Kellen Moore Scout

 

Quarterback

Boise State

6-0 197

Draft board overall prospect rank: #191

Draft board overall quarterback rank: #9

Overall rating: 54 (6th round)

40 time: 4.94

Games watched: Boise State/ToledoBoise State/Fresno StateBoise State/Arizona State

Positives

·         Incredibly smart

·         High football IQ

·         Excellent decision maker

·         Great short to intermediate accuracy

·         Excellent timing

·         Quick release

·         Winner (50-3 career record with 3 losses by 5 points)

·         4 year starter

·         4 years of great production (completion percentages between 64.3%-74.3%, YPAs between 8.2-10.0, TDs between 25-43, INTs between 3-10)

·         Has always been mature beyond his years

·         Good pocket presence

·         Gets ball out quick and avoids sacks

·         High character leader

·         Great field vision

·         Always keeps his eyes downfield

·         Hard worker who loves the game

·         All the intangibles

Negatives

·         Short (barely 6 foot)

·         Small frame 6-0 197

·         Minimal arm strength

·         Struggles with throws outside the numbers

·         Deep throws tend to hang

·         Poor deep accuracy

·         Low release point

·         Combination of low release point and lack of height lead to a lot of passes deflected at the line, only will get worse in NFL

·         Level of competition wasn’t great

·         Not mobile

·         Doesn’t throw particularly well on the run

·         Poor athlete

·         Not a lot of under center experience

·         No Pro Style experience

·         System quarterback?

·         Doesn’t pass the eyeball test

NFL Comparison: Shorter Colt McCoy

Kellen Moore is the winningest quarterback in college football history with a 50-3 career. That record could stand for a long time and may never be broken. However, this is not a definite precursor for NFL success. The top 4 winningest quarterbacks in college football history: Kellen Moore, Colt McCoy, David Greene, Andy Dalton. Only Dalton has 40+ wins in college and went on to become a legitimate NFL starter. This isn’t to say that quarterbacks with a lot of wins are automatically going to fail in the NFL. This would be ridiculous. However, it’s not a definite predictor of NFL success.

Moore has got a lot of things working against him. First of all, he’s barely 6 foot tall. There are only 2 NFL starting quarterbacks who have had any sort of success at shorter than 6-2: Michael Vick and Drew Brees. Moore doesn’t have Vick’s speed and athleticism and Brees has a much stronger arm. Neither of those two quarterbacks have Moore’s weird delivery point. It’s Philip Rivers esque. That works fine if you’re Rivers and 6 foot 5, but Moore isn’t. A lot of his passes are going to be knocked down at the line of scrimmage. That happened quite a bit in college, but it’ll happen more in the NFL, especially with all of the tall long armed defensive ends like Jason Pierre Paul and the like.

Moore has a lot of trouble driving the ball deep. His deep balls don’t have a lot of zip or velocity and float too much. He has trouble throwing into windows farther than 10-15 yards out and he doesn’t have the ability to consistent drive the ball outside the numbers. NFL teams will just stack the middle against him and dare him to beat them deep. His arm will get stronger in the NFL as he gets into a strength training program, but because of his small frame, I question how much muscle he can add and how much stronger his arm can get.

It’s a shame because he’s one of the smartest most accurate college quarterbacks I can remember. He’s an excellent leader with all the intangibles. He’s got an infectious demeanor and work ethic and love for the game. He’s a winner (albeit in a weak conference) with incredibly short accuracy and football intelligence. He’s a poised leader with a quick delivery and great pocket presence.

However, all of the same things can be said about Colt McCoy, who Moore surpassed in career wins this season. McCoy won 44 games in a tougher conference in the Big 12. He was just as smart and accurate and poised as Moore and even taller (6-2). However, he fell to the late 3rd round and in 2 years as a starter, he has failed to impress. The Browns are once again searching for a quarterback 2 years later. Moore will probably be a 5th or 6th round pick, but will have a similar career. He’s not going to be a good starter in the NFL, but you can do a lot worse in your backup quarterback.

 

LaRon Landry Jets

 

Landry is an injury risk, but he was ProFootballFocus’ 18th rated safety last season and this is a weak safety class in the draft and free agency. He probably won’t make it through the whole season, but 4 million over a year isn’t a lot and the Jets were desperate for safety help.

Grade: B

 

LSU/Alabama

 

Spotlight #1: Alabama OLB Courtney Upshaw

Spotlight #2: Alabama C William Vlachos 

1st quarter

5:56: Vlachos misses a 2nd level block and lets a guy into the backfield on 3rd and 1, but he can’t bring down Richardson by himself.

4:37: Vlachos having a bit of trouble early with LSU’s physical interior line.

0:38: Robert Lester with a pick.

2nd quarter

2:32: Upshaw sheds a block and gets in on a tackle for loss or no gain. He’s been quiet tonight.

1:36: Dre Kirkpatrick puts a big hit on the ball carrier along the sideline.

0:42: Upshaw on a pressure.

0:15: Upshaw forces the quarterback to throw the ball away on the goal line under pressure.

0:01: Hightower with a huge tackle for no gain on the goal line, forcing LSU to go for a field goal.

 

3rd quarter

11:56: Upshaw should have been credited with a sack. He had the quarterback in his grasp for a long time, but the refs did not rule him down.

11:11: Upshaw in on a sack this time. He’s been getting consistent pressure when LSU has dropped back to pass tonight.

9:49: Mark Barron with a pick. Courtney Upshaw got some pressure on the play as well.

4:45: Upshaw in on a tackle for a short gain.

3:24: Upshaw gets into the backfield, but rolled away from. Still a good motor in chase, but not going to be able to make up that ground.

1:07: Morris Claiborne with a pick now.

4th quarter

11:24: Trent Richardson just had another highlight reel run.

1:37: Mark Barron and Courtney Upshaw in on a tackle for loss.

Overtime

0:00: Courtney Upshaw really stood out as a pass rusher in this game, beating both the left and right tackle, whoever he was matched up with, on a consistent basis. He had a sack as well as several key pressures. He didn’t stand out quite as much as a run stopper. He had 6 tackles on the night, but took a few bad routes to the ball. Overall, this game helps his stock I think. He stands out on a consistent basis and makes a ton of splash plays. He’s also versatile and that could make him the top linebacker off the board for either a 3-4 or a 4-3 team. He could go as high as top 15.

Another Alabama linebacker, Dont’a Hightower, also had a huge game. He’s fully healthy now and shows consistent first round talent at 6-4 260, but his injury history could keep him in the 2nd round at the end of the day. He had 7 tackles and several key pressures. He would fit best in a 3-4 as either an inside or any outside linebacker.

The two safeties for Alabama, Mark Barron and Robert Lester, each had a pick. Barron once again had a huge game and made several splash plays. He is cementing his status as the top safety in this class and a potential first round pick. Lester came into the year as a potential first round pick, but he has struggled leading some to believe that he would return for his senior year in an attempt to eventually go in the first round. Tonight, he had a good game. His pick was just his 2nd of the year after 8 last year, but he now has 2 in the last 3 games and he is playing better overall. He looked much better in coverage tonight than he did earlier in the season. He’s still probably a day 2 pick if he comes out.

On the offensive side for Alabama, Alabama left tackle Barrett Jones did a very good job, especially as a run blocking, which is very impressive considering the defense he was playing. He left for a bit with an injury, but played very well before it and displayed his toughness by returning and playing through the injury, though he was not quite as effective post-injury. Hopefully it’s nothing major as he is moving up boards right now and could sneak into the first round the way James Carpenter did last year.

Jones paved the way for Trent Richardson, who didn’t have his best statistical day, rushing for 89 yards on 22 carries, but LSU has one of the best run stopping defenses in the league. He also had 80 receiving yards, displaying his ability to be a 3 down back at the next level. He looks like a top 15 pick in April. Richardson also wasn’t helped out much by Alabama’s William Vlachos. Vlachos, the consensus #3 center in this draft class coming in, could be slipping now and could eventually end up a day 3 pick. He really had trouble with LSU’s interior line, allowing several pressures and struggling with his specialty, run blocking.

To the LSU, Morris Claiborne had a pick and overall outplayed his counterpart Dre Kirkpatrick. Dre Kirkpatrick had another good game and looks like a top 15 pick at either cornerback or safety, but Claiborne had a huge game, in addition to the pick. He had a couple pass breakups and didn’t allow a catch all night. He’s outplayed Kirkpatrick this season and looks like a top 10 pick.

Another draft prospect in LSU’s secondary is safety Brandon Taylor. Taylor, I think, is somehow very underrated. The former cornerback is very fast and makes a bunch of plays. He’s undersized at 6-1 195, but he’s held up against the run when I’ve seen him and he’s a great technique tackle. He had at least one memorable tackle for loss tonight and figures to be a late day 2, early day 3 prospect.

LSU’s Reuben Randle was held to 2 catches, but that’s to be expected. Dre Kirkpatrick was on him all night and unlike against most other cornerbacks, Randle doesn’t have the size advantage against Kirkpatrick. The 6-4 Randle struggled all night, but the good news for him is that there aren’t a lot of 6-3 cornerbacks out there. Randle could still end up a day 2 pick. Despite LSU’s inconsistencies at quarterback, Randle has 35 catches for 657 yards and 7 touchdowns. He’s a big, physical receiver, a great run blocker and end zone threat with good, natural hands. 

 

Matt Birk Ravens

 

Matt Birk is a great center who ranked 9th last season among centers on ProFootballFocus. The Ravens are getting an absolute steal getting him for 8.52 million over 3 years with 3 million guaranteed. He’s older and turns 36 this offseason, but centers have a pretty long shelf life and the Ravens needed to lock up their leader on their offensive line.

