Saints/Rams

By Vince Vitale

The St. Louis Rams will take on the New Orleans Saints today with an opportunity to make a big statement. The Rams are one of the biggest surprises this year at 6-6 and in first place in the NFC West. The Rams have played very consistent football but they are still being questioned as a playoff contender. Can the St. Louis Rams beat a team like the New Orleans Saints? It really is not the Rams fault but they do not have any wins against teams that currently have a winning record. The Rams signature win was a 20-17 stunner over the San Diego Chargers. However the Chargers now have 6 losses and were beat down by the Oakland Raiders last week. 

I give Steve Spagnuolo props for keeping the Rams in every game. I still am not quite sure how the Rams are doing this with the lack of depth that they had heading into the season. The amount of confidence Sam Bradford has given this team is amazing. Bradford is playing very well right now. Over the past 7 games Bradford has 11 TD passes and only 2 interceptions. The Rams have taken very good care of the ball and controlled the clock during most of their games which is helping the defense out as well.

The Saints enter this game as hot and healthy as they have been all year. The Saints are virtually injury free. The Saints are coming into this game on a 5 game winning streak and have a 9-3 record overall and are in hot pursuit of the NFC South leading Atlanta Falcons. The Saints have averaged over 30 points during their winning streak and will pose big problems with the Rams depleted secondary. With Ron Bartell, Justin King, Oshiomogho Atogwe, Craig Dahl & Jerome Murphy all banged up look for Breesand the Saints to attack the Rams through the air. Drew Brees who was near flawless last season has thrown 16 interceptions already this year and has thrown at least one pic in eight straight Games.

On defense the Saints sum is better than their individual parts. Both Dallas and Cincinnati moved up and down the field the last couple of weeks against the Saints. The Saints thrive on turnovers and control the play. The loud crowd in the Superdome will look to disrupt the Rams and Sam Bradford. Watch for tackling machine Jonathan Vilma to keep an eye out for Steven Jackson.

The St. Louis Rams will look to stay the course on offense against the Saints. The Rams will look to control the ball with Steven Jackson and convert 3rd downs with the safe passing of Sam Bradford. The Rams beat the Saints in 2007 and last year almost beat them at the Edward Jones Dome so I do not believe the Rams will be intimidated by the World Champions. To beat the Saints you will have to score and I believe that is the biggest issue for the Rams against the Saints. The Rams are 25th in scoring and have only scored over 20 points twice this year.  

This game will come down to converting on 3rd down and controlling the ball and clock. The Rams will need to pound Steven Jackson early and often into the Saints defense. Sam Bradford will need to complete some timely passes and put some points up on the board by making plays not just the safe ones. On defense the Chris Longand the Rams defense will need to get after Drew Brees and pressure him all day long. The Rams must force turnovers to stay in this one.

Overall the St. Louis Rams just do not have the horses to knock out the champs. The injuries to the Rams secondary are really going to hurt them in this one. The Saints are winning but at times winning ugly. The Saints have 5 wins of 5 points or less. The Rams are familiar with the Saints and play well against them and I expect more of the same today. If the Rams can get a couple extra turnovers we may be in for a surprise. 

Prediction New Orleans Saints 30 – St. Louis Rams 20

Go back to Rams Fan Spot 

http://www.stlouisramfan.com/

Seattle Seahawks

 

Debate the Seahawks’ offseason and more in The Football Fan Forum

2010 Preview:

This could be a decent team if Matt Hasselbeck regains pre-2008 form. He has his best chance to do that this year, as the Seahawks, this year, have put together their best offensive front since Walter Jones last played a full season. Russell Okung is very talented, but he’s also a rookie. Rookie left tackles have been a bit of a mixed bag in recent years. Ryan Clady, Jake Long, and Joe Thomas all had great rookie years, but Jason Smith and Eugene Monroe did not. Okung is probably better than what they’ve had in the last two years, and there’s a good chance he’s a lot better than what they’ve had in recent years, but if I were a Seahawks fan, I’d still be a bit nervous about their offensive front until I saw them in action. For what it’s worth, I called Okung the most NFL ready left tackle in this draft class. Having an offensive line coach like Alex Gibbs helps, but their offensive line absolutely needs to play well for Hasselbeck to have a good year and for this offense as a whole to have a good year.

Hasselbeck is old and injury prone and threw a lot of picks down the stretch last year because of bad protection. He looked completely shell shocked behind that line. If Okung can lead this line to be at least average, Hasselbeck could put together a solid year and that could be enough to win them this weak division. His receiving corps aren’t great, but he’s done it without good receivers before. I won’t predict Hasselbeck to lead this team to an 8 or 9 win division title, but it could happen.

Hasselbeck’s supporting cast certainly won’t do him many favors. I’ve already outlined the offensive line and the receiving corps, but those two branches may actually be his most talented. Their running game is banking on 193 pound running back Justin Forsett to pick up where he left off last year, Julius Jones to have a bounce back year, and Leon Washington to come back strong from a bad leg injury. They could trade for Marshawn Lynch, but Lynch struggled some in Buffalo last year. I believe if he was running as well as he was in his first two years in the league, he wouldn’t be on the trade block, even with his off the field issues.

Their defensive line is absolutely horrible. They had 28 sacks last year, which is bad enough, but then they lost Patrick Kerney to retirement. He was their team leader with 5 last year. Unless 2008 1st round pick Lawrence Jackson can step up in his 3rd year, they’re going to have a tough time generating more sacks than they had last year.

That doesn’t bode well for a secondary that really struggled last year, mostly thanks to their bad pass rush. They gave up the 3rd most passing yards through the air last year. Their defensive tackles also don’t give them much hope either. In addition to not generating any interior pass rush, they also ranked pretty middle of the pack in terms of stopping the run, and, with their linebackers being this team’s strong point, I don’t even think we can give all the credit to the defensive tackles for doing that.

They could win this bad division, if Matt Hasselbeck turns back the clock, but his supporting cast, even with a revamped offensive front, is still mediocre and that’s not going to do him any favors. I won’t predict them to do that, but at the same time, this division is so bad that it wouldn’t surprise me. I certainly would be less surprised if they won the division than if St. Louis or Arizona won it.

Projection: 6-10 2nd in NFC West

Power Ranking: 24 

Last season: 5-11 

Grade:  

#6 OT Russell Okung (Oklahoma State)

Pete Carroll takes an absolutely no brainer with his first pick. I guess the Lions, Redskins, and Chiefs don’t have brains (though the Lions would redeem themselves). Okung is an NFL ready left tackle. He’s better than Jason Smith last year and reminds me a ton of Ryan Clady. Okung can step in and protect Matt Hasselbeck’s blindside from day 1 and that’s huge. Hasselback is old, injury prone, and shellshocked behind that line. If Okung can bring back the Hasselbeck of old, they could win this crappy division next year. I mean, someone has to, right?

Grade: A

#14 S Earl Thomas (Texas)

I don’t hate the pick because Thomas is a great player, but this is kind of the same deal with the Chiefs at 5. How much does a safety actually help you? I guess we’ll find out, but I personally would have gone with a need with more positional value and taken either Derrick Morgan or Jimmy Clausen. I guess Pete Carroll really likes Charlie Whitehurst because he passed on Clausen, who he heavily recruited while at USC.

Grade: B

#60 WR Golden Tate (Notre Dame)

I am actually shocked that Pete Carroll took a Notre Dame wide receiver over a USC one, Damian Williams, or even over a USC DE, Everson Griffen. There were better picks here, but it’s hard to argue with Tate, who has experience in the West Coast style offense that they want to run.

Grade: A-

#111 CB Walter Thurmond (Oregon)

The Seahawks traded down 7 spots from 104 to 111 in the LenDale White trade and still managed to get the better player. Huh? Thurmond is much better than Alterraun Verner who the Titans took at 104. Thurmond has first round talent, but his last two seasons have been plagued by injuries. If he can get his health right, he’s a steal and I think that was a smart risk by the Seahawks. Cornerback also was a huge need considering Marcus Trufant is often injured and led the league in pass interference penalties last year despite missing 6 games with injury.

Grade: A

#127 DE EJ Wilson (North Carolina)

They needed a defensive end, but EJ Wilson does not provide as much of a pass rush as they would like out of an end. He’s basically a poor man’s version of Darryl Tapp, who they traded for a 4th rounder. I would have liked to have seen them get someone who could get after the quarterback.

Grade: D

#133 S Kam Chancellor (Virginia Tech)

Chancellor is going to struggle against the pass and he’s pretty much an undersized linebacker at strong safety, but he’s a solid value here as they try to replace Deon Grant and he could actually start some in his first year which is something you don’t often hear about 5th rounders.

Grade: B

#185 TE Anthony McCoy (USC)

Pete Carroll takes his first Trojan, I don’t see what a tight end does for them considering they already have John Carlson and Chris Baker on the roster, but McCoy should have gone off the board about 2 rounds ago and he has huge upside so I can’t hate too much.

Grade: A-

#236 DE Dexter Davis (Arizona State)

They finally get a defensive end who can rush the pass rusher as Davis had 21.5 sacks from 2007-2008, but he’s very undersized at 244 pounds so I don’t see how he fits in a 4-3, plus, what was with his 3.5 sacks last year. Did he fall off the face of the earth? I’m not sure he’s much of an upgrade over Chris Clemons at nickel rusher.

Grade: B+

#245 FB Jameson Konz (Kent State)

I don’t see what the point of this pick was. Konz can play two positions, full back and tight end, even though he’s a bit undersized at both positions, but the Seahawks are already 3 deep at tight end with Carlson, Baker, and McCoy, and they already have a good young fullback in Owen Schmitt.

Grade: D

Overall:

The Seahawks drafted how they should have. They picked out their needs, found the best available at those positions at each pick, and picked between those guys. I didn’t completely agree with each of their picks, but I completely understand what they were trying to do, and they really did add talent at positions of need. They only had two picks I couldn’t understand, but those were late round picks, so it’s excuseable. The addition of Russell Okung is going to add a lot to the team right away, in addition for the future. I also like how they were able to manipulate their mid round picks to get veteran running backs on the cheap. The only possible issue I see with this draft is that they didn’t draft a quarterback. They did trade for Charlie Whitehurst this offseason, but he’s a 28 year old former 3rd round pick who has never thrown a pass in the NFL. If he doesn’t pan out as their quarterback of the future, they may look back at this draft and wish they had taken Clausen at 14. However, they probably will have a shot to take a quarterback of the future next year because Hasselbeck now has a left tackle to protect his blindside.

