Uncategorized

New York Jets sign CB Darrelle Revis

stevenlourie 2015 NFL Free Agency, Jets, Uncategorized

Revis was reportedly going to give the Patriots the right to match any offer he got elsewhere, so we can safely assume that the Patriots’ final offer was less than this 5-year, 70 million dollar deal with 39 million guaranteed that Revis got from his former team, the New York Jets. That shouldn’t be a surprise, considering the Patriots’ history of not paying top dollar to players who are 30 or older, with the obvious exception of Tom Brady. That generally has served them well, but I think Revis is the type of player you make an exception for and that they should have paid up. Conversely, as much as the Jets paid him, they’re still getting a good deal with Revis and a borderline steal, especially considering how big of a need they have at cornerback.

Darrelle Revis is one of the best cornerbacks in the NFL, grading out 3rd in 2008, 2nd in 2009, 18th in 2010, 1st in 2011, 1st in 2013, and 4th in 2014, with a torn ACL in 2012 that didn’t slow his career down in between. He’s bounced around from the Jets to the Buccaneers to the Patriots back to the Jets over the past few seasons for a few reasons. He tore his ACL in 2012 and then was traded to the Buccaneers for a 1st round pick ahead of his contract year. Tampa Bay then let him go rather than paying him $16 million in 2014 and the Patriots did the same this off-season, rather than paying him $20 million in 2015. However, he’s arguably the best cornerback in the NFL, one of the best players in the entire NFL, and absolutely deserves this long-term security, even going into his age 30 season. He’s yet to show a single sign of slowing down thus far.

Grade: A-

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Jacksonville Jaguars sign OT Jeremy Parnell

stevenlourie 2015 NFL Free Agency, Jaguars, Uncategorized

In the Cowboys’ off-season preview, I mentioned that they could re-sign Parnell instead of Doug Free if they saw Pernell as a younger, cheaper option at right tackle. So much for that. Free got 15 million over 3 years from the Cowboys with 6 million guaranteed. Pernell got almost as much in guarantees as Free got in total value as this deal guarantees him 13 million and is worth a maximum value of 32 million over 5 years.

I also mentioned that Parnell could be this off-season Anthony Collins, a backup who has flashed in limited action that gets paid to be a starter somewhere this off-season. I also said that Parnell wouldn’t get as much as Collins got because his history wasn’t as clean, but Collins only got 30 million over 5 years from Tampa Bay last off-season, with nothing guaranteed beyond the first year (he was recently cut after struggling mightily in 2014).

The Jaguars have money to spend and need to spend to get to the salary floor and they had a hole at right tackle, but this is way too much money to commit to a player like Pernell who has made 7 starts in 6 years in the league since going undrafted in 2009. Five of those starts came in 2014 and he was Pro Football Focus’ 20th ranked offensive tackle despite playing just 388 snaps last year, with no one grading out better than him on fewer snaps. However, prior to 2014, Pernell had only played 294 snaps in his career combined and had never graded out above average. Given that Free got just 15 million over 3 years and Bryan Bulaga got just 33.75 million over 5 years, there’s no way this wasn’t an overpay.

Grade: D

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New Orleans Saints trade TE Jimmy Graham to Seattle Seahawks for C Max Unger

stevenlourie 2015 NFL Free Agency, Saints, Seahawks, Uncategorized

Trade for Saints: I think you can say this is the most surprising move of the day. With probably the least financial flexibility of any team in the NFL, the Saints came up with a creative way to get under the cap for this year and give them added flexibility long-term and it involved parting ways with a player they gave a 4-year, 40 million dollar deal to last off-season. Jimmy Graham and the remaining 27 million over 3 years go to the Seahawks in the deal, along with a 4th rounder, while Seattle’s first round pick comes back to New Orleans along with center Max Unger, who is owed just 9 million over the next 2 seasons.

A lot of Saints fans will undoubtedly be sad to see Jimmy Graham go, but I like this move for them. There’s a drop off in talent from Graham to Unger and their offense immediately becomes worse as a result of this move, but the difference in value between a 1st and 4th round pick is significant, as is the difference in these two players’ contracts. Besides, Unger will slot in at a position of need for the Saints at center and he’s a very solid player.