Grade: A

 

Mike Goodson Raiders

 

Trade for Raiders: The Raiders drafted Bruce Campbell in the 4th round in 2010 in what looked like a steal at the time as the athletic offensive lineman was widely projected to be drafted in the first 2 rounds. However, Campbell proved why he fell so far and why he probably should have fallen farther as he played just 19 snaps in 2 seasons. There was some talk that the Raiders would have him compete for the starting left guard job with the soon to be 35 year old Cooper Carlisle, but I guess not. Guard will be a major need of theirs in the draft.

However, Goodson was a nice pickup for them. Darren McFadden can’t stay healthy and Taiwan Jones is unproven. Goodson was buried in the depth chart in Carolina behind Jonathan Stewart and DeAngelo Williams and with the addition of Mike Tolbert, there was no room for him. However, he’s proven himself to be a decent #2  back when given the opportunity and the Raiders are just giving up a developmental prospect they’ve given up on for him.

Trade: B

Trade for Panthers: This trade makes less sense for the Panthers. Goodson had to go, obviously, but they probably would have been better off getting a late draft pick for him rather than a lost cause prospect, unless they really think they can turn Campbell into a functional offensive line prospect.

Grade: C

 

Nate Burleson Lions

I don’t find it much of a coincidence that Burleson just had a career year in his contract year. Almost seems like he was playing well just to get paid (but no one does that right?). Well he got paid, 5 years 25 million, and I think what the Lions are going to get out of him is far less than what they paid for. This seems like one of those deals that’s going to get terminated midway.

Grade: C-

2010 MLB Mock Draft

Updated: 5/29/10

1. Washington Nationals- C Bryce Harper 6-3 205 (Las Vegas HS, NV)

2 .Pittsburgh Pirates- RHP Jameson Taillion 6-5 215 (The Woodlands HS, TX)

3. Baltimore Orioles- LHP Drew Pomeranz 6-5 231 (Mississippi)

4. Kansas City Royals- SS Christian Colon 6-0 185 (Cal State Fullerton)

5. Cleveland Indians- RHP AJ Cole 6-5 190 (Oviedo HS, FL)

6. Arizona Diamondbacks- RHP Deck McGwire 6-6 223 (Georgia Tech)

7. New York Mets- RHP Alex Wimmers 6-2 195 (Ohio State)

8. Houston Astros- OF LeVon Washington 5-10 170 (Chipola JC, FL)

9. San Diego Padres- 3B Zach Cox 6-0 215 (Arkansas)

10. Oakland Athletics- RHP Dylan Covey 6-2 200 (Maranatha HS, CA)

11. Toronto Blue Jays- RHP Anthony Ranaudo 6-7 231 (LSU)

12. Cincinnati Reds- OF Austin Wilson 6-4 210 (Harvard Westlake HS, CA)

13. Chicago White Sox-LHP Chris Sale 6-6 172 (Florida Gulf Coast)

14. Milwaukee Brewers- RHP Karsten Whitson 6-4 190 (Chipley HS, FL)

15. Texas Rangers- OF Bryce Brentz 6-0 185 (Middle Tennessee State)

16. Chicago Cubs- 3B Kris Bryant 6-5 205 (Bonanza HS, NV)

 

17. Tampa Bay Rays- 3B Nick Castellanos 6-4 200 (Archbishop McCarthy HS, FL)

18. Los Angeles Angels- RHP Kyle Blair 6-3 200 (San Diego)

19. Houston Astros- RHP Brandon Workman 6-5 220 (Texas)

20. Boston Red Sox- LHP James Paxton 6-4 215 (Kentucky)

21. Minnesota Twins- RHP/SS Kaleb Cowart 6-3 190 (Cook County HS, GA)

22. Texas Rangers- SS Manny Machado 6-2 180 (Brito HS, FL)

23. Florida Marlins- RHP/SS Stetson Allie 6-3 215 (St. Edward HS, OH)

24. San Francisco Giants- SS Rick Hague 6-2 190 (Rice)

25. St. Louis Cardinals- RHP Jesse Hahn 6-5 190 (Virginia Tech)

26. Colorado Rockies- OF Josh Sale 6-0 205 (Bishop Blanchet HS, WA)

27. Philadelphia Phillies- RHP DeAndre Smelter 6-3 215 (Tattnall Country HS, GA)

28. Los Angeles Dodgers- RHP Justin Grimm 6-4 195 (Georgia)

29. Los Angeles Angels- SS/RHP Yordy Cabrera 6-2 195 (Lakeland HS, FL)

30. Los Angeles Angels- OF Jarrett Parker 6-3 190 (Virginia)

31. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- C Micah Gibbs 5-11 205 (LSU)

32. New York Yankees- RHP Cameron Bedrosian 6-0 195 (East Coweta HS, GA)

 

2011 NFL Mock Draft

 

1-16 17-32

Updated 4/28/11

For more mocks check out our NFL Mock Draft Database

This is just the first round. I’m focusing more in depth on the first round for this final mock. I’ll do the same for rounds 2-4 Thursday night into Friday morning and for rounds 4-7 Friday night into Saturday morning.

Note: I’m not mocking any trades in this mock. I tried mocking trades, but my brain exploded, so I’m not going to do that anymore.

1. Carolina Panthers- QB Cam Newton (Auburn)

There isn’t much more to say about this one. The Panthers claim that they’re considering four players in this spot, Newton, Patrick Peterson, AJ Green, and Marcell Dareus. However, either that’s not true or it is true, but in that case Newton is likely the clear favorite at this point. Everyone in the know has Newton in this spot and when that happens, normally they’re right, so I’m not going to get too cute with this one and go against the grain.

Other options:

AJ Green- If not Newton, then I think it’s Green. The defense isn’t the side of the football they have problems on and while defensive tackle is a need, this is a deep class at that position so they could get a good one with one of their two 3rd rounders. If they don’t pick Newton, that means Jimmy Clausen will probably get another shot and they can’t let him do that without better receivers, especially with Steve Smith on his way out. For the record, I’d pick Green. I’m not sold on any of these quarterbacks and Clausen still has some promise. Quarterbacks have bounced back from bad rookie years before.

Marcell Dareus- If they go defense, Dareus will be the pick. Defensive tackle is a major need of theirs.

Patrick Peterson- Just because the Panthers say they haven’t ruled him out.

2. Denver Broncos- RLB Von Miller (Texas A&M)

Every year there’s a surprising pick top 10 pick that gets late momentum. Last year it was the Redskins with Trent Williams over Russell Okung to Washington at 4. In 2009, it was Tyson Jackson to Kansas City at 3 over Aaron Curry. This year, it’s looking like this will be that surprise. Von Miller #2 to the Broncos over Marcell Dareus, the consensus #2 pick for about a month now. Don’t ask me why they’re doing. I’d much rather prefer a player with #2 pick value on all 3 downs, but I’m not making this pick. The Broncos are and they seem to be locked in on Von Miller.

Other options:

Marcell Dareus- Dareus was the popular pick for a while and it wouldn’t surprise me at all if they made the smart move and took him over Von Miller.

Patrick Peterson- Peterson is the other name I’ve heard here. Peterson gives them an instant upgrade over Perrish Cox and a future #1 cornerback when Champ Bailey has to move to free safety.

3. Buffalo Bills- 3-4 DE Marcell Dareus (Alabama)

Fortunately for my sanity, the Broncos picking Miller at 2 won’t blow up my mock too much. The Bills will take whichever one of Dareus or Miller that Denver passes on. Both fill major needs on their defensive front 7 and fit their 3-4 scheme like a glove. Everyone in the know seems to think that the Bills like Ryan Fitzpatrick enough to start him next year, rather than Blaine Gabbert, who they don’t seem to be sold on. Patrick Peterson might also be under consideration, but their defensive front 7 is a lot bigger of a need than their defensive backfield and the last time a cornerback went in the top 3 was 1997. It doesn’t happen often.

Other options:

Patrick Peterson- Peterson, as I mentioned above, is their other option.

Blaine Gabbert- Maybe they take a quarterback. I doubt it though.

4. Cincinnati Bengals- WR AJ Green (Georgia)

Again, nothing too surprising here. I’d be surprised if I got any of my top 4 picks wrong. Everyone in the know seems to think the Bengals have locked in on Green. The way the Bengals draft is that they focus on a different position in each round and rarely stray from that. They also don’t like to move. With that in mind, it seems very likely they go wide receiver in round 1 and then quarterback in round 2.

Julio Jones- Julio Jones would be the other wide receiver option. The Bengals have actually said they like him more, but no one’s buying it.

Patrick Peterson- I’ve had Peterson here in recent weeks because they’ve spent a good amount of time with the top two cornerbacks in this class and because neither of their two starting cornerbacks are signed for more than one more season.

Nick Fairley- The Bengals were spotted visiting Fairley at his house. Defensive tackle isn’t a huge need of theirs, but at the same time, they don’t have a playmaker like Fairley on the roster.

5. Arizona Cardinals- CB Patrick Peterson (LSU)

This is where it gets interesting. Gabbert was the popular pick here for a while. That’s not the case anymore and I think it makes sense. The Cardinals have said they’re not sold on any of these quarterbacks and their star player Larry Fitzgerald has made it clear he doesn’t want to play with a rookie. Recently, Fitzgerald also said he doubts they take a quarterback at 5. With that in mind, Peterson makes the most sense. I would be surprised if there was a single team in the league that didn’t have him rated amongst the top 5 prospects in this class and it’s not like they don’t need an upgrade over Greg Toler opposite Dominique Rodgers Cromartie.

Other options:

Blaine Gabbert- Would they take Gabbert and risk pissed off their franchise player? It’s not smart, but teams do stupid things sometimes. They’ve certainly done their homework on him.