Grade: A-

Key undrafted free agents:

MLB Joe Pawelek (Baylor)

G Jeff Byers (USC)

DT DeMarcus Granger (Oklahoma)

OLB Reggie Carter (UCLA)

S Marcus Brown (Arkansas State)

Positions of needs:

Offensive Tackle:

Matt Hasselbeck has turned from borderline Pro Bowler to Marc Bulger in two years, thanks to many injuries and just an all around fear of getting hits. He’s become so skittish out there that he is just throwing the ball near his players to get the ball out of there and not take anymore hits and because of that he had his worst full season since his first year in town, 2001. Hasselbeck is not the longterm fix at quarterback and they’ll need to find one of those this offseason, but before they can do that, they have to find a true franchise left tackle to anchor their line because it appears that Walter Jones’ career is done. Otherwise, the same thing that has happened to Hasselbeck will happen to their young quarterback only instead of Marc Bulger syndrome he will get David Carr syndrome.

Drafted Russell Okung (#6) 

Quarterback:

As alluded to previously, Hasselbeck is not their longterm quarterback. Even if he had had a good season last season, he wouldn’t be because he will turn 35 in September. Left tackle is going to be their most pressing need, but quarterback is also going to be important. If either Jimmy Clausen or Sam Bradford fall to the Seahawks at 6, I would be very surprised if new coach Pete Carroll didn’t draft him. Both would be good fits for Carroll’s scheme; Clausen ran a similar one at Notre Dame and Bradford has the accuracy and decision making to project to be able to run the offense in the pros.

Traded for Charlie Whitehurst, Signed JP Losman

Running Back:

With Jim Mora gone, its safe to say that Julius Jones won’t get 177 carries next season. I’m pretty sure Mora is the only guy on the planet who thought Jones was doing a good job. Justin Forsett did a great job late in the season, but at a 194 pounds, he’s hardly an every down back. They need a running back, who fits their zone blocking scheme, to supplement or compliment him.

Signed Quinton Ganther, Traded for LenDale White, Traded for Leon Washington

Safety:

Safety was a huge hole for them last year. Then they filled it with Lawyer Milloy. That would have been a good move if it were 2003. Milloy did horribly at free safety this year and was benched early leaving them, again with very little at the position. If Eric Berry falls to them at 6, they can’t pass him up unless either Bradford or Clausen fall as well, but otherwise this isn’t a huge need because of the safety position’s low positional value. They should target a young athletic safety in the mid rounds though.

Drafted Earl Thomas (#14), Drafted Kam Chancellor (#133), Signed Kevin Ellison

Defensive End:

Patrick Kerney just turned 33 and is coming off of his 2nd lowest sack total since 2000 with just 5 last year. Meanwhile, Lawrence Jackson at right end, a 2008 1st round pick, managed only 4.5 sacks last year and as a team they only managed 28. They need some young blood at the position.

Drafted EJ Wilson (#127), Drafted Dexter Davis (#236) 

Cornerback:

Marcus Trufant led the league in cornerback penalties last year. That would be bad enough, but its worse when you consider he missed the first 6 games of the season with injury and still led the league in that category. Clearly his days as an elite corner are over and while their struggles against the pass weren’t all the fault of the cornerbacks, poor safety and D-Line play didn’t help either, upgrades at cornerback are needed.

Drafted Walter Thurmond (#111) 

Defensive Tackle:

The Seahawks were again in the bottom half of the league against the run last year. The defensive tackle rotation of Colin Cole, Red Bryant, Cory Redding, and Kevin Brown might have had something to do with that.

 

Free agents:

QB Mike Teel- signed with Patriots

RB LenDale White- signed with Broncos

WR Nate Burelson- signed with Lions 5 years 25 million  

WR Ben Obomanu (restricted)- resigned 1 year 1.1 million

WR Reggie Williams 

OT Brandon Frye (restricted) 

G Rob Sims (restricted)- resigned 1 year 1.1 million, traded to Lions for a 5th rounder

G Trevor Canfield- claimed by Lions

C Chris Spencer (restricted)- resigned 1 year 2.4 million

DE Darryl Tapp (restricted)- resigned 1 year 1.1 million, traded to Eagles for Chris Clemons and a 4th rounder

DE Robert Henderson 

DT Cory Redding- signed with Ravens 2 years

DT DeMarcus Granger 

OLB Lance Laury (restricted) 

MLB David Hawthrone (exclusive rights)- resigned

CB Ken Lucas

S Deon Grant- signed with Giants 1 year 

S Lawyer Milloy- resigned 

S Quinton Teal  

K Olindo Mare- franchised

Offseason moves:

Seahawks sign G Chester Pitts

Seahawks waive DE Robert Henderson 

Seahawks sign S Kevin Ellison

Seahawks cut WR Reggie Williams 

Seahawks cut S Quinton Teal 

Seahawks claim WR Isaiah Stanback 

Seahawks waive DT DeMarcus Granger 

Seahawks cut RB LenDale White 

Seahawks waive QB Mike Teel 

Seahawks sign QB J.P. Losman 

Seahawks sign S Quinton Teal 

Seahawks announce retirement of OT Walter Jones 

Seahawks re-sign S Lawyer Milloy 

Seahawks acquire RB LenDale White and DT Kevin Vickerson from Titans for exchange of 4th- and 6th-round picks

Seahawks acquire RB Leon Washington from Jets for 5th- and 7th-round picks

Seahawks sign G Ben Hamilton

Seahawks sign WR Reggie Williams

Seahawks sign S Kennard Cox

Seahawks sign G Mitch Erickson

Seahawks waive G Trevor Canfield

Seahawks re-sign WR Ben Obomanu

Seahawks re-sign MLB David Hawthorne

Seahawks re-sign C Chris Spencer

Seahawks sign WR Mike Williams

Seahawks announce retirement of DE Patrick Kerney

Seahawks acquire DE Robert Henderson from Lions for 2010 7th-rounder

Seahawks trade G Rob Sims to Lions for a 2010 5th-rounder 

Seahawks re-sign G Rob Sims 

Seahawks sign RB Quinton Ganther

Seahawks acquire QB Charlie Whitehurst from Chargers for 2011 3rd-rounder and the swap of 2010 2nd-rounders

Seahawks sign OLB Matt McCoy

Seattle trade DE Darryl Tapp to Philadelphia for DE Chris Clemons and a 2010 4th-round pick

Seahawks re-sign DE Darryl Tapp

Seahawks cut S Deon Grant

Seahawks sign WR Ruvell Martin

Seahawks sign TE Chris Baker

Seahawks re-sign K Olindo Mare

Seahawks trade QB Seneca Wallace to Browns for conditional 2011 pick

Seahawks tender DE Darryl Tapp

Seahawks tender WR Ben Oboamanu

Seahawks tender C Chris Spencer

Seahawks tender G Rob Sims

Seahawks tender ILB David Hawthorne

Seahawks franchise K Olindo Mare

 

Stanford/Arizona

 

Spotlight #1 Stanford QB Andrew Luck

Spotlight #2 Arizona QB Nick Foles 

1st quarter

14:50: Andrew Luck overthrows a guy deep.

14:00: Luck over the middle to his tight end.

12:02: Luck has a pass dropped.

11:47: Foles passes to a covered back in the backfield. Bad check down decision.

11:07: Foles good decision on an intermediate route. Quick, smooth release, 12 yard completion.

10:25: Foles takes the under center snap, decent footwork, but his offensive line doesn’t pick him up on a play action. He didn’t have much of a chance to avoid that sack.

8:52: Luck scrambles away from the rush and able to get the ball to an open guy.

7:16: Luck puts it in the perfect place for his trusty tight end Coby Fleener. Luck has no fear throwing into coverage and he does it well. He throws guys open.

6:20: Luck just overthrows the fade route in the end zone. Better to overthrow that ball than under throw it.

6:15: Luck throws into tight one-on-one coverage on the goal line. He puts it in the right place, but the defensive back makes an amazing play and almost picks it off (originally called a pick, but overturned on the replay). He shouldn’t have made that throw. Luck 3 of 7 for 52 yards and a drop through 2 drives. He’ll need to collect himself and get better.

4:51: Foles on 3rd and 7 makes the poor decision to make a short throw to a guy with 2 guys between him and the first down. Way too conservative there. 2nd 3 and out by Arizona tonight.

4:01: I like Luck’s scrambling ability. He didn’t have to do a lot of that last year because of how good Stanford’s line was, but he’s made two nice throws on the run tonight. Here’s the 2nd, a 39 yard completion to Chris Owusu. Deep throw over the middle, Owusu with a nice run after catch.

1:47: Foles with the smooth deep ball for a 38 yard completion. Perfectly thrown.

0:57: Foles threads the needle deep with a man in his face. 28 yard completion.

0:32: Foles under pressure, able to run out for a small gain. Dangerous slide though. He could get hurt that way.

0:00: Foles throws on the flat, but a minimal gain because the receiver slips.

2nd quarter

14:30: Foles with another conservative throw on 3rd and long. I don’t get it.

13:39: Luck with the completion on a play action rollout. He can move a little.

12:15: Pocket breaks down, Luck scrambles for about 5 or 6 yard gain.

10:03: Luck a 3rd down throw short of the sticks and the receiver can’t get the first. This wasn’t a terrible decision, because it was his best option and there was a possibility of getting the first, plus it get them into better field goal position.

9:33: Foles was a statue on that play and gets sacked.

9:14: Foles finds his trusty receiver Juron Criner over the middle.

8:46: Foles leaves one too high, but his receiver is able to bring it down. That’s how receivers get bruised ribs.

8:35: Foles checks down and it goes for a first on a nice run by the ball carrier.

7:43: Foles complete. He’s now a perfect 11 for 11, another shorter throw however, but he is moving the ball.

7:18: Another completion by Foles. His footwork is weak, however, but that’s nothing new for college quarterbacks.

7:04: Foles dumps it off once again, this time on 1st down. He’s extremely accurate and he has the ability to throw it deep when necessary. He’s 13 for 13 now.