Unger was Pro Football Focus’ 4th ranked center last season, despite playing just 385 snaps. No one played fewer snaps and graded out better at the position. He missed 10 games with injury last season and the Seahawks desperately missed him when he was out of the lineup. Injuries have been an issue for him in the past as he’s missed 29 games in 6 seasons in the league with injury. Inconsistency is also a problem as, while he was dominant on the field last season and while he was Pro Football Focus’ 2nd ranked center in 2012, those are the only two seasons he’s been in the top-10 among centers on Pro Football Focus. Still, he’s graded out above average in 5 of 6 seasons in the NFL and getting him at 9 million over 2 years is a better value than Graham over 27 million over 3, which is very important for the Saints. Add in the swap of picks and I think the Saints made a smart move.

Grade: A

Trade for Seahawks: As I hinted at above, I think the Saints were the winners here. This trade kind of reminds me of the Percy Harvin deal, when the Seahawks were so desperate for a playmaker that they overpaid. Graham should work out in Seattle much better than Harvin did and he fills a huge need for them. Graham for 27 million over 3 years is by no means a bad contract, but they gave up a first round pick and an underpaid center for him. The Seahawks’ offensive line is now in terrible shape as Unger was the only offensive lineman on the roster to grade out positively last season.

Grade: C+

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Indianapolis Colts sign OLB Trent Cole

stevenlourie 2015 NFL Free Agency, Colts, Uncategorized

The Eagles cut Cole earlier this month, but that doesn’t mean he can’t still play well. He was cut because he was owed 10.025 million in cash and the Eagles freed up 8.425 million in cap space by letting him go. Freeing up cap space has been a big theme for the Eagles in Chip Kelly’s first off-season controlling personnel and they decided they wanted to go forward with Connor Barwin, Marcus Smith, and a re-signed Brandon Graham over Cole. Cole has still graded out above average in every season of Pro Football Focus’ 8-year existence, including 7th among 3-4 outside linebackers in 2013 and 19th in 2014.

Cole takes less annually in Indianapolis on this deal, 8 million, which is more appropriate. It’s also a short-term deal, 2-years, 16 million, which is good because Cole is going into his age 33 season. Outside of 8 million in the first season, Cole isn’t guaranteed anything else in this deal and can be cut without being owed any more money next off-season if he doesn’t work out. For a Colts team that needed edge rush help, it’s a smart move.

Grade: B+

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Buffalo Bills re-sign OLB Jerry Hughes

stevenlourie 2015 NFL Free Agency, Bills, Uncategorized

Jerry Hughes was a bust in Indianapolis as a first round pick in 2010, playing a combined 240 snaps in 2010 and 2011 and then struggling in his first serious action in 2012, grading out 25th out of 34 eligible 3-4 outside linebackers. The Bills acquired him after that season for basically nothing and he shed that bust label quickly, grading out as Pro Football Focus’ 8th ranked 3-4 outside linebacker in 2013 and their 14th ranked 4-3 defensive end in 2014.

This deal will pay him 45 million over 5 years with 22 million guaranteed. It’s a lot of money, but it’s an appropriate value for Hughes. The Bills are moving back to a 3-4 under Rex Ryan in 2015, so Hughes will move back to rush linebacker, but he shouldn’t have any problem with it. As I mentioned earlier, his breakout 2013 campaign came in a 3-4, when Mike Pettine was the Bills’ defensive coordinator. Pettine happens to be a Rex Ryan disciple, as he was Ryan’s former defensive coordinator, and they run very similar schemes.

Grade: B+

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Philadelphia Eagles re-sign OLB Brandon Graham

stevenlourie 2015 NFL Free Agency, Eagles, Uncategorized

The Eagles have whiffed on a few free agents this off-season, but they finally found someone to take some of their massive amount of cap space, re-signing Brandon Graham. It’s a good move. Graham is seen as not being able to play in a 3-4, but, while he’s probably better in a 4-3, he’s shown over the past 2 seasons that he can play in both schemes. After struggling with injuries in the first two seasons of his career, Graham, a 2010 1st round pick, had somewhat of a breakout year in 2012. He didn’t get a ton of playing time (435 snaps), which is why it’s hard to call it a true breakout year, but he still graded out 2nd among 4-3 defensive ends that season, despite the limited playing time.