Trade down- The Cardinals have a lot of coaches from the Steelers’ coaching tree and the Steelers are known for not valuing the cornerback position high, instead valuing linebackers high. If they don’t want to use a top 5 pick on a cornerback, San Francisco would love to move up. Arizona could then get their linebacker, either Robert Quinn or Aldon Smith, at 7.

6. Cleveland Browns- WR Julio Jones (Alabama)

Tough one here between Jones, Nick Fairley and Robert Quinn. All 3 fill major needs and fit the scheme and the range. I’m giving them Jones for two reasons. One, they prefer experienced college players. Jones has three years of starting experience. Quinn has two and just missed the whole 2010 season. Fairley has one and some change. Two, Mike Holmgren really likes the quarterback Colt McCoy. He hand selected him. It makes sense he’d want to give him a receiver considering how thin this team is at the position.

Other options:

Robert Quinn- Quinn has the edge over Fairley because he has more starting experience and because defensive ends have more positional value than defensive tackles. There also are no character reasons with Quinn.

Nick Fairley- Fairley is the 3rd option. I’d be surprised if they took him in this situation.

7. San Francisco 49ers- CB Prince Amukamara (Nebraska)

Word out of San Francisco is that they aren’t sold on Blaine Gabbert and they don’t think Robert Quinn or Nick Fairley fit their 3-4 scheme. Jim Harbaugh seems to want to give Alex Smith another shot at starting quarterback. Harbaugh is a great offensive coach. He’ll think he can coach it out of Smith. Eliminating those 3, the easy choice is Amukamara. Nate Clements is old, injury prone, and overpaid. He’ll either be cut or moved to free safety after negotiating a new, smaller contract.

Other options:

Blaine Gabbert- It wouldn’t surprise me to see Gabbert go here. New regimes mean new quarterbacks. Their dislike of Gabbert could be a smokescreen. Their dislike of Fairley and Quinn might not be as I don’t think either do fit their scheme.

Robert Quinn- Their looking for pass rushers for their 3-4 defense. The last time they had a 10+ sacks guy was 2002, the last time they made the playoffs. I still think Quinn is a square peg in a round hole in a 3-4 defense.

Nick Fairley- Fairley is another pass rushing option. Again, Quinn has more positional value and doesn’t have Fairley’s character concerns.

8. Tennessee Titans- QB Jake Locker (Washington)

This one’s not as crazy as it seems. Locker’s stock is rising right now to the point where many consider him to be a top-12 pick lock. Gabbert’s stock is falling and some are saying he could fall as far to 10 to Washington. Some, including NFL Network’s Michael Lombardi, seem to think that Tennessee actually has Locker higher on their board than Gabbert. There’s always at least one pick on the top 10 that makes you scratch your head. This one could be it.

Other options:

Blaine Gabbert- Gabbert is the obvious other option

Nick Fairley- If they like one of these two quarterbacks, they’ll take him. If, for whatever reason, they don’t. Fairley is the pick. Some teams have him off their board for character reasons or because he doesn’t fit their scheme. He fits Tennessee’s scheme like a glove and their defensive line coach Tracy Rocker was Fairley’s defensive line coach at Auburn so he knows how to get the best out of him.