6:46: Foles threading the needle for a 14 yard completion. Extremely impressive.

5:57: Foles throws into coverage, but it’s an amazing throw and an amazing catch by his top receiver Juron Criner, touchdown. Criner, by the way, is a day 2 pick projected.

5:03: Luck with the type of play that makes you say “WOW.” Excellent awareness by Luck, almost sacked by 2 different guys, but he’s able to get it out and complete it against a cornerback blitz. Phenomenal pocket presence.

4:17: More pocket presence by Luck, he’s pressured and sees open field in front of him and runs for the first down and more. 16 yard run.

3:46: Luck throwing it around to everyone. Another completion here long. Great footwork as well and only throwing to the open guys, for the most part, completing passes already to 7 receivers.

2:44: Everyone likes to compare Luck to Peyton Manning. Right now he looks like him with his pocket presence, holding the ball as long as possible, and completing passes against the blitz. He’s been pressured all night, but he hasn’t taken a sack. Furthermore, some of these near sacks have turned into positive completions.

2:11: Luck goes towards the end zone, targeting one-on-one coverage, but it’s just knocking away by the defensive back. Would have been 6.

1:27: Luck pressured again and gets it out, but it’s inaccurate this time. Stanford will have to settle for a field goal.

1:11: Another short completion by Foles. He needs to get things moving. Not a lot of time left on the clock.

1:04: Short throw again, this time for a first down after the run after catch, receiver makes a mistake not getting out of bounds.

0:33: Foles airs it out, incomplete, not that inaccurate, but the receiver can’t get to it.

0:29: Back to back incompletions to Foles with a throw behind. Bad communication and timing with the receiver.

0:23: This one’s compete on 3rd down for 15 yards over the middle. Really rooting for Foles here. I need to see him show some leadership in this two minute drill.

0:16: Foles fumbles. Just drops it. Luck wouldn’t have done that. Luck is way more poised than Foles. Foles might be extremely accurate, but poise is a problem. Takes sacks, poor footwork, quiet in the huddle, and now this fumble. Fumble recovered so one last chance here for Foles to redeem himself this have.

0:07: Foles throws at least 10 yards away from any receiver deep. Bad throw. Defensive back was way closer to catching it than Foles.

0:00: Foles had a touchdown to Criner, but pass interference will make the receiver drop it. Arizona will have one last chance with an untimed down. They’ll go for 3 and miss it. It should have been a touchdown.

 

3rd quarter

12:47: Foles has a touchdown dropped in the end zone. It would have been a tough catch, but Foles did a good job of putting it where only his guy could get it.

12:38: Foles barely able to get it out before taking the sack, incomplete. Big frame, doesn’t go down easily.

11:49: Luck throws to an open guy with no one in front of him. He’s able to get the first.

9:58: Luck throws into one on one, solid throw by Luck, but it’s deflected by the defensive back.

9:45: Foles on the run to Criner, just short incomplete. Inaccurate on an open pass. 1 for his last 7.

9:03: Foles on the run, avoids the rush, great strength off his back foot and almost completes it. Just a little long. Receiver is only able to get one hand on it.

7:59: Luck on 2nd down, short over the middle, close to a first down, 3rd and 1.

7:23: Throw on 3rd and down, got excited when he saw a receiver open deep, threw off his back foot to get it out before the receiver got covered, but he still is able to complete it off his back foot deep. Excellent throw.

6:52: Luck runs for a first down on 1st and 10. He does it all. 15 yard run.

5:29: Bad throw by luck. There have been a few of these. Almost picked, but dropped. Great play by the defensive back before the drop.

5:22: Luck makes up for it. Touchdown. Not a particularly hard throw, however. The receiver had solid separation to begin with.

5:10: Foles finds a guy open over the middle for a first down.

4:16: Foles passing on 2nd down, throws it short to make it 3rd and 2.

3:36: Foles takes a 3rd down sack. He takes too many sacks.

2:50: Luck throws incomplete.

1:59: Luck throws incomplete again, this time on 3rd down. It was physical coverage. There could have been PI there, but it wasn’t called. Drive kept alive on offsides on the punt.

0:45: Luck complete for 1st down on 3rd and 3 this time. Cool and calm in the pocket even with the pressure coming. That’s the biggest thing I love about him.

4th quarter

14:54: Completely blown coverage. Stanford had two guys behind every one on the defense and Luck finds the deepest one for an easy touchdown.

14:45: Foles has to get it out quick with the rush coming and throws the wide receiver screen to Juron Criner.

13:50: Foles completes short for 4 yards. Now it’s 2nd and 6. He checks down a lot, but that’s not the reason their drives haven’t gone anywhere. They’ve had some bad luck and some bad running and some poor kicks by their kickers. They’ve missed 2 field goals. He’s not doing a bad job in decision making. However, he’s taken some unnecessary sacks that have killed drives.

13:33: Another short throw by Foles. Now it’s 3rd and 2. Methodical, but he’ll have to pick it up at some point. I’m excited to see how he handles it.

13:07: Dump off again.

12:19: Foles with a very deep, accurate throw, but Criner isn’t able to bring it in. Nice release, nice touch on the deep ball. There’s definitely room for improvement here, but there’s definitely upside.

12:14: Foles nowhere close on the deep ball out of bounds.

11:41: Foles holds it way too long on 3rd and 10 to make it 4th and 19. I don’t know why he didn’t get it away earlier. He had to have seen the rush coming. He stood there like a deer in the headlights. This is part of the project that is Nick Foles.

10:09: Stanford is really pounding the rock tonight and most of those runs have been to the side of left guard David DeCastro. DeCastro is a hell of a run blocker. He might be the best guard in this draft class. He reminds me of Logan Mankins. I’ll spotlight him at a later date.

8:58: Luck incomplete on 2nd down.

8:53: Luck under pressure, throws short off his back foot, but accurate for a first down. Nice job of seeing the play develop.

6:59: Luck finds the wide open back out of the backfield on 3rd down and short for a first down and then some. Luck saw the play develop, but nice run after catch by the fullback.

4:20: On 1st and 15 after a penalty, Foles throws an intermediate throw for an open guy who has room for the first on the run. As much as he dumps off, he needs to do this more, dumping off to someone who has room to get the first.

3:32: Another first on a pass for Foles. These are all considered garbage teams yards, however, with Arizona down 37-10.

3:06: Foles throws to a covered receiver in the flat. The receiver is able to catch it and beat his man for the first.

2:32: Foles sacked. Again.

2:12: Foles pass batted down at the line of scrimmage.

2:03: Foles’ dump off goes for some yards, but not nearly enough on a 3rd and very long. Now it’s 4th and 8.

1:54: Arizona goes for it on 4th down. Foles throws inaccurate to the sideline.

0:00: There is nothing spectacular about Andrew Luck. In a way, that’s what’s so spectacular about him. You look at the stat sheet and you aren’t blown away by anything. 20 for 31 for 325 yards and 2 touchdowns. That’s solid. He was beyond solid tonight. He very rarely makes any mistakes. He’s got the arm to make every throw. He gets the ball out right at the right time. He can run. He’s so methodical, it’s almost robotic.

His leadership is robotic as well and I don’t mean that in a bad way. This Stanford team has taken on his identity. He’s a very no frills, hard working, smart, quiet, humble leader type guy and it works. Guys gravitate to this guy even if it’s for unconventional reasons. He shouldn’t be charismatic, but he is. He’s very, very like Peyton Manning. It’s kind of eerie. I’m not making the direct comparison, but at the very least he’s a poor man’s Peyton Manning.

Keep in mind the kind of supporting cast he’s doing this with. He has a new Head Coach, 3 new starters on the offensive line, he completed passes to 7 different receivers, his leading receiver in terms of receptions was his fullback. His leading receiver in terms of yards was a tight end and not just a tight end, a backup tight end who came up when Coby Fleener went down. His 3rd leading receiver was another backup tight end. His 2 touchdowns were to tight ends. He just takes what’s given to him, but he’s not a game manager, because he can carry a team by himself.

As for Nick Foles, his line looked good, 24 for 33 for 239 yards and 1 touchdown. However, he’s so in love with checking down it’s creepy. He has the arm to go downfield and he has decent deep accuracy, but he loves checking down, sometimes just for checking downs’ sake. He also gets the Jay Cutler’s deer in the headlights type thing when the pass rush comes. He’s big and sturdy and can break some tackles and doesn’t go down easily, but he holds the ball way too long. I’d say he’s Joe Flacco, but his arm isn’t as good. His arm is good, all the physical tools are there, but he’s a project. He’s got the upside, but I’d say he’s a 2nd rounder.

 

St. Louis Rams

 

Debate the Rams Off season in the Football Fan Forum

2010 Preview:

The Rams definitely took a step in the right direction by taking a franchise quarterback in Sam Bradford first overall. However, Rams fans aren’t going to see that move pan out right away. Rookie quarterbacks struggle unless they have three things, experience in a Pro Style offense, a good supporting cast, and 30 or more starts in college. Bradford has none of those three things. Plus, he hasn’t been in a game on any level since last October thanks to an injury. He’ll likely be rusty. That doesn’t mean he won’t pan out ever. Plenty of quarterbacks have had awful rookie years and gone on to become Pro Bowlers, even future Hall of Famers in Peyton Manning’s case. He just won’t be good this year. And if they start AJ Feeley over Bradford, that’s great, history shows quarterbacks who sit in their rookie year pan out more, but don’t expect Feeley to win them a ton of games either.

Now, this team is more than a quarterback. Let’s talk about their supporting cast, a thing I called bad when I mentioned that Bradford didn’t have a strong supporting cast, essential to a rookie quarterback’s success. Steven Jackson is great. He’s also hurt and couldn’t carry them to more than 1 win last year when he was healthy. Their offensive line is banking on rookie Rodger Saffold having a good first year and Jason Smith panning out in his 2nd year in the league. Injuries have decimated their offensive front so far in their offseason, which is not a good sign.

Their defense isn’t good. Their best chance at any life defensively is their pass rush. Head coach Steve Spagnoulo has done great things in the best with pass rushes and they still have a lot of untapped potential in former 2nd overall pick Chris Long. They also drafted a few interesting pass rushing options in the mid rounds this year, but overall, their pass rush isn’t making me jump out of my seat.

