:

Kevin Walter is a free agent leaving them without much next to Andre Johnson except a few guys who are best suited as slot guys, Jacoby Jones, David Anderson. They could resign Walter, but if they have a receiver like Dez Bryant fall into their laps, they’ll pull the trigger.

Guard:

One, if not two, upgrades are needed inside. Gary Kubiak likes building in the trenches, so they could target one in the 2nd-4th rounds.

Signed Wade Smith, Drafted Shelley Smith (#187) 

 

Free agents:

QB Rex GROSSman- signed with Redskins 1 year

RB Chris Brown

RB Ryan Moats- signed with Vikings

WR Kevin Walter (restricted)- resigned 5 years 21.5 million

TE Owen Daniels (restricted)- resigned 1 year 3.1 million

OT Rashad Butler (restricted)- resigned 1 year 1.1 million

G Chester Pitts- signed with Seahawks

G Chris White (restricted)- resigned 1 year 1.2 million

G Mike Brisiel (restricted)

DT Tim Bulman (restricted)- resigned 1 year 1.1 million

DT Deljuan Robinson (restricted)- tendered

MLB DeMeco Ryans (restricted)- resigned 6 year 48 million

MLB Chaun Thompson

#8 CB Dunta Robinson- signed with Falcons 6 years 57 million

He’s fast and would be a good fit in a zone style defense, but he has hands of stone, 7 picks since 2004, and 0 all last year, and has some character concerns. I think he gets a reputation as a #1 corner, but 65.9% of the passes thrown on guys he was responsible for were completed last year and he’s also one of the more penalized defensive backs in the league. I think someone will overpay him.

S Bernard “Patriot Killer” Pollard (restricted)- resigned 1 year 2.5 million

S Josh Busing (restricted)

S Nick Ferguson

P Matt Turk- resigned 1 year

Offseason moves:

Texans re-sign TE Owen Daniels 

Texans waive RB Ryan Moats 

Texans sign OLB Danny Clark 

Texans re-sign OT Rashad Butler

Texans re-sign G Chris White 

Texans re-sign RB Ryan Moats 

Texans sign K Neil Rackers 

Texans re-sign S Bernard Pollard 

Texans resign MLB DeMeco Ryans

Texans re-sign DT Tim Bulman 

Texans sign G Wade Smith

Texans re-sign WR Kevin Walter

Texans re-sign P Matt Turk

Texans tender S Bernard Pollard

Texans tender TE Owen Daniels

Texans tender MLB DeMeco Ryans

Texans tender OT Rashad Butler

Texans tender RB Ryan Moats

Texans tender DT Tim Bulman

Texans tender G Chris White

Texans tender DT Deljuan Robinson 

# refers to unrestricted free agent rank

Holy Folk

By Kevin Harrison

It was right there almost a year ago.  It was the same stadium.  It was in the same month.  It was against the same team.  It was against the future Hall of Fame quarterback. And, now, after another regular season ended, the Jets were back to face the Colts.  

That eleven point lead in the first half still haunts me like does the ten point lead we had in 1998 against the Broncos in the AFC Championship Game.  This may not be the Championship Game but it is still Mr. Manning standing in the way of the Jets mission of winning the Super Bowl. 

Rex Ryan has been telling us since he was hired that we are going to win the Super Bowl.  We fell 32 minutes short last year but are back in the hunt again and he still believes we are going to win the Super Bowl.  But, first we must seek revenge on that same team that ended the dream last year.

It’s been a crazy season so far.  Twelve of the Jets 16 games have come down to the last five minutes with the Jets winning many of them including some comebacks that us Jets fans will remember forever.  And, after this first round match-up to start the postseason, another miracle comeback gets added to the Sanchize resume.

Yes, Mark Sanchez is starting to become the next generations’ Mr. Comeback with his 53 second drive, on the road, to beat the Colts by a point after things were looking bleak.

Let me back up a little bit.  The Jets had the ball and a two point lead and basically needed two first downs to end the game.  It was third and 5 and we had been driving the ball nicely with a combination of short passes and some ground and pound running.  You would think that Schottenheimer would call a short pass for a sure first down.  Instead, Sanchez overthrows the ball deep for an incompletion.  Thus, the clock stops and we have to put the ball back to the Colts.  At the time, this was an utter disaster getting the ball back in Manning’s hands.