1. Buffalo Bills- QB Andrew Luck (Stanford)
2 games in and Trent Edwards was already out as starter and Ryan Fitzpatrick was put in. How long will that last? 3 games? 4 games? Then Brian Brohm. Brohm has the most potential of any quarterback on the roster, but I doubt he’ll be anything special. The Bills need to take a quarterback if they are picking #1 overall next year. They also need a left tackle, but there isn’t a Jake Long or Joe Thomas in this class that’s worth a #1 overall pick. This could be a historically bad left tackle class. What else are they going to take here? It’s the first overall pick, you simply don’t use it on anyone other than a left tackle or quarterback and occasionally a defensive end, which isn’t a huge need for the Bills. In a way three way race with Ryan Mallett and Jake Locker for the 1st overall pick, Luck seems to be pulling ahead on the strength of 93 for 148 for 1253 yards 13 touchdowns and 4 picks. He is carrying Stanford to a 4-1 record (with one loss to #4 Oregon, in a game that the defense allowed 52 points) even without Toby Gerhart, who is now with the Minnesota Vikings.
2. Cleveland Browns- WR AJ Green (Georgia)
Let’s take a look at the Cleveland Browns leaders in receptions. Benjamin Watson, 18, tight end. Peyton Hillis, 16, running back. Josh Cribbs, 12, wide receiver. Chansi Stuckey, 10, wide receiver. After those four, no one has any more than 4 receptions, and of those top 4, 2 are not receivers and one started the year as a kick returner before being moved into the starting lineup as a receiver week 3. Projected #1 receiver Mohamed Massaquoi has 4 catches, on 12 targets, for 60 yards and a score. Projected #2 Brian Robiskie is even worse with 2 catches for 18 yards on 9 targets. This team needs receivers badly, no matter who the quarterback is in the future.
3. Detroit Lions- CB Patrick Peterson (LSU)
Interesting to see if the Lions finally decide to reach for a left tackle, over taking a higher ranked player this year, following the injury to Matt Stafford. Jeff Backus is obviously no longer qualified to protect Stafford’s blindside, especially against guys like Julius Peppers, Clay Matthews, and Jared Allen, but Patrick Peterson is clearly the better prospect here, over reaching for a tackle like Peterson’s unproven teammate Joseph Barksdale, or Boston College’s Anthony Costanzo. This could be a historically bad left tackle class and knowing the Lions, they aren’t going to take a left tackle from a historically bad left tackle class at 3, with someone like Peterson on the board. Peterson also fills a huge need at cornerback, as they try to rebuild…er build defensively.
4. Arizona Cardinals- QB Ryan Mallett (Arkansas)
Derek Anderson is not the guy they want at quarterback if they want to make the playoffs and if the Cardinals are picking at 4, it’s obvious Max Hall didn’t do much better. They’ll take one of the top 3 quarterbacks, Mallett, Locker, and Luck if they are here in April. After Jake Locker’s 4-20 performance against Nebraska, I think Mallett stays ahead of Locker on the quarterback totem pole. All 3 could still easily be top 10 or top 15 picks, but I think Mallett is the better quarterback. I saw Locker’s performance. It wasn’t as bad as 4-20 would suggest. His receivers didn’t help him that much. However, it was the worst single game performance I’ve seen from a potential top 10 pick ever.
5. New England Patriots- 3-4 DE Marcell Dareus (Alabama)
The Patriots got this pick for Richard Seymour last year. Why not take a replacement for him with it. Dareus is being compared to Seymour, only he’s 10 years younger and not a free agent after this season. It’s amazing how stupid the Raiders move for Seymour was.
6. Carolina Panthers- DE Robert Quinn (North Carolina)
The Panthers defensive line has 2 sacks all season. Think they miss Julius Peppers? Quinn is a legitimate top 3-5 pick prospect and thus represents a good value for this team here at 6. All indications are that he’ll be an elite pass rusher in this league for a long time.
7. San Francisco 49ers- QB Jake Locker (Washington)
If the 49ers are picking at 7, they didn’t rebound from that 0-4 start to make the playoffs in the miserable NFC West. If that happens, Alex Smith is done. This year is his last chance. If he doesn’t take them to the playoffs this year, they’re starting over at the position. Jake Locker is not a top 10 pick in my eyes, but given the need for quarterbacks, he’ll probably still go top 10. As long as the 49ers feel they can win the Super Bowl with him at quarterback and that they can’t with Alex Smith, they have to pull the trigger.
8. Jacksonville Jaguars- CB Prince Amukamara (Nebraska)
The Jaguars haven’t stopped anyone through the air in years. I’m not making this up. The last quarterback they held to less than a 50% completion percentage, JaMarcus Russell, December 23rd, 2007. They drafted Derek Cox in the 3rd round last year, but he was benched. Rashean Mathis is a free agent after the year anyway so their secondary could get even worse. They need that legit #1 corner type like Amukamara offers.
1. Buffalo Bills- QB Andrew Luck (Stanford)
2 games in and Trent Edwards was already out as starter and Ryan Fitzpatrick was put in. How long will that last? 3 games? 4 games? Then Brian Brohm. Brohm has the most potential of any quarterback on the roster, but I doubt he’ll be anything special. The Bills need to take a quarterback if they are picking #1 overall next year. They also need a left tackle, but there isn’t a Jake Long or Joe Thomas in this class that’s worth a #1 overall pick. This could be a historically bad left tackle class. What else are they going to take here? It’s the first overall pick, you simply don’t use it on anyone other than a left tackle or quarterback and occasionally a defensive end, which isn’t a huge need for the Bills. In a way three way race with Ryan Mallett and Jake Locker for the 1st overall pick, Luck seems to be pulling ahead on the strength of 93 for 148 for 1253 yards 13 touchdowns and 4 picks. He is carrying Stanford to a 4-1 record (with one loss to #4 Oregon, in a game that the defense allowed 52 points) even without Toby Gerhart, who is now with the Minnesota Vikings.
2. Cleveland Browns- WR AJ Green (Georgia)
Let’s take a look at the Cleveland Browns leaders in receptions. Benjamin Watson, 23, tight end. Peyton Hillis, 20, running back. Josh Cribbs, 13, wide receiver. Chansi Stuckey, 15, wide receiver. After those four, no one has any more than 9 receptions, and of those top 4, 2 are not receivers and one started the year as a kick returner before being moved into the starting lineup as a receiver week 3. Projected #1 receiver Mohamed Massaquoi has 9 catches, on 17 targets, for 115 yards and a score. Projected #2 Brian Robiskie is even worse with 3 catches for 23 yards on 10 targets. This team needs receivers badly, no matter who the quarterback is in the future.
3. Carolina Panthers- DE Robert Quinn (North Carolina)
The Panthers have only 7 sacks on the season and 3 of those came against the Bears and their horrible offensive line. Only 3.5 of their sacks came from their defensive line. Think they miss Julius Peppers? Regardless of his season long suspension, Quinn is still the top defensive end in this draft class and defensive ends, historically, go top 3 more often than any other position other than quarterback or left tackle.
4. San Francisco 49ers- QB Ryan Mallett (Arkansas)
If the 49ers are drafting in a position to take one of the top three quarterbacks, they’ll take one. Alex Smith is not cutting it right now and the fans are even cheering for them to start David Carr instead. David Carr!!! It’ll be between Mallett and Locker here with Luck off the board, but I think Mallett is slightly higher rated, despite his somewhat disappointing season. Mallett hasn’t really shown himself to be top 3 pick material this season as I expected he would.
5. New England Patriots- 3-4 DE Marcell Dareus (Alabama)
The Patriots got this pick for Richard Seymour last year. Why not take a replacement for him with it. Dareus is being compared to Seymour, only he’s 10 years younger and not a free agent after this season. It’s amazing how stupid the Raiders move for Seymour was. If not Dareus, they’ll trade down, as they often do, but I’m not projecting trades here.
6. Detroit Lions- CB Patrick Peterson (LSU)
Interesting to see if the Lions finally decide to reach for a left tackle, over taking a higher ranked player this year, following the injury to Matt Stafford. Jeff Backus is obviously no longer qualified to protect Stafford’s blindside, especially against guys like Julius Peppers, Clay Matthews, and Jared Allen, but Patrick Peterson is clearly the better prospect here, over reaching for a tackle like Peterson’s unproven teammate Joseph Barksdale, or Boston College’s Anthony Costanzo. This could be a historically bad left tackle class and knowing the Lions, they aren’t going to take a left tackle from a historically bad left tackle class at 3, with someone like Peterson on the board. Peterson also fills a huge need at cornerback, as they try to rebuild…er build defensively.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars- CB Prince Amukamara (Nebraska)
The Jaguars haven’t stopped anyone through the air in years. I’m not making this up. The last quarterback they held to less than a 50% completion percentage, JaMarcus Russell, December 23rd, 2007. They drafted Derek Cox in the 3rd round last year, but he was benched. Rashean Mathis is a free agent after next year anyway so their secondary could get even worse. They need that legit #1 corner type like Amukamara offers.
8. St. Louis Rams- WR Jonathan Baldwin (Pittsburgh)
When healthy, Donnie Avery is a solid #2 receiver. However, who is their #1? Mark Clayton? Danny Amendola? I doubt it. The Rams want to surround Sam Bradford with as many weapons as possible and taking a receiver here in the top 10 is the best way they can do that. Baldwin hasn’t been amazing statistically this year, but don’t let that scare you off. His team just can’t throw the ball with any consistency.
1. Buffalo Bills- QB Andrew Luck (Stanford)
2 games in and Trent Edwards was already out as starter and Ryan Fitzpatrick was put in. How long will that last? 3 games? 4 games? Then Brian Brohm. Brohm has the most potential of any quarterback on the roster, but I doubt he’ll be anything special. The Bills need to take a quarterback if they are picking #1 overall next year. They also need a left tackle, but there isn’t a Jake Long or Joe Thomas in this class that’s worth a #1 overall pick. This could be a historically bad left tackle class. What else are they going to take here? It’s the first overall pick, you simply don’t use it on anyone other than a left tackle or quarterback and occasionally a defensive end, which isn’t a huge need for the Bills. In a way three way race with Ryan Mallett and Jake Locker for the 1st overall pick, Luck seems to be pulling ahead on the strength of 113 for 172 for 1538 yards 16 touchdowns and 4 picks. He is carrying Stanford to a 5-1 record (with one loss to now #1 Oregon, in a game that the defense allowed 52 points) even without Toby Gerhart, who is now with the Minnesota Vikings.
2. Cleveland Browns- WR AJ Green (Georgia)
Let’s take a look at the Cleveland Browns leaders in receptions. Benjamin Watson, 29, tight end. Peyton Hillis, 26, running back. Josh Cribbs, 13, wide receiver. Chansi Stuckey, 19, wide receiver. After those four, no one has any more than 9 receptions, and of those top 4, 2 are not receivers and one started the year as a kick returner before being moved into the starting lineup as a receiver week 3. Projected #1 receiver Mohamed Massaquoi has 9 catches, on 21 targets, for 115 yards and a score. Projected #2 Brian Robiskie is even worse with 5 catches for 36 yards on 14 targets. This team needs receivers badly, no matter who the quarterback is in the future.
3. Carolina Panthers- DE Robert Quinn (North Carolina)
The Panthers have only 7 sacks on the season and 3 of those came against the Bears and their horrible offensive line. Only 3.5 of their sacks came from their defensive line. Think they miss Julius Peppers? Regardless of his season long suspension, Quinn is still the top defensive end in this draft class and defensive ends, historically, go top 3 more often than any other position other than quarterback or left tackle.
4. Detroit Lions- CB Patrick Peterson (LSU)
Interesting to see if the Lions finally decide to reach for a left tackle, over taking a higher ranked player this year, following the injury to Matt Stafford. Jeff Backus is obviously no longer qualified to protect Stafford’s blindside, especially against guys like Julius Peppers, Clay Matthews, and Jared Allen, but Patrick Peterson is clearly the better prospect here, over reaching for a tackle like Peterson’s unproven teammate Joseph Barksdale, or Boston College’s Anthony Costanzo. This could be a historically bad left tackle class and knowing the Lions, they aren’t going to take a left tackle from a historically bad left tackle class at 3, with someone like Peterson on the board. Peterson also fills a huge need at cornerback, as they try to rebuild…er build defensively.
5. New England Patriots- 3-4 DE Marcell Dareus (Alabama)
The Patriots got this pick for Richard Seymour last year. Why not take a replacement for him with it. Dareus is being compared to Seymour, only he’s 10 years younger and not a free agent after this season. It’s amazing how stupid the Raiders move for Seymour was. If not Dareus, they’ll trade down, as they often do, but I’m not projecting trades here.
6. San Francisco 49ers- QB Ryan Mallett (Arkansas)
If the 49ers are drafting in a position to take one of the top three quarterbacks, they’ll take one. Alex Smith is not cutting it right now and the fans are even cheering for them to start David Carr instead. David Carr!!! It’ll be between Mallett and Locker here with Luck off the board, but I think Mallett is slightly higher rated, despite his somewhat disappointing season. Mallett hasn’t really shown himself to be top 3 pick material this season as I expected he would.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars- CB Prince Amukamara (Nebraska)
The Jaguars haven’t stopped anyone through the air in years. I’m not making this up. The last quarterback they held to less than a 50% completion percentage, JaMarcus Russell, December 23rd, 2007. They drafted Derek Cox in the 3rd round last year, but he was benched. Rashean Mathis is a free agent after next year anyway so their secondary could get even worse. They need that legit #1 corner type like Amukamara offers.
8. St. Louis Rams- WR Jonathan Baldwin (Pittsburgh)
When healthy, Donnie Avery is a solid #2 receiver. However, who is their #1? Mark Clayton? Danny Amendola? I doubt it. The Rams want to surround Sam Bradford with as many weapons as possible and taking a receiver here in the top 10 is the best way they can do that. Baldwin hasn’t been amazing statistically this year, but don’t let that scare you off. His team just can’t throw the ball with any consistency.

 

9. Dallas Cowboys- 3-4 DE JJ Watt (Wisconsin)

I’ve said I can’t see the Cowboys using the 9th pick on Tyron Smith before because they’ve never used a first rounder on an offensive lineman in the Jerry Jones era and because their issue is at right tackle, not left tackle, and that can be addressed in another round. Rick Gosselin, of the Dallas News, who is one of the best sources for all things Cowboys related come draft time, also has them taking JJ Watt, which just confirms my belief that Watt will be the pick. Also, Tyron Smith #9 to Dallas no longer seems to be the very popular consensus at this spot like it was a week ago. People are split between Smith and Watt. I’ve got Watt.

Other options:

Tyron Smith- As mentioned above, Smith is the other option if they stay in this spot.

Cameron Jordan- Jordan could be another 5 technique option for them. I haven’t heard his name in this spot much though.

Trade down- Much talk has been made about Dallas trading down. A while ago, Jerry Jones said he had talked with two teams already that were interested in this spot. Dallas seems willing to do so if the board falls right.

10. Washington Redskins- QB Blaine Gabbert (Missouri)

I think this is as far as Gabbert falls. The Redskins’ chances of fixing the situation with Donovan McNabb seems as likely as pigs flying and the chances of Rex Grossman suddenly becoming a franchise quarterback are only slightly better. Quarterback is the big need and Gabbert should get off the board in the top 10 in this weak quarterback class, with so many quarterback needy teams.

Other options:

Cameron Jordan- Of course there was a point where everyone said “this is as far as Brady Quinn falls” or “this is as far as Aaron Rodgers falls” or “this is as far as Jimmy Clausen falls.” Cameron Jordan’s name has been linked to the Redskins at this spot.

Trade down: They have no 3rd or 4th rounder and have a need at almost every position. A team like Tampa Bay might want to move up for Robert Quinn or New Orleans for Nick Fairley.

11. Houston Texans- RLB Aldon Smith (Missouri)

Again, I think Robert Quinn in a 3-4 as a square peg in a round hole and I’m not the only one who thinks so. Quinn is more talented than Aldon Smith, but Smith is the much better fit for their 3-4 scheme. Reports are that Houston loves Smith and that he reminds Wade Phillips of DeMarcus Ware, who he had in Dallas.

Other options:

Robert Quinn- Quinn is the more talented player. They may draft talent and try to shove him into the round hole as a square peg.