Their linebackers aren’t good, their defensive tackles aren’t good, their secondary isn’t good, there simply aren’t enough good players on this defense for them to be anything for other teams to fear. Don’t underestimate losing OJ Atogwe either. Their defense went from bad to worse after he got hurt last year and now it looks like the free agent won’t be back next season.

Projection: 2-14 4th in NFC West 

Power Ranking: 31 

Last Season: 1-15 

Draft:

#1 QB Sam Bradford (Oklahoma)

They could have done worse and taken a non-QB, but I would have taken Clausen. I think Clausen’s history of success in an NFL style offense with limited talent around him made him best prepared for the Rams, but it’s hard to give them a bad grade because they picked a guy with more upside at a position of extreme need and value.

Grade: B

#33 OT Roger Saffold (Indiana)

I didn’t see it coming, but I like it. Alex Barron was the most penalized left tackle in the league last year and also gave up 9 sacks. Jason Smith is the left tackle of the future, but he struggled some last year. Even if Smith is able to pan out at left tackle and Barron is able to move over to right and improve, Saffold is still an above average left guard. There’s also a good chance that either Smith doesn’t pan out or Barron continues to struggle and in that case, Saffold can play tackle. The Rams need to protect their quarterback. Maybe the Lions should take a look at what the Rams are doing.

Grade: B+

#65 CB Jerome Murphy (South Florida)

Murphy fits the draft range alright, but I think there were better players at the position than him and I didn’t have cornerback as one of the Rams’ major needs. The Rams need help at linebacker, receiver, and on the defensive line so I don’t understand this one so much.

Grade: C

#99 WR Marshawn Gilyard (Cincinnati)

I would have gone with Everson Griffen because I had him higher rated on my board and because he fills a greater need in terms of positional value, but it’s hard to argue with the Rams getting a 2nd-3rd round caliber WR in the top of the 4th, especially when they have a young rookie quarterback who is used to having talented wide receivers.

Grade: A-

#132 TE Michael Hoomanawanui (Illinois)

Tight end was a need, but I would have liked to have seen them go with a pass catching tight end over a run blocking tight end, even given how good of a blocker Hoomanawanui is. With so many other needs, this luxury pick doesn’t make a lot of sense.

Grade: C-

#149 DE Hall Davis (Louisiana Lafayette)

I didn’t have Davis on my radar as a 5th round guy at all, but he fills a need and I trust Steve Spagnuolo’s judgements with DEs given his work with Justin Tuck, Mathias Kiwanuka, and Osi Umenyiora in New York.

Grade: C+

#170: TE Fendi Onobun (Houston)

The Rams take their pass catching tight end, I think. Fendi has barely played any football. He is a basketball player with amazing measurables and good upside as a tight end. The Rams had other needs and can’t afford to be making picks like this.

Grade: D

#189: DE Eugene Sims (West Texas A&M)

Trying to trust Steve Spagnuolo’s judgement with ends, but Sims probably shouldn’t have been drafted. Plus, having already taken one end this draft, the Rams really needed to focus on other needs with this pick, DT, LB, S.

Grade: C-

#211: CB Marquis Johnson (Alabama)

Once again ignoring bigger needs to make reaches at positions that aren’t huge needs. I didn’t have Johnson on my radar as a draft prospect at all.

Grade: C

#226: DE George Selvie (South Florida)

I like the 3rd defensive end they took a lot more than the first two, but still this is their 3rd defensive end. When you have as many needs as the Rams do, you can’t afford to triple up on positions and Selvie is a bit undersized.

Grade: A-

#254: MLB Josh Hull (Penn State)

Hull actually fills a need at LB, but he’s not the starting caliber LB I was expecting them to get out of this draft.

Grade: A

Overall:

Overall, they could have done a lot worse. They are set up pretty nicely for the future with their franchise QB, a solid offensive line, a franchise DE (Chris Long), and they added some interesting players into the mix and made some nice unorthodox picks.

Grade: B-

Key undrafted free agents signed

OLB Simoni Lawrence (Minnesota)

RB Keith Totson (Oklahoma State)

QB Thaddeus Lewis (Duke)

Positions of need:

Quarterback:

Marc Bulger is practically dead because of all the sacks he has taken over the past few years. He’s so shell shocked that they had to bench him for Kyle Boller last season. Kyle Boller proved last year that he’s nothing but a former 1st round pick bust and Keith Null, I can only hope, was only drafted and started to help the Rams tank, because I can’t think of any reason why you’d start a guy with zero arm strength and awful decision making. Without a franchise quarterback, they will be mediocre at best again next year and for every year until they get one. This is why I feel they have to draft a quarterback first overall. They may also try to acquire either Jason Campbell or Michael Vick in the offseason, but I see both as mistakes because neither of those guys are franchise quarterbacks, but merely stopgaps. Campbell has a career 25-32 record as a starter and that’s with a much better supporting cast than the one he will have in St. Louis.

Drafted Sam Bradford (#1) 

Wide Receiver:

Assuming they get a franchise quarterback, they’ll have to get him someone to throw to. Donnie Avery is decent, but lacks elite size and Brandon Gibson surprised late last season as a rookie, but he doesn’t have a ton of upside. Getting a true #1 option or future #1 option will be high on their shopping list for this offseason. If the Rams take Clausen first overall, they would be smart to draft Golden Tate in the 2nd as Tate was Clausen’s top receiver over the last two years at Notre Dame.

Drafted Marshawn Gilyard (#99) 

Defensive End:

Even if Chris Long pans out, which, after a disappointing 2nd year, is not a sure thing, they will still need a left end opposite him. They only had 22 sacks as a team last year and 6.5 of those came from Leonard Little who is on the wrong side of 30 and also a free agent. I would not be surprised if they dangled a mid-to-late round pick in front of the Giants for Osi Umenyiora, who has demanded that they either give him back his starting job or trade/release him. Osi has already won a ring, so he may enjoy the opportunity to come play for Steve Spagnuolo, his former defensive coordinator who is now the Rams’ head coach, get a full time starting job, mentor a young guy at the position like Chris Long, and try to help rebuild a once proud franchise.

Drafted Hall Davis (#149), Drafted Eugene Sims (#189), Drafted George Selvie (#226)

Defensive Tackle:

Rookie Dorell Scott is probably the only defensive tackle from their 2009 roster I’d want playing any significant playing time on my team, and even he, I don’t think, is quite starter material. They’ll give Adam Carriker one more shot at the position, but he’s coming off of a major shoulder injury and he wasn’t great before the injury either. If they draft or sign a defensive tackle, they could move Carriker out to left end, his college position. That being said, drafting Ndamukong Suh #1 over Jimmy Clausen would be a mistake. There’s a reason defensive tackle is 4th on this list and quarterback 1st. They won’t get anywhere without a franchise quarterback.

Signed Fred Robbins, Signed Chris Hovan

Outside Linebacker:

After they traded Will Witherspoon, this defense just fell apart. A late season injury by OJ Atogwe didn’t help, but going from Witherspoon to Paris Lenon at the outside linebacker position was a major downgrade and noticeably so. Lenon is a free agent this offseason and I doubt he will be resigned.

Traded for Bobby Carpenter 

Safety:

Speaking of OJ Atogwe, when he down with injury, then the entire defense just fell apart. Atogwe is a free agent, so, while they have more pressing needs, a replacement would be nice.

Traded for Kevin Payne 

Tight End:

The top three tight ends on their depth chart are free agents so they may look to go in a completely different direction at the position. However, once again, they have more pressing issues.

Drafted Mike Hoomanawanui (#132), Drafted Fendi Onobun (#170) 

Running Back:

They have almost no depth behind Steven Jackson. I don’t know how many more 300 carry seasons Sjax can handle so a solid backup, preferably a young guy who could take over if Jackson starts to break down, is a need and something I expect them to look for late in the draft.

 

Free Agents:

QB Marc Bulger- signed with Ravens 1 year

QB Kyle Boller- signed with Raiders

RB Kenneth Darby (restricted)- resigned

RB Sakmon Gado (restricted)

WR Ruvell Martin (restricted) 

TE Randy McMichael- signed with Chargers 1 year

TE Daniel Fells- resigned 1 year 1.5 million

OT Alex Barron (restricted)- traded to Cowboys

G Mark Setterstrom (restricted)- resigned 1 year

DE Leonard Little 

DE Victor Adeyanju- (restricted)- resigned 1 year 1.1 million

DE James Hall- resigned 

DT Clifton Ryan (restricted)- resigned 1 year 1.6 million

DT Gary Gibson- resigned 1 year

OLB David Vobora (exclusive rights)- resigned 1 year

OLB Larry Grant (exclusive rights)- resigned

OLB Paris Lenon- signed with Cardinals 3 years 

OLB Simoni Lawrence- signed with Eagles 

CB Jonathan Wade (restricted)- not tendered, signed with Lions

CB Quincy Butler (exclusive rights)- resigned 1 year .47 million

S OJ Atogwe (restricted)- resigned 5 years

S David Roach (exclusive rights)- resigned

Offseason moves:

Rams re-sign S David Roach

Rams re-sign S O.J. Atogwe

Rams re-sign OLB Larry Grant

Rams sign DT Chris Hovan

Rams announce retirement of WR Isaac Bruce

Rams trade OT Alex Barron to Cowboys for OLB Bobby Carpenter 

Rams re-sign OT Alex Barron

Rams acquire S Kevin Payne from Bears for conditional 7th-round pick

Rams trade 3-4 DE Adam Carriker to the Redskins for exchange of 5th-round picks 

Rams re-sign DT Clifton Ryan

Rams re-sign DT Gary Gibson

Rams sign OLB Na’il Diggs 

Rams cut QB Marc Bulger

Rams re-sign CB Quincy Butler 

Rams re-sign DE James Hall

Rams sign CB Kevin Dockery

Rams sign TE Darcy Johnson

Rams re-sign OLB David Vobora 

Rams re-sign RB Kenneth Darby

Rams re-sign G Mark Setterstrom

Rams sign C Hank Fraley

Rams re-sign TE Daniel Fells

Rams sign DT Fred Robbins

Rams sign QB A.J. Feeley

Rams waive TE Derek Fine

Rams tender S O.J. Atogwe

Rams tender DE Victor Adeyanju

Rams tender DT Clifton Ryan

Rams tender OLB David Vobora

Rams tender OLB Larry Grant

Rams tender CB Quincy Butler

Rams tender RB Kenneth Darby

Rams tender S David Roach

Rams claim TE Derek Fine 

 

Texans Must Win

By Trey Huguley 

After a very frustrating loss last week against the New York Giants, the Houston Texans face a “must win” situation hosting the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 6.  At 3-2 and first in the AFC South, the Texans are having a decent year, but the negative aspects of their games make that winning record look like it doesn’t mean that much.  