And, in true Peyton Manning form, he drove the Colts down to field goal position with the Jets finally stopping them on 3rd down.  However, Mr. Clutch, Adam V, was coming into the game as confident as ever to boot a 50 yard field goal to give the Colts a one point edge.

Could Mark Sanchez, the 2nd year wonder, lead the Jets down the field with two time outs, on the road, again as he’s done so many times this year?   The Colts kick off the ball with 53 seconds left and we have Cromartie doing the returns with Brad Smith slightly injured and this was a great move to put Cromartie in as he showed a nice burst of speed on his prior return.  And, Antoino took the kick about 40 yards to put the Jets in great field goal position.

The Jets ran a few plays and a call came in that Sanchez and Braylon Edwards waved off.  Braylon said he could get open and Sanchez voiced that to Schottenheimer who then basically said, “Go for it” and Sanchez hit him.  YES.  The Jets were in field goal position.

Now, kicking game winning field goals makes me extremely ill.  We all remember the Doug Brien game, whom I still do NOT blame as no one would ever make that kick in Pittsburgh, but the kicker still always gets blamed.

And here was Nick Folk who had had a decent year replacing Jay Feely after a rough few game patch a few weeks ago.  He confidently enters the field with three seconds left and boots a 32 yard field goal to win the game.  The Jets Win.  The Jets Win.  The Jets Win.

Rex Ryan had beaten a Peyton Manning team.  The Jets win ANOTHER road playoff game.  We came back.  We beat a good team.  The Super Bowl chances are still alive.

There were a few things that I loved.  We returned to our roots with the running game.  LT and Shonn Green were looking great and you could tell that last week’s rest paid off as they both had their legs. 

I loved the play of Darrelle Revis.  Hell, he just gave up one yard to one of the BEST receivers in the game and basically made him non-existent.  I guess it sucks to get banished to Revis Island.

The Defense was amazing in general.  The Colts could barely generate a running game and Peyton didn’t have a ton of open players for his throwing game.  You can’t complain holding a Peyton Manning team to just 16 points.

Sanchez was a bit rusty in the first half throwing high many of his targets and killed us with his interception in the end zone in the end part of the second quarter.  I know he was trying to do too much but we can’t afford those kinds of mistakes as the interception negated a field goal attempt.

Cromartie getting burned on a long touchdown was one of the low points of the game and he heard it from Rex Ryan.  He looked much better after that.

And the game almost changed on the first punt with Santiono Holmes letting a ball go through his legs that almost grazed him which would have been a fumble and that could have destroyed the entire game.  Luckily, the Colts reviewed and it never grazed him but Santonio…stay the F**K away from the ball next time!

So, it’s back to New England where the Jets suffered one of the worst loses in team history.  Can we stop Tom Brady?  Can we out coach Bill Belicheck?  I know Rex Ryan doesn’t want to kiss another of his rings so let’s hope we can figure out the Patriots mystique by next Sunday.  For now, I’m gonna enjoy this game for a few more days before I start getting nervous all over again for this next huge hurdle.

http://khbirdmantalkingjets.blogspot.com/

Go back to Jets Fan Spot

Heart Attack Jets

By Kevin Harrison 

The heart attack Jets were at it again this past Sunday against the Cleveland Browns.  It was the Jets vs. their old coach, Eric Mangini.  It was a homecoming for Braylon Edwards.  It was Rex Ryan vs. brother Rob Ryan.  It was a bunch of Ex Jets vs. their old teammates.  It was all against the team that made the dumb trade for us to draft Mark Sanchez.

I’m definitely going have heart failure watching these Jets as nothing seems to come easy.   Our last three wins have been wins that Championship teams are made of; you just find new ways to win games that seem lost at one point.  