Moving to a 3-4 in 2013, he only saw 331 snaps, but he still graded out 15th at his position, making it two straight years where no one played fewer snaps than him and graded out better at his position. In 2014, he was still the 3rd outside linebacker, but he played ahead of 1st round pick Marcus Smith all year, set a career high in snaps played with 524 snaps and graded out 3rd among 3-4 outside linebackers. For the third straight year, no one graded out better at his position on fewer snaps.

It was widely assumed that Graham would sign elsewhere this off-season, in hopes of getting more playing time and playing in a 4-3, but, as I mentioned, he fits a 3-4 scheme fine and he should still get a lot of playing time in Philadelphia next season with Trent Cole gone. 2014 1st round pick Marcus Smith should see more snaps in 2015, but Graham should still work ahead of him as a starter opposite Connor Barwin and set a new career in snaps played. As a 600-700 snap guy, Graham has the potential to break out as one of the best edge rushers in the game. It’s somewhat risky considering he’s never played a significant amount of snaps, but he’s handled everything he’s been given in his career very well and the Eagles aren’t risking a ton of money here, giving him 26 million over 4 years with 14 million guaranteed. I liked the Pernell McPhee deal. This is less money for arguably a better player.

Grade: A

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Chicago Bears sign OLB Pernell McPhee

stevenlourie 2015 NFL Free Agency, Bears, Uncategorized

McPhee was a risky signing this off-season. On one hand, he graded out as Pro Football Focus’ #2 ranked 3-4 outside linebacker in 2014 despite playing just 540 snaps. He was 2nd in the NFL behind only JJ Watt with 21 quarterback hits. He’s not a one year wonder as that type of player either as he graded out as Pro Football Focus’ 3rd ranked defensive tackle as a 5th round rookie in 2011 on just 348 snaps and has graded out above average in all 4 seasons he’s been in the league. He’s supremely versatile with experience as a 3-4 outside linebacker, a 4-3 defensive end, a 3-4 defensive end, and a 4-3 defensive tackle. He’s also only going into his age 27 season and could break out as one of the best edge rushers in the game if he’s given a bigger role.

On the other hand, he’s still never played more than 540 snaps in a season so he’s still unproven as a full-time starter and he’s still unproven outside of Baltimore, where they have such great supporting talent defensively. However, at 8 million annually (5-year, 40 million) with just 16 million of that guaranteed, he’s well worth the risk. McPhee will work in rotation with Jared Allen and Willie Young in the Bears’ new 3-4 defense. Young and Allen both played well last season, but neither of them has ever played in a 3-4, as McPhee has for most of his career. He should have a significantly bigger role than he did in Baltimore, somewhere around 700-800 snaps annually, and could easily prove to be worth 11-12 million dollars per year.

Grade: A

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Baltimore Ravens trade DT Haloti Ngata to Detroit Lions

stevenlourie 2015 NFL Free Agency, Lions, Ravens, Uncategorized

Trade for Baltimore: I mentioned Haloti Ngata’s name in my Ravens’ off-season preview as someone who could be a cap casualty. This was something that had been mentioned by multiple sources and it was understandable as the cap strapped Ravens could free up 8.5 million in cash and cap space by releasing Ngata ahead of his age 31 season. However, I also said that a better solution would be to give him an extension that immediately lowers his contract number and keeps him under contract for 2016 and beyond, as they did with Terrell Suggs last off-season, as Ngata still has good football left in him. The Ravens went with a different approach, letting him go and saving the cap space, but doing so by trade, so at least they got a 4th and 5th round pick out of him. I don’t think that was the right move, but it’s not a horrible decision.

Grade: B-

Trade for Detroit: Detroit I think comes out the winners here. Ngata isn’t as good or as young as Ndamukong Suh, but paying him 8.5 million in 2015 seems better than paying Suh the 19 million annually that he received from Miami. Ngata graded out as Pro Football Focus’ 9th ranked 3-4 defensive end in 2014 and he’s graded out as a top-18 player at his position in every season since Pro Football Focus’ inception in 2007. He’s played in both 3-man and 4-man fronts in his career and will fit in well in Detroit. His age is a concern, as he goes into his age 31 season, but they won’t owe him anything beyond 2015 and he’s not completely over the hill yet. Unlike the Ravens, the Lions don’t have big cap problems and don’t need to extend him long-term to drive down his cap number if they don’t want to. The price they paid for him, outside of a reasonable salary, was two relatively meaningless picks.