If the Texans can beat the Chiefs this weekend and go into the bye Week 4-2, things would definitely be looking up. Not only would it help the Texans maintain their top positioning in the Division, but it would also help them go into the break with some real momentum. Then the bye week will give them time to fix the problems that have been plaguing the Texans defense all year long….pass coverage and pass rush. 

Ironically, in order to beat the Chiefs though, they’ll need to correct those issues a week sooner than the bye; or at the very least, put a metaphorical “band-aid” over them. Luckily, Matt Cassell doesn’t lead a very powerful passing game, but the Chiefs offensive line has been top notch – only allowing 3 sacks so far this season.  The Texans defensive line will have to do all they can to put pressure on Cassell and disrupt his passes. 

The even more difficult challenge for the Texans defense, however, is the fact that they will have to be on the look out for the Chiefs decent running game as well. The line should be able to handle this, but the Texans secondary better be on their toes so they aren’t caught out of position. Often in the games where quarterbacks have thrown for over 300 yards against the Texans secondary, it was because Safeties Eugene Wilson or Bernard Pollard were caught out of position in zone coverage. They better be paying attention this week’s “must win.”

If the Texans were to lose this game, half of their fan base would jump ship. This could be really bad considering that the Texans are finally getting national media attention and expanding their fan base. The last thing they want to do is turn that around and start losing fans again. 

Perhaps the biggest issue that makes this game a “must win” is the remaining schedule. Throughout the rest of the season the Texans will face the Colts, Titans (twice), Ravens, Jets, Eagles and Chargers – all of which they could lose. They’ll pick up a few wins against the Jaguars and Broncos. Most likely they’ll pick up one against the Titans and the Chargers game too. The Eagles and other Colts game are a toss up. All in all, the Texans could realistically be looking at losing five more games -even if they get better over the bye.  If they beat the Chiefs and go into the rest of the season at 4-2, they have a better chance of taking 5 losses and maybe making the wildcard at 9-7. On the flip-side, if they take a loss against the Chiefs and drop to 3-3, they’d need a miracle to have a winning season. And that hurts to even think about. 

The Texans SHOULD win this game without too many difficulties, but usually when I feel that way they end up losing. Let’s hope that isn’t the case this week. 

http://www.houstonsportblog.com/

 

Tom Brady MVP

By Cormac Eklof 

It is half way through the NFL season, and in and around the time where people start making lists. NFL rookie of the year, wildest Randy Moss moment of the year and of course, the NFL MVP award. A glance at the names on the suspects list for the latter shows the usual characters, Peyton Manning, Phillip Rivers and perhaps Chris Johnson, maybe even LaDainian Tomlinson.

Manning has lost his annual security blanket, Dallas Clark, and his wide outs are currently busy injuring themselves any which way possible, yet still Manning is second in the NFL with 15 TD passes, second in passer rating at 101.4 and fourth in completion percentage at 65.9. Most importantly, the Colts are 5-2. Rivers is right now at this very moment sitting somewhere with his right elbow in an ice bucket, having tossed the pigskin for an incredible 2,649 yards to date. He would need a complete U-Turn by the Chargers though, to be seriously considered. There’s a reason he has to throw it so often! Johnson and LaDainian Tomlinson would also need strong second halves, but are very much in the equation.

Right now however, if you had to choose a worthy winner for NFL MVP, would there be any better candidate than the boy with the family name from County Cork in Ireland, Tom Brady?

Brady appears to be back to his game-managing best, doing everything he can to push the Patriots forward. He is doing so with a curious cast of characters around him. Gone is Randy Moss, in are the non-household names, the blue collar, almost nameless non-elite, Aaron Hernandez, Rob Gronkowski, Danny Woodhead and BenJarvus Green-Ellis. Brady’s excellent fake for the Danny Woodhead touchdown against the Vikings was a fully and passionately executed play fake, his athletic scramble and heat-seeking-missile accurate bullet of a throw to Tate in the same game was a thing of beauty. The former was someone doing a menial task diligently and faithfully, the latter was someone doing something roughly .05 % of humans could do. Brady is delivering from all angles.

Not only is he delivering in terms of what some would call intangibles, Brady is also submitting some fresh, progressive numbers too. He is completing 65.3% of his passes and that has added up to a decent 1,602 passing yards. He has 12 TDs and owns a very respectable 96.6 QB rating.

As the Patriots offence kicks into gear and shakes the rust off, he should see those numbers rise in tandem.

The most important numbers of all? His New England Patriots are 6-1, and scoring just a hair under 30 points a game (both NFL bests).

All things considered, the great personnel turn-over, the change of style of play and the drama surrounding Moss, Brady is submitting one of his finest bodies of work to date. With a good, healthy and productive second half of the season, perhaps it will turn into his finest yet.

http://irishbaseballseason.blogspot.com

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USC/Colorado

Spotlight #1: USC TE Rhett Ellison

Spotlight #2: Colorado G Ryan Miller 

1st quarter

13:28: Miller gets beat on a run block, but another USC player gets the tackle for loss first because Miller can allow it.

11:02: Ellison with a great block on an outside run on a 3rd and 2 conversion. Impressive, powerful hands. Kalil also had an awesome pull block.

10:30: Ellison on the other side now, helps seal a big hole for the running back.

10:03: Ellison makes a tough catch for no gain after Barkley just had to get it away. Ellison started as a blocked and allowed the pressure on the blitz, but redeemed himself with the nice catch.

9:26: Ellison redeems himself more with a nice pass block on a passing touchdown. Barkley with a nice NFL caliber throw deep to Marqise Lee.

9:18: Miller with another great pass block. He’s been better in pass protection than run blocking early.

8:40: Miller with a great cut block, takes the guy down. Good form.

8:09: Miller whiffs on a 2nd level block, not strong enough to maintain balance, easily disengaged.

5:20: Ellison with another nice pass block.

3:45: Miller with another nice but block.

3:05: Miller allows some pressure, did have to block for a while.

2nd quarter

13:42: Nick Perry hasn’t done much as a pass rusher tonight, aside from a few pressures, but here he explodes for a tackle for loss on a check down to the back, loss of 6.

12:02: Ellison at a fullback with a nice cut block to protect Barkley.

10:23: Miller with a powerful lead block but a poor block before him doesn’t allow Miller’s block to be utilized.

9:20: Ellison with a nice lead block to open a small hole from the fullback spot.

8:16: Barkley with his first bad decision of the night, forces it to a well covered tight end over the middle. Could have been picked.

4:09: Ellison contributing on special teams as well, blocked kick.

2:27: Ellison seals a good run on 2nd and 3, converted 1st down.

1:59: Ellison takes a check down for a bunch, tough to take down in the open field, draws a horse collar penalty as well, hurt. I’ll watch Kalil now.

0:37: Barkley picked off, bad decision. Good effort to make the tackle afterwards.

0:09: Nick Perry with a sack. Miller has to block for a long time and does a good job against a bull rush opposite from the sack.

 

3rd quarter

14:06: Kalil looks like a tight end moving outside on what looked like a route, but throws a 2nd level pull block on a screen for a good gain. So athletic and talented.

8:51: Chris Galippo good in coverage, quickly reads quarterback’s eyes, almost gets a tough pick, but dropped.

7:16: Kalil great job one on one, throws his guy to the ground.

5:34: Kalil seals a hole on 3rd and 7, conversion.

4:47: Kalil throws another guy.

4:08: Kalil stands up a spin move.

1:33: Miller misses a pull block, gives up pressure on a quick drop.

4th quarter

7:06: Barkley sets a new USC record with 6 touchdowns.

6:30: Miller powers a guy off the line, opens a good hole for the back.

5:47: Miller blocks really well for a long time.

5:40: Miller playing some right tackle now.

0:00: Ryan Miller stands out as the best offensive player on a team lacking offensive tackle. Colorado sent Nate Solder to the NFL last year and Miller looks to follow in his footsteps. The 6-8 300 Miller is built like a tackle more than a guard, but plays right guard for Colorado, though he occasionally plays right tackle in a pinch, as he did towards the end of this game.

Miller seems better in pass protection than run blocking. He’s not a very powerful player and could stand to add more strength, but he has quick feet and good technique and would fit a zone blocking scheme best. Miller helped propel Colorado to a 5.6 YPA average, rushing for 134 yards on 25 carries, but as I said, he was best in pass protection as his lack of functional strength didn’t serve him well in run blocking. He’d be best as a zone blocking guard at the next level or maybe even a right tackle because he does have the frame. He looks like a late day 2 pick or an early day 3 pick.

On the USC side, Matt Kalil had an awesome game once again. He wasn’t playing the toughest competition obviously, but he had yet another fantastic game. He’s so athletic on the outside and can just throw guys around. I can’t wait to see what this kid can do once he gets to the level and bulks up a little. USC’s whole offense had a dominant game against lowly Colorado in a 42-17 win.

Matt Barkley set a school record with 6 touchdowns, going 25 of 39 for 318 yards, those 6 touchdowns and just one pick, though he could have had a 2nd one. Those two bad throws were his only mistakes of the night really and he made several throws that will make NFL scouts drool. He’s the early favorite to go #1 overall in 2013 now that he’s returned for his senior season.

Rhett Ellison looked very good for the time he was in the game, leaving with an injury in the 2nd quarter. The hybrid tight end/full back lined up in the backfield, at tight end, and also in the h-back position, and he displayed great run blocking ability out of all 3 positions. He also held up in pass protection and showed good hands and good open field ability on his 2 catches for 10 yards. He’s a better blocker than a receiver, but he did catch 21 passes in 2010 and 22 this season. The 6-5 250 pound Ellison looks like a good mid round selection as either a fullback or a tight end and he can also play special teams. He also blocked a punt in this one.

