Apr 222013
 

1-16 17-32 2nd round 3rd round 4th round 5th round 6th round 7th round

 

17. Pittsburgh Steelers- WR Cordarrelle Patterson (Tennessee)

Last week, I said it was close between Jarvis Jones and Cordarrelle Patterson for the Steelers. Well, this week Jones isn’t available so Patterson is the pick. They are reportedly very interested in him and he would replace Mike Wallace. While they have a need at rush linebacker, they also reportedly are high on both Jason Worilds and Chris Carter and don’t want to take a collegiate defensive end in the first round and convert him into a rush linebacker. That hurts Tank Carradine’s chances.

Other options:

TE Tyler Eifert (Notre Dame)- I actually think Eifert is more likely than Carradine. Eifert would give them insurance for Heath Miller, who tore his ACL, and another offensive weapon.

RLB Tank Carradine (Florida State)- I won’t rule Carradine out.

18. Dallas Cowboys- G Chance Warmack (Alabama)

The Cowboys made two head scratching decisions at guard last off-season, signing Nate Livings to a 5 year deal to play left guard and signing Mackenzy Bernadeau to a 4 year deal to play right guard. Livings was one of the worst guards in the league in 2011, while Bernadeau was an inexperienced former 7th round pick that no one else saw as a starter. Livings actually played well this season, but Bernadeau played as expected. There’s been some talk of Bernadeau moving to center, though I don’t know how much that will help. Either way, they need a new starter at right guard. Warmack is too good to pass on at this point.

Other options:

OT DJ Fluker (Alabama)- I don’t think they’d pass on Warmack, but DJ Fluker would fill a need at right tackle. They’re reportedly not that interested in him though.

19. New York Giants- OT DJ Fluker (Alabama)

DJ Fluker is a rising prospect right now, with some saying he could go as high as 7th to Arizona. I don’t have him that high and I think it would be ridiculous to use a top-10 pick on a pure right tackle in an off-season where Tyson Clabo, Eric Winston, and Andre Smith are still available and Sebastian Vollmer and Phil Loadholt had to take less than they were expected to get. However, I don’t see the Giants passing on him at 19. They’re known to be very interested in him and he’d fill a huge hole at right tackle.

Other options:

DE Tank Carradine (Florida State)- The Giants are always interested in adding pass rushers.

20. Chicago Bears- TE Tyler Eifert (Notre Dame)

The Bears already signed Martellus Bennett this off-season, but according to Draft Insider Tony Pauline, that won’t preclude the Bears from taking a tight end at #20. Tyler Eifert is a rising prospect right now with a good chance to go in the top-20. He’s the consensus top tight end and could be seen as the best available player here for the Bears. While Bennett is more of an inline tight end, Eifert can move all around the formation and would allow the Bears to use a bunch of two-tight end sets and creative looks. Jay Cutler will be really happy (or as happy as Jay Cutler can be) with this off-season if the Bears add Eifert here after adding Bennett, Jermon Bushrod, and offensive minded Head Coach Marc Trestman.

Other options:

MLB Arthur Jones (Kansas State)- Jones would fill a big need at middle linebacker and he’d be a perfect fit for their cover 2 scheme.

21. Cincinnati Bengals- S Eric Reid (LSU)

The Taylor Mays experiment didn’t last long. The Bengals were forced to move Nate Clements from cornerback to safety to play alongside Reggie Nelson and they also re-signed Chris Crocker mid-season and he saw some playing time. They can’t rely on that long term. Both Crocker and Clements are free agents and are heading into their age 33 and 34 seasons respectively. They need a new starter next to Nelson.

The Bengals tend to lock onto position by round and address their biggest needs first. Safety would qualify this year. While Jonathan Cyprien will probably overall be seen as a better prospect than Eric Reid and Matt Elam, the Bengals prefer big school kids so they’ll probably have Reid and Elam higher on their board than Florida International’s Jonathan Cyprien. They’ve worked both out privately and it was tough to choose between them here, but Reid has the size defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer prefers in a defensive back.