Cameron Jordan- Most in the know think this will be a front 7 player. Houston has concerns about drafting cornerbacks in the first in back to back years, though they have a need at the position. I haven’t heard Jordan linked to the Texans, but it does make some sense. Jordan is another 3-4 pass rusher and would fit nicely opposite Mario Williams.

12. Minnesota Vikings- DT Nick Fairley (Auburn)

The free fall stops for Fairley here. Too many 3-4 teams in the top 10. Too many character concerns. And that run on quarterbacks did him in and he falls out of the top 10. Minnesota would like a quarterback here, but they wouldn’t mind Fairley. Pat Williams is the oldest defensive player in the league and they don’t have a successor. Fairley fits the scheme and he’s worth the risk outside of the top 10.

Other options:

Robert Quinn- Quinn also makes sense here. Everson Griffen can’t stop getting arrested. Ray Edwards has one foot and 3 toes out the door. The Vikings will take BPA between these two, unless they fall in love with a quarterback.

Christian Ponder- If they do fall in love with a quarterback, it would be Christian Ponder. He fits their scheme well and they reportedly really like him. I’m not crazy enough to put 4 quarterbacks in the top 12 however.

13. Detroit Lions- DE Robert Quinn (North Carolina)

The BPA loving Lions will take about 5 seconds to hand in their cards in this situation. Quinn fits their 4-3 scheme and is at least a top 10, if not top 5 prospect on almost all 4-3 team’s boards. Kyle Vanden Bosch is getting up there in age and Cliff Avril isn’t great on non-passing downs. Quinn fits in rotation with those 2 well and that defensive end rotation compliments their defensive tackle rotation of Ndamukong Suh, Corey Williams, and Sammie Lee Hill well. That’s the type of defensive line that makes opposite quarterbacks call in sick.

Other options:

Tyron Smith- If they’re really, really, really high on Tyron Smith, he’d be rated higher on their board than Quinn. Also, if they’re really, really, really high, Tyron Smith would be rated higher on their board than Quinn.

14. St. Louis Rams- DT Corey Liuget (Illinois)

Some people have a defensive end here. I can’t see it. Steve Spagnuolo has done great work with late round ends before in New York and will think he can do the same in St. Louis. As evidence, he drafted 3 ends in the late rounds last year. 2 are still on the roster and I think Spags thinks he can groom one of them to be James Hall’s eventually successor and won’t see the need to use a premium pick on a blue chip rusher, even if Aldon Smith were to fall here. Given that, Corey Liuget makes a lot of sense. They have nothing at defensive tackle other than 34 year old Fred Robbins.

Other options:

Mike Pouncey- Pouncey would fill a need at guard and he would fit the range.

Ryan Kerrigan- If they do go defensive end, Ryan Kerrigan figures to be that defensive end. A lot of 4-3 teams aren’t sold on Cameron Jordan.

Cameron Jordan- Of course, this could be one of the few that is.

Trade down- If the Rams feel they aren’t in love with anyone at this spot, they could trade down. San Diego and Tampa Bay would both love to get ahead of New England for Cameron Jordan.

15. Miami Dolphins- G Mike Pouncey (Florida)

Mark Ingram has been in this spot for most of the season, but concerns about his knee and overall devaluation of his position drop him here. It seems like his range starts at 19 and experts seem to agree with me. If they don’t trade down, Pouncey figures to be the most likely pick. They really need to shore up their interior blocking and Jeff Ireland doesn’t appear sold on Ryan Mallett after his latest interview.

Other options:

Ryan Mallett- Of course, they’ve worked him out seemingly every week and they’ve done their homework on him more than any other team in the league. If they like what they see, they’ll pull the trigger. I think it’s more likely they don’t like what they see. In an interview, Ireland said that he wished Mallett the best in the future. That doesn’t sound like someone who is going to draft him.

Trade down- Trading down makes a ton of sense here. Like at 14, someone could really want to jump New England for Cameron Jordan. Tyron Smith is another candidate to go here if this pick is traded. Miami doesn’t have a 2nd rounder and would like to be able to get back into the 2nd round, take a running back, and then take a quarterback like Colin Kaepernick later in the first.

Trade up- If Blaine Gabbert’s there at 9, they could trade up and you know Dallas is selling. They may be in love with Gabbert and feel that a mere 6 spot jump would be worth it.

16. Jacksonville Jaguars- DE Ryan Kerrigan (Purdue)

I can’t remember the last time I had anything different here. If they pass on Ryan Kerrigan, I’ll throw my computer out of the window. Actually, on 2nd though no, these are the Jaguars we’re talking about. They single handedly destroyed every mock in America by taking Tyson Alualu at 10 last year. Still, I am sticking with Kerrigan. This team loves to build in the trenches and with Aaron Kampman’s future in doubt, they need an end after managing just 40 sacks in the last 2 years. Kerrigan is Gene Smith’s type of player, strong motor, blue collar, team captain, productive in college.

Other options:

Cameron Jordan- Jordan is also a Gene Smith type player and he might want to pair him up with Tyson Alualu, Jordan’s former college teammate, on this defensive line. However, I don’t know if they’ll be sold on him in a 4-3.

Rahim Moore- This one would be straight out of the Jacksonville Jaguars’ “what the fuck” file, but they’ve certainly accessed said file before. Moore is a Gene Smith type player and fills a major need at free safety.

Christian Ponder- They could want a quarterback here and Ponder is a Gene Smith type player.

 

Go on to 17-32

HTML Comment Box is loading comments…

1. Carolina Panthers- QB Andrew Luck (Stanford)

The logic here is simple, if the Panthers can draft Luck, it means they have a top 3 pick, likely the top pick. If they have a top 3 pick, it’s because Clausen struggled down the stretch and if he does that, they won’t have problems drafting Luck. If they aren’t in a position to draft Luck this April, it’s because Clausen won them some games down the stretch and in that case, Clausen will earn himself another year. If the Panthers are picking #1, Clausen is going to be done as the starter in Carolina.

I will be very intrigued to see if anyone tries to trade for him. Remember, every saw it as a huge steal went he went 48th last year as he was a projected top 10 pick. His situation this year has been less than ideal, especially for a rookie. Get him in a better situation with more experience, he could still be a solid signal caller, and if the Panthers draft Luck, Clausen can probably be had for a 3rd-4th rounder. A team like Miami would make a lot of sense if they aren’t quite sold on Chad Henne because of their supporting cast.

2. Cincinnati Bengals- DE Da’Quan Bowers (Clemson)

They could reach for Ryan Mallett here, or draft a development quarterback in the 2nd for 2012 when Carson Palmer will, barring a career resurgence, not likely be with the team. I’m going with the later here. Bowers has more sacks than the entire Bengals team combined. Bowers, a former #1 rated High School prospect, has 16 sacks this season and runs a mid 4.6 at 6-4 280.

3. Arizona Cardinals- QB Ryan Mallett (Arkansas)

Derek Anderson may put his heart and soul, studying his ass off every week, but it’s not working. Anderson is easily the worst starting quarterback in the NFL (unless you count Rusty Smith). They can’t afford to take a development prospect in the 2nd round. This is a veteran team built to win now and with a legitimate quarterback like Mallett can be, even as a rookie, this team could win the NFC West next year.

4. Detroit Lions- CB Patrick Peterson (LSU)

Interesting to see if the Lions finally decide to reach for a left tackle, over taking a higher ranked player this year, following the injury to Matt Stafford. Jeff Backus is obviously no longer qualified to protect Stafford’s blindside, especially against guys like Julius Peppers, Clay Matthews, and Jared Allen, but Patrick Peterson is clearly the better prospect here, over reaching for a tackle like Peterson’s unproven teammate Joseph Barksdale, or Boston College’s Anthony Costanzo. This could be a historically bad left tackle class and knowing the Lions, they aren’t going to take a left tackle from a historically bad left tackle class at in the top 10, with someone like Harris on the board. Harris also fills a huge need at cornerback, as they try to rebuild…er build defensively.

5. Buffalo Bills- 3-4 DE Marcell Dareus (Alabama)

Poor Bills. They’re out of Luck. Literally. They’re not going to reach for Jake Locker here at 4. They’ll probably just try to bulk up their defense and go at it again next year with Fitzpatrick, who hasn’t been terrible this year, and an improved defense. Dareus might be the overall top defensive player in this entire class. He fits both their 3-4 and 4-3 scheme as they run mixes of both.

6. Denver Broncos- CB Prince Amukamara (Nebraska)

Despite having Champ Bailey, they still rank 30th in the league against the pass. Bailey’s no spring chicken anymore on the wrong side of 30. They need a young talented cornerback. They’ve drafted 3 cornerbacks in the last 2 years, Alphonso Smith, Perrish Cox, and Syd’Quan Thompson, but none of those 3 are blue chip prospects and Smith is no longer with the team.

7. Dallas Cowboys- RLB Robert Quinn (North Carolina)

If they get the right coach (and a healthy Tony Romo), they’re talented enough to go all the way. They need to just use this opportunity to add talent and Quinn is BPA. Anthony Spencer hasn’t progressed like he was supposed to. After the former 1st round pick had 6 sacks last year, showing some promise, he’s down to 3 this year and that’s with DeMarcus Ware creating pressure on the other side. Quinn’s been suspended for the entire season because of a NCAA rule violation, but the Cowboys drafted Dez Bryant in the first after he was suspended for a year for the same thing.

8. Cleveland Browns- WR AJ Green (Georgia)

Colt McCoy looks like the best quarterback the Browns have had in the last 10 years. I know that isn’t saying much, but he’s still a very promising young quarterback. However, they need to get him some receivers. This team lacks a #1 receiver. His receiver corps consists of Mohamed Massaquoi, Brian Robiskie, Chansi Stuckey, and Josh Cribbs. There’s talent there, but no #1.