Defensively, Nick Perry had another nice game, getting consistent pressure against not the toughest matchup. He had a sack and a huge tackle for loss, blowing up a play in the backfield on a pass in the flat. Chris Galippo had a good game, almost having a pick. The once heavily recruited linebacker didn’t have the best season with just 46 tackles, 3.5 for loss, 1.5 sacks, but he has really improved in pass coverage in USC’s cover 2 scheme, despite his size at 6-2 255. He has 5 deflections on the season and has consistent looked good in coverage when I’ve seen him. USC safety TJ McDonald didn’t play the first half after a suspension and didn’t make a noticeable difference when he returned. I still contend that McDonald is an overrated, dirty player who doesn’t have the production to match his measurables and doesn’t have a good fundamental grasp of the game, especially tackling.

 

Week 10 Injury Report

This first injury report is only for Falcons/Ravens. The rest of the league’s injury report will be posted Saturday as usual. 

WR Roddy White- Atlanta

White may be the league’s best receiver this season. He’s listed as questionable, but expected to play, so I’d feel safe with him in my lineup.

Sunday

RB Chris Wells- Arizona

He’ll play, but not start. He’s not worth it in fantasy. 

WR Lee Evans- Buffalo

Missed a practice earlier this week with a bum ankle, but it’s listed as probable and expected to play. I wouldn’t count on him though with only 29 catches for 373 yards and 4 scores this season.

RB DeAngelo Williams- Carolina

Out.

RB Jonathan Stewart- Carolina

Out. Mike Goodson will start vs. a weak Tampa Bay run defense so he could have some value.

QB Carson Palmer- Cincinnati

Will play hurt again. I actually like him this week. Indy has an explosive offense and Palmer is at his best in garbage time when the other team already has a big lead.

WR Chad Ochocinco- Cincinnati

He’ll play with an ankle problem, but he really hasn’t been involved in the offense of late, so there are better options.

QB Matt Stafford- Detroit

Out.

QB Shaun Hill- Detroit

With Stafford out, Hill will get the start off of a broken arm. Buffalo’s defense is bad, so he could be a decent bye week filler. In 4 games which he started and finished, he has 1252 (82 rushing) yards, 8 scores, and 6 picks.

QB Matt Schaub- Houston

He’ll play through rib problems. Various injuries have led to some struggles by Schaub this season, but Jacksonville’s secondary is terrible so he could be in for a huge game.

WR Andre Johnson- Houston

Will start through an ankle injury. He’s been playing hurt in each of his last 4 games and has 24 catches for 380 yards and 2 scores in that time. Against Jacksonville, he’s definitely worth a start.

TE Owen Daniels- Houston

Out.

WR Blair White- Indianapolis

Out.

WR Austin Collie- Indianapolis

Out. 

TE Jacob Tamme- Indianapolis

Missed a practice this week with a back problem and had the questionable tag slapped on him, but it looks like he will start vs. Cincinnati and after what he did in his first two career starts, a combined 17 catches for 172 yards and 2 scores, he has to be in your lineup.

RB Joseph Addai- Indianapolis

Out.

RB Mike Hart- Indianapolis

Not officially ruled out, but after not practice all week, it’s very unlikely he plays. Donald Brown will get the start, but Brown is really struggling this season and only managed 50 points against Philly’s run D last week in a start.

WR Percy Harvin- Minnesota

Questionable suffering through bad migraines on top of his bum ankle, but he’s a tough kid. Since injuring his ankle 2 weeks ago, he has 15 catches for 230 yards. He’s a stud you have to have in your lineup.

 

QB Brett Favre- Minnesota

What do you think?

WR Sidney Rice- Minnesota

Not expected to make his season debut this week.

WR Bernard Berrian- Minnesota

Was limited as recently as Friday, but improved Saturday and should start opposite Harvin this week. After his first good performance of the season last week, 9 catches for 89 yards, he could be a solid WR3, but expected inconsistency.

QB Tom Brady- New England

He’ll make the start and he has to be in your lineup, even coming off of a bad game, starting against an elite defense, with a bum foot.

WR Steve Smith- NY Giants

Out.

RB Brandon Jacobs- NY Giants

Missed some practice with an illness, but will play. Use him as you normally would.

RB Shonn Greene- NY Jets

Missed Friday for personal reasons and not injury reasons and will start Sunday.

TE Heath Miller- Pittsburgh

Came back strong Friday after missed practice all week leading up to Friday, so use him as you normally would. However, he hasn’t been terribly productive this season.

RB Marshawn Lynch- Seattle

Thigh and hammy issues limited him in practice this week, but he still should start. He’s been terrible though since coming over from Buffalo with 61 carries for 188 yards and a score. I don’t know why they don’t start Justin Forsett over him.

WR Mike Williams- Seattle

His finger problem is minor and won’t be an issue.

QB Matt Hasselbeck- Seattle

Cleared to play. His left tackle Russell Okung, however, is out, which could be bad news for him. 

RB Steven Jackson- St. Louis

Limited in practice, but what else is new. He’ll start.

TE Kellen Winslow- Tampa Bay

Will play through knee problems again this week.

QB Vince Young- Tennessee

He’ll be in uniform, but either for injury or talent reasons, Kerry Collins will get the start.

QB Donovan McNabb- Washington

He’s questionable, but I doubt he misses this game.

RB Clinton Portis- Washington

RB Ryan Torain- Washington

Both are game time decisions and might just cancel each other out if both play, and since they don’t play until Monday, I’d say stay away from both.

 

Week 14 Power Rankings

32. Carolina Panthers 1-11

Congratulations to the Carolina Panthers. It looked bad early when they led 14-0 in Seattle, but they found a way to lose and are still the favorites to land the #1 overall draft pick and draft Andrew Luck. Lucky for them, John Fox didn’t trade away their 2011 first round pick in the 2010 draft like he did in each of the last two years.

With Luck to the Panthers becoming more and more of a foregone conclusion, Jimmy Clausen being traded does too. Clausen will probably be able to be had for a 3rd or 4th rounder and will be a bargain as a one-time potential first round pick who slipped and got stuck with a crap supporting cast in his rookie year. Let’s see where Clausen could land.

Miami- I like this idea a lot. Clausen is cheap competition for Henne for the starting quarterback job in 2011. Clausen is better than any competition they currently have on the roster.

Cincinnati- Carson Palmer is done as a functional starter. Clausen gives them a cheaper, more experienced option at quarterback rather than drafting a rookie in the first.

Tennessee- Vince Young is likely gone in the offseason, but they may have too low of a draft pick to be able to draft one of the top 4 quarterbacks. Or they might just not like Locker or Newton.

San Francisco- Like the Titans, they might not be able to get Luck or Mallett and might not like Locker or Newton.

Seattle- See above.

Oakland- They need a quarterback, but have no first round pick.

Washington- Clausen could be groomed as a future (or near future) replacement for Donovan McNabb.

31. Arizona Cardinals 3-9

Derek Anderson may put his “heart and soul into this,” but he’s still not very good. His recent 7 for 20 for 91 yards and a pick performance against the Rams was absolutely pathetic. The Cardinals need to see what backup John Skelton has. Max Hall doesn’t look like an NFL signal caller and Anderson looks like an NFL signal caller after a crazy night on the town.

 Skelton is a raw rookie out of Fordham, but their season is obviously over. They need to evaluate the kid to see if drafting a quarterback like Ryan Mallett (assuming they can’t get Andrew Luck) is a necessity in the first round.

For a funny parity video of Derek Anderson’s rant, click here.

30. Buffalo Bills 2-10

Poor Bills. Not only are they out of Luck, literally, but now it looks like Ryan Fitzpatrick is significantly worse than they once realized. Bills fans, it doesn’t look like you’ll be able to take the bags off your heads any time soon. Fitzy was 4 for 9 for 9 yards in the first half with a pick, before putting up some slightly better numbers in the second half against a prevent defense when it didn’t matter.

29. Cincinnati Bengals 2-10

Everyone in the world knew when the Saints lined up on 4th and 2 inside the 10, down by 3 with mere minutes left, that it was obviously a fake and an attempt to try to catch the Bengals off sides for the first down. Everyone, that is, except Bengals defensive lineman Pat Sims, who bit on the fake and gave up the first to the Saints, who would go on to score and win.

The Bengals have actually put up a nice effort at times this year, almost mounting a comeback against the Steelers and Colts, in addition to the Saints game, but stupid mistakes have them at 2-10 and on a 9 game losing streak.

28. Detroit Lions 2-10

The football gods hate the Lions. I have I said that before. This time, the Lions, down to their 3rd string quarterback because of injuries, led the 8-3 Bears when Ndamukong Suh’s perfectly legal hit on Jay Cutler drew a penalty flag and eventually led to a Bears touchdown in a 24-20 Bears win. This is the 2nd time this year they have lost to the Bears because of a bullshit call (I know the Calvin Johnson play was following the rule, but the rule is stupid).

They are now 5-47 in their last 52 games. They’ve had injuries to Matt Stafford (twice), his backup Shaun Hill, Jahvid Best and have lost 6 games by less than a touchdown. Many experts said this Lions team was talented enough to win 7-8 games this year. They were right. They were talented enough. Just not lucky enough.

27. Denver Broncos 3-9

2 weeks ago I told the saga of Josh McDaniels and then added an extra paragraph to it after the “failgate” incident in which former Patriots assistant Josh McDaniels hired the guy who shot the tapes from Spygate and then that camera man was caught taping the then 1-6 49ers’ practices and the Broncos still lost.

Now, it seems the McDaniels saga is over. McDaniels has been fired, the 3rd coach this season to be fired. With Wade Phillips, Brad Childress, and McDaniels all out in one season, I’m running out of coaches to make fun of. I would tell the saga of Josh McDaniels again, but I just did that two weeks ago.

I’ll just conclude with this. I’m still convinced McDaniels was a Patriot spy sent over to destroy the Denver Broncos. It’s the only explanation. And McDaniels did well. Also I love interim coach Eric Studesville’s name. Studesville. Sounds like the nickname a guy would give himself when he’s trying to impress a girl.

