Jets Needs 2012

 

Wide Receiver

Santonio Holmes is expected back in 2012 (the Jets already paid a 7.5 million dollar roster bonus) even though he and Mark Sanchez have a strained, at best, relationship. However, it is Plaxico Burress who is not expected back next season. They really need a new receiver opposite Holmes and perhaps another one for depth purposes, depending on what they think of Jeremy Kerley, their 5th rounder last year who was solid, at times, in the slot as a rookie.

Offensive Tackle

Wayne Hunter was one of the worst starting offensive linemen in the league. He surrendered 11 sacks and 32 pressures last year, while committing 11 penalties and this was on the right side, not even against the opponent best pass rusher on a weekly basis. They’ll need to address this position through the draft.

Rush Linebacker

It’s a bad thing when a former first round pick bust leads your team in sacks despite being listed at 228 pounds and only recording 11 total tackles on the season, but that’s exactly what happened with the Jets when Aaron Maybin led the way with 6. Maybin seems to have found a nice role as a situational rusher, but they need help at the starting rush linebacker spots. Calvin Pace is a 31 year old declining player who managed just 4.5 sacks last year. Bryan Thomas will be 33 and coming off a major injury, while Thomas’ replacement, Jamaal Westerman, hardly dropped any jaws in Thomas’ absence, totaling 3.5 sacks. The Jets, as a team, managed just 35 sacks last season, despite blitzing so much. They need to get better at rushing the passer without blitzing. I can’t see Courtney Upshaw falling past them at 16.

Safety

Jim Leonhard is a solid player, but he can’t stay healthy. In his absence, Eric Smith is perennially awful. As a Patriots fan, I love watching him try to cover Rob Gronkowski twice per year. Meanwhile, at the other safety spot, Brodney Pool is decent, but not great. They need another safety in the mix. 

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3-4 Defensive End

They addressed this position in the first round last year with Muhammad Wilkerson, but they still need help there. Wilkerson had a good rookie year, but they need a pass rushing compliment for Mike DeVito opposite him. DeVito is great against the run, but offers absolutely no pass rush. His passing rushing compliment, Marcus Thomas, did not do well in that role last year.

Quarterback

Depending on who you ask, Mark Sanchez is either the worst quarterback in the league or definitely the week 1 starter. I think it’s more towards the later, although I could definitely see them bringing in a quarterback to push him as his backup. At the very least, this quarterback can be a better backup than the ancient Mark Brunell.

Nose Tackle

Sione Pouha had another great season, but he is a 33 year old free agent. They drafted Kenrick Ellis in the 3rd round last year just in case, but there’s a chance that he gets deported this offseason. They could bring in another nose tackle.

Cornerback

Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromartie are more than fine as the starters, but 2010 1st round pick Kyle Wilson continues to struggle as the nickelback. Some competition to push him in his 3rd season wouldn’t hurt.

Center

Their offense was a mess when Nick Mangold was out this season. Obviously, it’s always going to hurt to lose a player of Mangold’s caliber to injury, but if they had a better backup, they could avoid complete catastrophe in case of any future Mangold injuries.

 

Jonathan Goodwin 49ers

 

Goodwin used to be a good center, but he’s 33 in December and his best days are behind him. This deal is a 3 year deal that takes him until he’s 35. Given how the market has deflated on free agents in recent days, Goodwin getting 3 years 10.9 million with 4 million dollars guaranteed looks pretty outrageous.

Grade: D 

 

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Kentwan Balmer Seahawks

Deal for Seattle: Back in 2008, I mocked Balmer to the Seahawks with the 25th pick, as did several others. Balmer eventually slipped to 29th where the Niners drafted him. However, the Balmer era in San Fran was a colossal failure. With a mere 19 tackles in two years and 0 sacks, Balmer could never consistently break into the rotation at defensive end for the Niners, so the Seahawks are hoping a return to the 4-3 and his natural position of defensive tackle will bring his former first round talent out of him. For a mere 6th round pick, I’d say that’s a risk worth taking.

Grade: A

Deal for San Francisco: The Niners had absolutely no need for him. He wasn’t going to play significantly on their 3 man line this year at all and really never fit their 3-4 scheme well at all. Getting a 6th rounder for him is pretty solid considering we’ve seen starting cornerbacks like Chris Houston go for 6th rounders and star receivers with legal trouble go for a 5th rounder. The Balmer reclamation project is less likely to work than a possible Adam Carriker bounce back year in Washington, yet the Rams got significantly less for their former 1st round pick bust.