Other options:

S Matt Elam (Florida)- Elam is their other option. Safety is big far their biggest need.

22. St. Louis Rams- WR DeAndre Hopkins (Clemson)

After losing Danny Amendola and Brandon Gibson in free agency, the Rams are now missing 2 of their top-3 receivers from last year and it wasn’t a strong receiving corps to begin with. They’ve added Jared Cook and Chris Givens, their leading receiver last year, could be headed for big things in his 2nd year in the league. However, Brian Quick is still incredibly raw, though they haven’t given up on him. Austin Pettis, meanwhile, is only a backup caliber player. They also have just 5 receivers on the roster as of this writing and two of them have never caught a pass in the NFL. Just like Quick last year, Hopkins had a last minute workout with the Rams this year that reportedly went very, very well.

Other options:

WR Justin Hunter (Tennessee)- Justin Hunter is the other receiver option.

G Justin Pugh (Syracuse)- This would also help their offense.

S Jonathan Cyprien (Florida International)- Cyprien would fill a big need, but don’t they have to take an offensive player with one of these picks?

23. Minnesota Vikings- MLB Manti Te’o (Notre Dame)

The Vikings obviously have a need at wide receiver, but they pick at 25 in two more picks and it’s unlikely the Colts take a receiver at 24 so they’ll probably wait until that pick to take a receiver. With pick 23, I expect them to address defense, especially the front 7. Te’o is still expected to go in the 1st round when all is said and done and the Vikings appear to be the team most comfortable with him. He’d fill a massive need at middle linebacker.

Other options:

MLB Arthur Brown (Kansas State)- It’s between Te’o and Brown for them right now.

DT Sylvester Williams (North Carolina)- They’re known to be interested in Williams, but I think he’s only an option if both linebackers are gone.

WR Justin Hunter (Tennessee)- Maybe they want to take their receiver here instead of 25.

24. Atlanta Falcons (TRADE)- CB Xavier Rhodes (Florida State)

The Falcons are rumored to be interested in moving up from 30. It’d make sense given their recent history, just two years after moving up 21 spots in the 1st round for Julio Jones. If Rhodes falls into this part of the first round, they’ll be working the phones and the Colts, who are without a 2nd round pick, make sense as a trade partner. They wouldn’t be able to recoup their 2nd round pick (the trade value chart says the Falcons would have to give up their 3rd rounder), but they’d still add a valuable asset.

After cutting Dunta Robinson, cornerback becomes a big need for the Falcons. Asante Samuel just turned 32 and might only be with the Falcons for one more season and Brent Grimes is gone. Rhodes could step in as an immediate starter opposite Samuel and allow Robert McClain to remain on the slot, where he was very good last season.

Other options:

3-4 DE Margus Hunt (SMU)- I believe Margus Hunt is the Colts’ target. He should be available at 30 though.

RLB Tank Carradine (Florida State)- Carradine is also an option for the Colts and, to an extent, the Falcons.

 

 

25. Minnesota Vikings- WR Justin Hunter (Tennessee)

Even after adding Greg Jennings, the Vikings still need another wide receiver opposite him. Besides, Jennings is turning 30 this season and might not be worth his contract once he’s into year 4 or 5 so they need to think about developing a long term #1. They’ll probably take one with one of their two 1st round picks. At the end of the day, even after trading Harvin, they’ll end up with a better receiving corps in 2013 than 2012 and have an extra 1st rounder to spare.

Other options:

DT Sylvester Williams (North Carolina)- It’s a deep wide receiver year so maybe they wait until the 2nd round to address the need.

26. Green Bay Packers- 3-4 DE Datone Jones (UCLA)

The Packers’ defensive line got absolutely no pass rush in 2011. They used a 2nd round pick in 2012 on Jerel Worthy to help them out there, but that might not be enough. They still ranked just 30th in pass rush efficiency in 2012 as only Clay Matthews could get consistent pressure. They could use a 2nd pick on a pass rushing defensive lineman for their 3 man defensive line.