Grade: B+

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2015 NFL Free Agency Predictions

stevenlourie 2015 NFL Free Agency, Uncategorized

Quarterbacks

Matt Moore 1-year, 3 million (1 million guaranteed) with Minnesota

Brian Hoyer 2-year, 10 million (5 million guaranteed) with Houston

Running Backs

DeMarco Murray 5-year, 35 million (20 million guaranteed) with Jacksonville

Justin Forsett 2-year, 9 million (5 million guaranteed) with Atlanta

Ryan Mathews 1-year, 4 million (2 million guaranteed) with Arizona

CJ Spiller 2-year, 10 million (5 million guaranteed) with Philadelphia

Frank Gore 3-year, 15 million (8 million guaranteed) with Indianapolis

Ahmad Bradshaw 1-year, 2 million (1 million guaranteed) with San Francisco

Shane Vereen 3-year, 9 million (3.5 million guaranteed) with NY Giants

Stevan Ridley 1-year, 1.5 million (1 million guaranteed) with Dallas

Roy Helu 3-year, 8.5 million (3 million guaranteed) with New England

Reggie Bush 1-year, 1.5 million (750K guaranteed) with Baltimore

Wide Receivers

Jeremy Maclin 5-year, 53 million (25 million guaranteed) with Kansas City

Torrey Smith 5-year, 41 million (20 million guaranteed) with San Francisco

Andre Johnson 2-year, 12 million (6 million guaranteed) with Baltimore

Michael Crabtree 5-year, 30 million (14 million guaranteed) with Houston

Percy Harvin 3-year, 15 million (5 million guaranteed) with San Diego

Dwayne Bowe 2-year, 12 million (6 million guaranteed) with Chicago

Steve Johnson 1-year, 4 million (2 million guaranteed) with Carolina

Eddie Royal 3-year, 15 million (6 million guaranteed) with Indianapolis

Cecil Shorts 2-year, 8 million (4 million guaranteed) with Miami

Kenny Britt 1-year, 3 million (1 million guaranteed) with St. Louis

Tight Ends

Julius Thomas 5-year, 45 million (22 million guaranteed) with Jacksonville

Charles Clay 5-year, 37 million (18 million guaranteed) with Miami

Jordan Cameron 3-year, 18 million (7 million guaranteed) with Seattle

Lance Kendricks 3-year, 12 million (4 million guaranteed) with Cleveland

James Casey 1-year, 2 million (1 million guaranteed) with Arizona

Owen Daniels 1-year, 2 million (1 million guaranteed) with Denver

Jermaine Gresham 4-year, 20 million (11 million guaranteed) with Oakland

Offensive Tackles

Bryan Bulaga 5-year, 39 million (18 million guaranteed) with Tennessee

Jake Long Retires

Joe Barksdale 5-year, 35 million (16 million guaranteed) with NY Giants

Jeremy Pernell 5-year, 32 million (13 million guaranteed) with Jacksonville

Guards

Mike Iupati 5-year, 42 million (20 million guaranteed) with Arizona

Orlando Franklin 5-year, 36.5 million (20 million guaranteed) with San Diego

Clint Boling 5-year, 32 million (14 million guaranteed) with Cincinnati

Rob Sims 4-year, 24 million (13 million guaranteed) with Minnesota

Justin Blalock 4-year, 22 million (11 million guaranteed) with St. Louis

James Carpenter 4-year, 17 million (6 million guaranteed) with NY Jets

Centers

Rodney Hudson 5-year 44.5 million (20 million guaranteed) with Oakland

Chris Myers 2-year, 8 million (4 million guaranteed) with Denver

Stefen Wisniewski 4-year, 20 million (10 million guaranteed) with St. Louis

Brian De La Puente 3-year, 9 million (4 million guaranteed) with New Orleans

Will Montgomery 1-year 2 million (1 million guaranteed) with San Diego

Interior Defensive Linemen

Ndamukong Suh 6-year, 114 million (60 million guaranteed) with Miami

Terrance Knighton 5-year, 44 million (20 million guaranteed) with Oakland

Jared Odrick 5-year, 36 million (16 million guaranteed) with Jacksonville

Nick Fairley 4-year, 25 million (14 million guaranteed) with Detroit

Stephen Paea 4-year, 30 million (16 million guaranteed) with Washington

Dan Williams 4-year, 20 million (10 million guaranteed) with Denver

Vince Wilfork 3-year, 17 million (7 million guaranteed) with Houston