Grade: A

 

Late Round Value Picks

 

I have broken my sleepers into 4 categories this year. Mid Round Upside Picks, Mid Round Value Picks, Late Round Upside Picks, Late Round Value Picks. A Late Round Value Pick, as I will list here, is anyone available in the late rounds (13th-15th) of a 12 team draft, that doesn’t have the upside of a high upside sleeper, but is just flat out being overlooked. They are a relatively safe pick that you can count on to be worth slightly more than the round you draft them in.

All average draft position (ADP) stats are as of 9/1/10 and were found at ESPN.com

Mackenzy Bernadeau DAL

 

People who read this website often know I know a ton about football, so it’s not often I say this. But who the hell is this? Why did the Cowboys give him 11 million over 4 years. Did someone else offer him 10 million over 4 years? Who were they bidding against?

He hasn’t made a start since 2010 and ProFootballFocus said he played a mere 125 snaps for Carolina last season. With Livings and Bernadeau in the fold, the Cowboys have given starting caliber money to 2 non-starting caliber guards. They will reportedly make a decision on Kyle Kosier after the draft, either moving him to center or releasing him. That suggests they could still be holding out for David DeCastro at 14 with Bernadeau and Livings as backup plans, but still.

Grade: F

 

Matt Roth Jaguars

 

Roth isn’t a glamorous signing or anything, but they really needed a pass rusher. With Aaron Kampman always a huge injury risk, they have no proven, reliable pass rushers at defensive end. Roth could be decent for them, though he hasn’t played in a 4-3 as a pro. 3 million dollars is a decent value for him, but not great considering how dry the market has become.

Grade: B

 

Mike Pouncey Scout

 

 

Guard/Center

Florida

6-5 303

Draft board overall prospect rank: #45

Draft board overall guard rank: #4

Overall rating: 78 (2nd round)

40 time: 5.12

3/23/11: Mike Pouncey is going to draw the obvious comparisons to Maurkice Pouncey, the Steelers Pro Bowl rookie center, simply because they have the same DNA. They are twin brothers. However, they do have some differences. Mike struggled with snaps at center when he attempted to play the position in college and for this reason he probably won’t be looked at as a center prospect.

Maurkice’s greatest strength might be his intangibles, his ability to bond with a quarterback. However, Mike is the more athletic prospect and, as a guard, I actually rate him higher than I did Maurkice last year, who I was not fond of (my bad…). Maurkice impressed me with his maturity as a rookie center, but this was just something that didn’t really show on tape at Florida. For this reason, and Mike’s better athleticism, I am giving Mike a better grade than I did Maurkice.

For another thing, Mike is, of course, another year older, another year more athletic, and another year more experienced than Maurkice was coming out. Mike’s arm length is a bit troubling, even for an interior lineman. He’s good got strength and good technique and is quick off the snap. He’s scheme versatile and can pass block as well as he can run block. He’s an elite blocker at the 2nd level as well.

He has several weaknesses and inconsistency on tape is a real problem, as, actually, was the case with Maurkice in 2009 at Florida. He can be beaten by quicker interior pass rushers, which could end up being a problem with all of the athletic interior linemen in the NFL. He can play center, but he’s going to need more coaching at the position and he’d be a project as a center, so I wouldn’t necessarily call versatility a strength of his.

NFL Comparison: Ben Grubbs

 

 

2011 6th Round

 

1-16 17-32 2nd Round 3rd Round 4th Round 5th Round 6th Round 7th Round

 

166. Carolina Panthers- CB Chykie Brown (Texas)

Cornerback depth is needed and the athletic Brown could definitely develop into a great starter for this team in time.

167. Cincinnati Bengals- DE Pernell McPhee (Mississippi)

They’ll need a backup plan in case Antawn Odom gets hurt again in 2011.

168. Cleveland Browns- OT Derek Hall (Stanford)

They’re looking for upgrades at right tackle. Hall did a good job there for Stanford last year, helping keep Andrew Luck clean.

169. Buffalo Bills- CB Cortez Allen (Citadel)

Cornerback depth is needed. Terrence McGee is over 30 and has trouble staying healthy.

170. Cleveland Browns- S Da’Norris Searcy (North Carolina)

TJ Lang looks like a keeper at safety for the long term. They’ll need something opposite him though.

171. Arizona Cardinals- MLB Mark Herzlich (Boston College)

Paris Lenon doesn’t have much left in the tank. The Cardinals have proven they are willing to take a chance on “injured players.” They took O’Brien Schofield last year even though he had a long recovery ahead of him. Herzlich’s situation isn’t quite the same, but it’s obvious that he’s still not the same player he was before bone cancer in his leg when he was a projected first round pick.