Other options:

3-4 DE Margus Hunt (SMU)- Hunt is their other defensive line option.

OT Justin Pugh (Syracuse)- Pugh’s versatility could be very attractive to the Packers if they want to address the offense and go with a lineman.

27. Houston Texans- OT Menelik Watson (Florida State)

The Texans lost the right side of their offensive line last off-season. They drafted a right guard in the mid rounds last year and could take right tackle this year. Derek Newton and Ryan Harris split snaps there last season, but Newton struggled and Harris, the better of the two, is still an unsigned free agent. Lance Zierlein of the Houston Chronicle, who admits he is not a big fan of Watson, believes the Texans love him and that he’s going to go in the top-27 picks. He’s a project, but he’d obvious be a natural fit for their zone blocking scheme and fill a need, so the intrigue is understandable, even though I side more with Zierlein on Watson’s long term projection.

Other options:

MLB Arthur Brown (Kansas State)- With the top-4 receivers off the board, the Texans don’t have many other options, but they could address the linebacker position.

28. Denver Broncos- CB Jamar Taylor (Boise State)

Don’t ask me why, but reports suggest that the Broncos will target cornerbacks early in the draft, probably in the first round. They have Champ Bailey obviously and just signed Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie. Also, Tony Carter and Chris Harris played well last season. Finally, they have Omar Bolden, a 2012 4th round pick who only fell because of a knee injury he’s since recovered from. DRC was only signed to a one year deal and Bailey could be eventually moved to safety, but I don’t get why they’d use a premium pick on a cornerback when they already have 5 presumably locked into roster spots. Anyway, it’s not my call. If they’re interested in cornerbacks in the first round, Taylor makes a lot of sense. They’ve worked him out privately and they are reportedly smitten with him.

Other options:

CB Desmond Trufant (Washington)- Trufant is the other cornerback option.

29. New England Patriots- CB Desmond Trufant (Washington)

Even after re-signing Aqib Talib and Kyle Arrington, the Patriots could still draft another cornerback. Trufant probably wouldn’t play much as a rookie, but Talib was only brought back on a one year deal and they could use better depth should injuries strike or if Alfonzo Dennard has to serve a suspension. Arrington belongs on the slot and should not be moved back outside even if injuries strike.

Other options:

QB Ryan Nassib (Syracuse)- If someone wants to trade up into the 1st round to take Nassib, the Patriots are likely going to be a willing partner.

30. Indianapolis Colts (TRADE)- 3-4 DE Margus Hunt (SMU)

The Colts won 11 games last year despite replacement level talent all over the field, but they’ll have to play better to match that win total in 2013. Despite one of the easiest schedules in the league, they still had a negative points differential and the worst points differential in NFL history by an 11-win team. They won just 3 games against .500 or better teams and 2 games total by more than a touchdown (one of which was against the Jaguars). There’s a reason they couldn’t hang with the big boys in the post-season as the Ravens exploited their issues defensively and on the offensive line in their 24-9 victory.

However, they had a lot of cap space this off-season to add talent to a young and improving nucleus so I gave them a good chance to improve their level of play in 2013 and still make it back to the playoffs. That being said, I don’t like what they did with their cap space. It wasn’t just that they overpaid players; it’s the type of players they overpaid. If you’re going to overpay players, make sure they’re players who can have a big impact. I don’t know how much guys like LaRon Landry, Gosder Cherilus, Erik Walden, Ricky Jean-Francois, Greg Toler, and Donald Thomas will help this team (I did like the Thomas deal though, that wasn’t an overpay). They would have been better off signing two or three higher end free agents and filling other needs through the draft.

Now it’s unclear which position they still view as a major need and for that reason it’s unclear what they’ll do in the 1st round. Rush linebacker, offensive line, cornerback, and defensive line should all be considered, but they may not view them all as major needs. I’m giving them Hunt here because I think he’s one of the best available and because I think defensive line is their biggest need right now. Even after signing Jean-Francois, they need more youth there. Aubrayo Franklin, recently signed cheap, turns 33 this season at nose tackle, as does starting five-technique defensive end Cory Redding. They’ve worked Hunt out privately and he’s seen as a first round lock by several sources.