 

 

1. Carolina Panthers- QB Andrew Luck (Stanford)

The logic here is simple, if the Panthers can draft Luck, it means they have a top 3 pick, likely the top pick. If they have a top 3 pick, it’s because Clausen struggled down the stretch and if he does that, they won’t have problems drafting Luck. If they aren’t in a position to draft Luck this April, it’s because Clausen won them some games down the stretch and in that case, Clausen will earn himself another year. If the Panthers are picking #1, Clausen is going to be done as the starter in Carolina.

I will be very intrigued to see if anyone tries to trade for him. Remember, every saw it as a huge steal went he went 48th last year as he was a projected top 10 pick. His situation this year has been less than ideal, especially for a rookie. Get him in a better situation with more experience, he could still be a solid signal caller, and if the Panthers draft Luck, Clausen can probably be had for a 3rd-4th rounder. A team like Miami would make a lot of sense if they aren’t quite sold on Chad Henne because of their supporting cast.

2. Cincinnati Bengals- DE Da’Quan Bowers (Clemson)

They could reach for Ryan Mallett here, or draft a development quarterback in the 2nd for 2012 when Carson Palmer will, barring a career resurgence, not likely be with the team. I’m going with the later here. Bowers has more sacks than the entire Bengals team combined. Bowers, a former #1 rated High School prospect, has 16 sacks this season and runs a mid 4.6 at 6-4 280.

3. Arizona Cardinals- QB Ryan Mallett (Arkansas)

Derek Anderson may put his heart and soul, studying his ass off every week, but it’s not working. Anderson is easily the worst starting quarterback in the NFL (unless you count Rusty Smith). They can’t afford to take a development prospect in the 2nd round. This is a veteran team built to win now and with a legitimate quarterback like Mallett can be, even as a rookie, this team could win the NFC West next year.

4. Detroit Lions- CB Patrick Peterson (LSU)

Interesting to see if the Lions finally decide to reach for a left tackle, over taking a higher ranked player this year, following the injury to Matt Stafford. Jeff Backus is obviously no longer qualified to protect Stafford’s blindside, especially against guys like Julius Peppers, Clay Matthews, and Jared Allen, but Patrick Peterson is clearly the better prospect here, over reaching for a tackle like Peterson’s unproven teammate Joseph Barksdale, or Boston College’s Anthony Costanzo. This could be a historically bad left tackle class and knowing the Lions, they aren’t going to take a left tackle from a historically bad left tackle class at in the top 10, with someone like Harris on the board. Harris also fills a huge need at cornerback, as they try to rebuild…er build defensively.

5. Buffalo Bills- 3-4 DE Marcell Dareus (Alabama)

Poor Bills. They’re out of Luck. Literally. They’re not going to reach for Jake Locker here at 4. They’ll probably just try to bulk up their defense and go at it again next year with Fitzpatrick, who hasn’t been terrible this year, and an improved defense. Dareus might be the overall top defensive player in this entire class. He fits both their 3-4 and 4-3 scheme as they run mixes of both.

6. Denver Broncos- CB Prince Amukamara (Nebraska)

Despite having Champ Bailey, they still rank 30th in the league against the pass. Bailey’s no spring chicken anymore on the wrong side of 30. They need a young talented cornerback. They’ve drafted 3 cornerbacks in the last 2 years, Alphonso Smith, Perrish Cox, and Syd’Quan Thompson, but none of those 3 are blue chip prospects and Smith is no longer with the team.

7. Dallas Cowboys- RLB Robert Quinn (North Carolina)

If they get the right coach (and a healthy Tony Romo), they’re talented enough to go all the way. They need to just use this opportunity to add talent and Quinn is BPA. Anthony Spencer hasn’t progressed like he was supposed to. After the former 1st round pick had 6 sacks last year, showing some promise, he’s down to 3 this year and that’s with DeMarcus Ware creating pressure on the other side. Quinn’s been suspended for the entire season because of a NCAA rule violation, but the Cowboys drafted Dez Bryant in the first after he was suspended for a year for the same thing.

8. Cleveland Browns- WR AJ Green (Georgia)

Colt McCoy looks like the best quarterback the Browns have had in the last 10 years. I know that isn’t saying much, but he’s still a very promising young quarterback. However, they need to get him some receivers. This team lacks a #1 receiver. His receiver corps consists of Mohamed Massaquoi, Brian Robiskie, Chansi Stuckey, and Josh Cribbs. There’s talent there, but no #1.

 

 

1. Carolina Panthers- QB Andrew Luck (Stanford)

The logic here is simple, if the Panthers can draft Luck, it means they have a top 3 pick, likely the top pick. If they have a top 3 pick, it’s because Clausen struggled down the stretch and if he does that, they won’t have problems drafting Luck. If they aren’t in a position to draft Luck this April, it’s because Clausen won them some games down the stretch and in that case, Clausen will earn himself another year. If the Panthers are picking #1, Clausen is going to be done as the starter in Carolina.

I will be very intrigued to see if anyone tries to trade for him. Remember, every saw it as a huge steal went he went 48th last year as he was a projected top 10 pick. His situation this year has been less than ideal, especially for a rookie. Get him in a better situation with more experience, he could still be a solid signal caller, and if the Panthers draft Luck, Clausen can probably be had for a 3rd-4th rounder. A team like Miami would make a lot of sense if they aren’t quite sold on Chad Henne because of their supporting cast.

2. Cincinnati Bengals- DE Da’Quan Bowers (Clemson)

They could reach for Ryan Mallett here, or draft a development quarterback in the 2nd for 2012 when Carson Palmer will, barring a career resurgence, not likely be with the team. I’m going with the later here. Bowers has more sacks than the entire Bengals team combined. Bowers, a former #1 rated High School prospect, has 16 sacks this season and runs a mid 4.6 at 6-4 280.

3. Arizona Cardinals- QB Ryan Mallett (Arkansas)

Derek Anderson may put his heart and soul, studying his ass off every week, but it’s not working. Anderson is easily the worst starting quarterback in the NFL (unless you count Rusty Smith). They can’t afford to take a development prospect in the 2nd round. This is a veteran team built to win now and with a legitimate quarterback like Mallett can be, even as a rookie, this team could win the NFC West next year.

4. Detroit Lions- CB Patrick Peterson (LSU)

Interesting to see if the Lions finally decide to reach for a left tackle, over taking a higher ranked player this year, following the injury to Matt Stafford. Jeff Backus is obviously no longer qualified to protect Stafford’s blindside, especially against guys like Julius Peppers, Clay Matthews, and Jared Allen, but Patrick Peterson is clearly the better prospect here, over reaching for a tackle like Peterson’s unproven teammate Joseph Barksdale, or Boston College’s Anthony Costanzo. This could be a historically bad left tackle class and knowing the Lions, they aren’t going to take a left tackle from a historically bad left tackle class at in the top 10, with someone like Harris on the board. Harris also fills a huge need at cornerback, as they try to rebuild…er build defensively.

5. Buffalo Bills- 3-4 DE Marcell Dareus (Alabama)

Poor Bills. They’re out of Luck. Literally. They’re not going to reach for Jake Locker here at 4. They’ll probably just try to bulk up their defense and go at it again next year with Fitzpatrick, who hasn’t been terrible this year, and an improved defense. Dareus might be the overall top defensive player in this entire class. He fits both their 3-4 and 4-3 scheme as they run mixes of both.

6. Denver Broncos- CB Prince Amukamara (Nebraska)

Despite having Champ Bailey, they still rank 30th in the league against the pass. Bailey’s no spring chicken anymore on the wrong side of 30. They need a young talented cornerback. They’ve drafted 3 cornerbacks in the last 2 years, Alphonso Smith, Perrish Cox, and Syd’Quan Thompson, but none of those 3 are blue chip prospects and Smith is no longer with the team.

7. Dallas Cowboys- RLB Robert Quinn (North Carolina)

If they get the right coach (and a healthy Tony Romo), they’re talented enough to go all the way. They need to just use this opportunity to add talent and Quinn is BPA. Anthony Spencer hasn’t progressed like he was supposed to. After the former 1st round pick had 6 sacks last year, showing some promise, he’s down to 3 this year and that’s with DeMarcus Ware creating pressure on the other side. Quinn’s been suspended for the entire season because of a NCAA rule violation, but the Cowboys drafted Dez Bryant in the first after he was suspended for a year for the same thing.

8. Cleveland Browns- WR AJ Green (Georgia)

Colt McCoy looks like the best quarterback the Browns have had in the last 10 years. I know that isn’t saying much, but he’s still a very promising young quarterback. However, they need to get him some receivers. This team lacks a #1 receiver. His receiver corps consists of Mohamed Massaquoi, Brian Robiskie, Chansi Stuckey, and Josh Cribbs. There’s talent there, but no #1.