172. Minnesota Vikings- DT Sealver Siliga (Utah)

Pat Williams is the oldest defense player in the league and it’s starting to show. He could retire this offseason and even if he doesn’t, he doesn’t have much left in the tank and they don’t have a suitable replacement for him.

173. Seattle Seahawks- FB Henry Hynoski (Pittsburgh)

An upgrade at fullback could really help their running game.

174. San Francisco 49ers- RB Dion Lewis (Pittsburgh)

With so many picks, it’s very likely they take a running back. Brian Westbrook is probably done and they’ll need someone to backup Frank Gore. Lewis fits in well with Gore and 2010 5th round Anthony Dixon.

175. Tennessee Titans- S Robert Sands (West Virginia)

Chris Hope isn’t terrible, but he’s overpaid and he could be upgraded.

176. Dallas Cowboys- RLB Steven Friday (Virginia Tech)

DeMarcus Ware is very good, but he’s been without a competent #2 pass rusher opposite him, to take the pressure off of him, since Greg Ellis was in his prime. Steven Friday is a 3-4 player only, but he was a very productive pass rusher at Virginia Tech.

177. Washington Redskins- G Zach Hurd (Connecticut)

The defensive line isn’t the only thing they need to fix. They had one of the league’s most porous lines last year allowing 46 sacks, 5th most in the league.

178. Houston Texans- 3-4 DE Mike Blanc (Auburn)

The Texans have expressed interest in adding competition upfront for guys like Antonio Smith and Amobi Okoye. Blank provides that.

179. Miami Dolphins- RLB Cheta Ozougwu (Rice)

Ozougwu was a 4-3 linebacker in college, but a lot of people are projecting to be a possible 3-4 rush linebacker in the pros. If he pans out there, they could move Koa Misi inside, something they have expressed interest in doing, or they could just move Ozougwu inside, where they need depth.

180. Baltimore Ravens- C Brandon Fusco (Slippery Rock)

Matt Birk is 35 this offseason. Fusco can play multiple positions inside, including both guard positions. The Ravens need to upgrade their line and could use depth at all 3 interior line position.

181. Oakland Raiders- RB Mario Fannin (Auburn)

Michael Bush will likely leave to take a starting job somewhere so they’ll need a new backup running back. Mario Fannin runs a 4.37 at 5-10 235 so Al Davis naturally won’t care that he was Auburn’s 3rd string back in 2010.

182. Jacksonville Jaguars- QB Scott Tolzien (Wisconsin)

David Garrard is not going to get any better than the average quarterback he is now and general consensus is that the Jaguars are looking for future replacements for the 33 year old.

 

183. San Diego Chargers- RB Derrick Locke (Kentucky)

Darren Sproles is going to be too expensive to keep long term. Locke can do what Sproles does for cheaper.

184. Arizona Cardinals- TE Julius Thomas (Portland State)

The Cardinals have needed an upgrade at tight end for years. They just don’t draft pass catching tight ends early. They don’t value them. However, it wouldn’t surprise me if they used a late pick on a high upside tight end, who could blossom into a productive pass catching tight end in their offense.

185. New York Giants- C Zane Taylor (Utah)

Center is another weak link on their line.

186. Denver Broncos- CB Brandon Hogan (West Virginia)

Champ Bailey is 33 this offseason and Perrish Cox is facing rape charges. Besides, they ranked 30th against the pass even with those two last year. A lot of that blame falls on the pass rush, but they could still grab a corner at some point in the draft. Hogan falls because he’s hurt, but the Broncos aren’t going anywhere for a while unless Tim Tebow performs a miracle and Hogan could become Champ Bailey’s replacement.

187. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- MLB Mario Harvey (Marshall)

Barrett Ruud looks like he won’t be resigned by the team long term. They’ll need a new man in the middle.

188. Indianapolis Colts- MLB Josh Bynes (Auburn)

Josh Bynes is a typical Colts pick, under the radar, but good motor, productive, and a locker room guy. Bynes gives them depth at linebacker, where they were ravaged by injuries last year, and also provides them with a strong special teamer. The Colts love using late round picks on linebackers.

189. Denver Broncos- S Eric Hagg (Nebraska)

Brian Dawkins is looking pretty done. Renaldo Hill opposite him has never been a great player. This position might not be addressed until next year, unfortunately, but in the mean time, maybe Hagg becomes something special for them. You never know.

190. San Francisco 49ers- CB Justin Rogers (Richmond)

Cornerback is such a big need and they have so many picks that if they can’t address the position until the 4th, they’ll probably use another late pick on a cornerback just to be safe.

