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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos: 2019 Week 4 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-2) at Denver Broncos (0-3) Minshew Mania has taken over Jacksonville, with backup quarterback and rookie sixth round pick Gardner Minshew leading the Jaguars to their first win of the season last week on Thursday Night Football. Minshew took over for an injured Nick Foles in the first…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Houston Texans: 2019 Week 4 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (1-2) at Houston Texans (2-1) The Panthers come into this game just 1-2, but they could easily be 3-0 right now. They lost their first 2 games by a combined 9 points, including a 3-point loss to the Rams in which they failed to recover a single one…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals: 2019 Week 4 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (2-1) at Arizona Cardinals (0-2-1) The Seahawks picked up their first loss of the season last week at home against the Teddy Bridgewater led Saints, but they actually had a better first down rate differential last week than they had in either of their two wins. They won…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Detroit Lions: 2019 Week 4 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) at Detroit Lions (2-0-1) Detroit +7 is one of two lines I locked in earlier this week, along with Cleveland +7. I legitimately don’t understand this line. It was at 6 last week and I thought it might be closer to 3 following the Lions’ upset…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: 2019 Week 4 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (1-2) at Baltimore Ravens (2-1) I typically like to bet against significant week-to-week line movements, as they tend to be an overreaction to a single week of play. This line has climbed all the way from Baltimore -4 on the early line last week to Baltimore -7 this…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at Indianapolis Colts: 2019 Week 4 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (1-2) at Indianapolis Colts (2-1) The Colts have gotten off to a 2-1 start with new starting quarterback Jacoby Brissett, but they are one of the most banged up teams in the league right now. On offense, top wide receiver TY Hilton is doubtful, while their defense will…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers: 2019 Week 4 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (1-2) at Green Bay Packers (3-0) Typically, playing on a short week benefits the home team significantly, as they don’t have to travel, which gives them more preparation time on a short week. There are a couple exceptions. The first exception is when it’s a divisional matchup, as…
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Continue reading →: 2019 Week 3 NFL Pick Results
2019 Total Against the Spread: 24-22-2 Pick of the Week: 2-1 High Confidence Picks: 5-2-1 Medium Confidence Picks: 5-6-1 Money Picks (Medium Confidence and higher): 12-9-2 Low Confidence Picks: 5-7 No Confidence Picks: 7-6 Upset Picks: 5-3 2018 Total Against the Spread: 154-102-11 (59.74%) Pick of the Week: 10-6-1 (61.76%)…
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Continue reading →: 2019 Week 3 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week PIT +7 @ SF High Confidence Picks ATL +1 @ IND Medium Confidence Picks GB -7 vs. DEN KC -5.5 vs. BAL HOU +3 @ LAC NYG +6 @ TB TEN -2 @ JAX Low Confidence Picks CAR +2 @ ARZ CIN +6 @ BUF OAK…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Washington Redskins: 2019 Week 3 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (1-1) at Washington Redskins (0-2) This was the toughest game of the week for me to decide. The Bears did well against bad teams last year, going 10-3 with an average margin of victory of 13.6 points per game, but they lost a pair of key contributors in…
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