Other options:

RLB Tank Carradine (Florida State)- As it did at 24, Carradine makes some sense to the Colts.

31. New York Jets (TRADE)- S Jonathan Cyprien (Florida International)

The Jets lost both of their starting safeties from 2012. They’ve brought in mediocre veteran Dawan Landry and they have a pair of 2012 late round picks, Josh Bush and Antonio Allen, but they will still probably add a safety through the draft. Cyprien probably won’t make it out of the first round so he makes a lot of sense here for the Jets.

Other options:

CB DJ Hayden (Houston)- Hayden also makes sense for the Jets, but it’s more likely he’s on the board at 34 than Cyprien.

32. Baltimore Ravens- MLB Arthur Brown (Kansas State)

Ray Lewis is obviously retired and while, Dannell Ellerbe played well in his absence, he’s gone as a free agent. Jameel McClain is a mediocre player who will be coming off a major injury in 2013 and even if he can lock down a starting spot, the Ravens run a base 3-4, so they need two starting linebackers. Middle linebacker will be a priority of their off-season.

Other options:

S Matt Elam (Florida)- Elam would address their safety need.

QB Ryan Nassib (Syracuse)- The Ravens are another team that likes to trade down on draft day. A team could move up here to get Nassib.

 

Go on to 2nd round

 

 

  27 Responses to “2013 NFL Mock Draft 17-32”

  1. The 49ers aren’t gonna pick a talented midget CB when #1. They have Trenton Robinson 5′-11″ 210 runs a 4.37-40 time!! #2. And with T.J. McDonald 6′-3″ 220 4.42-40 available (Son of Ex-49er Pro Bowler, Super Bowl Champ Tim McDonald) Who are you kidding? A least think about who 49ers are playing this year?

    • 40 times aren’t everything. if mathieu proves he can hold up in coverage this year, who cares if he’s 5-9. Brandon Flowers is 5-9. Antoine Winfield is 5-9. Ronde Barber is 5-9. And Robinson is 5-10 195 anyway. McDonald is terrible in coverage. I highly doubt Harbaugh would draft the 2nd coming of Taylor Mays.

      • Speed matters you Sports Junky that why Dashon Goldson will never be the player Eric Weedle is! They were drafted the same year & because Weedle has 4.45 speed & Goldson onlt runs a pedestrian 4.65, Eric Weedle has something like 200 more tackles in the same amount of years? Speed wins & Speed Kills with talent. Also, b/c the 49ers have to play too many 6′-2″ or taller recievers this year especially since they have scheduled the Patriots, Saints, Green Bay, Chicago & Arizona? Did you see last year how Larry Fitzgerald ran over Dashon Goldson for the game winning & go-ahed TD! Tyrann would be grass against Larry Fitzgerald. Since DeMarcus Milliner 4.34- 40, Bacarri Rambo 4.40-40,& T.J. McDonald

        • I didn’t say speed, I said 40 times. Timed speed and football speed are different things. Taylor Mays ran, what a 4.31. How’d he work out? McDonald is not a good football player. He will not go in the 1st round and he’ll get torched in coverage in the NFL.

        • The guy you mentioned, Larry Fitzgerald is a perfect example. Dude ran a 4.63. Does that mean he’s slow?

  2. I really don’t think the Vikes will use their first pick on a CB. First, they are willing to see how the young guys do that they just got. 2nd Winfield says he plans on coming back next year if things go ok this year. You remember he made the Pro Bowl last year.I could see them taking a DT to replace Kevin Williams or a Middle linebacker. I wish they would Draft a right Offensive tackle because Longholt is slow with Defensive Ends that are fast. They could move Longholt to Right Guard. I They also need help and Wide Receiver bad. Simpson, I don’t think is going to make it and Percy Harvin is great but can’t do it all along. I see DT, Middle linebacker, Wide Reciever as their biggest real needs. I think the Vikes will be better than people expect because of the Defense is coming along and Ponder is holding up pretty well so far. So with Winefield healthy I think they are willing to gamble on him this year and next if he wants to come back. He still plays so well and makes a lot of open field tackles.