We got lucky in Denver with the pass interference call.  We stole away a victory last week in Detroit with a miracle comeback.  And then this week, we give up the lead with 44 seconds left in regulation and then win in overtime with just 16 seconds left.  Sometimes luck is just with you and this seems to be one of those years like no other that I’ve ever had.  Actually, back in 1998, we had 4 crazy 4th quarter comebacks that season, including the Monday Night Miracle, and that season took us all the way to the AFC Championship Game where the Jets fell apart in the 2nd half after holding a 10 point lead. 

It would just be nice if we could win a game with out making us sweat it out at the end.  I’d like to see a 31-10 victory already.  But, I’ll surely take what has transpired through the first 9 games of the season and I’m surely not complaining about a 7-2 record as it could be a lot worse if the ball didn’t bounce our way.

The story of the game was Mark Sanchez passing for 299 yards, 2 TD passes, and 1 TD rush.  But, there was as scare in the 2nd half when our Sanchize went down and Mark Brunell was warming up.  However, our fearless leader re-entered the game to eventually lead us to victory.  There were a few key plays in the game.  There was an amazing scramble my Mark Sanchez who hit a limping Jerricho Cotchery who dove and made a miraculous catch for a first down to keep their drive alive which had put them up by 7 points after connecting a field goal.  It could have been the catch of the NFL this season.

Unfortunately, the defense just couldn’t hold the Browns who walked down the field and tied up the game with just 44 seconds left.  You would think that with a 7 point lead and the game on the line that our defense would have been able to stop the Browns.  It was quite disgusting to watch as we had the game in hand and the defense let it slip away.

But, our lucky Jets, for the 2nd week in a row, won the coin toss.  However, it didn’t result in a score.  The overtime was back and fourth for a bit but things were looking bleak until the Browns, ex-Jet Chansi Stucky, turned over the ball in field goal range.   The Jets then missed a FG in return. Luckily, we were able to get the ball back and Jets were in a 3rd and long situation and chucked the ball deep down field which was intercepted with about 1:34 left in the OT.  This turned out to be the crucial play in overtime.  The defender should have dropped the ball, forcing the Jets to punt. However, instinct took over and the Browns started with the ball on their own 1 yard line. 

Our Defense was now not going to lose this game and before I could let out a deep breath; the Browns were punting the ball back to us with not a lot of time on the clock.  It did help that the Browns threw on 1st down stopping the clock.  Luckily, Jim Leonhard had a nice 18 yard punt  return to help our field position and then on first down, Sanchez hits Santiono Holmes on a crossing route which resulted in a 37 yard TD with just 16 seconds remaining before the game would have been declared a tie.  And again the Jets win.

Things didn’t start out pretty.  We were playing from behind a lot in the first half.  And we didn’t help ourselves with Nick Folk missing three field goals.

The most painful part of the game was coming out in the second half to conduct a 19 play, 10+ minute drive that resulted in zero points due to a missed field goal.  Come on…you gotta make that kick.

Again, it wasn’t a perfect Jets victory but it was a victory and that’s all that matters in this game.  If the keep playing like they do, I’ll take it as long as they win; but, I would like them to have a complete game already.  Bring on the Texans !

Here are some interesting stats of this game:

  1. Jets had their second straight overtime win.
  2. Jets have won 8 consecutive regular season road games.
  3. Jets are the first team to win consecutive overtime road games.
  4. It was the first time the Jets won an overtime game on a TD reception since October 18, 1987.
  5. The Jets rushed for over 100 yards for the ninth straight game to open the season.  They haven’t accomplished that feat since 1978.
  6. The Jets deprived the Browns their 500th franchise win.
  7. The Jets have not allowed 100 yards to any running back this season.
  8. Nick Folk missed a career-high 3 field goals.

http://khbirdmantalkingjets.blogspot.com/ 

Go back to Jets Fan Spot 

Hate Tim Tebow

It has come to my attention that a lot of people don’t like Tim Tebow, in fact there is a Facebook Group called “I Hate Tim Tebow” with 3292 members. I have no idea why. The man was one of the most successful college football players in the country in each of the last three years, finishing in the top 5 for the Heisman three times.

In addition, he’s a tremendously hard worker, an inspiration to many, a man who is downright committed to football, and an overall good person. He’s humble in an era of “look at me” wide receivers, and “make it rain” cornerbacks, and quarterbacks that kill dogs. 