 

 

2010 

2011 Week 1 Rankings

 

()=Previous ranking (preseason) 

32(23). Jacksonville Jaguars

All the Jaguars had to do was beat the Colts week 15 and they had the division and the playoffs wrapped up with 2 weeks to spare. However, they didn’t beat the Colts week 15. Then they lost week 16. Then they lost week 17. They ended up missing the postseason entirely, finishing 8-8 as the Colts once again… (read more)

31(28). San Francisco 49ers

In the prime of the Mike Singletary era (by prime, I mean when people actually thought this team had a shot at making the playoffs), this team was known for its defense. However, the offense has somehow become the team’s best unit and no, it’s not because the offense got that much better. Alex Smith is still their… (read more)

30(32). Cincinnati Bengals

After winning the division in 2009, hopes were high in Cincinnati, especially with Terrell Owens coming in during the offseason. Unfortunately, Carson Palmer’s struggles, the ego of the T-Ocho show (it’s no coincidence Palmer had his best games when both were hurt), and injuries on defense left them at 4-12… (read more)

29(29). Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks went into week 17 in an interesting situation last year. They were 6-9 and missing their starting quarterback. If they lost by 15+, they’d set a record for most losses in a single season by 15+ with 10. For those of you who can’t do math, that would have meant that they lost all 10 of their games by 15+. However… (read more)

28(30). Carolina Panthers

The Carolina Panthers had the worst record in the league last year and they were rewarded with the league’s toughest schedule. That’s what you get for being in the same division as Tampa Bay, Atlanta, and New Orleans. They play 6 games against those 3 teams and could easily lose all 6. They also play Green… (read more)

27(27). Oakland Raiders

After losing the Super Bowl in 2003, the Raider endured 7 straight seasons of 11 losses or more. Last year, they rose to 8-8. This year, I’m projecting a regression for several reasons. First, they lost a significant part of their team in free agency. Nnamdi Asomugha was their best player, hands down. He’s gone. Zach… (read more)

26(25). Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins had an opportunity to contend for a playoff spot. All they had to do was send a 3rdrounder to Denver for Kyle Orton. Orton isn’t a great quarterback or anything, but this team has a good defense and they fixed the running game and offensive line in the offseason so all he’d have to do is not turn the ball over… (read more)

25(26). Denver Broncos

The fans want Tim Tebow. Tim Tebow might not be the best quarterback on their roster. He might be, but he might not be. However, we know what Kyle Orton is. Kyle Orton is boring. Kyle Orton can get you to the playoffs if you have a good supporting cast, but he won’t win any games and if he doesn’t have a good… (read more)

24(22). Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs improved from 4-12 in 2009 to 10-6 in 2010. But did they actually get any better? That can be tough to tell because of how easy Kansas City’s schedule was last season. In 2010, Kansas City played 4 games against teams with better than a .500 record (including playoffs). They went 1-3 in those games… (read more)

23(31). Washington Redskins

Rex Grossman predicts the Redskins will win the NFC East. Rex Grossman is wrong. Don’t get me wrong, I love that he made that prediction. I love unfounded confidence in sports. I love when a team down 3-0 in a series predicts a series win. I love when a team currently out of the playoff race predicts they will win… (read more)

22(8). Indianapolis Colts

Peyton Manning had a down season by his standards. He posted his lowest quarterback rating since 2002 (91.9), had his lowest YPA since his rookie season and threw more picks than any season since 2002. However, that doesn’t mean that at age 35, Peyton Manning is a declining player. A lot of his… (read more)

21(20). Minnesota Vikings

Brett Favre was amazing in 2009 and this team almost went to the Super Bowl. Brett Favre was terrible in 2010, getting benched for Joe Webb, who also sucked. Now, former Eagles’ and Redskins’ quarterback Donovan McNabb is the starting quarterback and many Vikings fans feel he can get them back into the… (read more)

20(24). Tennessee Titans

The Titans are cleaning house. Former Head Coach Jeff Fisher is gone after 17 seasons, replaced with Mike Munchak. Vince Young is gone, as is Kerry Collins, who retired. They drafted Jake Locker with the 8th overall pick and signed Matt Hasselbeck to be a stopgap for them until Locker is ready to… (read more)

19(21). Buffalo Bills

The last time the Buffalo Bills made the playoffs, Bill Clinton was still president (1999). The main reason for that is inconsistent (or consistently bad) quarterback play. Is Ryan Fitzpatrick that quarterback to get them back to the playoffs? I doubt it. Chan Gailey’s offense has always inflated quarterbacks’ stats… (read more)

18(19). Chicago Bears

The Bears went 11-5 and made the NFC Championship game last year, but I never bet big money on them to win ever. I didn’t trust them. Jay Cutler is an interception prone quarterback and offensive coordinator Mike Martz is a coordinator whose system leads to a lot of turnovers (a lot of yards and touchdowns too… (read more)

17(16). New York Giants

In 2004, the Giants started 4-1 before finishing 6-10. In 2006, they started 6-2 before finishing 8-8. They still made the playoffs and lost to the Eagles in the first. In 2007, they started 6-2 before finishing 10-6. They eventually got their act together and won the Super Bowl, but their 2nd half struggles were still… (read more)

16(12). Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals obviously felt they were a quarterback away from being a legitimate Super Bowl contender because they spent a 2nd round pick and a starting cornerback to get Kevin Kolb. However, Kevin Kolb is not Kurt Warner and their supporting cast is not the supporting cast it was in 2009 when they won… (read more)

15(13). Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers went 10-6 in 2010 and almost made the playoffs. However, after LeGarrette Blount took over as the starting running back week 7, and added a new dimension to their offense, rushing for 5 yards per carry out of the backfield, they didn’t lose by more than a touchdown for the rest of the season, hanging… (read more)

14(14). Pittsburgh Steelers

Of the last 10 Super Bowl runner ups, only 3 have made the playoffs the next season, combining to win 1 playoff game. The last time a team won the Super Bowl after losing it the year before was the early 70s. The Steelers have made the Super Bowl three times in the Big Ben era. The last two times they made the Super Bowl… (read more)

13(11). Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys bottomed out last season. Once a popular pick to become the first team to play in a Super Bowl the same season that they hosted the Super Bowl, the Cowboys started the season 1-7 and finished 6-10. However, it wasn’t all bad. Wade Phillips is finally gone. The Cowboys were never going to win a… (read more)

12(15). St. Louis Rams

In 2009, the Rams won 1 game. Rookie quarterback Sam Bradford instantly made this a better team as the Rams won 7 games and almost made the playoffs. Bradford was 354 for 590 (60.0%) for 3512 yards (6.0 YPA), 18 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. That might not sound great, but consider that he lost Mark… (read more)

11(17). Detroit Lions

In 2008, the Lions won no games. If they had forfeited every game, their record would have been the same. However, that seems like a long way away now. Bottoming out was what this team needed after a long stretch of terrible play. Bottoming out allowed them to start fresh with new personnel in the front office… (read more)

10(18). Cleveland Browns

3rd round pick Colt McCoy took over week 6 as the starter, as a rookie, after 5 weeks of Jake Delhomme and Seneca Wallace. He lost by a lot in his debut against the Steelers, but after that, he had 4 straight strong performances. The Browns beat the Saints and the Patriots in consecutive games, and then came… (read more)

9(7). San Diego Chargers

The Chargers struggled in the start of the 2010 season, nothing new to them. They started 2-5, but like they had in recent years, everyone expected them to be able to bounce back. They looked well on their way, winning 4 in a row, before losing to the Raiders and falling to 6-6. They won their next two games, but a loss to the… (read more)

 8(9). New York Jets

This offseason could have gone in two completely different directions for the Jets. It could have gone very badly. David Harris, Shaun Ellis, Brodney Pool, Antonio Cromartie, Braylon Edwards, Brad Smith, and Santonio Holmes were all free agents heading into this offseason. That’s 4 defensive starters and their… (read more)

7(6). Houston Texans

The Houston Texans have never made the playoffs. They have been trendy sleeper picks for the past few years and have never come through. Some people have sworn off of making them sleepers. I am not one of those people. In fact, this is the first year I can really call Houston one of my sleepers. Peyton Manning… (read more)

6(4). New Orleans Saints

In February of 2010, the Saints were on top of the world as Super Bowl Champions. However, like every reigning Super Bowl Champion before them since the 2003 New England Patriots, the Saints failed to win a playoff game, losing in embarrassing fashion to the Seattle Seahawks, a team that somehow qualified… (read more)

5(3). Green Bay Packers

The Green Bay Packers won the Super Bowl, as I predicted last August (just saying), last year despite having many players on IR, including several key players. Among those were Ryan Grant, their lead back, Jermichael Finley, their stud tight end, Morgan Burnett, a talented rookie starter at strong safety, Nick Barnett, a… (read more)

 

4(10). Baltimore Ravens

Joe Flacco has more wins in his first 3 seasons than any quarterback not named Dan Marino, but there is one thing he’s yet to do and that’s beat Ben Roethlisberger. Flacco has beaten the Steelers twice in those 3 years, but that was when Ben was out of the lineup. Roethlisberger has gotten the best of Flacco… (read more)

 

3(5). Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles stole the offseason. They might not be the best team (though they might be), but there’s no question this is the most hyped team. The added a key addition at almost every position, Dominique Rodgers Cromartie and Nnamdi Asomugha at cornerback, Jason Babin at defensive end, Cullen Jenkins at… (read more)

 2(2). Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons finished 13-3 last season and got the NFC #1 seed, but they were exposed late. New Orleans came into town week 16 and won and all of a sudden the mystique behind the Georgia Dome, where Matt Ryan had only lost once in his 3 year career, was gone. 3 weeks later, the Packers came in and… (read more)

1(1). New England Patriots

At this time last year, some were talking about the Patriots as a potential 9-7 or 8-8 team that would miss the playoffs. The Jets were the talk of the division and some were even speculating the Dolphins were better than the Patriots. Their defense was inexperienced and their key offensive players were… (read more)

 

2012 NFL Mock Re-Draft

 

2nd round 3rd round 

 

33. St. Louis Rams- WR Stephen Hill (Georgia Tech)

Stephen Hill’s upside is off the charts, but no one wanted to take the risk in the 1st round. He won’t last long in the 2nd round. The Rams are building for the future with 2 first round picks in 2013 and 2014. They desperately need wide receiver help for Sam Bradford and they can afford to wait on Hill. If the Rams don’t take Hill here, I think someone will. The Rams have reportedly gotten several offers for the pick from teams interested in Hill (including Cleveland) so the Rams could trade down again.