191. Baltimore Ravens- S Chris Culliver (South Carolina)

Culliver could provide depth at cornerback if needed, but his best position as a pro is going to be safety. They can’t count on Ed Reed for 16 games anymore.

192. Atlanta Falcons- G Steve Schilling (Michigan)

Both of their starting guards are free agents so they’ll look at depth at the position.

193. New England Patriots- QB Nathan Enderle (Wyoming)

I don’t buy the Patriots using an early pick on a quarterback. This is a bad year to need a quarterback. Why would you want to make that a need when you don’t have to? It wouldn’t surprise me if they added one late. I don’t think Brian Hoyer is the long term solution. They found Brady in the 6th and they found Cassel in the trash, so they might think they can find Brady’s long term replacement in the 6th or 7th. Enderle can make all the throws, but they often wind up being caught by the wrong team. However, he’s got time, he’s got potential, he can learn, and he’ll be going to into a great environment to reach his potential.

194. New York Jets- NT Anthony Gray (Southern Mississippi)

Sione Pouha is a good player, but he’s not the big bodied run stuffer Kris Jenkins was. He’s also no spring chicken either at 32. Gray gives them youth and a Jenkins esque big guy.

195. Chicago Bears- G David Arkin (Missouri State)

More offensive line help. They have to make sure Jay Cutler doesn’t die next year.

196. Pittsburgh Steelers- K Alex Henery (Nebraska)

The Steelers had inconsistent play at the kicker position all year last year.

197. Green Bay Packers- RB Roy Helu (Nebraska)

It wouldn’t surprise me if they took another late round running back, given the health concerns that surround James Starks and Ryan Grant.

198. New York Giants- G Andrew Jackson (Fresno State)

More offensive line help for the Giants. Rich Seubert will be in a contract year and he’s also old and injury prone.

199. Kansas City Chiefs- QB Greg McElroy (Alabama)

Matt Cassel sucked down the stretch last year when he had to play good teams. The last time he didn’t play a schedule consisting of the little sisters of the poor, the Chiefs went 4-12. He’s owed a lot of money in the future so the Chiefs might want to look at a potential successor, just in case. Besides, the Chiefs have made it clear they are looking at different options other than Brodie “0-10” Croyle at backup quarterback, as they should.

200. Minnesota Vikings- C Alex Linnenkohl (Oregon State)

John Sullivan sucks. Center and right guard are huge needs on this offensive line. Here they take a center.

201. San Diego Chargers- S Jerrard Tarrant (Georgia Tech)

Assuming they resign the talented Eric Weddle, they’ll only need one upgrade at safety. I don’t think they can rely on Bob Sanders.

202. New York Giants- S Nate Williams (Washington)

The Giants added a ton of safeties last year and still got burnt deep often. Nate Williams gives them more depth at the position, as well as a great character guy and special teamer.

203. Carolina Panthers- DE Casey Matthews (South Carolina)

Even if Charles Johnson stays, they could add another young end through the draft. They have Everette Brown and Greg Hardy, but there’s no telling if either will ever pan out.

 

Go on to 7th Round

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2011 Week 11 Rankings

 

No time for write ups this week, sorry. 

32(31). Indianapolis Colts 0-10

31(32). Miami Dolphins 2-7

30(28). Washington Redskins 3-6

29(30). St. Louis Rams 2-7

28(23). Kansas City Chiefs 4-5

27(25). Carolina Panthers 2-7

26(29). Arizona Cardinals 3-6

25(24). Cleveland Browns 3-6

24(27). Seattle Seahawks 3-6

23(26). Jacksonville Jaguars 3-6

22(22). Minnesota Vikings 2-7

21(17). Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4-5

20(19). San Diego Chargers 4-5

19(21). Tennessee Titans 5-4

18(20). Oakland Raiders 5-4

17(18). Denver Broncos 5-5

 

16(15). Philadelphia Eagles 3-6

15(12). Buffalo Bills 5-4

14(14). New York Giants 6-3

13(10). New York Jets 5-5

12(13). Cincinnati Bengals 6-3

11(9). Atlanta Falcons 5-4

10(8). Detroit Lions 6-3

9(16). Dallas Cowboys 5-4

8(11). Chicago Bears 6-3

7(7). Houston Texans 7-3

6(5). Baltimore Ravens 6-3

5(6). Pittsburgh Steelers 7-3

4(4). New Orleans Saints 7-3

3(3). San Francisco 49ers 8-1

2(2). New England Patriots 6-3

1(1). Green Bay Packers 9-0