On the field, he is an extremely tough and amazing teammate that well play through injuries and absolutely defines the saying, fighting for the extra yard. On the toughest scale, he ranks on the level of Ben Roethlisberger, which is a notch below Brett Favre.

Recently he has had decided to go on television for two Super Bowl commercials, putting himself out there in a huge way, to stand up for and be a symbol of the anti-abortion movement. Regardless of your political feelings on the abortion issue, you have to admit that it takes a great deal of courage, as a young athlete, to go out there and stand up for an issue you strongly belief in, especially when it is an issue that is so controversial and so against the belief of the today’s youth.

He has beat the odds, in a huge way. Not only has he beat the odds by coming from a home schooled environment, but, in case you haven’t heard, there was a very good chance that he was going to be born a stillborn. I can’t think of a better definition of beating the odds. Why don’t people like this guy, I have no idea.

Above are a few ESPN polls, that really show America’s unexplainable hatred for Tim Tebow. 22% of America is rooting for this guy to fail. Why on Earth would you ever root for this guy to fail? Why, by comparison, do so many people support Michael Vick, who killed and tortured hundreds of dogs, and want him to succeed when they want Tebow to fail, regardless of his character. I don’t care if you don’t think he’s a good football player, why would you want him to fail.

For which recent Heisman trophy winner will have more NFL success, 62% put Sam Bradford, to 18% for Tebow. Really? More than three times as many people voted for Bradford than Tebow. I actually think Bradford can be a good player, but Bradford is a system quarterback coming off of a major shoulder injury, how does he get 3 times more votes than the guy who has practically willed Florida to victory over the last 3 years. Tebow essentially got as many votes as Matt Leinart, 14%, who, for all intents and purposes, has already proven to be a failure. He could bounce back, but after 595 career attempts, despite having one of the best receivers in the game on his side, Leinart has completed just 57% of his passes on a 6.5 YPA average with 20 picks to 13 touchdowns. Really? They think the guy who has already failed is as likely to succeed as the guy who has done nothing but succeeding over the last 3 years.

Which multi threat quarterback will have the best NFL career, Tebow barely beats out Pat White. The same Pat White who weighs 190 pounds and was 0-5 last year passing and ran for only 81 yards on 21 carries out of the wildcat? The same Pat White whose career quarterback rating in college, in a similar scheme to Tebow’s, against easier competition, is about 25 points lower? Yeah, that Pat White.

 

The above is a list of how Sportsnation ranks the NFL bound quarterbacks. Tim Tebow doesn’t beat out Tony Pike, the stick figure system quarterback for Cincinnati with limited arm strength. Colt McCoy ranks 2nd on this list because people just love his ability to complete 5-10 yard passes out of shotgun. Why do people love McCoy, who I will bet 50 dollars will bust as an NFL quarterback, I will take anyone up on that bet in a heartbeat, but hate Tebow whose one flaw right now is his release on the football. That’s it. That’s his one issue, his release on the football. NFL offensive coordinators get paid tons of money, you don’t think they can fix his release? That’s his one flaw, that and I guess not being good at making people not hate him. I honestly can’t answer the question, but I would love if someone else could, why do people, or why do you specifically not like Tim Tebow. Leave a comment. Is it because he’s too good, because that seems like a stupid reason to hate someone, especially someone who is humble in the face of that success. Is it because ESPN has a big fat man crush on him, because that’s not really his fault. Is it because he’s an unorthodox quarterback, because, as bas of a reason to hate someone as how they play quarterback is, different doesn’t necessarily mean bad. Look at Ben Roethlisberger. Is it because he has bible verses on his eye blacks and he’s a devote Christian because, last time I check those weren’t bad things. Why do people hate Tim Tebow?