34. Indianapolis Colts- TE Coby Fleener (Stanford)

This pick makes too much sense. Andrew Luck will be thrilled if they give him his former college teammate to throw to. Brody Eldridge is tops on their tight end depth chart. He has 26 catches in college and the NFL combined. Besides, of the last 19 teams to take a quarterback in the first round, 15 of them took an offensive player with their next pick.

35. Baltimore Ravens- G Cordy Glenn (Georgia)

A lot of people mocked Peter Konz to the Ravens at 29, but Peter King doesn’t see him as a fit. Maybe they don’t see him as a good fit at guard. Cordy Glenn is a more natural fit.

36. Denver Broncos- DT Jerel Worthy (Michigan State)

I had Jerel Worthy to the Broncos in the first round in my final mock so I’ll keep him to them here now that they’ve traded down twice.

37. Cleveland Browns- OT Jonathan Martin (Stanford)

I mentioned Jonathan Martin as an option at 22 in the first to the Browns. They’ll certainly consider him here at 37. They’ve brought him in for a personal workout and they need a new right tackle after cutting Tony Pashos this offseason. Besides, of the last 19 teams to take a quarterback in the first round, 15 of them took an offensive player with their next pick.

38. Jacksonville Jaguars- DE Courtney Upshaw (Alabama)

A lot of people had Melvin Ingram mocked to the Jaguars in the first round and, if they had stayed at 7, he might have been the pick. Courtney Upshaw is a similar player, albeit generally viewed as an inferior prospect.

39. St. Louis Rams- RB Lamar Miller (Miami)

The Rams had interest in Trent Richardson early and still could move Steven Jackson this weekend. The soon to be 29 year old is on his last legs and wants a new contract. Building for the future, they can’t afford to give that to him. Miller is much younger and cheaper and someone they brought in for a private workout.

40. Carolina Panthers- WR Rueben Randle (LSU)

Steve Smith may have just gotten a new deal, but he’s not getting any younger at 33 years of his age this offseason. They don’t have a lot of depth at the position behind him and could bring in Randle to develop as a starter long term.

 

41. Buffalo Bills- OT Mike Adams (Ohio State)

The Bills passed on a first round tackle because they didn’t see any tackle other than Matt Kalil worth the 10th overall pick. The rest of the league agreed as only 2 tackles went in the first round. That means the Bills should be able to get one of the other 3 highly rated tackles they’ve worked out, Jonathan Martin, Cordy Glenn, and Mike Adams, in the 2nd round. Adams is the only one left.

42. Miami Dolphins- OT Bobby Massie (Mississippi)

As I keep repeating, of the last 19 teams to take a quarterback in the first round, 15 of them took an offensive player with their next pick. Bobby Massie would certainly count for the Dolphins. Right tackle Marc Colombo has retired after a season in which he allowed 9 sacks. Massie has worked out privately with the Dolphins.

43. Seattle Seahawks- MLB Zach Brown (North Carolina)

I have no idea. After the Seahawks picked Bruce Irvin in the 1st round, I tweeted “First James Carpenter, now Bruce Irvin. note to self: when mocking players to the Seahawks, draw names out of a hat.” Brown isn’t quite that, but they need a middle linebacker and Pete Carroll seems to enjoy coaching up players. Brown has 1st round talent, but 7th round attitude.

44. Kansas City Chiefs- C Peter Konz (Wisconsin)

I had David DeCastro at 11 for the Chiefs. They didn’t take him, but I think they still want to fix the interior of their offensive line. Konz is too good to pass on here. They drafted Rodney Hudson in the 2nd round last year to play center, but either Hudson or Konz could play guard.

45. St. Louis Rams- G Amini Silatolu (Midwestern State)

The Rams seem to be satisfied with Rodger Saffold and Jason Smith at tackle. Both played really badly last season, but they’re young and they both played through injury. Silatolu fills a huge need at guard, however, as Jacob Bell is gone as a free agent after a horrible year last season.

46. Philadelphia Eagles- CB Janoris Jenkins (North Alabama)

Jenkins would be a 3rd cornerback to replace Asante Samuel. He’d be a better fit on the slot than Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and, if he pans out, he could form a formidable cornerback duo with Nnamdi Asomugha on the outside if they decide to let Rodgers-Cromartie walk in a contract year next season.

47. New York Jets- WR Alshon Jeffery (South Carolina)

The Jets needed wide receiver help before they lost Plaxico Burress this offseason. Alshon Jeffery can be a younger version of Burress for them as a possession receiver compliment to Santonio Holmes. They worked him out privately.

48. New England Patriots- DT Kendall Reyes (Connecticut)

The Patriots probably won’t stay put with both of their 2 2nd round picks as they have no picks after the 2nd round and only 5 picks next year. If they stay here, they’d be thrilled if Kendall Reyes fell to them. They need defensive tackle help and some mocked him to them in the first round.

 

49. San Diego Chargers- G Kelechi Osemele (Iowa State)

The Chargers seem satisfied with their starting 5 on the offensive line, but that unit is not without questions. Jared Gaither can’t stay healthy and Jerome Clary and Tyronne Green really struggled last season. Osemele is a versatile 6th offensive lineman for them who will probably have to step into the starting lineup at some point next season.

50. Chicago Bears- OLB Lavonte David (Nebraska)

The Bears continue to add youth to their front 7. They have all kinds of injuries and age in their linebacking corps. David is an ideal fit for their cover 2 scheme.

51. Philadelphia Eagles- QB Kirk Cousins (Michigan State)

The Eagles are looking at a bunch of young quarterbacks. They don’t have a good backup for Michael Vick, who always gets hurt at least once per year. Vick is also 32 this offseason and might not age well considering his history of injuries and reliance on his legs, normally the first thing to go on an athlete. Cousins can be a young backup and maybe eventual replacement.

52. Tennessee Titans- DT Devon Still (Penn State)

Of the 32 players they’ve worked out privately, they’re almost all wide receivers, cornerbacks, defensive ends, defensive tackles, and linebackers and almost all highly rated players. They’ve only worked out 2 offensive linemen. It’s possible Mike Munchak, a former offensive lineman and offensive line coach, will think he can coach up mid to late rounders at the positions. Devon Still is someone they’ve worked out and he’d definitely count as best available here.

53. Cincinnati Bengals- S Trumaine Johnson (Montana)

After taking a cornerback and a guard in the first round, safety is now the Bengals’ biggest need. Unfortunately, this is a very thin safety class. They will have to address the position very soon, probably in the 2nd round, and they may have to do it by converting a big cornerback like Trumaine Johnson.

54. Atlanta Falcons- DE Andre Branch (Clemson)

John Abraham is 34 in May and he had 9.5 of their 33 sacks. Ray Edwards didn’t do anything in the first year of his deal. Defensive end is a still a big need of theirs and Andre Branch is someone they’ve brought in for a workout. He’s also a good value at this point.

 

55. Detroit Lions- DE Vinny Curry (Marshall)

Defensive end might not be their biggest need, but defensive tackle wasn’t their biggest need in 2011 when they took Nick Fairley. Same thing with running back and wide receiver in the 2nd round in 2011 when they took Mikel Leshoure and Titus Young. They draft for best available and Curry definitely counts. Besides, this could become a need if they cut Kyle Vanden Bosch, who turns 34 in November, or if they can’t come to a long term deal with Cliff Avril. At the very least, Curry can be a successor for Vanden Bosch.

56. Pittsburgh Steelers- MLB Mychal Kendricks (California)

The Steelers didn’t take Dont’a Hightower in the first round because David DeCastro was an unbelievable value. However, there’s a reason he was so frequently mocked there. After cutting James Farrior, they have a real need at middle linebacker. Kendricks won’t have to play right away behind Larry Foote, but Foote will be a 33 year old free agent next offseason.

57. Denver Broncos- CB Josh Robinson (UCF)

The Broncos have a need at cornerback both in the short term and long term. They need another cornerback to go with Champ Bailey and Tracy Porter next year, after cutting Andre Goodman this offseason. Long term, Porter is only on a one year deal and Bailey will be 35 next offseason.

58. Houston Texans- WR Brian Quick (Appalachian State)

The Texans didn’t take a wide receiver in the first round even though they were commonly expected to. They’ll likely address the position on day 2 as Andre Johnson is getting up there in age and Kevin Walter and Jacoby Jones just aren’t that good.

59. Green Bay Packers- 3-4 DE Derek Wolfe (Cincinnati)

Even after adding one pass rusher in the first round, the Packers still could use another pass rusher. Jarius Wynn and Ryan Pickett are pretty mediocre players and Ryan Pickett and Mike Neal can’t stay healthy. Neal was also suspended 4 games and could be cut. There’s a reason they only had 29 sacks last year. They’ll love Derek Wolfe’s motor.

60. Baltimore Ravens- MLB Bobby Wagner (Utah State)

Ray Lewis turns 37 in May. He’ll be back next season and even if his play never actually declines, someday he’ll decide the next stop for him is Canton. Bobby Wagner is someone they’ve brought in for a personal visit.

61. San Francisco 49ers- G Brandon Brooks (Miami-OH)

Many expected the 49ers to take a guard in the first round, but that didn’t happen. They’ll likely be targeting guards in the 2nd round.

62. New England Patriots- CB Brandon Boykin (Georgia)

Again, they’ll try to trade down at least once in the 2nd round as they don’t have any picks after this. However, I’m not mocking trades and I doubt the Patriots will come away from this draft without taking some kind of defensive back at some point.

63. New York Giants- TE Dwayne Allen (Clemson)

The Giants passed on Coby Fleener in the 1st round because they like tight ends who are good blockers. Dwayne Allen is a better blocker, which explains why they’ve met privately with him. He wasn’t asked to block a lot at Clemson, but when he did, he showed the ability to do so. He’s got the frame and strength to develop into a better blocker. Of the top tight ends, Allen is the best blocker so he makes a lot of sense for them.

 

Go on to 3rd round