“Hey there, baby, my name’s Eric, you want to take a trip to Studesville?”

With Tim Tebow in town, Denver becomes the front runner for Tebow fanatic/stalker Jon Gruden. As long as it gets him off of MNF, I’m happy.

26. Cleveland Browns 5-7

Jake Delhomme is 2-0 as a starter since Colt McCoy went down?! What is this madness?! Delhomme hasn’t been good, but it’s just been a case of his competition being worse. Both Jimmy Clausen and Chad Henne looked like Delhomme against the Browns in the past few weeks. Maybe they watched a bit too much of his gametape and their brains exploded.

25. San Francisco 49ers 4-8

Time for the weekly bashing of the NFC West. The 4-8 49ers are only 2 games back and with 3 more division games left, still very much alive in the division despite the fact that their starting quarterback sucks and their best offensive player Frank Gore is done for the season and has been replaced with a 5th round rookie and a 31 year old Brian Westbrook who was left for dead this offseason.

On a side note, Mike Singletary is going back to Alex Smith this week, citing experience. Experience doing what? Losing? Sucking? Being terrible? All 3 49er quarterbacks are terrible, but at least be consistent with your quarterback. A team with two quarterbacks is a team with no quarterback.

This team needs consistency at the position and someone to turn to as a leader week in and week out. The offensive line needs to block for the same guy every week. The running back needs to take the hand off from a different guy every week. The receiver especially need to catch passes from the same guy every week. Quarterbacks should only be changed for logical reasons. Not for the hell of it. I don’t like this move.

24. Washington Redskins 5-7

Did this team even play last week? If I remember correctly, the Giants were playing a high school team last week. Well, they must have been on their bye and I don’t do write ups when teams are on bye.

Instead, I’ll make fun of ESPN some more.

1. Every week, ESPN “experts” make their picks and then they are compared with Sportsnation’s picks. ESPN’s best record wise is Mike Golic, who is 122-70 on the season. In addition to being 4 games worse than I am, this 122-70 record is the only record by any of the 8 ESPN experts that’s better than Sportsnation. Basically what this shows is that the average fan at home is better than 7 of 8 of ESPN’s finest.

2. Harder to find on ESPN’s page are Mike Ditka, Keyshawn Johnson, Chris Carter, and Tom Jackson’s picks. However this shouldn’t be harder to find, as they all have fairly respectable records. Ditka is 116-76, Keyshawn 118-74, and Carter 119-73. Not terribly impressive, but not terrible. Tom Jackson is actually 130-62, which is four games better than me. Why are these harder to find than the pages that shows that Sportsnation is better than their experts? That’s like meeting a girl at a bar and telling her that you’re unemployed and going on and on about how you don’t work, but then mentioning as an afterthought that you started a multi-million dollar company out of your dorm room in college and don’t have to work.

3. Mike Golic and Mike Greenberg make what they call their “stone cold lead pipe locks”. Mike Golic’s record is 14-11-1, but Greeny’s is 7-17-2 and two weeks ago was 4-17-1. Well at least he’s improving. Good thing Greeny gets paid a ton of money by ESPN to make picks because otherwise he’d be broke because he lost so much money betting on sports.

23. Tennessee Titans 5-7

I never thought I’d see it, but a Jeff Fisher team has given up. Ever since the Vince Young incident, this team has shown no heart. A lot of that was blamed on Rusty Smith in the Houston game, but with Kerry Collins at quarterback for the Jacksonville, you can’t blame the quarterback solely for this one. They’ve given up.

It’s interesting when you consider how good Vince Young’s record was as a starter with the Titans. He never put up big stats, but he could always rally the troops and win. With him gone, they aren’t showing much hustle. I never thought I’d see the day, but this Tennessee team has fallen apart without Vince Young.

22. Houston Texans 5-7

In 2008 this team fell to 3-7 despite having high expectations early, but won 5 of their last 6, giving them hope for next year. In 2009 this team fell to 5-7 despite having high expectations, but won their last 4, giving them hope for next year. Now in 2010, they have fallen to 5-7 again despite high expectations and could win 3 or 4 of their last 4 to set the bar high for next year again. Translation, I won’t believe this team will make the playoffs until they do.

I don’t think Gary Kubiak is the right coach for this team. Why else would they be so bad in close games? Unfortunately if they go 3-1 or better in these next 4, Kubiak could be around next year again.

21. Dallas Cowboys 4-8

Dallas Cowboys fans have to be kicking themselves right now. Yes, their team is playing good football, but if Jason Garrett can have this team at 3-1, with the one loss coming by 3 to New Orleans, with Jon Kitna at quarterback, imagine how good they could have been if Garrett were their coach all year, including when Romo was healthy. Once again, I have no clue why Wade Phillips was their coach for so long.

20. Oakland Raiders 6-6

I would like to congratulate the Oakland Raiders on winning 6 games in a season for the first time since before Al Davis was undead. They still have issues at quarterback and a lot of their wins came as a result of a fairly easy schedule, and they have still looked terrible at times, but they’ve gotten their 6 wins. With 4 to go, could they possibly win (gasp) 7 games!

19. Miami Dolphins 6-6

Chad Henne probably watched too much game tape of Jake Delhomme before the Browns game, because he really did play like him. In all seriousness, I think this team is going to be looking for a new quarterback this offseason, even if it’s only someone to compete with Henne for the job in camp. This was supposed to be Henne’s breakout year. Instead, he’s led the talented Dolphins to a mere 6-6 record and has 15 picks to 12 touchdowns.

This last performance was his absolute worst of the season, throwing 3 picks against the Browns, 1 of which set up a game winning field goal for the Browns to win it 13-10. They would be smart to add a quarterback like Jimmy Clausen (for a 3rd or 4th rounder) or draft a mid round quarterback this offseason.

18. Seattle Seahawks 6-6

The Seahawks by no means played well against the Panthers in a 31-14 victory. The Panthers simply didn’t try. I still think the Rams are the best team in this division and will win the division, but that’s yet to be determined.

The Rams/Seahawks game week 17 should be a very interesting one for the division. If the Seahawks win, a team having to go into Seattle in the first round is no easy task, but the Seahawks should still roll over pretty easily. The Rams will be a tougher test. They’re great at home as well and have the better, more complete, and better coached team.

17. Minnesota Vikings 5-7

Following the Vikings’ wins over the Redskins and Bills and the Cowboys 3-1 record in 4 games with Jason Garrett, I would not be surprised if every team in the league fired their head coach in an attempt to win next week. Oh wait, I used that one last week. Well, maybe instead I’ll take what could be the final look at Brett Favre’s career after he hurt his throwing shoulder on the first throw of the game against the Bills.

Drafted in 1991 with the 33rd pick, in the 2nd round, by the Atlanta Falcons and traded a year later to Green Bay for a 1992 1st round pick.

Atlanta used that pick on Tony Smith, Favre’s former college teammate. Smith was the Falcons starting running back in 1992, averaging 3.8 YPC and then was moved special teams to return kicks and punts for 2 years before his career ended. Whoops!

If Favre doesn’t play for the rest of the season and retires, that will mean he would have ended 4 straight seasons with an interception, only fitting for the career leader in interceptions all time.

Luckily for Favre, no one really cares about how many picks he threw because he holds just about every one passing record, including most passing attempts, most passing completions, most passing yards, most passing touchdowns, most games started at quarterback, most consecutive games started at quarterback, basically any record that combines passing and longevity.

His most famous record is his 297 straight career starts, 321 if you count playoffs, spanning close to 19 years. By comparison, Cal Ripken’s streak spanned 16 years in the MLB, which is a less physically demanding sport. Not to take anything away from Cal Ripken (or Tony Stark), but Favre is the real Iron Man.

Despite his long career, Favre says he has never suffered an injury like the one he did against the Bills this week, namely an SC joint sprain in his shoulder. According to Harvard Health Publications, SC joint sprains occur most often “when a driver’s chest strikes the steering wheel during an auto accident, or when a person is crushed by an object.”

Speaking of crushed by an object, that “object” was 250 pound Arthur Moats of the Buffalo Bills. Moats is a rookie 6th rounder out of William and Mary. When Brett Favre was drafted, Moats had just turned 3. When Favre was getting drafted, Moats probably was just out of diapers, still had training wheels on his bike, and hadn’t started school.

Of course there’s about a 95% chance that this “eulogy” on Favre’s career is at least 4 weeks too soon. With the Vikings out of it, I don’t think Leslie Frazier has the guts to bench Favre if he’s healthy. I know I wouldn’t. And Favre is going to do everything he can to play this week, even if the game doesn’t mean anything, because that’s the type of player he is. Stubborn ‘til the very end, and great because of it.

 

16. St. Louis Rams 6-6

The best team in the NFC West in my opinion, the Rams have been exceeding expectations all year, almost every week, as they are 9-3 against the spread. That stat doesn’t have a ton of relevance but it does show they play harder than expected every week and there’s a lot that can be said about a young team that can do that. They have their biggest test of the season this week, going into New Orleans, where division rival Seattle lost by 15 earlier this year.

15. Jacksonville Jaguars 7-5

If the Jaguars win this week against the Raiders, they will be able to eliminate the Colts from the division week 15. However, I still don’t think this team can win that Colts game. The Colts are a better team than they appear and the only reason the Jags won earlier this year was that they got a desperation late field goal, one of two improbable victories for them this year, if you count the Hail Mary game. This team doesn’t have a single win that has impressed me this year and they should be an easy out in the playoffs if they do end up making it, because they can’t stop anyone through the air.

14. New York Giants 8-4

Steve Smith and Hakeem Nicks could both miss this week’s game against the surging Minnesota Vikings in Minnesota, as could several key linemen. After that game, they’ve got Philly and Green Bay in Green Bay, before going to Washington week 17. Their second half swoon could still in be intact despite winning their last two against the overrated Jaguars in comeback form and the non-existent Redskins. This team is going to have a tough time making the playoffs over teams like New Orleans, Green Bay, and Chicago.

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7-5

The Buccaneers still have not beaten a team with a winning record, but they hung with the Falcons until the very end, which is a positive. A negative, however, both starting cornerback Aqib Talib, the most underrated cover man in the league, and starting center Jeff Faine, a Pro Bowl caliber interior blocker, are both done for the season with injuries. With 3 more games left against teams with losing records I could still see them sneaking into the playoffs, but they won’t get anywhere once there. Buccaneers fans don’t have anything to feel down about however. This team is a year ahead of schedule, remember. They weren’t supposed to be good this year.