 

Harrison Smith Scout

 

Safety

Notre Dame

6-2 213

Draft board overall prospect rank: #38

Draft board safety rank: #2

Overall rating: 79 (2nd round)

40 time: 4.56

Games watched: Notre Dame/MichiganNotre Dame/Wake Forest

Positives

·         Smart, fundamental player

·         Great leader

·         Vocal captain of the defense

·         Fundamental tackler who rarely misses a tackle

·         Gritty tough player

·         Good size (6-2 213)

·         Takes great routes to the ball

·         Great instincts

·         Hard hitter

·         Fast in pursuit

·         High motor

·         Relentless

·         Acts as a 4th linebacker in the box

·         Great field vision

·         Reads quarterback’s eyes well

·         Underrated athleticism

·         Good technique in coverage

·         Makes plays on the ball (17 deflections and 7 interceptions in last 2 seasons)

·         4 year starter with good tackle totals (57, 69, 90, 91)

·         Played both safety and linebacker

Negatives

·         Plays mostly in the box

·         Inexperienced in coverage

·         Didn’t look as athletic on tape as did at The Combine

·         Stiff hips

·         No interceptions as a senior

·         Can’t be left on an island in coverage

·         Only a strong safety

Comparison: Eric Weddle

Harrison Smith is an undervalued safety prospect who could get drafted in the early 2nd round in a weak safety class. He’s not the athlete that Mark Barron, who will go in the first round, is, but he’s going to be a solid to above average safety at the next level. He’s a fundamentally strong player with all the intangibles and a lot of good tape.

At Notre Dame he played mostly in the box, but he’s in his a box player. When asked to cover, he generally did a good job. He’s a bit stiff in coverage and can’t be left on an island, but he showed impressive athleticism at The Combine, though that doesn’t always show up on tape. He’s also very inexperienced in coverage, as this was something he wasn’t asked to do much at Notre Dame, but he’s also got upside in that facet of the game.

As a box player, he rarely misses a tackle and takes great routes to the ball. He’s a hard hitter and a fundamental tackler that really looks like an extra linebacker there at times. He’s an experienced 4 year starter with 57, 69, 90, 91 tackles in his 4 seasons. He’s also got good size at 6-2 213. He’s a high motor player and a vocal leader on the football field.

As a player, I compare him to the Chargers’ Eric Weddle. Weddle came into the league with little fanfare and spent the first few years of his career as an underrated, overlooked player because he never recorded a lot of interceptions. However, he was an above average safety who was strong against the run and not awful in coverage. He also improved as a starter in each season and was a high character leader on San Diego’s defense.

Last offseason he got a well deserved large contract and he responded with 7 interceptions after just 6 in his first 4 seasons, though that’s not a strength of his game. Smith had 7 interceptions in 2010, but didn’t have a single in 2011, though he deflected 10 passes that year. He has underrated ball skills, but that’s not really a strength of his game.

 

Guards 2012

Updated 4/4/12

QB RB FB WR TE OT G C DE RLB DT NT 3-4 DE OLB MLB CB S K P 

Scoring System

100 Once in a decade prospect 
95-99 Elite talent 
90-95 Solid top 10 pick 
85-90 Solid first round pick 
80-85 Late 1st-early 2nd 
75-80 Solid 2nd round pick 
70-75 Solid 3rd round pick 
65-70 3rd-4th round pick 
60-65 4th-5th round pick 
55-60 5th round pick 
50-55 6th round pick 
45-50 7th round pick 
40-45 Undrafted, invite to training camp 
<40 No NFL Future

  

1. David DeCastro (Stanford) 88

2. Cordy Glenn (Georgia) 82

3. Kevin Zeitler (Wisconsin) 80

4. Kelechi Osemele (Iowa State) 76

5. Amini Silatolu (Midwestern State) 72

6. Brandon Brooks (Miami-OH) 69

7. Brandon Washington (Miami) 66

8. James Brown (Troy) 63

9. Lucas Nix (Pittsburgh) 59

10. Matt Reynolds (BYU) 58

11. Senio Kelemete (Washington) 56

12. Tony Bergstrom (Utah) 55

13. Ryan Miller (Colorado) 55

14. Adam Gettis (Iowa) 54

15. Joe Looney (Wake Forest) 53

16. Desmond Wynn (Rutgers) 52

17. Josh LeRibeus (SMU) 49

18. Mike Ryan (Connecticut) 45