Henry Melton 3-year, 15 million (6 million guaranteed) with Dallas

Corey Peters 3-year, 10.5 million (4 million guaranteed) with Arizona

Kendall Langford 4-year, 18 million (6 million guaranteed) with Indianapolis

Cory Redding 1-year, 3 million (2 million guaranteed) with Baltimore

CJ Mosley 2-year, 7 million (4 million guaranteed) with Detroit

Edge Players

Pernell McPhee 5-year, 40 million (16 million guaranteed) with Chicago

Greg Hardy 1-year, 8 million (6 million guaranteed) with Cincinnati

Jason Worilds 5-year, 45 million (21 million guaranteed) with Tennessee

Derrick Morgan 4-year, 28 million (15 million guaranteed) with NY Giants

Brian Orakpo 2-year, 12 million (6 million guaranteed) with Jacksonville

Jabaal Sheard 4-year, 31 million (17 million guaranteed) with Tampa Bay

Trent Cole 3-year, 15 million (6 million guaranteed) with Cleveland

Akeem Ayers 3-year, 12 million (4 million guaranteed) with New England

Brooks Reed 2-year, 8 million (4 million guaranteed) with Atlanta

Dwight Freeney 1-year, 3 million (2 million guaranteed) with Seattle

John Abraham retires

James Harrison 1-year, 2 million (1 million guaranteed) with Pittsburgh

Non-rush linebackers

Rolando McClain 5-year, 30 million (7 million guaranteed) with Dallas

Brandon Spikes 3-year, 14 million (5 million guaranteed) with Minnesota

Malcolm Smith 3-year, 12 million (5 million guaranteed) with Atlanta

Lance Briggs 1-year, 3 million (2 million guaranteed) with Tampa Bay

Sean Weatherspoon 1-year, 4 million (2 million guaranteed) with Arizona

Cornerbacks

Darrelle Revis 4-year, 60 million (35 million guaranteed) with New England

Byron Maxwell 6-year, 63 million (25 million guaranteed) with Philadelphia

Tramon Williams 3-year, 17 million (7 million guaranteed) with Philadelphia

Chris Culliver 5-year, 25 million (11 million guaranteed) with Miami

Antonio Cromartie 4-year, 28 million (15 million guaranteed) with NY Jets

Cary Williams 4-year, 20 million (10 million guaranteed) with Seattle

Rashean Mathis 1-year, 3 million (2 million guaranteed) with Detroit

Davon House 4-year, 20 million (10 million guaranteed) with Minnesota

Patrick Robinson 4-year, 16 million (9 million guaranteed) with New Orleans

Perrish Cox 1-year, 3 million (1 million guaranteed) with San Francisco

Safeties

Rahim Moore 5-year, 26 million (11 million guaranteed) with NY Giants

Da’Norris Searcy 4-year, 25 million (13 million guaranteed) with Oakland

Dwight Lowery 4-year, 20 million (7 million guaranteed) with Atlanta

Dawan Landry 2-year, 6 million (3 million guaranteed) with NY Jets

Mike Adams 1-year, 2.5 million (1 million guaranteed) with Indianapolis

Stevie Brown 2-year, 7 million (4 million guaranteed) with NY Giants

Tyvon Branch 1-year, 3 million (1 million guaranteed) with Kansas City

Kendrick Lewis 3-year, 10 million (4 million guaranteed) with Houston

Marcus Gilchrist 4-year, 16 million (5 million guaranteed) with Washington

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2015 NFL Free Agency Rankings: Safeties

stevenlourie 2015 NFL Free Agent Rankings, Uncategorized

1. Rahim Moore

Rahim Moore struggled as a rookie, but he had a fantastic 2012 season (the gaffe in the playoff loss to Baltimore aside), grading out as Pro Football Focus’ 11th ranked safety. He still looked like one of the league’s better young safeties going into his 3rd year in the league in 2013, but he was only a league average starting safety that year before going down for the season with a frightening, rare injury that almost cost him his leg and his life. Moore returned in 2014, but was once again only an average starter. It’s obviously great that Moore has been able to resume his life and his career, but he goes to the open market as only a league average starter. He’ll make a good amount of money in a weak safety market though.