12. Kansas City Chiefs 8-4

Feel free to debate this point, but their 10-6 win over the Broncos didn’t really make them look like a team that can win a playoff game. Nonetheless, their easy schedule has them as only team in the NFL with a 2 game lead in their division and puts them in a position to be able to clinch the division next weekend with a win over the Chargers. If they were to do that, they’d be the first team to clinch this season.

11. Indianapolis Colts 6-6

I love how ESPN is trying to break down why Peyton Manning is struggling. It’s simple, everyone around him sucks. His defense and lack of running game have forced him to 534 times in 12 games, on pace for 712, which would shatter Drew Bledsoe’s record for most passing attempts in a season. In their last three losses, they have thrown 148 times in 3 games.

With an offensive line that can’t block, Manning is getting pressured on almost every play. The other team doesn’t have to respect the run so they go for the quarterback on every play and limit Manning’s time in the pocket. He hasn’t been sacked much at all because of how good pocket presence he has, but he’s being forced into incompletions and interceptions. It doesn’t help that his receivers can’t catch.

10. Chicago Bears 9-3

The football gods may hate the Lions, but they seem to love the Bears. This is the 2nd time this year that the Lions have barely lost to the Bears thanks to injuries and an iffy call. The Bears have 3 wins over teams with winning records, one of which was missing its #1 and #2 quarterbacks, another of which was missing its starting running back and committed 18 penalties, and the last of which was missing its top corner. Some say it’s better to be lucky than good, but to win a Super Bowl, you have to be both. This isn’t a team that I think can beat 3 or 4 straight playoff teams in a row. They’re not that consistent.

9.  Baltimore Ravens 8-4

Poor Joe Flacco. He just can’t beat Ben Roethlisberger. He can’t even beat 75% of him. Big Ben, broken nose, broken foot and all, still beat Flacco in what was easily the most entertaining 13-10 game I’ve seen in a while. Unfortunately for Flacco, he’s probably not getting to the Super Bowl without beating Big Ben, at least not this year. This is still a good team, despite the fact that they will probably end up with the 6th seed after losing that game to the Steelers.

8. San Diego Chargers 6-6

Someone must have changed Norv Turner’s calendar from December to September. This is the first time in 15 December/January regular season games in the Norv Turner era that the Chargers have lost, losing by 15 at home to the Raiders, the 2nd time the once lowly Raiders have beaten them this year.

Now the Chargers, who once looked like potential Super Bowl winners, are facing an elimination game this week against the Chiefs. If they lose, their season is over and even if they win, they no longer control their own destiny. The need to win out and have the Chiefs lose a game. Their last 3 aren’t very tough, San Francisco, Cincinnati, and Denver. But then again, neither are the Chiefs’ 3, Tennessee, Oakland, and St. Louis.

7. New York Jets 9-3

So much for this being a close game. I had some thoughts of changing my 1 unit on the Patriots to 5 units, just because I couldn’t see Brady losing at home (hasn’t happened in 26 straight regular season games) and to the same team twice in the same season (never happened), but I respected the Jets enough to keep it at 1. Whoops! Would have taken me out of the red.

The Jets just flat out didn’t show up on either side of the ball. No one on that team played well. For a team that I regarded as the 2nd best team in the AFC, that’s absolutely embarrassing. Now they have to play the Dolphins, Steelers, Jets, before getting the Bills week 17. This team could very easily be 11-5 or even 10-6 and the road to any Super Bowl is going to go through New England this year. Rex Ryan and co can’t be looking forward to having to play there in late January to win a Super Bowl. It looks like the dark history of the Jets will continue yet another year.

This loss just goes to show that if you cruise through a weak schedule at 75% and then expect to be able to turn it on against a team like the Patriots, you’re going to fall flat on your face. The Jets just didn’t look elite from weeks 5-12. In that stretch, they needed a late pick six to beat the Vikings by 9, they needed a late PI call to beat the Broncos by 4, got shutout by the Packers, needed overtime to beat the Lions and Browns, two games they could have easily lost in regulation, needed a late score to beat the Texans by 3, and then beat a Bengals team that didn’t show up by 16, despite the fact that they actually trailed 7-3 at halftime. They were expecting to be able to turn it on when it mattered and they didn’t. I knew how complacent they were for weeks. Why I didn’t bet 5 units against them, I don’t know.

6. Philadelphia Eagles 8-4

Here’s my stance on Michael Vick. I don’t forgive him. He’s made his time to society, yes. Legally, he has done/is doing all he needs to do. That doesn’t force me to have to forgive him. I don’t know why everyone is so quick to forgive him. Forgiveness is for mistakes and what Michael Vick did wasn’t a mistake. What Michael Vick did was an intent to hurt.

Dogs are supposed to be man’s best friend and thus they are the closest animal to human beings there is. To torture and kill dogs, and put money on the torturing and killing of dogs, isn’t a mistake. That’s evil. Studies show that almost every serial killer has abused animals at some point in his/her life. That doesn’t mean all animal abusers become serial killers, but it’s certainly not a good stat. I don’t have any problem with Vick being in the NFL. He has legally earned that right. However, I will never support Vick.

5. New Orleans Saints 9-3

Similar to the Steelers, this team doesn’t get up for bad teams and lets the game be closer than it should, almost losing to the Bengals despite a great game by Drew Brees. Luckily, there are no bad teams in the playoffs and at 9-3, they will make the playoffs. Once there, they’re a very dangerous team because of their past success.

4. Green Bay Packers 8-4

The Packers may look back at their week 13 win over the 49ers as the turning point to their season. I know the 49ers aren’t great, especially not on the road, and a double digit victory over them doesn’t seem like a lot, but rookie running back James Starks ran for 73 yards on 18 carries against the 49ers 3rd ranked run defense in his first game off the PUP. For a team that hasn’t lost all 4 losses by 3 points, and hasn’t been able to run the ball at all with Grant out, this is a welcome surprise.

Starks’ 73 is their second highest single rushing total of the year. If they could have run the ball, they likely would have beaten Atlanta in Atlanta. If they could have run the ball, they almost certainly would have beaten Atlanta on a neutral surface.

Now, one game isn’t enough to prove to me that they are once again the team I had winning it all before injuries struck, but with games against the Patriots, Giants, and Bears coming up after their game with the Lions, they’ll have plenty of chances against good teams to show themselves off and maybe even steal that first round bye away from New Orleans or Chicago.

3. Pittsburgh Steelers 9-3

The stat sheet won’t show it, but the Ravens game was exactly the reason Ben Roethlisberger has 2 rings and could easily get a 3rd this year. It’s his heart. The whole game was fairly amazing by Big Ben, the Ravens defense, no offensive line help, the 35 degree winter with wind, the broken foot, the broken nose sustained on the first drive, but one play in particular sticks out.

If you watched the game, you know which one I’m talking about. Game winning drive, Roethlisberger has a pass rusher on him, Big Ben stayed on his feet, lost the pass rusher and was able to get out of the pocket and throw it out of bounds for the incompletion rather than a drive killing sack. On the stat sheet, it shows incompletion, but in reality it was a 110% heart play that allowed the Steelers to beat their arch rivals. After the play I tweeted “Big Ben is the type of quarterback who sacks pass rushers.”

Also I’d like to note there were two clear instances that should have been flagged according to the NFL’s new rules, that weren’t. Interesting enough, both hits were by the Ravens against the Steelers, one of which broke the nose of quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, who earlier this month was punched in the face by Richard Seymour, who only got a 25K fine. The other was against Heath Miller, the tight end, who suffered a concussion in a helmet-to-helmet.

The hit on Big Ben, drew a mere 15K and while the hit on Miller drew 40K, slightly more reasonable. I think if it were James Harrison making the hit in either case, the fine would have been 50K+. Between Hines Ward and James Harrison calling out the commissioner’s new rules and Ben Roethlisberger “raping” someone, Roger Goodell doesn’t like the Steelers that much. I would say something bad about Goodell here, but I’m afraid he’ll pay people to come into my house and shoot me.

2. Atlanta Falcons 10-2

3 wins in their last 4 games will clinch them homefield and 2 should clinch them homefield. With their last 4 games against Carolina (twice), Seattle, and New Orleans, that should be a piece of cake. If they get homefield, look out. Matt Ryan is 19-1 as a starter in his career at home. Green Bay is creeping up on them, but I still have Atlanta higher, following their win over the Buccaneers, because they’ve beaten the Packers and because the Packers only have one game with their new found running game.

1. New England Patriots 10-2

If the Chargers and Colts can win their divisions, that means the Pats will have beaten every single AFC playoff team at some point this year, the Jets, the Ravens, the Colts, the Chargers, and the Steelers. Even if the Chargers and Colts can’t get it together, the Patriots and Tom Brady own Jacksonville in recent years and as for Kansas City, Tom Brady or Matt Cassel? I thought so.

Add in the fact that they’ve all but sealed up homefield until the Super Bowl in Dallas and that they haven’t lost a regular season game at home since late 2006 with Brady as their starter, and that the fact that they already have 3 rings with their current QB/Coach combo you get the definition of a team to beat.

Finally I would like to quote myself because I can. This is from week 11 and I felt it explains this team so well I’m saying it again.

“The Patriots are always at their best when they’re doubted. This year, coming into the season, this was all they heard. Tom Brady is more concerned with being a celebrity than a football player. Tom Brady’s wife cut off his balls. Tom Brady’s hair makes him look like a girl, or even Justin Bieber. Justin Bieber called Tom Brady out in a rap video. The Pats lost to the Ravens in the playoffs big time. The upstart Dolphins and the upstart Jets are better. Tom Brady is getting old. Randy Moss is becoming a diva again. The defense’s average age is 25. Even into week 2, when they lost to the Jets, people doubted them.

Their response, as it always is, fuck you guys, we’re winning the Super Bowl.”

If you don’t think this team is pissed and looking to make a statement every week, just look at their decision to go for it on 4th down and short last week with a 38-3 lead. I have absolutely nothing against that. This team has every right to make a statement like that.