    • yeah, but cornerbacks typically take a year to adjust to the speed of the NFL, so any CB would be a long term successor not an immediate replacement. with Cook, Robinson, and another young CB, they could be set for the future. it all depends on who is available. CB will be one of the positions they consider.

  3. N.O. Saints would pick Bjoern Werner over Mingo. Why? They love size and a motor. They have McBride and Gallette who are quick and Martez Wilson who is about 260. Werner is the prototypical 4-3 DE especially in Spags defense. He dropped almost 15-20 pounds this year so to catch him at 6-4, 260 is ideal for the Saints defensive end. He showed he has the ability to add weight if needed and keep strength.

  4. I like Barrett Jones. However, your charcterization of Kuper is a bit off. He’s had trouble this year staying healthy. However, he had never missed a snap before he got hurt in the last game of last year. So to say he’s injury prone is a bit pre mature

  5. don’t know what games you’ve been watching, but it obviously hasn’t been the ravens. KO is doing much better than expected at RT, and BWilliams hasn’t been the starting LG for 3 weeks. The Ravens will go BPA, as always, and hope there is a DE or LB they like at the tail end of the 1st round. If not, look for a trade back.

    • Osemele has allowed 5 sacks, 5 quarterback hits, and 15 quarterback hurries and grades out as a below average offensive lineman. He was drafted to be a left guard and would be a better fit there. At left guard, they’ve had a revolving door of Ramon Harewood, Bobbie Williams, and now in their last game (not the last 3), they did give Jah Reid a shot. They’ve really been struggling for consistency there. And at that point in the draft, Fisher, one of the top small school prospects, could easily be BPA.

  6. On the Rams picks…wrong wrong wrong…with one of their first 2 picks they’ll take Eric Reid from LSU and depending which one they use and where the other pick is i suspect they’ll target Chance Warmack and get another OT in the later rounds (unless Luke Joeckel is still available when their 1st pick comes up…then they’ll go Joeckel/Reid if possible)

  7. I find it hard to beleive that a qb will be the #1 player taken. I don’t see any qb in this years draft as a #1 or even a top ten pick. Neither one of the top 2 qb’s at this time don’t look like a franchise qb. I think that the #1 pick can easily be traded to a team that must have this qb and you can get just as good qb in the 10-15 range or lower. I do see some potential but a franchise qb no I just do not see that in this years draft. There are no guaranteed hits in this years qb stock…I might be 100 wrong but its sure looks like that for this years talent.

    • It doesn’t matter. If a team really needs a QB, they’ll talk themselves into one at #1. QBs go #1 almost every year and when they don’t, it’s because the team with the #1 pick doesn’t need one, not that there’s not one worth the pick. There wasn’t really a top quarterback in 2010 or 2011 either.

  8. Three teams from the NFC West (SF, SEA, St.L) make the playoffs & NO team from NFC East (read, NY Giants) make the playoffs??? Hmm, scratching my head.

  9. Yet another draft genius updated. Pay attention here, please: MOSLEY IS STAYING AT ALABAMA. Don’t quit your day job, Champ.

  10. Salas is no longer with the Patriots…try Phila.

  11. no way the bears do not take whatever offensive lineman is still on the board when they pick. yes they need a tight end but Cutler needs time to throw to him and if it means reaching then they better reach! they can’t be any worse than what they have now. even if they sign a good one in free agency they will need depth after ignoring it for years.

  12. ** The Bengals like linebackers who can rush the passer. **

    um, no they don’t….the Bengals defense under Mike Zimmer very seldom rush their LB’s….you need to get your facts straight before you just start throwin shit out there.

    • They don’t blitz linebackers, but Lawson occasionally moved to defensive end on obvious passing downs and they drafted Dontay Moch in the 3rd round a few years ago to do the same thing, but that didn’t work out. They also took a flier on Aaron Maybin this off-season for that reason.

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