2. Da’Norris Searcy

Searcy was a 4th round pick by the Bills in 2011 NFL Draft. He played just 511 snaps in his first 2 seasons in 2011 and 2012, but he made 20 starts over the past 2 seasons as a hybrid safety/linebacker. He’s never played more than 753 snaps in a season, but he graded out as Pro Football Focus’ 18th ranked safety in 2014 (on 666 snaps), so someone will give him starter’s money to be a traditional starting safety for them.

3. Dwight Lowery

Dwight Lowery has always been a solid starting safety when healthy. The Falcons signed Lowery cheap last off-season and there was a reason he was available so cheap, even though he graded out above average in every season from 2008-2012, including 18th among safeties in 2012. Lowery missed 20 games in 2012-2013 combined and he hadn’t played all 16 games since his rookie year in 2008. Lowery proved to be a smart signing by the Falcons, as he graded out above average again and, more important, made all 16 starts. He’s worth a multi-year deal on the open market, but his injury history can’t be ignored.

4. Dawan Landry

Landry was Pro Football Focus’ 9th ranked safety in 2014, but I have skepticism over his ability to keep that up. For one thing, he’s going into his age 33 season. He also graded out below average in 4 of 5 seasons from 2009-2013 before last season, though he did rank 4th in 2010 and he’s played in all 96 games over the last 6 seasons. He should still be a starter next season, but, like Harris, he shouldn’t be guaranteed anything beyond 2015 on his next deal.

5. Mike Adams

Mike Adams has been in the league for 11 years, since 2004, but last season was arguably the best of his career, as he graded out as Pro Football Focus’ 7th ranked safety and made the first Pro-Bowl of his career. This is the same guy whose career looked like it could have been over until the Colts signed him in June of last off-season. He’s going into his age 34 season and anyone who signs him this off-season can’t expect him to repeat the best season of his career again, but he was a solid starter in 2011, 2012, and 2013, grading out above average in 2011 and 2012 and only slightly below average in 2013. He should still be considered a starting caliber safety for 2015. There’s reportedly a lot of mutual interest between Adams and the Colts in a reunion.

6. Stevie Brown

Stevie Brown, a 2010 7th round pick, played just 151 snaps combined in 2010 and 2011, but had a breakout year in 2012, grading out as Pro Football Focus’ 27th ranked safety. Unfortunately for him, he tore his ACL and missed his entire contract year in 2013 and was forced to settle for a one year deal back with the Giants to rehab his value. His 2014 season was a mixed bag. He graded out about average and played all 16 games, but he made just 8 starts and played just 559 snaps as he was benched for a stretch in the middle of the season. He shouldn’t get a ton of interest on the open market, as he’s still a one year wonder.

7. Tyvon Branch

Branch had the Raiders’ top cap number for 2015 at 9.657 million. The Raiders only saved 2.986 million on the cap immediately by cutting him, but doing so got them out of salaries of 5.5 million in 2015 and 6.5 million in 2016 and 2017 and he’ll completely off of their cap by 2016. Branch was once a solid safety, grading out as Pro Football Focus’ 11th ranked safety in 2011 and their 30th ranked safety in 2012, but he’s missed all but 4 games with injuries over the past two seasons combined and it’s fair to wonder if he’ll ever be the same player again.

8. Kendrick Lewis

Lewis was a mere 5th round pick in 2010, but he still started for 4 years with the Chiefs before coming to Houston, making 51 starts from 2010-2013. Lewis graded out above average in his first 2 seasons in the league, but below average in 2012 and 2013, the final 2 years of his rookie contract in Kansas City, which led to a depressed market for him last off-season, forcing him to settle for a cheap, one-year deal in Houston. With the Texans, he had a bounce back year, grading out above average. Now he hits free agency again with 67 career starts in 5 seasons with a solid history of success as a starter, including a solid contract year. He should get more money and years than he did last off-season, but he could still be a cheap starting option for a team that needs one.

9. Marcus Gilchrist

Marcus Gilchrist was a 2nd round pick of the Chargers’ in 2011. He struggled in his first 2 seasons in the league at cornerback, but was moved to safety in 2013 and ended up making all 16 starts and grading out 20th at his position. Gilchrist graded out below average in 2014, but he wasn’t terrible, he made all 16 starts again, and I still expect him to get starting caliber money this off-season. He won’t break anyone’s bank though.

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